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  1. #1

    How much do you believe a HALF POINT is worth in these SWEET SIXTEEN games?

    Throw me some opinions and numbers.........thanks.
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  2. #2

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  3. #3

    maybe around 8-9 cents as it was in the regular season

  4. #4

  5. #5

    Quote Originally Posted by floridagolfer View Post
    Yep . . . probably next to nothing.


    You are joking, right?
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  6. #6

    Quote Originally Posted by floridagolfer View Post
    Yep . . . probably next to nothing.


  7. #7

    Longterm, is this profitbable...........you tell me.


    CORNELL +8.5 -110 ......110-100
    KY -8 +102 ..................100-102
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  8. #8

    The same as in regular season games with similar spreads/totals for the most part.

  9. #9

    Quote Originally Posted by dwaechte View Post
    The same as in regular season games with similar spreads/totals for the most part.

    You don't believe a half point is worth more at this point in the season???
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  10. #10

    Long term? same as always.... but

    with 15 ncaa tourney games left, that half point is worth a bit less than 1 extra win. if you bet each game

  11. #11

    Quote Originally Posted by Fishhead View Post
    You are joking, right?
    No, not at all.

    If you can tell me which of eight pointspreads are going to be affected by half a point, that would be great. But to haphazardly buy the half on every game, that makes no sense to me at all.

  12. #12

    Quote Originally Posted by floridagolfer View Post
    No, not at all.

    If you can tell me which of eight pointspreads are going to be affected by half a point, that would be great. But to haphazardly buy the half on every game, that makes no sense to me at all.

    AND


    A half point is worth "something", you understand that right??...............ON EVERYONE OF THESE GAMES..........be it one cent or fifteen cents.
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  13. #13

    Amazing how few people realize the value of beating the closing line!!!!!!

    We are not talking about buying points here!!!!

  14. #14
    jjgold's Avatar SBR PRO
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    1/2 points in any game eman something whether 1st game of year or championship game. It does not matter what time of the year it is. If you can get a 1/2 better you have a good edge.

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  15. #15

    i think value of .5 point goes up the farther they go into the tourney

  16. #16

    Quote Originally Posted by Fishhead View Post
    Longterm, is this profitbable...........you tell me.


    CORNELL +8.5 -110 ......110-100
    KY -8 +102 ..................100-102
    Small +EV.

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  17. #17

    Quote Originally Posted by Justin7 View Post
    Small +EV.


    Thanks Justin........so in theory your saying a half point at this time is worth anywhere from around 7.6-8.9 cents, would that be a correct assumption?
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  18. #18

    Would be -EV if you have to pay commission at Matchy.
    If you have an offer accepted then it is marginally positive, but there are SURELY better opportunities available.

    At a winning margin of 8-9, half point value is just under 8c

  19. #19

    Quote Originally Posted by Dunder View Post
    Would be -EV if you have to pay commission at Matchy.
    If you have an offer accepted then it is marginally positive, but there are SURELY better opportunities available.

    At a winning margin of 8-9, half point value is just under 8c

    No mention of commissions, don't make things more difficult then they have to be..........thanks.

    Just under 8 cents, umm.

    Ok, so my last post is probably spot on with the numbers I would think, agree?
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  20. #20

    Quote Originally Posted by Fishhead View Post
    AND


    A half point is worth "something", you understand that right??...............ON EVERYONE OF THESE GAMES..........be it one cent or fifteen cents.
    No, half a point has value only when it means something. Half a point does no one any good at all when the final margin of victory is 20 points off the posted line.

  21. #21

    Quote Originally Posted by Fishhead View Post
    No mention of commissions, don't make things more difficult then they have to be..........thanks.

    Just under 8 cents, umm.

    Ok, so my last post is probably spot on with the numbers I would think, agree?
    In a PK game, half points around 2 would be over 9c in my book but more or less, yes.

  22. #22

    Quote Originally Posted by floridagolfer View Post
    No, half a point has value only when it means something. Half a point does no one any good at all when the final margin of victory is 20 points off the posted line.




    Thanks for your incredible wisdom.
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  23. #23

    Quote Originally Posted by Justin7 View Post
    Small +EV.

    Is it +EV because of the time of the year ?

    Would it be +EV at the start of the season ?

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  24. #24

    Quote Originally Posted by Fishhead View Post
    You don't believe a half point is worth more at this point in the season???
    ....
    Last edited by dwaechte; 03-25-10 at 03:01 PM. Reason: i'm an idiot

  25. #25

    depends on the line. the lower the line, the more it's worth. Higher, less.

  26. #26

    Quote Originally Posted by floridagolfer View Post
    No, half a point has value only when it means something. Half a point does no one any good at all when the final margin of victory is 20 points off the posted line.
    This is what happens when shit gets crossposted from Players Talk into the Tank.

  27. #27

    Stick with the push frequencies. Some questions can open up new possibilities, others are dead end streets.

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