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  1. 01-23-06 08:59 PM #1
    bigboydan
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    Default superbowl prop bets

    what do you feel is the best way to cap these things ?
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  2. 01-23-06 09:01 PM #2
    onlooker
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    There isnt a way. I dont bet props. So I cant help on this one.
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  3. 01-24-06 02:38 AM #3
    rm18
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    One to make sure is that you don't pick too many bets that are related too each other, like if you Bet on Hasselbeck, against Alexander, on Parker and against Roethlisberger and the Seahawaks get a two score lead you will probably lose all of your bets.

    You also could try for some middles like you bet Darrell Jackson under 5.5 catches but over 65.5 yards if you think you have a much better chance of winning two than losing two.

    You can preview what alot of the prop lines will look like at BOS even if you wouldn't consider playing there
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  4. 01-24-06 09:27 AM #4
    bigboydan
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    Rm, Whats your take about on the defensive side of the ball with takles and sacks ?
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  5. 01-24-06 02:57 PM #5
    pags11
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    I'm amazed they have some many of these damn props...
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  6. 01-24-06 03:23 PM #6
    rm18
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    I would think a Seattle player Tatupu maybe will have the most tackles, since the Steelers will run more probably and they run a 3-4 defensively they have more linebackers to split the tackles. Seattle also runs to the edges more than most teams so outside linebackers/corners will make more tackles instead of the middle linebackers who will usually be the leading tackers

    Don't know who would get more sacks, I guess Pittsburgh, but I like them for the game so I will mostly like the props that favor them

    I would think also betting against every running back in the game should be profitable especially Alexander and Bettis
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  7. 01-24-06 03:45 PM #7
    bigboydan
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    rm, i'm not sold on betting against alexander at all though. i feel it could be alexander left, alexander right.

    alexander will be a big part of there offense in this game. plus, the way points are scored in the superbowl games. you have to take that into consideration as well.
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  8. 01-25-06 03:23 AM #8
    pags11
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    who's betting tails on the coin flip?...
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  9. 01-25-06 04:11 AM #9
    bigboydan
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    Quote Originally Posted by pags11
    who's betting tails on the coin flip?...

    pags, you plan on betting the coin flip ?
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  10. 01-25-06 05:55 AM #10
    Patrick McIrish
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    Quote Originally Posted by bigboydan
    what do you feel is the best way to cap these things ?

    Starts with basic Math....


    - Algebra, applications in calculating return on risk, value of half-points, and which line is better: Pittsburg +3 -115, or +2 +110.

    - Basic probability/stats, how many pizzas can you make with exactly 2 toppings if your store offers 8 possible toppings? The main things to know are permutations and selections - how to calculate, and when to use them.

    - Poisson distributions. If I flip a fair coin 100 times, what are the odds that I hit at least 57 heads?


    If you can do #2 and #3 props are very beatable. Once I am done I will post my prop bets and compare them to posters like Fezzik who are much wiser than I. My guess is we will have played many of the same bets, I hope so.
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  11. 01-25-06 07:29 AM #11
    tacomax
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    Quote Originally Posted by bigboydan
    pags, you plan on betting the coin flip ?
    Intertops have +100/+100 on the coin flip - max. $110 bet.
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  12. 01-25-06 07:37 AM #12
    imgv94
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    Quote Originally Posted by tacomax
    Intertops have +100/+100 on the coin flip - max. $110 bet. I will make my first bet
    Really good luck Taco
    Last edited by imgv94; 01-25-06 at 07:40 AM.
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  13. 01-25-06 02:55 PM #13
    pags11
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    and on whether or not we will see a boob at halftime...
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