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  1. #1

    Default Kentucky -1 vs Vanderbilt

    requested by BigOrangeTitans



    1:30 pm Vanderbilt @ Kentucky (Rupp Arena)
    Kentucky:
    6-7
    2-7-1 ats
    6-4 home
    0/u 7-3

    Vanderbilt:
    16-0
    8-7 ats
    2-0 away
    0/u 11-4



    trend: vandy has won 4 in a row in the series, but all by 5 or less.

    consensus: too early



    well we all know kentucky is down again this season. Looking over their schedule you'd be lying to yourself if you said they've really had one stand out performance all year long. If you want to know why this team has been outclassed, badly, by every big school they've played, look no further than the ft line. kentucky has been allowing teams to shoot 10, 15, 20 more fts than them in all their big games. Houston, uab, unc, louisville, and indiana all had huge fta advantages over kentucky. what does that tell you? this team cant play defense, they just arent all that atheltic. the wildcats have a decent fg% defense, but they cant keep players from getting position on them and that gets them killed game in and game out. health has been an issue for kentucky this season and they claim to be nearing 100% but four cats - Joe Crawford (foot), Jodie Meeks (hip), Derrick Jasper (knee/toe) and Michael Porter (back) - all missed practice time this week and are the equivalent of questionable for Saturday's game according to catpause.com.

    Vanderbilt comes into Rupp with a very young team and its tough to predict how some of the freshman will start out vs the 24 thousand screaming fans in blue. This team has had a couple tests this season, but they havent seen anything like what they'll see on Saturday in Kentucky. The key for the commodores will be 6-10 c Andrew Ogilvy who was one of the nations top recruits and will give kentucky a huge matchup problem down low. The wildcats will likely have to double him which leaves open shots for the best 3 point shooting team in the nation. if they want to take their chances 1 on 1 with Ogilvy they'll likely lose 75% of those battles. if they opt for some zone, again, The Commodores are well coached and will find open looks from long range. Vandy is coming off a conference win that saw them shoot poorly, but still figure out a way to get the win. playing on the road will be much different, but i think the teams confidence, post presense, and ability to knock down the 3 give them an advatage here. Not to mention the fact that if the trend continues, and kentucky puts their opposition on the line all day, Vandy is a very good ft shooting team.

    it seems vegas wants us to take Vandy, and i'll take them up on their offer.

    my play:
    Vanderbilt +1
    Last edited by mofome; 01-12-08 at 03:25 AM.

  2. #2

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    I didn't know they were allowing all those FTs, i was considering ky

  3. #3

  4. #4

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    Quote Originally Posted by Cee View Post
    I didn't know they were allowing all those FTs, i was considering ky


    im here to serve the people.

  5. #5

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    don't you ever sleep? see you posting around the clock...hope you're not a speed freak

    GL bro

  6. #6

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    Quote Originally Posted by 5 star bomb View Post
    Im going to follow you on this play... Thanks Mofo
    hopefully success will continue for the board. seems like a lot of guys have been doing well lately, the write ups have been cashing for me...they help me out. there have been a few games i was gonna just pick that i would have lost if someone hadnt asked me to write it on up.




    gl to us!

  7. #7

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    Quote Originally Posted by picoman View Post
    don't you ever sleep? see you posting around the clock...hope you're not a speed freak

    GL bro


    im a late night/early morning man. i sleep from time to time, but i love the talks, and keeping things moving in the early morning hours is something i enjoy. taking the time to do some write ups and talk sports is enjoyable for me. im a beer freak, if i added speed to my system im not sure what would happen. its certainly not needed.


  8. #8

  9. #9

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    Quote Originally Posted by BigOrangeTitans View Post
    love it mo, you know im on it


    i was undecided going into this one, but the info pointed me to a vandy play. i know you're on it already, bol my friend.


  10. #10

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    Great write-up mofome...I got Vandy at +1 a couple hours ago.

