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  1. 01-20-06 10:27 PM #1
    datek23
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    Question The Over/Under lines final scores for any sport, interesting theory!!!

    I need some advice.

    I way I look at it, it seems to me, always pick the over on games? Am I correct? The reason is the chance of a overtime games will increase the score and increases your chances of winning? If you do a under and a overtime comes along chances are you are going to get hit bad, plus alot of garbage time toward games increase scores. Does anybody agree with me on this, always pick the over? I had three games today go to OT, Philly, Houston, Seton Hall. I did not do the over/under, but I sure everyone knows what I am trying to say here, your chances of winning games increase with overs. Is there a way to see the over/under lines for final scores from the prior years and see if what the percentage is? Anyone have insight?
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  2. 01-20-06 10:28 PM #2
    DrSlamm
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    All of this is already factored into the lines
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  3. 01-20-06 10:53 PM #3
    rm18
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    If a game does not go to OT it goes under 55% of the time, this number is just a guess but you definitely should not pick overs all the time especially in the NBA
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  4. 01-21-06 04:55 AM #4
    Winston Smith
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    Using the closing Pinnacle lines from Covers, I get 578 overs and 517 unders. That's about 52.8%. Not a strong enough edge to play every over, IMO. (Assuming my math is correct.)
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  5. 01-21-06 05:16 AM #5
    imgv94
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    Winston your signature is about me!! I appreciate it!! Well my opinion
    on this is how many games actually go into overtime? If its basketball
    there is a edge if it goes to overtime,not so in pro football cause most
    of the time OT games are won by a 3pt FG.
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  6. 01-21-06 06:05 AM #6
    bigboydan
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    Quote Originally Posted by DrSlamm
    All of this is already factored into the lines
    well said my freind.
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  7. 01-21-06 09:28 AM #7
    newb411breaker19
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    it really depends on what sport your betting and particularly what time of the year it is. According to professionalgambler.com the total in the nfl since 1983 has gone under 1748 while 1652 have gone over. that's a small bias to the under. the article also says that in all september games if the line was more than 40 the game went under 56.7% of the time. in december, however, there is a bias to the over because people want to bet the under because they feel that lower temperatures will equal lower scores. the linesmaker takes this into account when he sets the total
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  8. 01-21-06 02:20 PM #8
    datek23
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    Does professionalgambler.com have the history on basketball and college basketball the over and unders?

    True on football, however basketball is a total different breed only breed since this theory really win not work with hockey, baseball, only very slightly with football maybe if that. But basketball seems it will work, but need prior history results.
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  9. 01-21-06 05:18 PM #9
    Doug
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    I've taken to betting NBA ( H2) unders by betting Q3 and Q4 under ( to avoid losing in OT), if I want over, I bet H2 over ( so OT counts). I have to lay -110 for the Q's ( Oly) instead of -105 at Trojan or Pinny, but I think it's worth it. It worked yesterday with Hous/ Chi in NBA.
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