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2007 Bracket Scenario Analysis Update


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Old 03-23-2007, 01:18 AM   #1 (permalink)
Ganchrow
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Default 2007 Bracket Scenario Analysis Update
Even though player spliff currently "only" inhabits 4th place with 43 correct picks and 206 points (versus 44 correct and 222, 219, and 209 points respectively for current 1st through 3rd place tenants, Wade Wright, MAB, and dmariner) he has now pulled into the lead as player most likely to take 1st (32.69% probability). His picks now also have the greatest expected value among the field at $539.74 (next would be $396.65 for Wade Wright).

(One might find it interesting to note that although dmariner is currently in 3rd place, his probability of finishing in 1st through 4th places are only 0.17%, 0.35%, 0.57%, 4.49%, respectively, implying a rather paltry EV of $10.03. Contrast that with Orange, currently in 40th place with an EV of $11.50.)

Code:
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
-------------------------------------------------------
spliff         	32.69%	25.48%	16.17%	11.44%	$539.74
Wade Wright    	27.05%	13.37%	 8.93%	19.08%	$396.65
MAB            	13.03%	19.37%	20.77%	11.61%	$320.42
eboppterp      	 7.18%	12.44%	12.92%	11.79%	$196.98
ryeguy         	 4.70%	13.67%	14.07%	 3.48%	$174.76
Mulinello      	 4.52%	 6.37%	 1.94%	 0.35%	 $89.57
tbanaheimfan   	 2.91%	 1.56%	 6.43%	 9.07%	 $66.81
nasdaq888      	 3.05%	 2.78%	 3.15%	 2.31%	 $58.97
barn8306       	 2.51%	 2.26%	 5.34%	 3.36%	 $58.03
kissthecup     	 2.13%	 0.41%	 2.20%	 1.57%	 $31.90
Ira Wilton     	 0.00%	 0.15%	 3.68%	12.45%	 $24.41
Orange*        	 0.00%	 0.92%	 1.39%	 1.80%	 $11.50
dmariner       	 0.17%	 0.35%	 0.57%	 4.49%	 $10.03
TboneJones     	 0.05%	 0.45%	 0.59%	 3.11%	  $8.17
BuddyBear      	 0.00%	 0.15%	 1.43%	 2.35%	  $7.56
Razz           	 0.00%	 0.23%	 0.23%	 0.27%	  $2.37
DoctorJ        	 0.00%	 0.00%	 0.00%	 0.54%	  $0.54
fitchjr1       	 0.00%	 0.03%	 0.10%	 0.02%	  $0.49
88159          	 0.00%	 0.00%	 0.00%	 0.38%	  $0.38
scavsiu8       	 0.00%	 0.00%	 0.00%	 0.23%	  $0.23
bearwins1      	 0.00%	 0.00%	 0.04%	 0.04%	  $0.16
Crayzee        	 0.00%	 0.00%	 0.02%	 0.07%	  $0.13
sonnythekid    	 0.00%	 0.00%	 0.00%	 0.13%	  $0.13
tomc2356       	 0.00%	 0.00%	 0.00%	 0.03%	  $0.04
Shooter        	 0.00%	 0.00%	 0.00%	 0.02%	  $0.02

*SBR Employee
See original analysis thread here.
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Last edited by Ganchrow : 03-23-2007 at 03:56 AM. Reason: Updated probs and EVs based on complete WSEX lines
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Old 03-23-2007, 02:14 AM   #2 (permalink)
durito
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looks like texas a&m finished me off tonight.

thanks for posting these!
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Old 03-23-2007, 02:51 AM   #3 (permalink)
Illusion
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Tennessee losing killed my 0.000000000000021% chance of cashing as well.
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Old 03-24-2007, 02:24 AM   #4 (permalink)
pags11
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GL the rest of the way guys...
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Old 03-24-2007, 08:50 AM   #5 (permalink)
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MAB's making a run for the finish line:

Code:
--ANY 100.00%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	 88.94%	  7.47%	  2.92%	  0.67%	 $943.69
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	 39.32%	 30.62%	 15.15%	 $342.95
eboppterp      	  0.00%	 19.20%	  9.58%	  8.65%	 $152.58
TboneJones     	  3.22%	 10.39%	  6.48%	 10.57%	 $124.57
dmariner       	  0.16%	  8.97%	 13.57%	 20.36%	 $116.50
barn8306       	  3.32%	  3.94%	  5.64%	  3.35%	  $77.16
nasdaq888      	  3.60%	  2.56%	  2.05%	  2.10%	  $59.63
88159          	  0.00%	  1.39%	  5.70%	  7.82%	  $33.28
mathewvick     	  0.55%	  2.16%	  1.37%	  1.65%	  $24.19
sonnythekid    	  0.00%	  0.00%	  5.07%	  4.06%	  $19.25
spliff         	  0.00%	  1.94%	  1.20%	  2.75%	  $17.99
tbanaheimfan   	  0.00%	  0.37%	  3.21%	  2.62%	  $14.47
DoctorJ        	  0.00%	  0.00%	  4.39%	  0.67%	  $13.83
36crazyfists   	  0.00%	  0.00%	  3.56%	  2.47%	  $13.15
tomc2356       	  0.00%	  1.15%	  0.40%	  0.62%	   $8.73
batlak         	  0.20%	  0.50%	  0.57%	  0.64%	   $7.35
Shooter        	  0.00%	  0.00%	  2.14%	  0.00%	   $6.41
Nightwolfkicksa	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.20%	  5.42%	   $6.01
BigD           	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.88%	  0.34%	   $2.99
rezster        	  0.00%	  0.27%	  0.39%	  0.11%	   $2.91
Sam FT         	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  2.42%	   $2.42
patswin        	  0.00%	  0.36%	  0.00%	  0.15%	   $2.32
Pegasus        	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  2.06%	   $2.06
gafl           	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  1.73%	   $1.73
Santo          	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  1.55%	   $1.55
jaypor236      	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.85%	   $0.85
Razz           	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.83%	   $0.83
Hilltopper     	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.07%	  0.28%	   $0.50
michiganfan08  	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.10%	   $0.10