  11. #11

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    Quote Originally Posted by mofome View Post
    i was undecided going into this one, but the info pointed me to a vandy play. i know you're on it already, bol my friend.

    was hoping i was the one who pointed you to vandy... if they win. Ha

  12. #12

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    Quote Originally Posted by diogee View Post
    Great write-up mofome...I got Vandy at +1 a couple hours ago.


    thanks bud, i hope we can cash. greak name btw, a friend of mine always wanted to name his dog 'diogee'.

  13. #13

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    i just finish watching the movie, even money. so i am going to stay off collage bb for a while. st. francis pk

  14. #14

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    Quote Originally Posted by picoman View Post
    i just finish watching the movie, even money. so i am going to stay off collage bb for a while. st. francis pk

    good movie?


    st fran ny? i played them boys in soccer many moons ago.

  15. #15

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    Quote Originally Posted by mofome View Post
    good movie?


    st fran ny? i played them boys in soccer many moons ago.
    great movie. you should watch that and owning mahony. i htink all punters should watch those two before they gamble for serious amount of money.

  16. #16

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    Quote Originally Posted by picoman View Post
    great movie. you should watch that and owning mahony. i htink all punters should watch those two before they gamble for serious amount of money.

    in that case, no need.


  17. #17

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    I thought Philip Seymore Hoffman was better in Owning Mahoney than he was in Capote, but I digress.

    I LOVE Vandy here. My only fear is a trap, as this line just looks to damn whacky. Should be closer to Vandy -3.5 or so. Then again, maybe it's a simple case where we are benefitting from Kentucky's reputation.

  18. #18

  19. #19

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    I would walk softly here as Gillespie will have his team up for this in Rupp.

  20. #20
    20Four7's Avatar Become A Pro!
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    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by mofome View Post
    im here to serve the people.
    OMG your sounding like John Layfield now.

  21. #21

  22. #22

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    confused about this game, i set the line at 5. . . . This vandy team might to be ready to win this game yet , and kentucky is due. . . scary. . .

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  24. #24

  25. #25

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    yes a trap

    all these traps seem like they lose or most do

    SBR Founder Join Date: 7/20/2005


  26. #26

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    its a trap that the best player in the game, Ogilvy, got 2 first half fouls and only got off 3 attempts. kentucky has only been whistled for 3 fouls which aint the norm for the cats. we'll see how the 2nd half goes. as i said already, i know the books wanted vandy money, that was obvious enough.

  27. #27

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    if the best 3pnt shooting team in the country is gonna keep missing wide open 3s, they wont win. chalk it up as a loss.

    moving on

  28. #28

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    Quote Originally Posted by mofome View Post
    its a trap that the best player in the game, Ogilvy, got 2 first half fouls and only got off 3 attempts. kentucky has only been whistled for 3 fouls which aint the norm for the cats. we'll see how the 2nd half goes. as i said already, i know the books wanted vandy money, that was obvious enough.

    Really?

  29. #29

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    Quote Originally Posted by Louisvillekid1 View Post
    Really?

    obviously thats really my opinion. yes, really. ty

  30. #30

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    kentucky living on the line all day...the close calls aint goin their way.

  31. #31

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    2 point game, 1:38 left.

    13 more fts for kentucky on the day, thats the story...first time all season, how neat.

  32. #32

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    vandy ball, down 2, clown just loses it in the middle of the paint with 2 wide open men to pass to on the outside. nice.

  33. #33

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    Gus Johnson's the best.
    400pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY1st Place 5/17/2012

    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 05/24/2012

    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 05/28/2012

    275pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY3rd Place 5/28/2012

    50pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY14th Place 5/25/2012

    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 05/17/2012

    iPad
    WINNER
    SBR Store 05/05/2012

    200pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY5th Place 5/29/2012

    200pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY5th Place 5/22/2012


  34. #34

  35. #35

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    tie game, kentucky goes out of bounds but they give him a timeout?

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