Follow the picks of a red hot poster or fade a consistant losers picks?
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Follow the picks of a red hot poster or fade a consistant losers picks?
SBR Founder Join Date: 8/9/2005
I would follow red hot and or extremely intelligent and proven posters
like of course MYSELF!! and Razz,misteve,slacker00,isetcap,begolf25, Illusion...
And stay away from losers,guys that get jealous and diss good handicappers
who are +150 in units like Winston Smith,Quarm,Tacomax,and a few others
I don't want to mention cuz they are cool. There's some people
on here that know nothing. But its the people like Razz and the boys who
keep this forum going.
I mean look at Winston Smith's picks today.. They didn't even get close. I faded his
terrible pickin azz and made me some $$$.. Can't
beat that.. A winner is a winner.. A loser is a loser..
SBR Founder Join Date: 11/16/2005
Why not do both?Originally Posted by Illusion
I haven't tried this system, at least consciously, but I think you'd need a history of at least 100 picks to get anything remotely statistically meaningful. I'm not sure it would be worth the effort of collecting and analysing the data.
SBR Founder Join Date: 10/6/2005
i agree. totally bro..
SBR Founder Join Date: 11/16/2005
fading a losing poster is more profitable overall, rather than following a red hot poster.
SBR Founder Join Date: 8/10/2005
I pay as little attention as possible to posting forum cappers.
SBR Founder Join Date: 7/21/2005
Someone that has picked as many losers as youOriginally Posted by Mudcat
have maybe should listen to some of these posters.
Obviously if you would of listened to me you would
be way ahead.. Mudcat thanks... people like you
make me who i am...
Oh Mud Nobody on here pays any attention to you..
SBR Founder Join Date: 11/16/2005
I personally like to make my own estimations but i read a lot of posters and follow on good cappers. Especially at BettingAdvice message board, where some of the guys really post good long previews with reasoning and information behind their picks.
Never really understood fading anyone. Can somebody really suck consistently enough long term to make it profitable? Especially at handicap sides as most of the lines are very well set and without some good information betting on many of the matches are like coin tosses.
3-QUESTION
SBR TRIVIA WINNER 05/21/2012
SBR Founder Join Date: 10/4/2005
Whats up juuso!! how ya doing??Originally Posted by juuso
Yes just like everyone. There's winners,losers,
and in-betweens.. There's some people on
here who know absoultely nothing but act like
they do. I give reasoning behind all my great picks.
Watch for the bitter guys. Guys that talk bad to
posters over +150 units, if they knew better they would
join instead. well a sucker is a sucker..
SBR Founder Join Date: 11/16/2005
does that + 150 Units profit include your 94 unit bet on Pitts, **?
...heheh
SBR Founder Join Date: 12/11/2005
Ive done great this year (mostly on my own hanicapping) but on those times when im clouded or feel im getting into a dry spell Ill usually copy a hot posters bet, case in point Imgv94 on his Steelers play. I dont post alot of my plays cause if i lose I dont want to take some friends down with me. However if and when I feel strong Ill post my Best Bets. i think if u look at that record Iv'e done all right.
SBR Founder Join Date: 8/10/2005
I would say not. You still have to bet against the vig. The bettor still needs to suck enough (around 47%) for you to overcome your own juice. To truley bet the opposite of someone you need the opposite price and the only way to do that is to be his bookie. Otherwise, you will both lose like two people betting red and black on a roulette wheel. The house still has the greens.Originally Posted by juuso
SBR Founder Join Date: 7/12/2005
well said bill.
therefore the greatest value is in following Mr. RedHot, someone like IMG or Illusion or Razz, because those guys can beat the blacks and the greens.
SBR Founder Join Date: 12/16/2005
Happy boy.Originally Posted by HAPPY BOY
I know you have done well on a somewhat limited
amount of plays. I respect u dogg.. I mean everyone
could look at mudcat and see his picks are very bad..
SBR Founder Join Date: 11/16/2005