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  1. #1

    Default Testing G's Pks Method

    I know that this doesn't work, but like everyone I think I can pick without the spread at a high percent.

    I AM NOT BETTING THESE PLAYS

    Just tracking to see what happens. All plays will be to win $100 of Monopoly Money. Starting Bankroll will be $2,000 Monopoly Money.

    All at 5Dimes using the Reduced Juice lines.

    Celtics -210 ---$210 to win $100

  2. #2

  3. #3

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    Quote Originally Posted by ZBOIZ View Post
    This very well could work
    No it wonīt
    Betting ML favourites is, statistically, a worse proposition than flipping a coin to select sides.
    Furthermore the more chalk there is, the worse the results get.

  4. #4

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    I don't think it will work either but I have always wanted to try for myself.

  5. #5

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    gl buddy
    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 05/24/2012


  6. #6

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    Quote Originally Posted by Dunder View Post
    No it wonīt
    Betting ML favourites is, statistically, a worse proposition than flipping a coin to select sides.
    Furthermore the more chalk there is, the worse the results get.

  7. #7

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    Quote Originally Posted by Dunder View Post
    No it wonīt
    Betting ML favourites is, statistically, a worse proposition than flipping a coin to select sides.
    Furthermore the more chalk there is, the worse the results get.
    Gs Picks has been getting rich playing ML favs of no less than -200, usually around -400..
    it's not about the units won, its about the record

  8. #8
    G's pks's Avatar SBR PRO
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    It would also need to be the same teams I pick. And after last baseball season which I was one the the very few if not the only one to having a winning thread from beginning to end, I am not going to be sitting here making sure everyone understands what I am doing. And I do not just play Ml's. Last week I had RI as a dog dog/won outright, the Canucks as a dog/won against hawks and a few games by the spread not going to look them up right now, played 7 games.

    And Dunderhead...find my baseball system thread from last year and let me know how I did...

    People in here do not want winners...they want each other! They actually have become used to losing and that is all they know...with that said just blindly picking moneylines that you like has nothing at all to do with my picks. But I hope you win, that is the idea of being here.

    GL back to looking over the games...only pick up to now VA Com -10 $50, and Atl ML55/10
    Will add results in here after game then I am done with this.

    Va Com won by 13 winner! 73-60

    Atlanta a tight one will add after game

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  10. #10

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    bet big ML favs b/c ya cant cap a spread,
    than brag about your 3-1 record even though you lost a -400 ML

  11. #11

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    Quote Originally Posted by G's pks View Post
    It would also need to be the same teams I pick. And after last baseball season which I was one the the very few if not the only one to having a winning thread from beginning to end, I am not going to be sitting here making sure everyone understands what I am doing.

    And Dunderhead...find my baseball system thread from last year and let me know how I did...

    People in here do not want winners...they want each other! They actually have become used to losing and that is all they know...with that said just blindly picking moneylines that you like has nothing at all to do with my picks. But I hope you win, that is the idea of being here.

    GL back to looking over the games...
    I have not said that it is not possible to win eating chalk. A very good īcapper will win playing MLs or playing sides. I can guarantee you, however that it is a tougher proposition to win when betting ML favs.

    One baseball season represents too small a sample on which to judge anything, positive or negative.

  12. #12

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    Not meant to knock you at all G's. Just trying this method, I am sure it is not to the detail like yours but same overall idea thats why I used your name. Also if I fail that by no means discredits this and vice versa.

  13. #13
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    Ticket #AcceptedTypeRiskTo win Short Description 299 2/3/2010 7:00 PM Parlay 50.00 19.80 Basketball - 704 Atlanta Hawks -550 for Game
    Basketball - 725 VA Commonwealth -5
    50 for Game
    Also won with this...so that is 3-0 tonight boys! Any response now??

    Hawks great comeback won by six.. +79.80 for night ...not a lot but at least it is real money!

  14. #14

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    Quote Originally Posted by G's pks View Post
    Ticket #AcceptedTypeRiskTo win Short Description 299 2/3/2010 7:00 PM Parlay 50.00 19.80 Basketball - 704 Atlanta Hawks -550 for Game
    Basketball - 725 VA Commonwealth -550 for Game
    Also won with this...so that is 3-0 tonight boys! Any response now??

