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  1. #1

    Default Ced's soccer, road to a couple extra bucks

    Me good fellow posters! Three weeks ago from today I started thinking about how to make easy money with a well disciplinated system betting in my strenght sport, soccer.

    The "system" I've been thinking of it's been profitable so far, but of course haven't tried this with real money, just testing it with points until I confirm it's profitable on what I expect it to take awhile to see it but in the end some prfit, mid-term profit you may call it.

    This consists of gathering 10 and only 10 games in a single week and dividing the balance that way, into the 10 different games. These games I've been only taking the over (full game) and only if it's 2½ or 3 (allowing the push option).

    Based on what I've been analyzing, the most common score in offensive leagues such as the Spain La Liga when having a high rank team vs a low rank it's almost all the time at least 2-1, followed by our enemy 2-0 and any other high or lo total score, while on defensive leagues such as the Italian Serie A it's almost always the other way around having very high scores on differently raked teams and almost no goals most of the times between H vs H and L vs L.

    Premier league, Bundesliga and Dutch Erevidise are examples of what a friend described as blowout leagues, in Premier league soccer level is high as well as having technician players very well spreaded amongst teams, Bundesliga and the Erevidise come to be to the real fanatic movers and while the two of them are considered offensive leagues there's no point of comparison with the La Liga since these do no have the army of quality attackers La Liga has, so, we'll be considering just a couple of their games per week.

    Champions league since it'll start very soon will not be considered that much, it'll be really rare specially since it's going to hit 2nd phase. But every now and then I'll add a Champions game if I think it may come to an over score.

    Backing up the experiment with numbers, 2 weekends ago I started with a balance of 100 points, this weekend I already have 193 without adding up any points of the posting account, the ones I transferred were used in the slots, hehehe. As of today, I will not transfer anymore points to the point book to have clear numbers to analyze.

    The goal of this experiment; reaching at least 1000 points to see if risking real money this way is profitable at some point and therefore make a couple extra bucks every now and then, which is certaily good for all of us.

    That been said, I present you to the results and ask you fellow posters to wish me good luck with this new "project". Enjoy.


  2. #2

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    you can't compare the dutch league to the bundesliga,
    bundesliga is the third best league in the world and they are getting better every year, but the only difference just seem to be the top teams. Spain has madrid sevilla and barcelona, while england has teams chelsea, arsenal, manu, .... .
    The Bundesliga only has one team, which should be considered as on of the elite teams in europe and that team is bayern munich.
    But there are still a lot of teams with quality players like stuttgart, wolfsburg, hamburg, leverkusen, bremen which are all among the best in europe.

    Gl with your plays

  3. #3

  4. #4

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    As of this weekend in which we start fellows I have the following overs:

    Saturday, January the 30th

    Athletic Bilbao vs Espanyol o2½ +120 / R:19 W:22.80 LOSS

    Barcelona vs Sporting Gijon o3 -125 / R:19 W:15.20 LOSS

    Real Madrid vs Deportivo la Coruña o2½ -115 / R:19 W:16.52 WIN

    Sunday, January the 31st

    Osasuna vs Villarreal o2½ -115 / R:19 W:16.52

    Malaga vs Atletico de Madrid o3 -110 / R:19 W:17.27

    Valencia vs Sevilla o2½ -135 / R:19 W:14.07

    Livorno vs AC Milan o2½ -145 / R:19 W:13.10

    Fiorentina vs Cagliari o2½ -105 / R:19 W:18.10

    Inter Milan vs Parma o2½ -105 / R:19 W:18.10

    Lazio vs Juventus o2½ +105 / R:19 W:19.95

    Good luck fellows and as results come I will right away grade them the same night, let's see it happen

  5. #5

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    Quote Originally Posted by tonyhomo View Post
    you can't compare the dutch league to the bundesliga,
    bundesliga is the third best league in the world and they are getting better every year, but the only difference just seem to be the top teams. Spain has madrid sevilla and barcelona, while england has teams chelsea, arsenal, manu, .... .
    The Bundesliga only has one team, which should be considered as on of the elite teams in europe and that team is bayern munich.
    But there are still a lot of teams with quality players like stuttgart, wolfsburg, hamburg, leverkusen, bremen which are all among the best in europe.

