2007 Bracket Scenario Analysis Update

Ganchrow · 03-23-07 12:18 AM

Even though player spliff currently "only" inhabits 4^th place with 43 correct picks and 206 points (versus 44 correct and 222, 219, and 209 points respectively for current 1^st through 3^rd place tenants, Wade Wright, MAB, and dmariner) he has now pulled into the lead as player most likely to take 1^st (32.69% probability). His picks now also have the greatest expected value among the field at $539.74 (next would be $396.65 for Wade Wright).

(One might find it interesting to note that although dmariner is currently in 3^rd place, his probability of finishing in 1^st through 4^th places are only 0.17%, 0.35%, 0.57%, 4.49%, respectively, implying a rather paltry EV of $10.03. Contrast that with Orange, currently in 40^th place with an EV of $11.50.)

Code:

Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
-------------------------------------------------------
spliff         	32.69%	25.48%	16.17%	11.44%	$539.74
Wade Wright    	27.05%	13.37%	 8.93%	19.08%	$396.65
MAB            	13.03%	19.37%	20.77%	11.61%	$320.42
eboppterp      	 7.18%	12.44%	12.92%	11.79%	$196.98
ryeguy         	 4.70%	13.67%	14.07%	 3.48%	$174.76
Mulinello      	 4.52%	 6.37%	 1.94%	 0.35%	 $89.57
tbanaheimfan   	 2.91%	 1.56%	 6.43%	 9.07%	 $66.81
nasdaq888      	 3.05%	 2.78%	 3.15%	 2.31%	 $58.97
barn8306       	 2.51%	 2.26%	 5.34%	 3.36%	 $58.03
kissthecup     	 2.13%	 0.41%	 2.20%	 1.57%	 $31.90
Ira Wilton     	 0.00%	 0.15%	 3.68%	12.45%	 $24.41
Orange*        	 0.00%	 0.92%	 1.39%	 1.80%	 $11.50
dmariner       	 0.17%	 0.35%	 0.57%	 4.49%	 $10.03
TboneJones     	 0.05%	 0.45%	 0.59%	 3.11%	  $8.17
BuddyBear      	 0.00%	 0.15%	 1.43%	 2.35%	  $7.56
Razz           	 0.00%	 0.23%	 0.23%	 0.27%	  $2.37
DoctorJ        	 0.00%	 0.00%	 0.00%	 0.54%	  $0.54
fitchjr1       	 0.00%	 0.03%	 0.10%	 0.02%	  $0.49
88159          	 0.00%	 0.00%	 0.00%	 0.38%	  $0.38
scavsiu8       	 0.00%	 0.00%	 0.00%	 0.23%	  $0.23
bearwins1      	 0.00%	 0.00%	 0.04%	 0.04%	  $0.16
Crayzee        	 0.00%	 0.00%	 0.02%	 0.07%	  $0.13
sonnythekid    	 0.00%	 0.00%	 0.00%	 0.13%	  $0.13
tomc2356       	 0.00%	 0.00%	 0.00%	 0.03%	  $0.04
Shooter        	 0.00%	 0.00%	 0.00%	 0.02%	  $0.02

*SBR Employee

See original analysis thread here.

durito · 03-23-07 01:14 AM

looks like texas a&m finished me off tonight.

thanks for posting these!

Illusion · 03-23-07 01:51 AM

Tennessee losing killed my 0.000000000000021% chance of cashing as well.

pags11 · 03-24-07 01:24 AM

GL the rest of the way guys...

Ganchrow · 03-24-07 07:50 AM

MAB's making a run for the finish line:

Code:

--ANY 100.00%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	 88.94%	  7.47%	  2.92%	  0.67%	 $943.69
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	 39.32%	 30.62%	 15.15%	 $342.95
eboppterp      	  0.00%	 19.20%	  9.58%	  8.65%	 $152.58
TboneJones     	  3.22%	 10.39%	  6.48%	 10.57%	 $124.57
dmariner       	  0.16%	  8.97%	 13.57%	 20.36%	 $116.50
barn8306       	  3.32%	  3.94%	  5.64%	  3.35%	  $77.16
nasdaq888      	  3.60%	  2.56%	  2.05%	  2.10%	  $59.63
88159          	  0.00%	  1.39%	  5.70%	  7.82%	  $33.28
mathewvick     	  0.55%	  2.16%	  1.37%	  1.65%	  $24.19
sonnythekid    	  0.00%	  0.00%	  5.07%	  4.06%	  $19.25
spliff         	  0.00%	  1.94%	  1.20%	  2.75%	  $17.99
tbanaheimfan   	  0.00%	  0.37%	  3.21%	  2.62%	  $14.47
DoctorJ        	  0.00%	  0.00%	  4.39%	  0.67%	  $13.83
36crazyfists   	  0.00%	  0.00%	  3.56%	  2.47%	  $13.15
tomc2356       	  0.00%	  1.15%	  0.40%	  0.62%	   $8.73
batlak         	  0.20%	  0.50%	  0.57%	  0.64%	   $7.35
Shooter        	  0.00%	  0.00%	  2.14%	  0.00%	   $6.41
Nightwolfkicksa	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.20%	  5.42%	   $6.01
BigD           	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.88%	  0.34%	   $2.99
rezster        	  0.00%	  0.27%	  0.39%	  0.11%	   $2.91
Sam FT         	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  2.42%	   $2.42
patswin        	  0.00%	  0.36%	  0.00%	  0.15%	   $2.32
Pegasus        	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  2.06%	   $2.06
gafl           	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  1.73%	   $1.73
Santo          	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  1.55%	   $1.55
jaypor236      	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.85%	   $0.85
Razz           	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.83%	   $0.83
Hilltopper     	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.07%	  0.28%	   $0.50
michiganfan08  	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.10%	   $0.10

