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  1. #1

    Default Will you change your NBA capping at all in 2007-08?

    I like to bet dogs in hoops and everything, but I have to wonder how this NBA referee scandal could hurt my profit margin quite a bit. I'm thinking I might have to tweak my capping a little bit.

    I'm I the only one concerned with this matter in this aspect or I'm I just overreacting a little more than I should?

    SBR Founder Join Date: 8/10/2005


  2. #2

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    Future Bet: Phoenix Suns to win the 2007-2008 NBA Championship (make up year)

    Also: San Antonio in any game Joey Crawford officiates (you think he's going to call anything ticky tack on Tim Duncan and company?)

    Last edited by BigBollocks; 07-23-07 at 04:57 PM.

  3. #3

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    No difference, I think we are all overreacting

    Maybe he rigged like 20 games

    Danny settle down

    SBR Founder Join Date: 7/20/2005


  4. #4

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    There will be no noticeable difference in the NBA next season. If you were capping based on the appropriate technical and fundamental factors last season, then why would you expect to be less successful next year? Were you on Donaghy's mailing list?
    Last edited by isetcap; 07-23-07 at 05:06 PM.

    SBR Founder Join Date: 12/16/2005


  5. #5

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    I'll bet the same number of NBA games next season that I bet last season...none.

  6. #6

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    Not sure there will be a noticable impact, but if there is I think BBD is on to it. Less interest from the more casual bettor, less money on the public teams, slightly lessened paydays playing against them.

    In any event, conventional wisdom is that the more causal players don't bet much on the NBA until after the bowl season.

  7. #7

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    i won't change a thing. Its not like you will be able to know what game is fixed, and besides next year with all the focus, we should see less questionable calls.

    SBR Founder Join Date: 9/14/2005


  8. #8

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    Quote Originally Posted by Jay Edgar View Post
    Not sure there will be a noticable impact, but if there is I think BBD is on to it. Less interest from the more casual bettor, less money on the public teams, slightly lessened paydays playing against them.

    In any event, conventional wisdom is that the more causal players don't bet much on the NBA until after the bowl season.

    Without the possible public action driving the line it's may not appear the value is right for the pickings.

    SBR Founder Join Date: 8/10/2005


  9. #9

  10. #10

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    When the sides move around 1.5 for no reason, unload on that game. When the totals move in favor of the over, unload on that game.

  11. #11

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    I can't say I'd start checking referee's stats, because I've always been doing that in every sport. However, I will start putting a little bit more emphasis in them this year In the NBA. After what just happened I feel it could be a very key piece of info to factor in more this year than in years past.

    I found these numbers elsewhere. Just checkout Donaghy's numbers on over/unders:

    Code:
    Name	O/U	              Total
    Tommy Nunez Jr.	37-24	202.4
    Jim Clark	48-26	201.6
    Olandis Poole	37-20	201.4
    Tim Donaghy	43-29	201.2
    Derrick Stafford	31-32	201.1
    Bennett Salvatore	41-33	201.1
    Eli Roe	35-28	201
    Derrick Collins	37-27	200.8
    Zach Zarba	37-27	200.8
    Jess Kersey	36-25	199.5
    Mike Smith	40-32	199.5
    Greg Willard	46-32	199.3
    Leon Wood	41-29	199.1
    Tony Brown	30-27	198.5
    Gary Zielinski	34-29	198.5
    Pat Fraher	38-30	198.4
    Leroy Richardson 33-30	198.3
    Bernie Fryer	30-26	198.2
    Bennie Adams	35-33	198
    James Capers	40-32	197.9
    Bill Kennedy	35-36	197.9
    Tom Washington	44-35	197.7
    Rodney Mott	29-34	197.7
    Eric Lewis	34-23	197.7
    Robbie Robinson	29-28	197.5
    Dick Bavetta	41-41	197.3
    Phil Robinson	27-35	197.2
    Jason Phillips	31-36	197
    Ron Garretson	42-37	196.9
    Ed Malloy	33-32	196.6
    Joe Forte	40-39	196.5
    Derek Richardson	28-37	196.5
    Marc Davis	34-34	196.5
    Mark Ayotte	27-27	196.4
    Sean Wright	28-31	196.2
    Courtney Kirkland	31-39	196.2
    David Guthrie	34-28	196.1
    Dan Crawford	44-36	196
    Matt Boland	27-33	195.9
    Scott Wall	35-31	195.9
    Mark Wunderlich	31-33	195.8
    Monty McCutchen	35-36	195.3
    Jack Nies	29-34	195.3
    Scott Foster	35-42	195.2
    Eddie F. Rush	43-39	195.2
    Sean Corbin	34-39	194.9
    Joe DeRosa	37-43	194.6
    Bob Delaney	35-37	194.3
    Tony Brothers	36-35	194
    Mike Callahan	37-44	194
    Violet Palmer	31-37	193.8
    Luis Grillo	19-28	193.6
    Steve Javie	30-43	193.5
    Kevin Fehr	23-40	193.2
    Ron Olesiak	23-25	193.1
    Ken Mauer	37-43	191.8
    David Jones	27-38	191.6
    Joe Crawford	15-27	191.1
    Bill Spooner	1-2	187

    SBR Founder Join Date: 8/10/2005


  12. #12

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    This whole thing has given me a convenient excuse never to bet the NBA again, as if I needed one to stop. Anyhow, as JJ said, I believe it's a tiny sample size but perhaps we should wait and see if ole Timmy D starts ratting out other refs, and who knows, possibly some players and/or coaches as well.

    I'll say that I believe other refs might have been involved, but players and coaches make way too much $$$ to risk this kinda stuff -- then again, maybe I'm giving them too much intellectual credit..

  13. #13

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    I think I will go about it the same way Dan.

    SBR Founder Join Date: 8/10/2005


  14. #14

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    I'm thinking the refs will be on their best behavior after this debacle..

    SBR Founder Join Date: 11/16/2005


  15. #15

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    This whole debacle just reinforces my stance of not betting on the NBA. This is nothing new. It's been happening for years. It's the easiest sport to fix and there are questionable calls every single game. Donaghy was just dumb enough to get caught red-handed....

  16. #16

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    The amount of action Vegas sees on NBA games will be affected by this, especially early in the season and especially if the investigation is still ongoing. Donaghy throwing more referees into the fire will also hold action down. But if he reveals players as being part of the fix, it will take a full season or longer before NBA wagering returns to recent levels.

  17. #17

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    We should be focusing on this guy for next season.

    Code:
    Jim Clark	48-26	201.6

    SBR Founder Join Date: 8/10/2005


  18. #18

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    I couldn't bet the NBA before and still can't...

    SBR Founder Join Date: 8/18/2005


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