    Gl with your plays
    I agree on the quality of the league itself, it's remarkable and a fun one to watch yet this does not necessarily means it's profitable, we're looking for disparity between teams since we're betting on over scores. Let's see what happens though. Gl to you as well Tony.

  6. #6

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    Ced, check out my card and let me know what you think! GL to you mate!

  7. #7

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    Quote Originally Posted by JohnAnthony View Post
    Ced, check out my card and let me know what you think! GL to you mate!
    Thank you very much and GL to you as well John. Will check your card in a bit on my way home.

  8. #8

  9. #9

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    Quote Originally Posted by JohnAnthony View Post
    Ced, check out my card and let me know what you think! GL to you mate!
    Bud, that spreadsheet's looking good, and you're having very good time betting, good profit sir. Fellows this spreadheet's a solid one to tail yet I do have a suggestion for you, please don't take me wrong good fellah. If you are a little more specific on the lines it's way easier for posters to differ on whom to take, takes a little more work but hey, it's more than enough to know we're helping each other. Buddy, good luck on your future plays and keep up the good work.

    Quote Originally Posted by Shortstop View Post
    Best of Luck Ced!
    Thanks Shorty, hopefully this one'll come out.

  10. #10

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    Quote Originally Posted by Ced's shadow View Post
    As of this weekend in which we start fellows I have the following overs:

    Saturday, January the 30th

    Athletic Bilbao vs Espanyol o2½ +120 / R:19 W:22.80 LOSS

    Barcelona vs Sporting Gijon o3 -125 / R:19 W:15.20 LOSS

    Real Madrid vs Deportivo la Coruña o2½ -115 / R:19 W:16.52 WIN

    Sunday, January the 31st

    Osasuna vs Villarreal o2½ -115 / R:19 W:16.52

    Malaga vs Atletico de Madrid o3 -110 / R:19 W:17.27

    Valencia vs Sevilla o2½ -135 / R:19 W:14.07

    Livorno vs AC Milan o2½ -145 / R:19 W:13.10

    Fiorentina vs Cagliari o2½ -105 / R:19 W:18.10

    Inter Milan vs Parma o2½ -105 / R:19 W:18.10

    Lazio vs Juventus o2½ +105 / R:19 W:19.95

    Good luck fellows and as results come I will right away grade them the same night, let's see it happen
    Well folks, I first need to apologize for an error when posting the lines first time, today there were only 3 of the 10 games, I copied the lines from the pointbook and they had 'em on the wrong dates when I took them probably last Wednesday or Thursday, not sure what day it was. Today it was a 1-2 day, not bad considering tomorrow we'll have a lot of good games in play and 7 of them I'm sure will cover those losses. Good luck to y'all and God bless.

  11. #11

  12. #12

  13. #13

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    Good luck with you system Ced. I will be checking back regularly to see how you are doing.

  14. #14

  15. #15

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    Ced, you're a soccer sharp.. Hope this all goes well.. I'll be tracking your progress and see if you've found something here..
    1000pts

    SUPER BOWL SQUARES Q3 2/5/2012


  16. #16

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    Quote Originally Posted by squintz4 View Post
    Good luck with you system Ced. I will be checking back regularly to see how you are doing.
    Quote Originally Posted by Jimmy0607 View Post
    Good luck Ced
    Thanks fellows, good luck to you 2 as well in your picks

  17. #17

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    Quote Originally Posted by odusmykal View Post
    Ced, you're a soccer sharp.. Hope this all goes well.. I'll be tracking your progress and see if you've found something here..
    Odus, thank you very much my man, hopefully I have and we'll all take some advantage of it

  18. #18

  19. #19

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    I'll be checking back regularly too. I'm in the process of creating my own strategy as well, I'll share it once I finish.

    GL with your picks.

