[diamond]

ITALIAN SERIE A SOCCER:

CATANIA VS CHIEVO pick draw +155 (betfair, major exchange in Europe has -110!!!)

when the market in Italy says it will be a draw, then it will be..odds dropping extremely on the draw, SBR book not following.

[yisman]

I'm skeptical. Are you sure you mean draw and not a pick'em line or something?

Pinnacle has draw at +166. Bodog has +210. Bookmaker/CRIS (and thus the SBR Book) has +155.

I don't think there's any inefficiency here.

[lakerboy]

he is european yisser and believes in betfair - but pinny has no line for the draw

[yisman]

I just checked. He's right.

Betfair is showing 1.95 for draw.

This is very odd. I've never seen draw favored over both sides.

I use Betfair to check tennis odds and sometimes soccer as well.

[yisman]

he is european yisser and believes in betfair - but pinny has no line for the draw

it'll be back up. I was using SBR Odds and it had +166.

Sun 3/211313Chievopk -208
OVER 2 and 2.5 +119
07:00 AM1314Cataniapk +190
UNDER 2 and 2.5 -131

so they pulled the three way line for now

[lakerboy]

then hammer the book

[yisman]

Two other exchanges I checked also have the draw favored.


Also Bet365, William Hill, Tipico, etc.

Looks like diamond hit on a major market inefficiency.

[lakerboy]

lets see how this turns out

[yisman]

Bookmaker has pulled the three way line as well.

I'm convinced.

[onlooker]

I dropped a few points on the +155 draw.

[yisman]

Bodog has yanked the line as well...

[diamond]

Yisman, yes some of te US books not following eiter. Its not often the draw is favored, but you see it a lot at the end of the Italian season, when they decide to "share the points". Over 6 million euro matched on the draw on Betfair.

[yisman]

I would put a lot more on this bet but unfortunately I blew what points I had left on BYU.

For the first time since points started, I am broke.


thanks for the tip.

All the American books seem to have responded by simply yanking the line.

[onlooker]

No shit Yis? Didn't you have a couple K in points?

[diamond]

GO and check if you are able to get a loan before line is removed.

[onlooker]

5dimes must of pulled it as well, I can't find it on there either.

[yisman]

After my last purchase, I was over 2,500. I worked my way up to 4,948, and then lost everything over the last week. Mostly college basketball.

[lakerboy]

well lets see i have it maxed out at 500 points for the draw- any of you guys want a loan?

[yisman]

yeah, I want one.

I'd also max it out for you. Say 250 my bet and 250 your bet? (IOW, 250 of the loan would be your bet, and 250 would be my responsibility)

[lakerboy]

yisser go ahead i trust you

[diamond]

be quick Yisman before its gone :P

[yisman]

gotcha. Thanks for the loan. I'll max it now. 250/250 good?

If it loses, I'd pay back my share at 7 a day.

[lakerboy]

sounds good yis go there and book it

[yisman]

Ticket#:134702
Mar 21 10:00 AM
Internet / -1Mar 21 03:09 AM
SOC
STRAIGHT BET
[8131] CHIEVO VERONA DRAW +155

12.00 / 18.60
Ticket#:134717
Mar 21 10:00 AM
Internet / -1Mar 21 03:26 AM
SOC
STRAIGHT BET
[8131] CHIEVO VERONA DRAW +155

488.00 / 756.40

510 loan, 1% rake, 505 received, 488 of loan amount placed.

250 of the second bet belongs to lakerboy, 238 to myself.

This would be a huge bailout if it hit.

[diamond]

nice Game starts in 6,5 hours.

[lakerboy]

Sounds good to me hope we hit


on another note


all serie a matches have no draw option on pinny right now

[dodger33]

my local has it up for +160 how froggy should i get?

[diamond]

Laker, in April I think you will see that a lot, games without a draw option. In Europe they just remove it.

[lakerboy]

Laker, in April I think you will see that a lot, games without a draw option. In Europe they just remove it.

alright diamond they had it up just a short time ago but i know you know better

[yisman]

my local has it up for +160 how froggy should i get?

Betfair remaining steady at 1.96, so it's worth a pretty big bet if you can get +2.60, I'd say.

[diamond]

[Domestic]

Australian Books have removed this game.

[yisman]

Sounds good to me hope we hit


on another note


all serie a matches have no draw option on pinny right now

You sure? They're showing for me. All except the match we're talking about. Link

Livorno line just went offline.

[lakerboy]

yes i just got them back and livorno is still offline- while they decide