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  1. #1

    Default what the hell is a correlated parlays

    never heard of it. sometimes to cover a bet i bet parlay to cover myself.

  2. #2

    Default

    Billy, the term correlated parlay generally refers to an underdog and the under, or a favourite and the over. For example, lets say LSU is -38 and the total is 54 against Tulane. One correlated parlay might be LSU -38 and the over 54, while another correlated parlay would be Tulane +38 and the under 54. Obviously if one occurs, there's a heightened chance the other leg of the parlay will also. Hope this helps...

  3. #3

  4. #4
    Ganchrow's Avatar Become A Pro!
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    Check out Parlays and Correlated Parlays.

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  5. #5

    Default

    According to SBG Global, a correlated parlay is when the two teams play the same sport.

  6. #6

    Talking

    Quote Originally Posted by curious View Post
    According to SBG Global, a correlated parlay is when the two teams play the same sport.
    According to SB.com, it's any same game parlay. Winning pars push and losers stand.

  7. #7

    Default

    Like the total for first half and total for full game.

    SBR Founder Join Date: 10/23/2005


  8. #8

    Default

    total for first half and total for full game, a sportsbook has a right to cancel before the game, in my opinion. The correlation is obvious and huge. But they need to list it in their rules as not allowed. I would never bet this even if a sportsbook forgot to not allow it. I don't like getting banned from a book, after they cancel my bet.

    However, betting (over and fav) or (under and dog), these are popular parlays with the public, especially the (over and fav). What correlation there is - almost never overcomes the vig except in the case of high spread college games. Sportsbook.com just cancelled the bets from anyone with big net win from these popular parlays.

    The books have no right to cancel these, and when they do they turn off not only advantage players but recreational bettors as well. Ideally the book would like both parts of the parlay to have no correlation. In reality, there is some correlation when parlaying total and spread but most books welcome the action; their 10% vig or whatever takes care of the correlation problem. WSEX, Olympic, 5 dimes all take bets that sportsbook.com uses as an excuse to steal.
    Last edited by louis; 10-24-07 at 05:13 AM.

  9. #9
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    Quote Originally Posted by curious View Post
    According to SBG Global, a correlated parlay is when the two teams play the same sport.
    LOL I like that one.

  10. #10

    Default Further clarification from SBG

    I wrote to SBG management to get further clarification on what consitutes a correlated parlay. They said:

    "There are several cases. First, the teams involved are playing the same sport. Second, the players involved are of the same species. Third, the locations of the games being played are the same planet. We hope this helps clarify why we stole all of your winnings. Thank you for depositing money with us that you can never withdraw."

    SBG Management

  11. #11

    Default

    Does this still fly?

    Play 2 parlays on separate bets:
    First parlay: favorite and over the total...
    Second parlay: underdog and under the total...

    "Now to qualify the games we use a simple mathematical calculation. The point-spread must be 33% or greater than that of the total in a particular game, and then we would have a qualifier."

    Source:
    http://forum.sbrforum.com/college-fo...ay-system.html

    I think the NE/MIA game would qualify.

    Looking at the lines, it looks like my book has blocked off the totals for that parlay..........
    Last edited by jon13009; 10-28-07 at 09:48 AM.

  12. #12

    Default

    I consider NE/over correlated although there are some that say the percentage isn't high enough here.

    Ark/over is huge if you can get it.

  13. #13

    Default Would this work?

    I wonder if the offshore books would allow this:

    6 pick parlay:
    Iowa St / Missouri OVER 56.5
    Missouri -28.5
    Fl Int'l / ARkansas OVER 58
    Arkansas -40.5
    Baylor / Kansas State OVER 59
    Kansas State -26.5

    And

    6 pick parlay:
    Iowa St / Missouri UNDER 56.5
    Iowa St +28.5
    Fl Intl / Arkansas UNDER 58
    Fl Intl +40.5
    Baylor / Kansas St UNDER 59
    Baylor +26.5

  14. #14

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by curious View Post
    I wonder if the offshore books would allow this:

    6 pick parlay:
    Iowa St / Missouri OVER 56.5
    Missouri -28.5
    Fl Int'l / ARkansas OVER 58
    Arkansas -40.5
    Baylor / Kansas State OVER 59
    Kansas State -26.5

    And

    6 pick parlay:
    Iowa St / Missouri UNDER 56.5
    Iowa St +28.5
    Fl Intl / Arkansas UNDER 58
    Fl Intl +40.5
    Baylor / Kansas St UNDER 59
    Baylor +26.5
    I can't believe it, this looks like it has a chance. LOL Looks like Iowa State and Fl Int'l might cover. LOL

  15. #15

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by curious View Post
    I can't believe it, this looks like it has a chance. LOL Looks like Iowa State and Fl Int'l might cover. LOL
    Oh well, it was fun while it lasted. Iowa St and Misery sure to get the OVER now.

