02-07-08, 09:22 AM
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#1
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POTM Aug 11/Vid Maker of the Year 2011
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7-1 past 2 days!!! HUGE Thursday Play!! Writeup also...
HUGE PLAY ALERT
Well folks, the last 2 days I have gone 7-1 on posted pics. Today, we do one game.....and one game only. 20 unit bet.
Take Rhode Island @ Umass UNDER 170
All profits from last night are going into this game.
Why might you ask? Here it is.
If we go by the scores to each teams in the last 10 games, the average game score for RI is 156.2. The average score for a Umass game is 161.2
In all games, the posted o/u has only posted 170+ on 3 occasions, Umass is 2-0 when it does, and RI is 0-1 when it does.
RI Offense avg 82.2 pts
UMass Defense avg allows 78.1
UMass Offense avg 83.2
RI Defense avg allows 71
When we look at the past 20 games (10 per team), the total score has gone 170 5 times (4x in Umass games, 1x in RI games).
Against a horrible STL team, Umass put up 59 points and RI put 61.
Against Dayton, Umass put up 82 and RI put up 83
The score will be no higher 150.
GL ALL!!!!
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iPad 2
WINNER
SBR Store
06/10/2011
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02-07-08, 09:25 AM
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#2
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good luck.
20 units is alot.
hope you win
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02-07-08, 09:56 AM
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#3
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Beware overtime(s). It has killed many good Under bets.
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02-07-08, 10:38 AM
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#4
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POTM Aug 11/Vid Maker of the Year 2011
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Game wont be close enough for OT
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iPad 2
WINNER
SBR Store
06/10/2011
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02-07-08, 12:55 PM
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#5
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Game at 170.5 at 5Dimes with reduced juice so I bet a little on it. Lets cash this 
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02-07-08, 01:37 PM
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#6
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Im in on this one with you for a nickel. You've been posting good plays lately. Lets go!
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02-07-08, 02:03 PM
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#7
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http://tenniselbowblog1.blogspot.com/
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I'm not sure I understand the logic with the St.Louis references. If you don't watch STL, they are a slow tempo team with a top 15 ppg against at 59 per game. If you base totals on this game from STL, that doesn't compute to me. Why not throw in the two Syracuse match-ups where the totals were over 180? That would be a more appropriate stylistic match-up in my opinion.
I'm passing on this game, but even though the total is high - these two teams could easily play over. Best of L to yooze guys on the under.
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175 pts
3-QUESTION SBR TRIVIA WINNER 02/10/2012
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02-07-08, 02:20 PM
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#8
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POTM Aug 11/Vid Maker of the Year 2011
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Thanks for all who are following me guys, lets win some cash!!
Eagles, thanks for the info. Ill make sure to do more in depths on my stuff.
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iPad 2
WINNER
SBR Store
06/10/2011
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02-07-08, 02:54 PM
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#9
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POTM Aug 11/Vid Maker of the Year 2011
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We've moved the line. Started the day between 170-171.5 now it's 169.5-170.
Anyways, with a win tonight I will post a video. Note that it will come late (bout midnight cst).
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iPad 2
WINNER
SBR Store
06/10/2011
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02-07-08, 03:59 PM
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#10
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http://tenniselbowblog1.blogspot.com/
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Sweet I need something to watch later.

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175 pts
3-QUESTION SBR TRIVIA WINNER 02/10/2012
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02-07-08, 04:20 PM
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#11
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you're on fire brotha! gl today!
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02-07-08, 04:24 PM
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#12
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GL Man! I put some in it as well .. lets cha ching 2nite!!
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02-07-08, 04:34 PM
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#13
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Bad bet taking the under. This game is going to fly.
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02-07-08, 04:36 PM
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#14
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a different point of view,
win or lose this play is a mistake and sets a terrible precedent. the undisciplined in this game usually don't last long and you are setting yourself up to be in that category. just a different point of view but i do wish you well.
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02-07-08, 04:54 PM
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#15
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guess i have a diffrent point of veiw as well out of my last 107 picks im clipping along at a 68% pace,and still struggling go figure
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02-07-08, 05:28 PM
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#16
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You may win but the total is set a 170 for a reason. Umass has play 70+ possession teams like RI to 88, 86, 84, 90, 77, 81 possession games. Each of these teams is very efficient on offense averaging 1.1 point per possession. An 85 possession game is entirely possible and if that occurs your bet may be toast.
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02-07-08, 05:30 PM
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#17
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keep up the good work bro.... nice write up, GL
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02-07-08, 05:51 PM
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#18
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My Cougar Wears Two Pearl Necklaces
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I spend the last two hours capping this game and before I post my pick I realize someone else has done the work for me already. 
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1000pts
SBR POKER CHAMPIONSHIP 20th Place 2/19/2011
SBR Shirt
SBR POKER Straight Flush Winner 3/2/2011
5000pts
SBR POKER ROYAL FLUSH WINNER 2/11/2011
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02-07-08, 05:54 PM
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#19
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pavyracer
I spend the last two hours capping this game and before I post my pick I realize someone else has done the work for me already. 