  20. #20

  21. #21

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    Thanks TL and JOHON

    Shorty, considering the fact it was a three game day due to the fact the pointbook had the dates incorret it's not that bad yet it's still a losing day, 1-2, Barcelona didn't cover I don't really know why, good stuff Real Madrdi did so and I was afraid they didn't, sure of their catala counterparts and happenes completely different, hopefully no more surprises today and that'll lead me to a positive day.

  22. #22

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    I wish you nothing but the best Ced! You deserve it!

  23. #23

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    Quote Originally Posted by Shortstop View Post
    I wish you nothing but the best Ced! You deserve it!
    Thank you very much Shorty, same wishes for you

  24. #24

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    Quote Originally Posted by Ced's shadow View Post
    Thank you very much Shorty, same wishes for you

  25. #25

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    3052pts

    TOP
    CASINO
    WINNER
    5/4/2012

    1755pts

    TOP SPORTSBOOK
    WINNER
    05/05/2012


  26. #26

    Default

    good luck cedrick
    3052pts

    TOP
    CASINO
    WINNER
    5/4/2012

    1755pts

    TOP SPORTSBOOK
    WINNER
    05/05/2012


  27. #27

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    Quote Originally Posted by UntilTheNDofTimE View Post
    What?

    Quote Originally Posted by UntilTheNDofTimE View Post
    good luck cedrick
    Thanks buddy

  28. #28

  29. #29

  30. #30

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Ced's shadow View Post
    As of this weekend in which we start fellows I have the following overs:

    Saturday, January the 30th

    Athletic Bilbao vs Espanyol o2½ +120 / R:19 W:22.80 LOSS

    Barcelona vs Sporting Gijon o3 -125 / R:19 W:15.20 LOSS

    Real Madrid vs Deportivo la Coruña o2½ -115 / R:19 W:16.52 WIN

    Sunday, January the 31st

    Osasuna vs Villarreal o2½ -115 / R:19 W:16.52 N/A CANCEL / BAD LINE

    Malaga vs Atletico de Madrid o3 -110 / R:19 W:17.27 N/A CANCEL / BAD LINE

    Valencia vs Sevilla o2½ -135 / R:19 W:14.07 N/A CANCEL / BAD LINE

    Livorno vs AC Milan o2½ -145 / R:19 W:13.10 LOSS

    Fiorentina vs Cagliari o2½ -105 / R:19 W:18.10 WIN

    Inter Milan vs Parma o2½ -105 / R:19 W:18.10 N/A CANCEL / POSTPONED

    Lazio vs Juventus o2½ +105 / R:19 W:19.95 LOSS

    Good luck fellows and as results come I will right away grade them the same night, let's see it happen
    Terrible weekend fellows, cancelations killed me but I'd lost more anyways, not give trustworthy data, but I'll keep the experiment, same system, probably make some changes varying them depending on the league, let's see what happens. Started with a balance of 193 points, it's currently at 151... Won't give up though


  31. #31

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    Quote Originally Posted by JohnAnthony View Post
    Not a big day today, got anything on Sunderland/Stoke?
    No sir, didn't take them, not betting with real money until I take a working system, weird soccer weekend though.

  32. #32

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    Quote Originally Posted by Ced's shadow View Post
    No sir, didn't take them, not betting with real money until I take a working system, weird soccer weekend though.
    Fair enough. I see value in betting the draw there.

  33. #33

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    Quote Originally Posted by JohnAnthony View Post
    Fair enough. I see value in betting the draw there.
    Something may come out of that, lots of draws this weekend

  34. #34

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    Quote Originally Posted by Ced's shadow View Post
    Something may come out of that, lots of draws this weekend
    I see Stoke surprising with a goal within the first 38 minutes and Sunderland getting the draw in the late 60's to mid 70's.

  35. #35

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    Quote Originally Posted by Ced's shadow View Post
    No sir, didn't take them, not betting with real money until I take a working system,
    Keep researching Ced, you will find us an angle one day.. And when you do, i'll follow you in with my money as well..
    1000pts

    SUPER BOWL SQUARES Q3 2/5/2012


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