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  1. #1

    Default Which is better more or less picks?

    In general if you are handicapping which gives you a better long term winning percentage? Playing one or two games per day or 5 to 7. I know some beleive picking 5 to 10 games a day gives you a better shot. But I was wondering how the juice enters into it? .

  2. #2

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    Over the long term, It shouldn't matter as long as you have a good winning percentage. More picks means Your swings will be smaller.

  3. #3

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    It depends on the marginal advantage you're getting from betting 2 or 7 games. If you hit 60% on your first two of the day and hit 50% on the last five it's pretty obvious what your choice should be.

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  4. #4
    Ganchrow's Avatar Become A Pro!
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    Quote Originally Posted by eyeball View Post
    In general if you are handicapping which gives you a better long term winning percentage? Playing one or two games per day or 5 to 7. I know some beleive picking 5 to 10 games a day gives you a better shot. But I was wondering how the juice enters into it? .
    The more +EV bets you place the better.

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  5. #5

    Default Ganchrow

    What do you mean EV bets?

  6. #6
    Ganchrow's Avatar Become A Pro!
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    Quote Originally Posted by eyeball View Post
    What do you mean EV bets?
    A +EV bet is one on which you have a positive expectation (i.e., a bet on which you expect to make money).

    See these posts:

    An introduction to betting lines and percentages
    An introduction to expectations and theoretical hold

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  9. #9
    Ganchrow's Avatar Become A Pro!
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    Quote Originally Posted by luciano View Post
    Hey Ganch, you play poker?
    I've been known to play a little poker here and there.

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  10. #10

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    Quote Originally Posted by Ganchrow View Post
    I've been known to play a little poker here and there.
    Well I bet you are quite the player if you stick to your math and not let emotions get to you. That implied odds article is good stuff man.

  11. #11

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    It depends on what events are on that day. I mean if there is Grand Slam or ATP Masters Series (tennis), sometimes I pick 10+ bet a day.

  12. #12

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    Which is better? Here's a simple answer...if you're a winner, bet more....if you're a loser , bet less. If you're a "winner", you probably know it. If you're not sure, then you're probably not one.
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  13. #13

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    d2bets said it best!

    If you are a long term winner, you should bet any play you feel has a positive EV, be it 2 plays or 20 plays in a day.

    If you are not a winner or do this for fun, then the fewer plays the better unless you have a lot of money set aside for entertainment purposes.

  14. #14

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    As Ganch said, make as many +ev bets as possible.

    However, if you are purely going for winning percentage you would want far fewer plays.

  15. #15

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    Bookmakers do not want guys that only make a few plays a week

    ENOUGH SAID

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  16. #16

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    Just bet the games that you feel that have value. If your just flipping coins and hitting the church, your gonna lose. Some days have several good plays, other days will be a fight to find one good wager. So don't go into a day saying I have to come up with 3 or 5 plays, let your handicapping dictate the number of plays you make.

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