Write up: #20 Washington state -1.5 @ Oregon: 0/u 136
#20 Washington state -1.5 @ Oregon: 0/u 136
McArthur Court, Eugene Oregon
9pm
Oregon: (Sagarin 33, RPI 45)
15-9
10-2 home
11-9-2 ats
0/u: 9-12-1
SoS 29
Washington State: (Sagarin 12, RPI 25)
19-5
8-2 away
12-11 ats
0/u: 13-10
SoS 57
wagerline consensus shows 55.59% on Oregon
opening line 1.5
best current lines:
Washing State +1.5 -110 (widely available)
Oregon -1 -110 (the greek)
Ranked team as the underdog to the unranked team. Some say this means that play is Oregon and there is no need to look any further. Oregon may cover, but we'll look a bit more to find out what I see in this one.
As we wind down February Washington State is playing for seeding while the Ducks are playing to get into the big Dance. A win here would surely boost their resume a bit. After failing to cover 6 in a row, the Cougars have covered in their last two outings with blow out wins over USC and Oregon State. Oregon also covered their last 2 games after going a couple weeks without cashing for their backers.
Oregon has a lot of offensive weapons, but they consistently play to outscore their opposition and that leaves them in a bit of trouble if they are knocking down their jumpers. There is little doubt that the Ducks have the offensive talent to score with anyone, but when you give up 73.1 pgg your offense really ha a lot of pressure to score every time down. In their last outing they managed to drop in 14 3s as 5 players scored in double figures at home against the Huskies.
The Cougars don't score a lot, but thats because they treat every possession with patients. This team is 202nd in scoring but 9th in the nation in fg percentage. While WSU has 4 guys averaging 9.9 or more points a game, this team gets wins because of how they defend the ball. Washington State's defense is lead by Kyle Weaver who is 2nd in the pac-10 in steals per game. Weaver can follow around which ever Duck has the hot hand and really put pressure on the other guys to make plays.
This game will feature two very different styles and a game that should be one of the better ones played this weekend. Washington states big advantage is the fact that they force more turnovers than the Ducks do and they also are better at taking care of the ball when they have it. My feeling is that the ducks will waste more possessions and eventually grow frustrated with the pateince of a Washington State team trying to lock up a top 4 seed. Luenen is likely to get his points, but Porter will need to remain under control for the duration if the Ducks are going to get this win. I look for WSU to knock down their fts, not waste too many possessions, and get a road win at McArthur Court this Saturday night.
WSU +1.5
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Originally Posted by Quebb Diesel
