I have seen this question posted several times before and not very many answers followed.
I don't have a set system for comming up with what I think the line should be.
I use SBR Matchup Reports to study past games by the teams that are playing. I look at every number on the page. Take into consideration, fg, ft, 3 pt%, and ppg and points against.
I actually handicap in reverse. I am sure ppl will disagree but it works for me. I take vegas' lines and study games based on that. After looking at stats, injuries, trends, etc., I always look at previous meetings.
I will take the team ppg and subtract it from the ammt of pts their opponent is giving up. Then I will do the same for the other team.
More times than not, this doesn't cause me to make a play or pass, but it may contribute to my confidence in that particular game.
I am sure there are much better ways but it works for me.
Nothing takes the place of watching teams play, having a feel for certain teams, and picking the right times to bet on or against these teams. Keeping up with the teams are crutial for success.
I don't mean just looking at past scores either. Try to watch as many games as possible or at least pick a few teams and follow them closer than their fans do.
GL and maybe some solid cappers can help me out and give you some other methods!
