Federer loses in Rome!

Tchocky · 05-10-2007, 10:09 AM

Federer lost to Filippo Volandri in Rome this morning in straight sets. Moneyline on Volandri was +1550. Unbelievable result! Roger was playing well coming into this match beating Almagro in straight sets. Volandri was also playing well beating Gasquet. Still...no excuse for Roger to lose this match. My condolences to those who took the moneyline on Roger.

crackerjack · 05-10-2007, 03:03 PM

Quite the upset. I wonder how books can even offer to take bets on a matchup like this. Few people want to risk that much money to win that little by taking the huge favorite. So if you had to have action on the match, you would either pass or make a small bet on the favorite. Of course, I am talking out my butt because I don't bet tennis and know nothing about betting tennis.

Tchocky · 05-10-2007, 03:43 PM

Lots of guys take the money line on Federer because they think it's a sure thing or they're looking to clear a bonus.

vanman · 05-10-2007, 04:08 PM

federers matches are generally only ever any good for the arb punter.

jjgold · 05-10-2007, 04:30 PM

He is just going through the motions and he knows on clay he is beatable somewhat, so I would not bet him on that surface.

RickySteve · 05-10-2007, 04:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by vanman

federers matches are generally only ever any good for the arb punter.

No.

vanman · 05-11-2007, 12:39 AM

Would you like to elaborate on that,if your lumping on federer to win small amounts at odds of around 1.04 then your asking for trouble.

uPaxus · 05-11-2007, 01:33 AM

Strange things happen in Tennis.

We should also remember, humans make mistakes.

gridironguy · 05-11-2007, 01:53 AM

Federer lost twice in a two week span to Guillermo Canas just a few months ago. He is not right -- we just don't know what's wrong with him because he won't say. Also, this loss in Rome was on clay, which is by far Federer's worst surface.

I'm not saying I was betting against him, but if you follow tennis closely all year, you would know that since the Australian Open win in January, Federer has been in a bit of a funk. My suspicions are he'll struggle a bit at the French, but still probably make the semis. If he meets Nadal it will be in the Finals based on seeding, and he'll be in for a beat-down just like the last two French Opens where he lost 3-1 both times to Nadal.

I suspect he'll be fine by the grasscourt season leading up to Wimbledon, which will be in late June..

LGBoots · 05-11-2007, 04:45 AM

Lots of punters lost loads betting Fed at Betfair

Quite a few punt him every game there where he is known as 'The Bank of Fed'

I guess this time the bank went broke

jjgold · 05-11-2007, 06:10 AM

He does not look hurt, maybe bored and burned out.

UncleChris · 05-11-2007, 06:48 AM

He is human at least..

noyb · 05-11-2007, 07:53 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by LGBoots

Lots of punters lost loads betting Fed at Betfair

Quite a few punt him every game there where he is known as 'The Bank of Fed'

I guess this time the bank went broke

exactly. a lot of mug punters don't even look at odds, they just bet who think will win at whatever odds.

crackerjack · 05-11-2007, 08:42 AM

I just couldn't justify betting $1500 to win a $100, even if it seemed like a sure thing.

Tchocky · 05-11-2007, 01:09 PM

I'm hearing reports that the Mafia got to Volandri's opponents and threatened them if they didn't lose. Volandri who was granted a wildcard into the tournament has beaten 3 seeded players including World Number #1 Roger Federer...players he has never beaten before. Should be interesting to see if Volandri gets to the final and beats Nadal.

gridironguy · 05-11-2007, 04:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jjgold

He does not look hurt, maybe bored and burned out.

Certainly could be the case, JJ.

I do know that he complained about blisters on his feet the first time he lost to Canas, though. Does not constitute being hurt but blisters are a pain in the you know what for tennis players.