--Florida(1) Nat Champion 24.00%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	100.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	$1,000.0
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	 55.09%	 22.06%	 22.84%	 $419.59
eboppterp      	  0.00%	 25.62%	 19.09%	  0.00%	 $211.02
88159          	  0.00%	  6.54%	 16.74%	 11.56%	 $101.02
dmariner       	  0.00%	  3.64%	 16.68%	 10.19%	  $82.06
spliff         	  0.00%	  9.11%	  5.64%	  4.99%	  $76.54
36crazyfists   	  0.00%	  0.00%	  7.05%	 10.90%	  $32.06
DoctorJ        	  0.00%	  0.00%	  8.69%	  3.13%	  $29.20
Sam FT         	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 11.38%	  $11.38
Santo          	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  7.28%	   $7.28

--Georgetown(2) Nat Champion 9.92%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	100.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	$1,000.0
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	 83.01%	 16.99%	  0.00%	 $549.03
dmariner       	  0.00%	  6.16%	  3.60%	 35.56%	  $83.30
DoctorJ        	  0.00%	  0.00%	 27.16%	  0.00%	  $81.48
Shooter        	  0.00%	  0.00%	 22.85%	  0.00%	  $68.54
36crazyfists   	  0.00%	  0.00%	 22.04%	  1.57%	  $67.70
barn8306       	  0.00%	  8.41%	  4.03%	  2.42%	  $64.98
nasdaq888      	  0.00%	  2.42%	  1.93%	  1.96%	  $22.27
Pegasus        	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 22.04%	  $22.04
tomc2356       	  0.00%	  0.00%	  1.40%	  6.68%	  $10.88
TboneJones     	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 10.24%	  $10.24
Razz           	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  8.91%	   $8.91
gafl           	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  7.55%	   $7.55
batlak         	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.86%	   $0.86

--Kansas(1) Nat Champion 15.92%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	 72.82%	 20.05%	  5.56%	  1.56%	 $866.80
barn8306       	 19.17%	  8.89%	 30.18%	 10.75%	 $346.30
TboneJones     	  8.01%	 26.84%	  9.25%	 19.63%	 $288.48
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	 31.36%	 21.09%	  8.39%	 $259.83
dmariner       	  0.00%	  8.86%	  8.94%	 16.62%	  $96.57
tbanaheimfan   	  0.00%	  4.00%	 15.43%	 20.81%	  $91.13
BigD           	  0.00%	  0.00%	  9.55%	  3.73%	  $32.39
sonnythekid    	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 11.92%	  $11.92

--Memphis(2) Nat Champion 17.59%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	 85.60%	 14.40%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 $942.41
dmariner       	  4.03%	 28.12%	  8.03%	  0.00%	 $233.17
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	 24.49%	 17.39%	 28.40%	 $227.48
TboneJones     	  0.00%	 26.58%	 10.36%	 22.76%	 $213.31
barn8306       	 10.36%	  6.42%	  3.22%	 14.05%	 $165.85
eboppterp      	  0.00%	  0.00%	 39.55%	 10.36%	 $129.03
sonnythekid    	  0.00%	  0.00%	 16.45%	  6.42%	  $55.77
Nightwolfkicksa	  0.00%	  0.00%	  4.99%	  9.68%	  $24.64
batlak         	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  3.22%	   $3.22

--North Carolina(1) Nat Champion 18.53%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	 81.39%	 12.65%	  3.99%	  1.96%	 $903.78
TboneJones     	 14.23%	 39.30%	 24.92%	 13.46%	 $466.28
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	 29.40%	 18.93%	 25.23%	 $258.43
dmariner       	  0.00%	  9.59%	 20.58%	 22.05%	 $141.33
nasdaq888      	  4.38%	  3.50%	  0.00%	  4.92%	  $69.73
barn8306       	  0.00%	  3.99%	  6.88%	  2.42%	  $47.01
88159          	  0.00%	  0.00%	 12.25%	 10.24%	  $47.00
tbanaheimfan   	  0.00%	  0.00%	 10.24%	  3.99%	  $34.70
eboppterp      	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  9.79%	   $9.79