    Hawks great comeback won by six.. +79.80 for night ...not a lot but at least it is real money!

    Another posted after the game winner

  15. #15
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    Odd no responses when I win...as usual... BS...why I don't post to many picks anymore..not worth it... Well this experiment ended well...

    GL with the Celtics tight game...

  16. #16

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    The thing about playing big ML favorites is that it's good b/c you can have a good chance of winning a few bucks every night. If you lose like 2 in a row though, it takes another week to get that back. The risk/reward isn't worth it.

  17. #17
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tree Rollins View Post
    The thing about playing big ML favorites is that it's good b/c you can have a good chance of winning a few bucks every night. If you lose like 2 in a row though, it takes another week to get that back. The risk/reward isn't worth it.
    If you hit enough/high percentage you are fine...when I lose I bet smaller...obviously Atlanta was the key to my night... If they had lost this thread would have 20 negative responses by now...but thanks for the imput.

  18. #18

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    Quote Originally Posted by G's pks View Post

    If you hit enough/high percentage you are fine...when I lose I bet smaller...obviously Atlanta was the key to my night... If they had lost this thread would have 20 negative responses by now...but thanks for the imput.
    It's not worth it to me. It's worth it to you though, and that's all that matters. It's your money, player. GL

  19. #19
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tree Rollins View Post
    It's not worth it to me. It's worth it to you though, and that's all that matters. It's your money, player. GL
    nice link here for you to look at..and I am adding a pic..click link.


    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tree_Rollins

  20. #20
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    I remember him well...

  21. #21

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    Quote Originally Posted by G's pks View Post
    Odd no responses when I win...as usual... BS...why I don't post to many picks anymore..not worth it... Well this experiment ended well...

    GL with the Celtics tight game...
    You have no responses because posting your picks/winners after the games is something anyone can do. Editing your previous posts to add picks that have already won, now thatīs genius!

    Since you are a baseball īcapper (I donīt know the game well), howīs about a challenge where you actually publicise your picks before the game. I will wager that my coin flipping technique beats your chalk eating over a fixed number of picks? Sides, Totals and MLs allowed?

  22. #22

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    Quote Originally Posted by G's pks View Post
    I remember him well...
    You better believe i know Tree Rollins! I know him well! good look on the link though. Tree is the man!!!!!!!

  23. #23
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tree Rollins View Post
    You better believe i know Tree Rollins! I know him well! good look on the link though. Tree is the man!!!!!!!
    Take care...

  24. #24
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dunder View Post
    You have no responses because posting your picks/winners after the games is something anyone can do. Editing your previous posts to add picks that have already won, now thatīs genius!

    Since you are a baseball īcapper (I donīt know the game well), howīs about a challenge where you actually publicise your picks before the game. I will wager that my coin flipping technique beats your chalk eating over a fixed number of picks? Sides, Totals and MLs allowed?

    And because I won I will pop the thread back up like a couple did when I lost one game yesterday...also will add my baseball thread back to my signature now... Was a fantastic year! Take a look goof!

    Dunder you are acting like an idiot...the picks were posted and I even discussed Atlanta pick with a member in a pm if he reads this he can respond...I said I would add results and did...

    Oh and my baseball record from last year...sure here take a long look and see how I did...what a mush..cannot wait to hear your response on my baseball picks...

    http://forum.sbrforum.com/baseball-h...ad-record.html

  25. #25

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    Quote Originally Posted by G's pks View Post
    And because I won I will pop the thread back up like a couple did when I lost one game yesterday...also will add my baseball thread back to my signature now... Was a fantastic year! Take a look goof!

    Dunder you are acting like an idiot...the picks were posted and I even discussed Atlanta pick with a member in a pm if he reads this he can respond...I said I would add results and did...

    Oh and my baseball record from last year...sure here take a long look and see how I did...what a mush..cannot wait to hear your response on my baseball picks...

    http://forum.sbrforum.com/baseball-h...ad-record.html
    Did you or did you not edit you post above to add picks/winners? My (unedited) post 11 above quotes yours verbatim and there ainīt no picks. They might be genuine selections, I donīt really care.

