| Poster's Sportsbook Poll: 2011View Poll Results | ||
| # 1 5Dimes | 450 total points | 5Dimes Review |
| # 2 Pinnacle | 408 total points | Pinnacle Review |
| # 3 Heritage | 227 total points | Heritage Review |
| # 4 Bookmaker | 138 total points | Bookmaker Review |
| # 5 BetIslands | 129 total points | BetIslands Review |
| SBR Top-Rated SportsbooksRecommended List | ||
| Pinnacle Sports | SBR Rating A+ | Pinnacle Sports Review |
| 5Dimes | SBR Rating A+ | 5Dimes Review |
| BookMaker | SBR Rating A+ | BookMaker Review |
| Legends | SBR Rating A+ | Legends Review |
| Bodog | SBR Rating A | Bodog Review |
How many games to you bet per day?
I read somewhere that the more games you bet like 5-8 per day gives you a better chance of winning. But I was thinking that the juice would kill you. I know that you should only bet the games you think you have an edge. But are you better off being very selective?
I bet as many or as few plays per day as I feel that I have an advantage on. I'm willing to play 30 plays if I feel I have the edge in that many contests, or sit an entire day out if I spot no value. I have no mininum and maximum preset games. GL...
Originally Posted by BigBollocks
I bet as many or as few plays per day as I feel that I have an advantage on. I'm willing to play 30 plays if I feel I have the edge in that many contests, or sit an entire day out if I spot no value. I have no mininum and maximum preset games. GL...
Just this past Thursday I had 11 college basketball bets, and today I only have 2. So it varies from day to day.
SBR Founder Join Date: 8/10/2005
As many as possible.
Pretty much depends on when I wake up.
I usually bet the next game, no matter what.
If I'm drinking, I always bet, albeit a smaller amount.
I've bet up to 20 games in a day on some Saturdays.
all my picks are simulation,and stat based.any bet that says i have over a 55% shot at i take.if i have more bets than average going i will adjust down the % on each wager not because i do not think i will win,i just think its the smart thing to do.
i really do not want more than 8% of my bankroll at risk any given day,if i have 6 bets on a given day then i will bet about 6%,bankroll,if i have 20 bets riding i only use 8% divided up
gl
accuscore - how do you do overall? I'm interested in your simulations. Computer or gaming platform like xbox?
And, does your name refer to the same Accuscore that ESPN uses? I think it's espn, maybe it is sportsline. I havent tracked that thing, but apparently it sucks!
I bet 1-2 the most
SBR Founder Join Date: 7/20/2005
more games = more juice = harder to win
example 2pac [tonite] utah@portland/without getting into to much
1.first thing i do is run 3 simulations,from 3 diffrent programs pro anaylizer from accuscore,foxsheets platinum,and the geeks trusty simms from tr..
2.i look at the simms results it indicates by how much a team is suppose to win by, and their ranking #[in this EXAMPLE simms says portland by 1 point,utah#13/portland#11] i compare that with lines at my books like wsex,matchbook,ect.
3.something catches my eye when the lines come out. utah +3.5 not exactly great value but worth jotting it down.
4.i look at mainly offensive stats.points for,points against,ranking,rebounds,scoring opportunitys,ect,ect[exp. utah 104ppg/portland 96 ppg]wow so utah scores more,and all the other stats are very comparible to favorible.
5.basically everything has to click for it to be finalized as a pick,underdog or a favorite.my pick has to meet certain criteria,and hold value or its a no go
in the case above utah, had value by +.5 point so i bought +1.5 which i do not most of the time.
BUT here is the diff if i normally bet $100 because utah it not full value i will buy the points making it utah +5 while only risking $50
pac this shit is hard to explain.all i can say is follow my pics in the nba section and you can get a guidline on how i cap
What are u referring to?
I try to bet every game that is on TV, and maybe 2-3 more.
All of them. I find I have to have action on every game in play that day or I won't make even the minimum profit.
Whatever my edge dictates.
Which would be 0, so the reality is I bet however many I feel like.
I play every game that I feel I have an edge in...mainly NBA and usually between 4 and 8 plays per day.
As a general rule one game a day when I'm playing sports. You only need one winner to make money. Too many games = the vig eating you up in the long run.
Bookies dream are guys that bet
Bookies nightmare are guys that spot bet
SBR Founder Join Date: 7/20/2005
Phuck spot betting JJ
Not if all plays have +EV.
So the longer you bet, the more you lose?
LOL crazyl
If I am making a play for the day it is usually between 1-3 picks. I do not bet everyday, only when factors favor my picks. I am extremely disciplined when it come to placing bets.
Duke that is why you hold your own
SBR Founder Join Date: 7/20/2005
about 7-10 a night
A better way of stating these would be" The more games I play the greater the vig tab would be in the long run". Profit or loss is determined by % of winners, Money management and decision making. I've spoken to numerous bookies over the years and they all love the high volume player. "Its the churning of $ that is my bread and butter. In combination with balanced action I can't lose"one local told me.So the longer you bet, the more you lose?
I still don't understand what you're trying to say. Are you saying that the more games you bet, the more you will lose in long-term, given that you pick more winners than losers?
It is always better to bet as many games as you can if you're a winning bettor. 55% over 1000 games is better than 80% over 100 games.
I used to bet a lot more and lose more, lately after being part of **'s best bet thread it has helped me single out my best few bets and only bet on those. I have been more successful as a result.
I agree with Arnold...betting more games is an advantage to the player IF the player has a decent winning % while 1 play a day is an advantage to someone that can identify one solid play per day but does not pick a high % of winners playing multiple games per day.
I'm not that skilled in sports betting to isolate that many games worthy of financial involvement. Of course if you can pick more winners than losers you should be able to make a profit. The break even point that covers the vig I think is 52.6%.From what I've read given the same % of winners you are better off with a smaller amount of plays when your ratio of winners to losers is near that break even point.
You are better off with 0 plays if you're < than break-even point.
During Basketball season, I usually have 10-12 bets between NBA and college. Baseball, about 5-7. NFL, about 2-3 a week. College FB, 3-5 a weekend.
JJ says I bet too many games.
JJ is wrong Kellen
Point well taken. However since this Is March Madness Month allow the villiage idiot to have some fun.
One other reason I choice to limit my number of games played is it reduces the chances of being involved in a random result at the end of a game. This is especially true for basketball were the winning side can be determined by a silly foul at the end of a game or a decision to dibble out the final half minute or pad the scoring line with that last shot of the game. If I'm involved in ten games a night this can effect the bottom line. Yes I could get lucky but the emotional toll is not worth it.
Looks like I ended up with 12 NBA plays today...8 for the game and 4 2H plays.
Reply With Quote