--Ohio St(1) Nat Champion 10.63%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	 95.45%	  4.55%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 $981.80
dmariner       	  2.46%	 64.25%	 33.29%	  0.00%	 $509.94
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	 29.11%	 55.77%	  7.24%	 $349.20
Nightwolfkicksa	  0.00%	  0.00%	  3.04%	 54.44%	  $63.55
nasdaq888      	  2.09%	  2.09%	  5.94%	  0.00%	  $51.30
spliff         	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 26.14%	  $26.14
batlak         	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.59%	   $0.59

--Oregon(3) Nat Champion 4.19%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
nasdaq888      	 72.71%	 27.29%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 $890.85
MAB            	 27.29%	 54.42%	 18.29%	  0.00%	 $654.28
barn8306       	  0.00%	 18.29%	 15.76%	 23.76%	 $180.80
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	  0.00%	 34.23%	 31.96%	 $134.65
dmariner       	  0.00%	  0.00%	 18.38%	 18.49%	  $73.61
eboppterp      	  0.00%	  0.00%	 11.38%	  7.12%	  $41.26
Hilltopper     	  0.00%	  0.00%	  1.96%	  7.51%	  $13.39
TboneJones     	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 11.17%	  $11.17

--UCLA(2) Nat Champion 8.93%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	 85.55%	  2.14%	  8.86%	  3.45%	 $898.37
mathewvick     	 10.58%	 41.63%	 26.45%	 14.96%	 $449.95
dmariner       	  0.00%	  8.86%	 40.66%	 25.67%	 $200.78
tomc2356       	  0.00%	 22.19%	  5.21%	  0.00%	 $148.79
batlak         	  3.86%	  9.63%	 11.07%	  8.26%	 $137.94
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	  8.57%	  7.75%	 29.02%	 $103.73
patswin        	  0.00%	  6.97%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  $41.82
eboppterp      	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 13.85%	  $13.85
Nightwolfkicksa	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  4.78%	   $4.78
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Last edited by Ganchrow : 03-24-2007 at 03:24 PM.
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Old 03-24-2007, 09:55 AM   #6 (permalink)
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And just in case anyone feels like playing with this, here are the st winners under each of the remaning 128 secnarios:

Code:
Florida    | Kansas     | North Ca   | Ohio St    | Florida    | North Ca   | Florida
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
88159          	$450 
Wade Wright    	$450 
spliff         	$100 

Florida    | Kansas     | North Ca   | Ohio St    | Florida    | North Ca   | North Ca
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
TboneJones     	$450 
Wade Wright    	$450 
dmariner       	$100 

Florida    | Kansas     | North Ca   | Ohio St    | Florida    | Ohio St    | Florida
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
spliff         	$600 
Wade Wright    	$200 
dmariner       	$200 

Florida    | Kansas     | North Ca   | Ohio St    | Florida    | Ohio St    | Ohio St
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
dmariner       	$600 
Wade Wright    	$300 
spliff         	$100 

Florida    | Kansas     | North Ca   | Ohio St    | Kansas     | North Ca   | Kansas
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
TboneJones     	$600 
tbanaheimfan   	$300 
Wade Wright    	$50 
dmariner       	$50 

Florida    | Kansas     | North Ca   | Ohio St    | Kansas     | North Ca   | North Ca
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
TboneJones     	$600 
Wade Wright    	$200 
dmariner       	$200 

Florida    | Kansas     | North Ca   | Ohio St    | Kansas     | Ohio St    | Kansas
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
dmariner       	$600 
Wade Wright    	$300 
TboneJones     	$100 

Florida    | Kansas     | North Ca   | Ohio St    | Kansas     | Ohio St    | Ohio St
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
dmariner       	$600 
Wade Wright    	$300 
TboneJones     	$100 

Florida    | Kansas     | North Ca   | Memphis    | Florida    | North Ca   | Florida
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
88159          	$600 
TboneJones     	$300 
Wade Wright    	$100 

Florida    | Kansas     | North Ca   | Memphis    | Florida    | North Ca   | North Ca
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
TboneJones     	$600 
88159          	$300 
Wade Wright    	$100 

Florida    | Kansas     | North Ca   | Memphis    | Florida    | Memphis    | Florida
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
eboppterp      	$600 
88159          	$300 
Wade Wright    	$100 

Florida    | Kansas     | North Ca   | Memphis    | Florida    | Memphis    | Memphis
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
eboppterp      	$600 
Wade Wright    	$300 
88159          	$50 
TboneJones     	$50 

Florida    | Kansas     | North Ca   | Memphis    | Kansas     | North Ca   | Kansas
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TboneJones     	$1,000 
tbanaheimfan   	$450 
MAB            	$450 
barn8306       	$100 

Florida    | Kansas     | North Ca   | Memphis    | Kansas     | North Ca   | North Ca
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TboneJones     	$1,000 
MAB            	$600 
tbanaheimfan   	$300 
88159          	$100 

Florida    | Kansas     | North Ca   | Memphis    | Kansas     | Memphis    | Kansas
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
TboneJones     	$600 
barn8306       	$300 
tbanaheimfan   	$100 

Florida    | Kansas     | North Ca   | Memphis    | Kansas     | Memphis    | Memphis
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
TboneJones     	$600 
eboppterp      	$300 
barn8306       	$50 
Wade Wright    	$50 

