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Old 02-07-08, 09:22 AM   #1
Iwinyourmoney
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Default 7-1 past 2 days!!! HUGE Thursday Play!! Writeup also...

HUGE PLAY ALERT

Well folks, the last 2 days I have gone 7-1 on posted pics. Today, we do one game.....and one game only. 20 unit bet.

Take Rhode Island @ Umass UNDER 170

All profits from last night are going into this game.
Why might you ask? Here it is.

If we go by the scores to each teams in the last 10 games, the average game score for RI is 156.2. The average score for a Umass game is 161.2

In all games, the posted o/u has only posted 170+ on 3 occasions, Umass is 2-0 when it does, and RI is 0-1 when it does.

RI Offense avg 82.2 pts
UMass Defense avg allows 78.1
UMass Offense avg 83.2
RI Defense avg allows 71

When we look at the past 20 games (10 per team), the total score has gone 170 5 times (4x in Umass games, 1x in RI games).

Against a horrible STL team, Umass put up 59 points and RI put 61.

Against Dayton, Umass put up 82 and RI put up 83

The score will be no higher 150.

GL ALL!!!!
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Old 02-07-08, 09:25 AM   #2
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good luck.

20 units is alot.

hope you win
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Old 02-07-08, 09:56 AM   #3
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Beware overtime(s). It has killed many good Under bets.
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Old 02-07-08, 10:38 AM   #4
Iwinyourmoney
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Game wont be close enough for OT
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Old 02-07-08, 12:55 PM   #5
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Game at 170.5 at 5Dimes with reduced juice so I bet a little on it. Lets cash this
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Old 02-07-08, 01:37 PM   #6
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Im in on this one with you for a nickel. You've been posting good plays lately. Lets go!
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Old 02-07-08, 02:03 PM   #7
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I'm not sure I understand the logic with the St.Louis references. If you don't watch STL, they are a slow tempo team with a top 15 ppg against at 59 per game. If you base totals on this game from STL, that doesn't compute to me. Why not throw in the two Syracuse match-ups where the totals were over 180? That would be a more appropriate stylistic match-up in my opinion.

I'm passing on this game, but even though the total is high - these two teams could easily play over. Best of L to yooze guys on the under.
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Old 02-07-08, 02:20 PM   #8
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Thanks for all who are following me guys, lets win some cash!!

Eagles, thanks for the info. Ill make sure to do more in depths on my stuff.
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Old 02-07-08, 02:54 PM   #9
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We've moved the line. Started the day between 170-171.5 now it's 169.5-170.

Anyways, with a win tonight I will post a video. Note that it will come late (bout midnight cst).
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Old 02-07-08, 03:59 PM   #10
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Sweet I need something to watch later.
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Old 02-07-08, 04:20 PM   #11
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you're on fire brotha! gl today!
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Old 02-07-08, 04:24 PM   #12
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GL Man! I put some in it as well .. lets cha ching 2nite!!
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Old 02-07-08, 04:34 PM   #13
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Bad bet taking the under. This game is going to fly.
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Old 02-07-08, 04:36 PM   #14
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a different point of view,

win or lose this play is a mistake and sets a terrible precedent. the undisciplined in this game usually don't last long and you are setting yourself up to be in that category. just a different point of view but i do wish you well.
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Old 02-07-08, 04:54 PM   #15
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guess i have a diffrent point of veiw as well out of my last 107 picks im clipping along at a 68% pace,and still struggling go figure
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Old 02-07-08, 05:28 PM   #16
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You may win but the total is set a 170 for a reason. Umass has play 70+ possession teams like RI to 88, 86, 84, 90, 77, 81 possession games. Each of these teams is very efficient on offense averaging 1.1 point per possession. An 85 possession game is entirely possible and if that occurs your bet may be toast.
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Old 02-07-08, 05:30 PM   #17
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keep up the good work bro.... nice write up, GL
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Old 02-07-08, 05:51 PM   #18
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I spend the last two hours capping this game and before I post my pick I realize someone else has done the work for me already.
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Old 02-07-08, 05:54 PM   #19
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
I spend the last two hours capping this game and before I post my pick I realize someone else has done the work for me already.
not sure, but are you kidding? one game takes you 2 hrs?
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Old 02-07-08, 06:06 PM   #20
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Your on a hot run keep it goin!!
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Old 02-07-08, 06:14 PM   #21
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
I spend the last two hours capping this game and before I post my pick I realize someone else has done the work for me already.
according to your capping, what do you see the play as?
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Old 02-07-08, 06:24 PM   #22
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171 is equivalent to a 225+ NBA total Line, A lot of uncontested buckets and early shooting fouls required for this thing to go over. Like the play
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Old 02-07-08, 06:43 PM   #23
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 5 star bomb View Post
keep up the good work bro.... nice write up, GL
Nice work Iwin
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Old 02-07-08, 06:50 PM   #24
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GL Bro im with you on that one, as well as our Cleveland ML!! GO LEBRON!

u170 .20units
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Old 02-07-08, 07:23 PM   #25
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lets win some money! no way it goes over.....no way. keep an eye on the 1h score and that will let us know if we will end up winin.
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Old 02-07-08, 07:55 PM   #26
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Iwinyourmoney View Post
according to your capping, what do you see the play as?
I have this game under too. RI has only one game this year over this number.

Don't worry about the haters. They say they don't like your pick but they don't dare to post the opposite as their bet.
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Old 02-07-08, 07:57 PM   #27
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Quote:
Originally Posted by rake922 View Post
not sure, but are you kidding? one game takes you 2 hrs?
Rake,

I only play two games a night and I spend the whole afternoon capping the games. I'm the quite opposite of jjgold.
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Old 02-07-08, 08:00 PM   #28
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On board, 1 unit
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Old 02-07-08, 08:34 PM   #29
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your lookin good on this one so far...REAL good in the first half. You shouldn't have any problems cashing this one. nice pick Iwinyourmoney
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Old 02-07-08, 08:39 PM   #30
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dont call it yet. its looking pretty, but night is young
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Old 02-07-08, 08:41 PM   #31
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if there is less than 70 points in the first im chalking up a W
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Old 02-07-08, 08:42 PM   #32
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oh man, if neither team reaches 35 in the half u are absolutely golden. what do ya think of indiana -2 and UCLA -2 tonight?
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Old 02-07-08, 08:44 PM   #33
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Iwinyourmoney View Post
dont call it yet. its looking pretty, but night is young
yeah no jinx please.
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Old 02-07-08, 08:47 PM   #34
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all the JINXING in the WORLD wont make this play not win tonight. GREAT pick here guys
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Old 02-07-08, 08:48 PM   #35
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Both teams struggling from the perimeter, but the pace has over written all over it.
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