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not sure, but are you kidding? one game takes you 2 hrs?
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02-07-08, 06:06 PM
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#20
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Your on a hot run keep it goin!!
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250pts
SBR POKER TOURNEY3rd Place 1/31/2012
1378pts
TOP SPORTSBOOK
WINNER
02/05/2012
5,000pts
ARMY OF
ROMANS
12/12/2011
17-12-1 +3.8
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02-07-08, 06:14 PM
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#21
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POTM Aug 11/Vid Maker of the Year 2011
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pavyracer
I spend the last two hours capping this game and before I post my pick I realize someone else has done the work for me already. 
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according to your capping, what do you see the play as?
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iPad 2
WINNER
SBR Store
06/10/2011
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02-07-08, 06:24 PM
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#22
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171 is equivalent to a 225+ NBA total Line, A lot of uncontested buckets and early shooting fouls required for this thing to go over. Like the play 
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1342pts
TOP SPORTSBOOK
WINNER
01/21/2011
$3,000
MONEYBALL SHOOTOUT 1st Place 4/2/2011
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02-07-08, 06:43 PM
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#23
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 5 star bomb
keep up the good work bro.... nice write up, GL
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Nice work Iwin

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600pts
SBR POKER TOURNEY1st Place 2/3/2012
5,000pts
ARMY OF
ROMANS
12/12/2011
20-10 +9.15
200pts
SBR POKER TOURNEY4th Place 2/9/2012
CHARITY DONOR
12/7/2011
$25 donation
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02-07-08, 06:50 PM
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#24
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GL Bro im with you on that one, as well as our Cleveland ML!! GO LEBRON!
u170 .20units
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02-07-08, 07:23 PM
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#25
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POTM Aug 11/Vid Maker of the Year 2011
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lets win some money! no way it goes over.....no way. keep an eye on the 1h score and that will let us know if we will end up winin.
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iPad 2
WINNER
SBR Store
06/10/2011
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02-07-08, 07:55 PM
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#26
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My Cougar Wears Two Pearl Necklaces
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Iwinyourmoney
according to your capping, what do you see the play as?
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I have this game under too. RI has only one game this year over this number.
Don't worry about the haters. They say they don't like your pick but they don't dare to post the opposite as their bet.
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1000pts
SBR POKER CHAMPIONSHIP 20th Place 2/19/2011
SBR Shirt
SBR POKER Straight Flush Winner 3/2/2011
5000pts
SBR POKER ROYAL FLUSH WINNER 2/11/2011
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02-07-08, 07:57 PM
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#27
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My Cougar Wears Two Pearl Necklaces
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Quote:
Originally Posted by rake922
not sure, but are you kidding? one game takes you 2 hrs?
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Rake,
I only play two games a night and I spend the whole afternoon capping the games. I'm the quite opposite of jjgold.
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1000pts
SBR POKER CHAMPIONSHIP 20th Place 2/19/2011
SBR Shirt
SBR POKER Straight Flush Winner 3/2/2011
5000pts
SBR POKER ROYAL FLUSH WINNER 2/11/2011
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02-07-08, 08:00 PM
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#28
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On board, 1 unit
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02-07-08, 08:34 PM
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#29
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your lookin good on this one so far...REAL good in the first half. You shouldn't have any problems cashing this one. nice pick Iwinyourmoney
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02-07-08, 08:39 PM
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#30
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POTM Aug 11/Vid Maker of the Year 2011
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dont call it yet. its looking pretty, but night is young
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iPad 2
WINNER
SBR Store
06/10/2011
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02-07-08, 08:41 PM
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#31
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if there is less than 70 points in the first im chalking up a W
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02-07-08, 08:42 PM
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#32
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oh man, if neither team reaches 35 in the half u are absolutely golden. what do ya think of indiana -2 and UCLA -2 tonight?
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02-07-08, 08:44 PM
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#33
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Iwinyourmoney
dont call it yet. its looking pretty, but night is young
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yeah no jinx please.
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02-07-08, 08:47 PM
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#34
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all the JINXING in the WORLD wont make this play not win tonight. GREAT pick here guys
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02-07-08, 08:48 PM
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#35
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Both teams struggling from the perimeter, but the pace has over written all over it.
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175 pts
3-QUESTION SBR TRIVIA WINNER 02/10/2012
700pts
SBR POKER TOURNEY3rd Place 1/28/2011
1165pts
TOP SPORTSBOOK
WINNER
01/18/2011
145pts
SBR POKER TOURNEY5th Place 2/8/2012
370pts
SBR POKER TOURNEY2nd Place 1/27/2012
175 pts
3-QUESTION SBR TRIVIA WINNER 02/02/2012
175 pts
3-QUESTION SBR TRIVIA WINNER 01/30/2012
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