Florida    | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | Florida    | Georgeto   | Florida
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
DoctorJ        	$300 
gafl           	$100 

Florida    | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | Florida    | Georgeto   | Georgeto
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
DoctorJ        	$300 
gafl           	$50 
dmariner       	$50 

Florida    | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | Florida    | Ohio St    | Florida
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
spliff         	$300 
dmariner       	$100 

Florida    | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | Florida    | Ohio St    | Ohio St
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
dmariner       	$300 
Nightwolfkicksa	$100 

Florida    | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Kansas
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
BigD           	$300 
dmariner       	$100 

Florida    | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Georgeto
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
Shooter        	$300 
dmariner       	$100 

Florida    | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | Kansas     | Ohio St    | Kansas
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
dmariner       	$300 
barn8306       	$50 
Nightwolfkicksa	$50 

Florida    | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | Kansas     | Ohio St    | Ohio St
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
dmariner       	$600 
Wade Wright    	$300 
Nightwolfkicksa	$100 

Florida    | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Memphis    | Florida    | Georgeto   | Florida
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
36crazyfists   	$300 
88159          	$100 

Florida    | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Memphis    | Florida    | Georgeto   | Georgeto
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
36crazyfists   	$300 
Pegasus        	$100 

Florida    | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Memphis    | Florida    | Memphis    | Florida
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
eboppterp      	$300 
88159          	$50 
sonnythekid    	$50 

Florida    | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Memphis    | Florida    | Memphis    | Memphis
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
sonnythekid    	$300 
eboppterp      	$100 

Florida    | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Memphis    | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Kansas
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
barn8306       	$300 
TboneJones     	$100 

Florida    | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Memphis    | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Georgeto
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
Shooter        	$300 
TboneJones     	$100 

Florida    | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Memphis    | Kansas     | Memphis    | Kansas
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
barn8306       	$300 
sonnythekid    	$100 

Florida    | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Memphis    | Kansas     | Memphis    | Memphis
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
sonnythekid    	$300 
TboneJones     	$100 

Florida    | UCLA       | North Ca   | Ohio St    | Florida    | North Ca   | Florida
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
dmariner       	$300 
jaypor236      	$100 

Florida    | UCLA       | North Ca   | Ohio St    | Florida    | North Ca   | North Ca
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
dmariner       	$300 
TboneJones     	$100 

Florida    | UCLA       | North Ca   | Ohio St    | Florida    | Ohio St    | Florida
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$450 
dmariner       	$450 
Santo          	$100 

Florida    | UCLA       | North Ca   | Ohio St    | Florida    | Ohio St    | Ohio St
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
dmariner       	$600 
Wade Wright    	$300 
Nightwolfkicksa	$100 

Florida    | UCLA       | North Ca   | Ohio St    | UCLA       | North Ca   | UCLA
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
mathewvick     	$600 
dmariner       	$300 
Wade Wright    	$100 

Florida    | UCLA       | North Ca   | Ohio St    | UCLA       | North Ca   | North Ca
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
dmariner       	$600 
Wade Wright    	$300 
mathewvick     	$100 

Florida    | UCLA       | North Ca   | Ohio St    | UCLA       | Ohio St    | UCLA
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
mathewvick     	$1,000 
dmariner       	$600 
MAB            	$300 
batlak         	$33 
Wade Wright    	$33 
Nightwolfkicksa	$33 

Florida    | UCLA       | North Ca   | Ohio St    | UCLA       | Ohio St    | Ohio St
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
dmariner       	$1,000 
MAB            	$600 
Nightwolfkicksa	$300 
mathewvick     	$100 

Florida    | UCLA       | North Ca   | Memphis    | Florida    | North Ca   | Florida
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
eboppterp      	$300 
88159          	$100 

Florida    | UCLA       | North Ca   | Memphis    | Florida    | North Ca   | North Ca
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
TboneJones     	$300 
eboppterp      	$100 

Florida    | UCLA       | North Ca   | Memphis    | Florida    | Memphis    | Florida
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
eboppterp      	$600 
Wade Wright    	$300 
Sam FT         	$100 

Florida    | UCLA       | North Ca   | Memphis    | Florida    | Memphis    | Memphis
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
eboppterp      	$600 
Wade Wright    	$300 
dmariner       	$100 

Florida    | UCLA       | North Ca   | Memphis    | UCLA       | North Ca   | UCLA
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
mathewvick     	$600 
dmariner       	$300 
Wade Wright    	$100 

Florida    | UCLA       | North Ca   | Memphis    | UCLA       | North Ca   | North Ca
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
dmariner       	$600 
TboneJones     	$300 
Wade Wright    	$100 

Florida    | UCLA       | North Ca   | Memphis    | UCLA       | Memphis    | UCLA
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
mathewvick     	$600 
dmariner       	$300 
eboppterp      	$100 

Florida    | UCLA       | North Ca   | Memphis    | UCLA       | Memphis    | Memphis
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
dmariner       	$600 
eboppterp      	$300 
Wade Wright    	$100 

Florida    | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | Florida    | Georgeto   | Florida
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
DoctorJ        	$300 
36crazyfists   	$100 

