Moneyline Expectancies

TheGambler · 01-07-10, 09:45 AM

Guys, I was wondering if there is any table or chart that shows the win % for different moneyline odds. For example, how often do teams or should teams win if they are a moneyline favorite of -150? I'm really wanting to focus on NBA so I didn't know if there were different expectancies for NBA versus other sports. Thanks in advance

terpkeg · 01-07-10, 09:56 AM

i have one. if you want to pm me your email, i will send it to you. not sure how to upload it in here.

Justin7 · 01-07-10, 10:26 AM

An approximation: take the average ml - so -140/+120 is -130.

With an average of -130, your win rate is about 130 / (130+100) = 130/230 = 56.5%

With dogs, it is 100 / (100 + ML) - so at +130, it would be 43.5%.

TheGambler · 01-07-10, 11:02 AM

thanks for the help guys. this makes a lot of sense and seems easy to use

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