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Old 06-30-07, 09:14 PM   #1
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Default Yanks lines always inflated

man how can oddsmakers still have the yankmees with such inflated lines? people are fools to bet them at this point they cant even see the ball over the plate. I took baltimore all 3 games and won flat out (last game won because they were up the inning before the game was called), then took the run line for the A's in the last two. and going to take them str8 up tomorrow. looking to go 6 for 6 all with nice payouts. : )
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Old 06-30-07, 09:26 PM   #2
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ronniejamedio View Post
man how can oddsmakers still have the yankmees with such inflated lines?
Good question.

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people are fools to bet them
And you have answered your question. There are a lot of fools out there.
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Old 06-30-07, 09:29 PM   #3
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It is always been this way, no matter how the Yankees do. Lines will be inflated because the public like to bet the Yanks. No matter what.
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Old 06-30-07, 10:02 PM   #4
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Just go against the yanks every game and you cannot lose, they are one of the worst/overrated teams in baseball
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Old 06-30-07, 10:05 PM   #5
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More of the same tomorrow....A's +130 w/ Haren on the hill.
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Old 06-30-07, 10:24 PM   #6
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don't bet against the yankees. it is like betting on the david vs galioth fight. one of these days, david will get his skull crushed.
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Old 06-30-07, 10:56 PM   #7
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Quote:
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don't bet against the yankees. it is like betting on the david vs galioth fight. one of these days, david will get his skull crushed.
Don't bet baseball much, I take it?
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Old 06-30-07, 11:00 PM   #8
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the public gets sucked in by the high priced players. A-Rod is the only threat on the lineup.
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Old 06-30-07, 11:05 PM   #9
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Quote:
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don't bet against the yankees. it is like betting on the david vs galioth fight. one of these days, david will get his skull crushed.
Not the best analogy. You do know Goliath lost, right?
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Old 06-30-07, 11:44 PM   #10
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I agree the line is always inflated. If you bet the Yanks in every game you would be a big loser over the past 5 years.

But I still dont bet against them unless Clemens is facing the other teams ace or some other good reason. Their lineup is just too dangerous.
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Old 07-01-07, 12:10 AM   #11
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Not the best analogy. You do know Goliath lost, right?
yankees lost too

my point is that if david and galioth fight 80 times, goliath will be favorite everytime...david can't get lucky everytime.
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Old 07-01-07, 12:15 AM   #12
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Yankees opponents aren't getting lucky. The Yankees are just piss poor right now. All aspects of their pitching sucks, and their bats have died down. They need to score 8 or more runs to counter their crappy pitching.

Is it any surprise that once interleague play was over, the Yankees started to suck again. Hell, they felt that pressure back in the Rockies series (0-3), and it carried into the Giants series (1-2). Then back to the AL they went.
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Old 07-01-07, 12:18 AM   #13
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Quote:
Originally Posted by onlòóker View Post
It is always been this way, no matter how the Yankees do. Lines will be inflated because the public like to bet the Yanks. No matter what.
The public also likes to bet on LA and Chicago teams as well. I personally like betting against those high profile teams personally, because of the value factor is much greater than it really should be at times.
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Old 07-01-07, 12:19 AM   #14
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Quote:
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my point is that if david and galioth fight 80 times, goliath will be favorite everytime...david can't get lucky everytime.
The Yankees against anyone else is hardly a David Vs Goliath match-up. And Goliath certainly wouldn't be fighting under .500.
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Old 07-01-07, 12:22 AM   #15
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Somebody correct me if I'm wrong here. However, didn't the Yankees lose money in the 2004 or 05 season? For some reason 29 unit range sticks out to me.
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Old 07-01-07, 12:53 AM   #16
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dude its hardly a david vs. goliath match. the only two hitters that are worth the money are jeter and a-rod. giambi was good too till the scandal earlier this year. honestly since he has been gone there is a huge void the lineup. all others are playing worse than pre-yankmees (damon-abreu). matsui-cano and whoever else are sucking goat balls. pitching cant hold anyone down, and bullpen is terrible. tell me how they are goliath again? i will take dan haren without question tomorrow. only way I would take pettite is if he were plus on the money line. have to have a risk to payoff factor there, and at -135, the payoff is not worth the high risk. (1.91 american league era- thats phuckin money).

and if I lose- I am still way up thanks to the lines makers.
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Old 07-01-07, 01:14 AM   #17
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Quote:
Originally Posted by rjt721 View Post
More of the same tomorrow....A's +130 w/ Haren on the hill.
yep, A's look good here in this spot . . .
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Old 07-01-07, 04:14 AM   #18
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I bet against the Yankees 10 straight games, starting with Colorado Game 1 and ending with Oakland Game 1 Friday (Damn....missed Saturday...LOL). In other words, I have absolutely no fear betting against the Yankees lineup, nor should anyone else. Even if the lineup has a breakout game, the pitching is capable of giving up 10 runs.

(by the way, I went 8-2 with all juicy prices during that 10-game stretch.)
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Old 07-01-07, 08:59 PM   #19
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i´d be more afraid of betting the yanks
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Old 07-03-07, 10:37 AM   #20
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Quote:
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Somebody correct me if I'm wrong here. However, didn't the Yankees lose money in the 2004 or 05 season? For some reason 29 unit range sticks out to me.

BBD, according to my records, in '05 the Yankees were down about 12 units, for a return of about -4.5%.

Then in '06, the Yankees were down about 6 units, for a return of about -2.5%.

This year though, I have them down about 24 units for a return of approximately -20%. Only Cincinnati has a worse overall ROI in the majors. They've been particularly bad on the road, with a return of about -33%, which puts them dead-last in the majors for road ROI.
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Old 07-03-07, 11:11 AM   #21
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I should have clarified it by saying by saying "at the all star break" Mr.HG. Thats usually when I stop betting bases for the year, so technically thats when the season ends as far as I'm concerned
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Old 07-03-07, 11:57 AM   #22
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Quote:
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I should have clarified it by saying by saying "at the all star break" Mr.HG. Thats usually when I stop betting bases for the year, so technically thats when the season ends as far as I'm concerned
Ok, in '06 the Yankees were down about 2.5 units for a return of about -2%.

In '05, the Yanks were down about 16.5 units, for a return of about -12%.
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