Florida    | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | Florida    | Georgeto   | Georgeto
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
DoctorJ        	$300 
dmariner       	$100 

Florida    | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | Florida    | Ohio St    | Florida
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
dmariner       	$300 
Nightwolfkicksa	$100 

Florida    | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | Florida    | Ohio St    | Ohio St
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
dmariner       	$300 
Nightwolfkicksa	$100 

Florida    | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | UCLA       | Georgeto   | UCLA
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
tomc2356       	$600 
mathewvick     	$300 
dmariner       	$100 

Florida    | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Georgeto
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
dmariner       	$600 
Wade Wright    	$300 
tomc2356       	$50 
Nightwolfkicksa	$50 

Florida    | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | UCLA       | Ohio St    | UCLA
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
mathewvick     	$600 
dmariner       	$300 
batlak         	$33 
Wade Wright    	$33 
Nightwolfkicksa	$33 

Florida    | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | UCLA       | Ohio St    | Ohio St
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$800 
dmariner       	$800 
Nightwolfkicksa	$300 
Wade Wright    	$100 

Florida    | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Memphis    | Florida    | Georgeto   | Florida
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
36crazyfists   	$300 
DoctorJ        	$100 

Florida    | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Memphis    | Florida    | Georgeto   | Georgeto
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
36crazyfists   	$300 
Pegasus        	$100 

Florida    | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Memphis    | Florida    | Memphis    | Florida
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
eboppterp      	$300 
36crazyfists   	$100 

Florida    | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Memphis    | Florida    | Memphis    | Memphis
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
eboppterp      	$300 
sonnythekid    	$50 
dmariner       	$50 

Florida    | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Memphis    | UCLA       | Georgeto   | UCLA
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
tomc2356       	$600 
Wade Wright    	$300 
mathewvick     	$100 

Florida    | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Memphis    | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Georgeto
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
dmariner       	$300 
tomc2356       	$100 

Florida    | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Memphis    | UCLA       | Memphis    | UCLA
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
mathewvick     	$300 
dmariner       	$100 

Florida    | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Memphis    | UCLA       | Memphis    | Memphis
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
dmariner       	$300 
Nightwolfkicksa	$100 

Oregon     | Kansas     | North Ca   | Ohio St    | Oregon     | North Ca   | Oregon
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
nasdaq888      	$1,000 
MAB            	$600 
barn8306       	$300 
Wade Wright    	$50 
dmariner       	$50 

Oregon     | Kansas     | North Ca   | Ohio St    | Oregon     | North Ca   | North Ca
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
nasdaq888      	$1,000 
MAB            	$600 
TboneJones     	$300 
barn8306       	$100 

Oregon     | Kansas     | North Ca   | Ohio St    | Oregon     | Ohio St    | Oregon
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
nasdaq888      	$1,000 
MAB            	$600 
dmariner       	$300 
barn8306       	$100 

Oregon     | Kansas     | North Ca   | Ohio St    | Oregon     | Ohio St    | Ohio St
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
nasdaq888      	$800 
MAB            	$800 
dmariner       	$300 
barn8306       	$100 

Oregon     | Kansas     | North Ca   | Ohio St    | Kansas     | North Ca   | Kansas
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
barn8306       	$1,000 
MAB            	$600 
TboneJones     	$300 
nasdaq888      	$100 

Oregon     | Kansas     | North Ca   | Ohio St    | Kansas     | North Ca   | North Ca
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
TboneJones     	$600 
barn8306       	$300 
nasdaq888      	$100 

Oregon     | Kansas     | North Ca   | Ohio St    | Kansas     | Ohio St    | Kansas
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
barn8306       	$1,000 
MAB            	$600 
dmariner       	$300 
Wade Wright    	$100 

Oregon     | Kansas     | North Ca   | Ohio St    | Kansas     | Ohio St    | Ohio St
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
dmariner       	$600 
barn8306       	$300 
michiganfan08  	$100 

Oregon     | Kansas     | North Ca   | Memphis    | Oregon     | North Ca   | Oregon
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
nasdaq888      	$1,000 
barn8306       	$600 
MAB            	$300 
TboneJones     	$100 

Oregon     | Kansas     | North Ca   | Memphis    | Oregon     | North Ca   | North Ca
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
nasdaq888      	$1,000 
TboneJones     	$600 
barn8306       	$300 
MAB            	$100 

Oregon     | Kansas     | North Ca   | Memphis    | Oregon     | Memphis    | Oregon
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
nasdaq888      	$1,000 
barn8306       	$600 
MAB            	$300 
TboneJones     	$50 
eboppterp      	$50 

Oregon     | Kansas     | North Ca   | Memphis    | Oregon     | Memphis    | Memphis
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
barn8306       	$1,000 
nasdaq888      	$450 
MAB            	$450 
TboneJones     	$50 
eboppterp      	$50 

Oregon     | Kansas     | North Ca   | Memphis    | Kansas     | North Ca   | Kansas
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
barn8306       	$1,000 
TboneJones     	$600 
tbanaheimfan   	$200 
MAB            	$200 

Oregon     | Kansas     | North Ca   | Memphis    | Kansas     | North Ca   | North Ca
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TboneJones     	$1,000 
barn8306       	$600 
MAB            	$300 
tbanaheimfan   	$100 

