[Betman]

I call this approach the Duhhh approach due to its simplicity

The Duhhh approach focuses on teams that meet twice in the same season. If a road team beats a home team by a double digit margin, the road team is likely to do the same when they play at home.

Three classic examples come to mind :

1) Indianapolis and Houston :

Indy wins on the road by a 18 point margin. Indy wins at home again by 2 touchdowns.

2) Seattle and Arizona :

Seattle wins on the road by a 14 point margin. Seattle wins again at home by a 25 point margin.

3) Cincinnati and Baltimore :

Cincy wins on the road by a 12 point margin. Cincy is as we speak beating Baltimore by a 27 point margin going into the 4th quarter.

Not too many games out there that meet the Duhhh criterias but when you see one, it is worth taking a very close look.

[Senator7]

Cincy is as we speak beating Baltimore by a 27 point margin going into the 4th quarter.

The margin is down to 20 points and if this is a backdoor job I'm going to be livid.

Great theory and one that I will keep a look out for from now on.

[Betman]

Cincinnati wins by 13 points. May be next time I'd better wait until the end of the game before opening my mouth.

They barely won by a double margin

[Illusion]

Cincinnati wins by 13 points. May be next time I'd better wait until the end of the game before opening my mouth.

They barely won by a double margin

The Bengals completely stopped playing defense in the second half. There is no excuse why they should have allowed 29 second half points to the lowly Ravens. Can you tell I had the second half under?