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  1. 08-17-07 05:35 AM #1
    LargeMouthBass
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    Default How to Become a Winning Capper...

    Personally, in order to succeed in sportsbetting, you have to handle your downswings like a champ. Meaning, whenever you have a bad losing streak, don't ever develop a habit of chasing. I've fallen in deeper holes many times trying to gain back what I've lost as soon as possible and ultimately, this can really destroy your bankroll. Also, if your losing streak persists, take couple weeks off. I know taking a break during your losing streak is tough but this is the best thing to do. Clear your mind, go hang out with friends or spend some time with your family. Winning is easy, it's all about handling your losses.

    I've mentioned one aspect of becoming a winning capper. Whoever reads this thread has to add something you've learned from your experience. Even simple things can help us all so feel free to add your 2 cents...
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  2. 08-17-07 06:05 AM #2
    pico
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    yep, my average is about 3-4 breaks a year.
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  3. 08-17-07 06:11 AM #3
    jjgold
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    I will sum this up pretty easy with two suggestions

    1. Don't bet at all
    2. Bet the most 3 games per week at the best number

    That is it
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  4. 08-17-07 06:18 AM #4
    LT Profits
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    The easiest way to avoid falling into the chasing trap is to always bet the same percenatge of your bankroll on each play, whether you are winning or losing. This will naturally build your BR faster when you are winning and limit the damage when you are in a freefall.

    Another thing I would like to add is do not force plays. Just because there is a marquee national TV game, that doesn't mean that there is a law that you HAVE to bet it.
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  5. 08-17-07 06:26 AM #5
    jjgold
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    If you take home team dogs in marquee national TV games you are a lifetime winner.
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  6. 08-17-07 06:46 AM #6
    LT Profits
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    I miss the Monday Night Football days of the 70's and early 80's, when home underdogs won 65% of the time. Sadly, bookmakers caught on this phenomena (wow....imagine that!), and blindly betting primetime home dogs has become a loser in recent years.
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  7. 08-17-07 07:11 AM #7
    TheOffshoreGambler
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    Yep that Monday Night home team dog was Money back in the day. I remember it well.
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  8. 08-17-07 07:46 AM #8
    pico
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    If you take home team dogs in marquee national TV games you are a lifetime winner.
    yep. i lost a lot betting on away favorites.
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  9. 08-17-07 04:05 PM #9
    dante1
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    Playing for 40 years and on the other side for about 12 years The book hardly ever loses. We had losing weeks but never a losing season. Some days the entire page lost. Some won plays but none won for the day. You may not believe that but anybody that booked action knows it to be true.

    Players lose for a ton of reasons. I think money mgt. gets too much credit. I think even more important is the average player likes the favorite. You play the favorite consistently and you will lose consistently. Done story. You want a chance? Give strong consideration to the dog, in the NFL give even stronger consideration to the pup.

    Something I never thought I would say but I have changed my mind on this. Two team underdog NFL teasers are decent plays. I know many purists will jump all over this but I have had some success with them the past four years. Won more than I lost. Just for the heck of it this year in the first couple weeks group the entire card of NFL dogs into two team teasers and calculate W/L after two or three weeks. No guarantees, but you might be pleasantly surprised.
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  10. 08-17-07 05:30 PM #10
    LargeMouthBass
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    Good stuff guys... Any others?
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  11. 08-17-07 06:17 PM #11
    isetcap
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    Quote Originally Posted by dante1 View Post
    Playing for 40 years and on the other side for about 12 years The book hardly ever loses. We had losing weeks but never a losing season. Some days the entire page lost. Some won plays but none won for the day. You may not believe that but anybody that booked action knows it to be true.

    Players lose for a ton of reasons. I think money mgt. gets too much credit. I think even more important is the average player likes the favorite. You play the favorite consistently and you will lose consistently. Done story. You want a chance? Give strong consideration to the dog, in the NFL give even stronger consideration to the pup.

    Something I never thought I would say but I have changed my mind on this. Two team underdog NFL teasers are decent plays. I know many purists will jump all over this but I have had some success with them the past four years. Won more than I lost. Just for the heck of it this year in the first couple weeks group the entire card of NFL dogs into two team teasers and calculate W/L after two or three weeks. No guarantees, but you might be pleasantly surprised.
    This is one of the greatest posts I have ever seen at this forum.
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  12. 08-17-07 07:10 PM #12
    dante1
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    Quote Originally Posted by isetcap View Post
    This is one of the greatest posts I have ever seen at this forum.

    Thank you that is very kind. When I am drugged up I
    get a little talkative. Just posted a larger reply in
    the "for those who have the nerve..." thread.

    Maybe, you won't like that one as much. haha
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  13. 08-17-07 07:18 PM #13
    durito
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    IMO, If you are an advantage player and accurate at calculating your edge, there is really no such thing as a hot/cold streak, it's just variance.
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  14. 08-17-07 07:20 PM #14
    onlooker
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    Quote Originally Posted by dante1 View Post
    I think even more important is the average player likes the favorite. You play the favorite consistently and you will lose consistently. Done story. You want a chance? Give strong consideration to the dog, in the NFL give even stronger consideration to the pup.


    The entire post was excellent Dante.
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  15. 08-18-07 01:04 AM #15
    SPECULATOR 13
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    Let's not forget to stay away from the U.K. BOOKIES,all the sports book review sites on the net have SIMILAR horror stories,including SBR about British books SCREWING around with people once they have losing streak.Look on this site under review and look at what Bet365 as done to unsuspecting victims that open accounts with those scumbags at 6.9 dimes for crying out loud and losing 6 dimes only to have their account shutdown or lower to a 2.50$ ridiculous limit THUS making it impossible to ever come back
    The worst is that those goofy punters in great britain seem to think that this kind of boiler room behavior to be be just fine
    if you bring up the subject they will find it petty or "gauche" to cry over such thing,you will find them saying to you with a straight face(English accent)"It's nothing but business old chap!wouldn't you do just the same"
    well not if i am trying to compete against the top books of this world!
    s13
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  16. 08-18-07 01:14 AM #16
    tacomax
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    Quote Originally Posted by durito View Post
    IMO, If you are an advantage player and accurate at calculating your edge, there is really no such thing as a hot/cold streak, it's just variance.
    Indeed.
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  17. 08-18-07 01:30 AM #17
    steelerfan
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    fade myself that's my winning strategy but it's hard to do.
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  18. 08-18-07 04:04 AM #18
    experte007
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    I've had my share of losing streaks and I have experienced that taking some time off, trying not to think of betting for a few weeks lets you approach betting in a more sober way afterwards.

    Anyway, I couldn't agree more on the point about constantly playing the favs. Didn't do me any good, frankly.
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  19. 08-18-07 04:52 AM #19
    LargeMouthBass
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    Quote Originally Posted by durito View Post
    IMO, If you are an advantage player and accurate at calculating your edge, there is really no such thing as a hot/cold streak, it's just variance.
    This one baseball capper (he used sabermetrics to find edges) was up around 180 units first half of the season then he got all cocky and became a tout. Well, I don't know if it's karma or not but after the All-Star break, he had many consecutive losing weeks. He called it variance, I called it a long losing streak...
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