Oregon     | Kansas     | North Ca   | Memphis    | Kansas     | Memphis    | Kansas
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
barn8306       	$1,000 
MAB            	$600 
TboneJones     	$300 
tbanaheimfan   	$100 

Oregon     | Kansas     | North Ca   | Memphis    | Kansas     | Memphis    | Memphis
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
barn8306       	$1,000 
MAB            	$600 
TboneJones     	$300 
eboppterp      	$100 

Oregon     | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | Oregon     | Georgeto   | Oregon
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
nasdaq888      	$600 
Wade Wright    	$300 
barn8306       	$50 
Hilltopper     	$50 

Oregon     | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | Oregon     | Georgeto   | Georgeto
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
nasdaq888      	$600 
Wade Wright    	$300 
barn8306       	$100 

Oregon     | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | Oregon     | Ohio St    | Oregon
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
nasdaq888      	$1,000 
MAB            	$600 
Wade Wright    	$300 
dmariner       	$100 

Oregon     | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | Oregon     | Ohio St    | Ohio St
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
dmariner       	$600 
nasdaq888      	$300 
Wade Wright    	$100 

Oregon     | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Kansas
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
barn8306       	$600 
Wade Wright    	$300 
BigD           	$100 

Oregon     | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Georgeto
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
barn8306       	$450 
Wade Wright    	$450 
Razz           	$100 

Oregon     | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | Kansas     | Ohio St    | Kansas
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
barn8306       	$600 
Wade Wright    	$300 
dmariner       	$100 

Oregon     | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | Kansas     | Ohio St    | Ohio St
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
dmariner       	$600 
barn8306       	$200 
Wade Wright    	$200 

Oregon     | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Memphis    | Oregon     | Georgeto   | Oregon
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
nasdaq888      	$600 
barn8306       	$200 
Hilltopper     	$200 

Oregon     | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Memphis    | Oregon     | Georgeto   | Georgeto
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
barn8306       	$600 
Wade Wright    	$300 
nasdaq888      	$100 

Oregon     | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Memphis    | Oregon     | Memphis    | Oregon
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
nasdaq888      	$1,000 
MAB            	$600 
barn8306       	$300 
Wade Wright    	$100 

Oregon     | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Memphis    | Oregon     | Memphis    | Memphis
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
barn8306       	$600 
Wade Wright    	$300 
nasdaq888      	$100 

Oregon     | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Memphis    | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Kansas
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
barn8306       	$600 
Wade Wright    	$300 
TboneJones     	$100 

Oregon     | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Memphis    | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Georgeto
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
barn8306       	$600 
Wade Wright    	$300 
Razz           	$100 

Oregon     | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Memphis    | Kansas     | Memphis    | Kansas
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
barn8306       	$1,000 
MAB            	$600 
Wade Wright    	$300 
sonnythekid    	$100 

Oregon     | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Memphis    | Kansas     | Memphis    | Memphis
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
barn8306       	$600 
Wade Wright    	$300 
sonnythekid    	$100 

Oregon     | UCLA       | North Ca   | Ohio St    | Oregon     | North Ca   | Oregon
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
nasdaq888      	$1,000 
MAB            	$600 
Wade Wright    	$200 
dmariner       	$200 

Oregon     | UCLA       | North Ca   | Ohio St    | Oregon     | North Ca   | North Ca
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
nasdaq888      	$600 
rezster        	$133 
Wade Wright    	$133 
dmariner       	$133 

Oregon     | UCLA       | North Ca   | Ohio St    | Oregon     | Ohio St    | Oregon
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
nasdaq888      	$1,000 
MAB            	$600 
dmariner       	$300 
Wade Wright    	$100 

Oregon     | UCLA       | North Ca   | Ohio St    | Oregon     | Ohio St    | Ohio St
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
dmariner       	$600 
nasdaq888      	$300 
Wade Wright    	$100 

Oregon     | UCLA       | North Ca   | Ohio St    | UCLA       | North Ca   | UCLA
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
patswin        	$600 
batlak         	$200 
mathewvick     	$200 

Oregon     | UCLA       | North Ca   | Ohio St    | UCLA       | North Ca   | North Ca
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
rezster        	$450 
dmariner       	$450 
patswin        	$50 
Wade Wright    	$50 

Oregon     | UCLA       | North Ca   | Ohio St    | UCLA       | Ohio St    | UCLA
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
batlak         	$800 
mathewvick     	$800 
dmariner       	$300 
MAB            	$100 

Oregon     | UCLA       | North Ca   | Ohio St    | UCLA       | Ohio St    | Ohio St
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
dmariner       	$1,000 
MAB            	$600 
Nightwolfkicksa	$300 
batlak         	$50 
mathewvick     	$50 

Oregon     | UCLA       | North Ca   | Memphis    | Oregon     | North Ca   | Oregon
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
nasdaq888      	$1,000 
MAB            	$600 
Wade Wright    	$300 
barn8306       	$100 

Oregon     | UCLA       | North Ca   | Memphis    | Oregon     | North Ca   | North Ca
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
nasdaq888      	$600 
TboneJones     	$300 
Wade Wright    	$100 

