[mofome]

Bradley: (RPI #93, Sagarin #88)
17-14 overall
16-12-1 ATS
9-9 conference
18-10 O/U
SOS: 66


Creighton: (RPI #53, Sagarin #49)
20-9 overall
14-11 ATS
10-8 conference
16-8-1 O/U
SOS: 82


The Missouri Valley Conference Tournament truly gets under way today as the Creighton Blue Jays take on the Bradley Braves in St. Louis. These two teams split their matchups in the regular season with Creighton winning in overtime earlier this month and Bradley blowing out the Blues Jays, at home, in the middle of February. The only realistic chance for either of these teams to make the Big Dance is by winning their conference tournament this weekend.

Creighton's offense is led by 6-2 guard P'Allen Stinnett. Stinnett had a big night the last time out against the Braves, but he's not the kind of offensive threat you can hope will take over a game. He only knocks down 30% of his three's, but he is effective if he's able to get to the line. The good news for the Blue Jay's offense is that they'll be up against a team that ranks 241rst in FG% defense. Bradley gives up over 71 points per contest and allows over 35% from behind the arc.

An area that that statistics say should go Creighton's way is the rebounding where they rank about 100 spots higher in rebounding differential, but those numbers have not played out in the two meetings between these schools in '08. In each game of this series, Bradley has won the battle on the boards which has to be a concern for Creighton coming into this afternoons tilt.

The offensive leader of the Braves is Jeremy Crouch who put up over 15 a game in the regular season and managed over 40% from long range. Crouch has been putting up huge numbers of late and also logging big minutes, he'll be the focus of a Creighton defense that's been one of the worst against the three all season.

Neither of these teams has been effective away from their home floor so we'll see how they get acclimated to the arena in St Louis this afternoon. One thing the Braves have done well away from their home in Illinois is knock down the trey and their FTs.

The big difference between these two looks to be the fact that Bradley boasts three wins over top 50 teams while Creighton sits at 0-5 against the nations top teams. Bradley is battle tested and has proved to be a tough team for Creighton to get a hold of in their recent meetings. I will take the Braves to win this one.

Bradley +110

[clonecat]

Like Bradley to reach the Finals of the tournament, also have a play on them and Illinois State -2 1/2 for the 1st day of the MVC.

[mofome]

Like Bradley to reach the Finals of the tournament, also have a play on them and Illinois State -2 1/2 for the 1st day of the MVC.

I hope you're right Clone.

[MadCapper]

Your writeups are always a great read.

I'll take Bradley today!

[ryanXL977]

thanks for that writeup. hope it works

F DARREN COLLISON

[Checkerboard]

mofome, I love your write-ups too and cashed along with you considerably . . . I may be wrong about this (it wouldn't be the first time, lol) but I like the Bluejays today and took them on the ml noting that I'm pretty sure Andrew Warren will be out, but not certain and also not sure whether or not that's already 'worked into the line'. Good luck today, at least one of us will win, maybe we both cash with a Creighton w by1!!

[mofome]

thanks for that writeup. hope it works

F DARREN COLLISON

haha, i would have broken walls if i had been on stan. ive been in that position before.

thanks and bol to you as well.

[mofome]

mofome, I love your write-ups too and cashed along with you considerably . . . I may be wrong about this (it wouldn't be the first time, lol) but I like the Bluejays today and took them on the ml noting that I'm pretty sure Andrew Warren will be out, but not certain and also not sure whether or not that's already 'worked into the line'. Good luck today, at least one of us will win, maybe we both cash with a Creighton w by1!!

Warren wont be playing, he didnt play in their last meeting with Creighton either. He only logged 17 minutes in their first matchup, at bradley, and thats when he got hurt. its certainly been figured into the line today.

bol CB, one of us will win and thats ok by me.

[mofome]

Your writeups are always a great read.

I'll take Bradley today!

ty **, just hoping to keep pace with you and the others atop the Best Bet standings.

[andrewaxia]

Took Bradley at +1

[WestsidePete]

Go Bradley!! +2 for me....

[diogee]

Bradley +2...thanks for the write-up mofome.

[mofome]

haha thanks gents, it seems im in good company here and id rather see lk off this one than on the other side. little less than an hour till tip.

[TPowell]

I've got Bradley and the over

[mofome]

I've got Bradley and the over

i like to hear that.

[zerocage]

good stuff had drake -10 and I have bradley +2 as my card for the day

[RescueMe]

I'll probably go with Bradly too, They lost last meeting at "Creighton " by 1 in double overtime.

[TPowell]

Bradley has been impressive ATS in conference play. I only saw like 2 or 3 losses

[mofome]

Bradley has been impressive ATS in conference play. I only saw like 2 or 3 losses

closing in on game time. i don't know how im going to follow this, rationally, from work.

[ryanXL977]

is there anywhere on the net to watch it or listen? damned espn

[mofome]

http://www.bigsports590.com/GameSche...ddate=3/1/2008


not sure if that site gives you the option to listen or not.

[mofome]

fading all you mofos..took Cre -1

that doesn't seem wise.

[mofome]

when cre wins...I wanna see a bow to the master

bet is on, a bow for a bow.




gl AAO

[mofome]

Bradley is 1-9 from 3, not due to high intensity defense, and down 4.

[ryanXL977]

bradley is gettin whipped

[mofome]

creighton 6/11 from 3, how ridiculous.

[mofome]

Jays up 14
7 of 11 from 3

bradley 1 of 10 from 3

[mofome]

I have a 3 team parlay...

Under Wofford 127 with Creighton -1 and the over 143

looks like a winner on the jays if they continue to hit 60% from 3 and the Braves stay around 10%