  16. #16

    Default

    Okay, here is something that might work.

    Find all the games where this Fav with the huge spread and OVER or Dog with the huge spread and UNDER is in play. I'm going to stick with the Fav and OVER for this example.

    Label each of these games with a capital letter, A, B, C...etc.

    Now treat each letter as one "side" and set up a 2 pick round robin of each of them.

    Since each letter actually represents two picks, you have actually created 4 pick parlays instead of two. The Fav/OVER bets have to stay together for the same game.

    This is what you would have had today:
    Iowa St / Missouri A

    Fl Int'l / Arkansas B

    Baylor / Kansas St C

    AB = Missouri -28.5 LOST 1 unit
    Iowa St/Missouri OVER
    Fl Int'l / Arkansas OVER
    Arkansas -40.5

    AC Missouri -28.5 LOST 1 unit
    Iowa St / Missouri OVER
    Baylor / Kansas St OVER
    Kansas St -26.5

    BC Fl Int'l / Arkansas OVER WIN 12 units
    Arkansas -40.5
    Baylor / Kansas St OVER
    Kansas St -26.5

  17. #17

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by curious View Post
    I wonder if the offshore books would allow this:

    6 pick parlay:
    Iowa St / Missouri OVER 56.5
    Missouri -28.5
    Fl Int'l / ARkansas OVER 58
    Arkansas -40.5
    Baylor / Kansas State OVER 59
    Kansas State -26.5

    And

    6 pick parlay:
    Iowa St / Missouri UNDER 56.5
    Iowa St +28.5
    Fl Intl / Arkansas UNDER 58
    Fl Intl +40.5
    Baylor / Kansas St UNDER 59
    Baylor +26.5
    No book I know of will take that, esp. the +/- 40.5 leg of it, even the 26.5 is unbettable.

    SBR Founder Join Date: 8/10/2005


  18. #18

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Doug View Post
    No book I know of will take that, esp. the +/- 40.5 leg of it, even the 26.5 is unbettable.
    those are two separate bets

  19. #19
    Ganchrow's Avatar Become A Pro!
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    Quote Originally Posted by curious View Post
    those are two separate bets
    What Doug is saying is that you won't find a (reputable) book that will take any of the correlated parlays (A, B, and C).

    If you do find such a book ... either expect to be quickly cut off or expect that they won't remain reputable for very much longer.

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  20. #20

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by curious View Post
    those are two separate bets
    Yes it's two tickets, but you can't bet it. It would get rejected.
    Last edited by Doug; 10-28-07 at 09:46 AM.

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  21. #21

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Ganchrow View Post
    What Doug is saying is that you won't find a (reputable) book that will take any of the correlated parlays (A, B, and C).

    If you do find such a book ... either expect to be quickly cut off or expect that they won't remain reputable for very much longer.
    They would reject a 6 pick parlay because 2 of the picks are correlated? I don't get that.

  22. #22

    Default

    look up 'correlated' in the dictionary and stop asking.

  23. #23
    Ganchrow's Avatar Become A Pro!
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    Quote Originally Posted by curious View Post
    They would reject a 6 pick parlay because 2 of the picks are correlated? I don't get that.
    Crazy. huh?

    For the same reason that you (correctly) believe this bet to be profitable, books don't want to take the opposite side.

    And to be clear it's actually 3 pairs of correlated bets.

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  24. #24

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Ganchrow View Post
    Crazy. huh?

    For the same reason that you (correctly) believe this bet to be profitable, books don't want to take the opposite side.

    And to be clear it's actually 3 pairs of correlated bets.
    Yes, I know that, but I was hoping the offshore books might not be smart enough to realize that if you camouflaged it a bit.

  25. #25
    Ganchrow's Avatar Become A Pro!
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    Quote Originally Posted by curious View Post
    Yes, I know that, but I was hoping the offshore books might not be smart enough to realize that if you camouflaged it a bit.
    Yeah, what the books typically do is reject any parlay that contains any correlated legs.

    You're right that the books are probably doing themselves a bit of a disservice not allowing minimally correlated games within much larger parlays, but they're obviously just trying to err on the side of caution.

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  26. #26

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by HedgeHog View Post
    According to SB.com, it's any same game parlay.
    That and every other excuse they can think of that might be remotely close to the term "correlated parlays".

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  27. #27

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by curious View Post
    I wonder if the offshore books would allow this:

    6 pick parlay:
    Iowa St / Missouri OVER 56.5
    Missouri -28.5
    Fl Int'l / ARkansas OVER 58
    Arkansas -40.5
    Baylor / Kansas State OVER 59
    Kansas State -26.5

    And

    6 pick parlay:
    Iowa St / Missouri UNDER 56.5
    Iowa St +28.5
    Fl Intl / Arkansas UNDER 58
    Fl Intl +40.5
    Baylor / Kansas St UNDER 59
    Baylor +26.5
    Good luck with those picks.

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