Oregon     | UCLA       | North Ca   | Memphis    | Oregon     | Memphis    | Oregon
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
nasdaq888      	$1,000 
MAB            	$600 
eboppterp      	$300 
Wade Wright    	$100 

Oregon     | UCLA       | North Ca   | Memphis    | Oregon     | Memphis    | Memphis
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
eboppterp      	$600 
nasdaq888      	$300 
Wade Wright    	$100 

Oregon     | UCLA       | North Ca   | Memphis    | UCLA       | North Ca   | UCLA
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
patswin        	$600 
batlak         	$200 
mathewvick     	$200 

Oregon     | UCLA       | North Ca   | Memphis    | UCLA       | North Ca   | North Ca
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
rezster        	$450 
dmariner       	$450 
TboneJones     	$100 

Oregon     | UCLA       | North Ca   | Memphis    | UCLA       | Memphis    | UCLA
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
batlak         	$450 
mathewvick     	$450 
dmariner       	$100 

Oregon     | UCLA       | North Ca   | Memphis    | UCLA       | Memphis    | Memphis
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
dmariner       	$600 
eboppterp      	$300 
Wade Wright    	$100 

Oregon     | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | Oregon     | Georgeto   | Oregon
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
nasdaq888      	$600 
Wade Wright    	$300 
dmariner       	$100 

Oregon     | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | Oregon     | Georgeto   | Georgeto
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
nasdaq888      	$300 
dmariner       	$100 

Oregon     | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | Oregon     | Ohio St    | Oregon
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
nasdaq888      	$600 
Wade Wright    	$300 
dmariner       	$100 

Oregon     | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | Oregon     | Ohio St    | Ohio St
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
dmariner       	$600 
Wade Wright    	$300 
Nightwolfkicksa	$100 

Oregon     | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | UCLA       | Georgeto   | UCLA
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
batlak         	$450 
tomc2356       	$450 
mathewvick     	$100 

Oregon     | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Georgeto
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
dmariner       	$600 
Wade Wright    	$300 
batlak         	$50 
tomc2356       	$50 

Oregon     | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | UCLA       | Ohio St    | UCLA
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
batlak         	$1,000 
MAB            	$600 
mathewvick     	$300 
dmariner       	$100 

Oregon     | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | UCLA       | Ohio St    | Ohio St
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$800 
dmariner       	$800 
Nightwolfkicksa	$300 
batlak         	$100 

Oregon     | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Memphis    | Oregon     | Georgeto   | Oregon
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
nasdaq888      	$600 
Wade Wright    	$300 
Hilltopper     	$100 

Oregon     | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Memphis    | Oregon     | Georgeto   | Georgeto
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
barn8306       	$300 
36crazyfists   	$100 

Oregon     | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Memphis    | Oregon     | Memphis    | Oregon
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
nasdaq888      	$600 
Wade Wright    	$300 
barn8306       	$100 

Oregon     | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Memphis    | Oregon     | Memphis    | Memphis
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
barn8306       	$300 
eboppterp      	$100 

Oregon     | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Memphis    | UCLA       | Georgeto   | UCLA
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
tomc2356       	$600 
batlak         	$300 
Wade Wright    	$100 

Oregon     | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Memphis    | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Georgeto
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
tomc2356       	$300 
dmariner       	$100 

Oregon     | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Memphis    | UCLA       | Memphis    | UCLA
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
batlak         	$600 
tomc2356       	$300 
Wade Wright    	$100 

Oregon     | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Memphis    | UCLA       | Memphis    | Memphis
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
dmariner       	$300 
batlak         	$100
__________________
Last edited by Ganchrow : 03-24-2007 at 03:45 PM.
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Old 03-24-2007, 10:53 AM   #7 (permalink)
jjgold
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never heard of most of them, take their prize away
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Old 03-24-2007, 05:01 PM   #8 (permalink)
Ganchrow
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Default Saturday, March 24th -- Regional Finals
So for those players still in contention and with EVs of at least $5, these are are the scenarios based on each of today's 4 possible outcome:

So for example, as far as this contest goes, nasdaq888 should be hoping for a Kansas and Ohio St victories. If this occurs his EV will be $83.67 and he'll have a 5.13% probability for taking 1st. This is also the best outcome for MAB. who after Kansas and Ohio St victories would have a position woryh $961.33 with a 92.28% probability of 1st place.

Code:
--Kansas and Memphis in Final Four 24.90%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	 87.78%	  7.91%	  3.51%	  0.80%	 $936.60
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	 35.68%	 30.27%	 17.09%	 $322.00
eboppterp      	  0.00%	 20.14%	  8.36%	 10.39%	 $156.32
TboneJones     	  3.87%	 12.47%	  7.77%	 12.69%	 $149.55
dmariner       	  0.19%	 10.08%	 14.40%	 20.31%	 $125.91
barn8306       	  3.99%	  4.05%	  6.28%	  3.45%	  $86.44
nasdaq888      	  3.27%	  2.23%	  2.46%	  2.53%	  $56.01
88159          	  0.00%	  1.03%	  6.21%	  8.56%	  $33.39
mathewvick     	  0.66%	  2.59%	  0.52%	  1.27%	  $24.94
sonnythekid    	  0.00%	  0.00%	  6.08%	  4.87%	  $23.11
spliff         	  0.00%	  2.33%	  1.44%	  2.03%	  $20.32
tbanaheimfan   	  0.00%	  0.44%	  3.86%	  3.14%	  $17.38
36crazyfists   	  0.00%	  0.00%	  3.48%	  0.18%	  $10.61
DoctorJ        	  0.00%	  0.00%	  3.05%	  0.00%	   $9.15
Nightwolfkicksa	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.24%	  5.98%	   $6.69
batlak         	  0.24%	  0.28%	  0.38%	  0.56%	   $5.77

