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  1. 03-09-08 01:42 AM #1
    BigOrangeTitans
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    Default Early NBA Play

    Raptors/Sonics over 203.5
    Raptors -11.5
    Some trends, thanks to WSP
    Im playing the over and laying the chalk. Toronto goes on a big 5 game road trip following this game and they do not want to have a bad trip and go under .500. Im a local in seattle and watch/attend every game. They have nothing left this year as they believe they are moving to Oklahoma and rebuilding/dumping contracts. Torontos motivation and how they play at home are what i look for here. This is not the same seattle team that scored 123 and beat tor by 7 at home. This is not that team. Toronto turns the trend here. Seattle's atrocious defense gets exposed...
    Some trends thanks to Chutebox:
    Seattle is 7-3 against the spread versus Toronto since 1996
    Seattle is 4-1 against the spread @ Toronto over the last 3 seasons.
    Seattle is 13-8 against the spread versus Toronto since 1996
    Seattle is 2-0 against the spread @ Toronto over the last 3 seasons.

    Toronto has an avg of 100.2 pts per game
    Seattle has an avg of 96.9 pts per game

    Toronto is 15-9 ATS revenging a loss this season.
    Over is 5-5 in the last 5 matchups in this series. Look for a fast temp, maybe 115 by half.
    Plays:
    Over 203.5 3 units
    Toronto -11.5 1 unit
    Last edited by BigOrangeTitans; 03-09-08 at 03:50 AM.
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  2. 03-09-08 03:00 AM #2
    ChuteBoxe
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    5 of 5 games in this series have gone way over the last 3 seasons. The average total in the last 3 of those games was 228. I like it.
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  3. 03-09-08 03:02 AM #3
    BigOrangeTitans
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    Just edited with some info you gave, thanks. Without Bosh I see a fast tempo with lots of buckets. I would guess this line goes to 205 before tip.
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  4. 03-09-08 03:28 AM #4
    BigOrangeTitans
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    Put 3 units on the over, may go more if the line drops for any reason.
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  5. 03-09-08 03:41 AM #5
    WestsidePete
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    nice write up...I like the over as well
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  6. 03-09-08 03:48 AM #6
    BigOrangeTitans
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    Quote Originally Posted by WestsidePete View Post
    nice write up...I like the over as well
    Thanks Petey, gonna start off the sunday card strong.
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  7. 03-09-08 04:04 AM #7
    mofome
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    bol BOT

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  8. 03-09-08 10:48 AM #8
    jjgold
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    I like the total here, good homework
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  9. 03-09-08 01:48 PM #9
    BigOrangeTitans
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    156 scored with 5 min left in the 3rd. This total was too easy.
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  10. 03-09-08 03:14 PM #10
    bigugly
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    Excellent call.
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  11. 03-09-08 04:28 PM #11
    BigOrangeTitans
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    UP 1.8 units on that. I'll try and get you guys on one of these each day.
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  12. 03-09-08 04:29 PM #12
    diogee
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    That over cashed easy
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  13. 03-09-08 05:23 PM #13
    ChuteBoxe
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  14. 03-09-08 05:29 PM #14
    SBR Lou
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    Solid call

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  15. 03-09-08 05:33 PM #15
    dannyt76
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    Congrats.
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