    Now how about that challenge? surely you can beat a coin-flipper. Itīs very late here but I have the time I will have a look at your seasonīs thread tomorrow, will I find many edited posts there?

  26. #26
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    Anything else to say now Dunder??? The games were added when bets were placed at 6:00, results added at end of 1st game so of course the last time is shown......Crawl back under your rock unless you have something to say that makes sense....a little surprised by the baseball thread? Also check the views...and responses...

  27. #27
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dunder View Post
    Did you or did you not edit you post above to add picks/winners? My (unedited) post 11 above quotes yours verbatim and there ainīt no picks. They might be genuine selections, I donīt really care.

    Now how about that challenge? surely you can beat a coin-flipper. Itīs very late here but I have the time I will have a look at your seasonīs thread tomorrow, will I find many edited posts there?

    Go ahead and look and tell me...let me know if the thread and over 20,000 responses are real...what a goof...dumb fks like this may really help me decide not to post a season long thread again... Go ahead check it out get back to me in morning than.... As far as a challenge...do you think you are the 1st one to ask me? The answeris the same all the time...you will not find me in any free challenges or any of this other crap... I win and do not need you to build my ego... So take a look at the thread...let me know if the picks are real Einstein! Maybe the king can do your childish challenge...

  28. #28
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    Dunder...Real enough for you??? One last push to the top for my winning picks... And whenever you are ready add your "expert" opinion about how my baseball picks did last year... Pretty damn good.... Bye....

  29. #29

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    Quote Originally Posted by mmike032 View Post
    bet big ML favs b/c ya cant cap a spread,
    than brag about your 3-1 record even though you lost a -400 ML



    G's, if you seriously think you were the only guy on SBR to have a winning bases season then your skull is even more thick than I first thought.

  30. #30

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    Quote Originally Posted by Dunder View Post
    You have no responses because posting your picks/winners after the games is something anyone can do. Editing your previous posts to add picks that have already won, now thatīs genius!

    Since you are a baseball īcapper (I donīt know the game well), howīs about a challenge where you actually publicise your picks before the game. I will wager that my coin flipping technique beats your chalk eating over a fixed number of picks? Sides, Totals and MLs allowed?



    [IMG][/IMG]


    Unfortunately Dunder, G's is not a big fan of accepting challenges because well, he fails at life. I already challenged him to a season long MLB units contest and he cowered like a spineless jellyfish.

  31. #31

  32. #32

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    Quote Originally Posted by G's pks View Post
    Go ahead and look and tell me...let me know if the thread and over 20,000 responses are real...what a goof...dumb fks like this may really help me decide not to post a season long thread again... Go ahead check it out get back to me in morning than.... As far as a challenge...do you think you are the 1st one to ask me? The answeris the same all the time...you will not find me in any free challenges or any of this other crap... I win and do not need you to build my ego... So take a look at the thread...let me know if the picks are real Einstein! Maybe the king can do your childish challenge...
    I have not had time to go through your thread yet (it is 4am where I am and the forum has been down all day). As for the bile you have spewed here, I would point out that you came in with the "Dunderhead" line in response to a general comment I made to Zboiz.

    Since you want to make personal attacks, however. I will give you my opinion of you. You are a losing bettor (why else would you be making parlay bets to win $20 dollars), who shouts from the rooftops when managing to hit a -300 winner but forgets to mention your losers. That makes you an attention whore.

    As for my "childish" challenge, I am confident enough in my assessment to offer you a chance to make a bit more that the chump change that you bet. I will wager that you do not have a winning record (units obviously) for the coming baseball season based on a minimum of 200 picks. I would offer this as an X-Bet at Matchbook and I will give you odds of +120. The terms would be:

    Your selections are made through SBRPicks and you can select any two books.

    I suspect that you will not accept this either because you are broke or because you know full well what the outcome would be (most likely, both). If you are interested, just let me know how much and get ready to post up.

  33. #33
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    Did not read your babble my pick for tonight has already won...had the Lightning -145... I am done with you...crawl back in the corner...

  34. #34

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    When will this method be avaliable for purchase?

  35. #35

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    Tonights pick I didn't get to post but was Cavs

    2-0 (+$200)

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