--Kansas and Ohio St in Final Four 30.69%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	 92.28%	  5.45%	  1.78%	  0.49%	 $961.33
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	 33.37%	 39.85%	 17.72%	 $337.53
eboppterp      	  0.00%	 27.35%	  6.39%	  3.63%	 $186.91
dmariner       	  0.00%	 10.09%	 14.76%	 25.11%	 $129.92
TboneJones     	  0.00%	 11.07%	  7.04%	 11.01%	  $98.56
nasdaq888      	  5.13%	  3.64%	  2.92%	  1.73%	  $83.67
barn8306       	  2.59%	  2.07%	  3.05%	  2.97%	  $50.42
88159          	  0.00%	  1.98%	  8.12%	  8.59%	  $44.86
spliff         	  0.00%	  2.76%	  1.71%	  3.92%	  $25.62
DoctorJ        	  0.00%	  0.00%	  6.25%	  0.95%	  $19.71
36crazyfists   	  0.00%	  0.00%	  2.14%	  3.31%	   $9.72
mathewvick     	  0.00%	  0.73%	  0.85%	  1.52%	   $8.43
tomc2356       	  0.00%	  0.84%	  0.14%	  0.41%	   $5.88
Nightwolfkicksa	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  5.66%	   $5.66
Shooter        	  0.00%	  0.00%	  1.68%	  0.00%	   $5.04

--UCLA and Memphis in Final Four 19.90%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	 89.86%	  7.34%	  2.80%	  0.00%	 $951.02
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	 36.06%	 33.85%	 13.72%	 $331.64
eboppterp      	  0.00%	 29.91%	 14.92%	 13.48%	 $237.66
TboneJones     	  3.87%	  8.39%	  5.48%	 11.68%	 $117.17
barn8306       	  3.67%	  5.62%	  7.85%	  1.85%	  $95.90
dmariner       	  0.25%	  5.23%	  6.15%	 19.13%	  $71.47
nasdaq888      	  2.18%	  1.91%	  2.31%	  2.44%	  $42.61
sonnythekid    	  0.00%	  0.00%	  7.89%	  6.32%	  $29.99
88159          	  0.00%	  0.00%	  4.72%	 10.87%	  $25.04
mathewvick     	  0.00%	  2.42%	  1.98%	  2.42%	  $22.90
tomc2356       	  0.00%	  1.79%	  0.62%	  0.97%	  $13.59
tbanaheimfan   	  0.00%	  0.00%	  2.78%	  3.85%	  $12.21
Shooter        	  0.00%	  0.00%	  3.33%	  0.00%	   $9.98
36crazyfists   	  0.00%	  0.00%	  2.46%	  2.56%	   $9.96
batlak         	  0.17%	  0.64%	  0.74%	  0.60%	   $8.37

--UCLA and Ohio St in Final Four 24.51%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	 87.89%	  8.08%	  2.95%	  1.08%	 $937.34
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	 56.88%	 14.32%	 12.24%	 $396.46
TboneJones     	  5.22%	  8.04%	  7.01%	  8.54%	 $130.05
dmariner       	  0.26%	 10.06%	 17.13%	 14.07%	 $128.42
barn8306       	  2.87%	  4.75%	  6.87%	  2.86%	  $80.67
eboppterp      	  0.00%	  0.00%	 12.30%	 12.00%	  $48.92
nasdaq888      	  2.54%	  3.00%	  0.92%	  2.02%	  $48.19
mathewvick     	  0.89%	  3.50%	  2.22%	  2.68%	  $39.20
sonnythekid    	  0.00%	  0.00%	  7.16%	  6.16%	  $27.63
88159          	  0.00%	  1.40%	  3.47%	  6.88%	  $25.66
tbanaheimfan   	  0.00%	  0.60%	  5.21%	  4.24%	  $23.45
DoctorJ        	  0.00%	  0.00%	  7.11%	  1.08%	  $22.42
36crazyfists   	  0.00%	  0.00%	  5.77%	  4.00%	  $21.32
tomc2356       	  0.00%	  1.86%	  0.65%	  1.01%	  $14.14
batlak         	  0.32%	  0.81%	  0.93%	  0.89%	  $11.77
Nightwolfkicksa	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.32%	  8.16%	   $9.12
spliff         	  0.00%	  0.00%	  1.94%	  0.00%	   $5.83
__________________
Last edited by Ganchrow : 03-24-2007 at 05:22 PM. Reason: "today's" outcomes not "tomorrow's"
Ganchrow's SBR
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