ever?
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| # 4 Bookmaker | 138 total points | Bookmaker Review |
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I never spend more than 5 seconds capping an individual game.
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Everyones different, it varies depending on volume. With football, if nothing on the board jumps out at you right away, you have enough time during the week to evaluate things. So I don't think there's any set answer. I will say, though, that the people who are more thorough, and try to cover as much ground as possible will do better in the long run, assuming they have none of the leaks typically associated w/ problem gambling. So I think yeah, on average, there will be plenty situations where you require more than 10 minutes.
In the NBA I play trends (for quarters and halves) that don't require a lot of time. Until the ASB the NBA is not a high intensity league so many teams develop habits -some long term, some short term-, that aren't hard to identify. After the ASB I use a different approach that focuses on intensity.
For the NFL I have a 20+ page printout with systems updated every week, plus a 4 or 5 page printout for each week's games. I use combinations of angles that by themselves produce winners; such as different overlays on a vertical axis set off against another numerical approach on a horizontal axis. This produces sweet spots. For instance, qualifying overs went 68-41, but the sweet spot within that total went a ridiculous 34-2 (sounds crazy, or as Ganch would say, like data mining, but it isn't; I believe the sweet spots to be the result of build-in motivational factors). I also try to stay a step ahead so one or two pages have experimental angles. Most of those end up in the trash, but a few make it into the 'proven' systems. (This year I added a new angle that went 53-27 ATS for the season, without a losing week). For the NFL just going over the starters for each team, based on Friday's injury report, takes a couple of hours. I'm careful with playing sides ATS for the full game, because the linesmakers are too good there. By comparison they merely guess at setting totals.
My main focus isn't on sports, so I stopped wasting my time on amateur athletes. (I just can't watch football all day on Saturday and then expect to be sharp on Sunday). The stock market is much the same game, but with a bigger board, juicier dice, and better refs.
Oh. I pretty much suck at MLB. And I'd like to keep it that way.
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The key to bet size lies in understanding streaks
SBR Founder Join Date: 12/14/2005
best way to bet sports now a days is trends and systems
No way to predict how athletes are going to perform daily so throw all the bull shit out and just bet angles, ect
SBR Founder Join Date: 7/20/2005