--Florida(1) Nat Champion 24.00%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	100.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	$1,000.0
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	 55.09%	 22.06%	 22.84%	 $419.59
eboppterp      	  0.00%	 25.62%	 19.09%	  0.00%	 $211.02
88159          	  0.00%	  6.54%	 16.74%	 11.56%	 $101.02
dmariner       	  0.00%	  3.64%	 16.68%	 10.19%	  $82.06
spliff         	  0.00%	  9.11%	  5.64%	  4.99%	  $76.54
36crazyfists   	  0.00%	  0.00%	  7.05%	 10.90%	  $32.06
DoctorJ        	  0.00%	  0.00%	  8.69%	  3.13%	  $29.20
Sam FT         	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 11.38%	  $11.38
Santo          	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  7.28%	   $7.28

--Georgetown(2) Nat Champion 9.92%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	100.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	$1,000.0
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	 83.01%	 16.99%	  0.00%	 $549.03
dmariner       	  0.00%	  6.16%	  3.60%	 35.56%	  $83.30
DoctorJ        	  0.00%	  0.00%	 27.16%	  0.00%	  $81.48
Shooter        	  0.00%	  0.00%	 22.85%	  0.00%	  $68.54
36crazyfists   	  0.00%	  0.00%	 22.04%	  1.57%	  $67.70
barn8306       	  0.00%	  8.41%	  4.03%	  2.42%	  $64.98
nasdaq888      	  0.00%	  2.42%	  1.93%	  1.96%	  $22.27
Pegasus        	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 22.04%	  $22.04
tomc2356       	  0.00%	  0.00%	  1.40%	  6.68%	  $10.88
TboneJones     	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 10.24%	  $10.24
Razz           	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  8.91%	   $8.91
gafl           	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  7.55%	   $7.55
batlak         	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.86%	   $0.86

--Kansas(1) Nat Champion 15.92%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	 72.82%	 20.05%	  5.56%	  1.56%	 $866.80
barn8306       	 19.17%	  8.89%	 30.18%	 10.75%	 $346.30
TboneJones     	  8.01%	 26.84%	  9.25%	 19.63%	 $288.48
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	 31.36%	 21.09%	  8.39%	 $259.83
dmariner       	  0.00%	  8.86%	  8.94%	 16.62%	  $96.57
tbanaheimfan   	  0.00%	  4.00%	 15.43%	 20.81%	  $91.13
BigD           	  0.00%	  0.00%	  9.55%	  3.73%	  $32.39
sonnythekid    	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 11.92%	  $11.92

--Memphis(2) Nat Champion 17.59%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	 85.60%	 14.40%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 $942.41
dmariner       	  4.03%	 28.12%	  8.03%	  0.00%	 $233.17
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	 24.49%	 17.39%	 28.40%	 $227.48
TboneJones     	  0.00%	 26.58%	 10.36%	 22.76%	 $213.31
barn8306       	 10.36%	  6.42%	  3.22%	 14.05%	 $165.85
eboppterp      	  0.00%	  0.00%	 39.55%	 10.36%	 $129.03
sonnythekid    	  0.00%	  0.00%	 16.45%	  6.42%	  $55.77
Nightwolfkicksa	  0.00%	  0.00%	  4.99%	  9.68%	  $24.64
batlak         	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  3.22%	   $3.22

--North Carolina(1) Nat Champion 18.53%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	 81.39%	 12.65%	  3.99%	  1.96%	 $903.78
TboneJones     	 14.23%	 39.30%	 24.92%	 13.46%	 $466.28
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	 29.40%	 18.93%	 25.23%	 $258.43
dmariner       	  0.00%	  9.59%	 20.58%	 22.05%	 $141.33
nasdaq888      	  4.38%	  3.50%	  0.00%	  4.92%	  $69.73
barn8306       	  0.00%	  3.99%	  6.88%	  2.42%	  $47.01
88159          	  0.00%	  0.00%	 12.25%	 10.24%	  $47.00
tbanaheimfan   	  0.00%	  0.00%	 10.24%	  3.99%	  $34.70
eboppterp      	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  9.79%	   $9.79

--Ohio St(1) Nat Champion 10.63%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	 95.45%	  4.55%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 $981.80
dmariner       	  2.46%	 64.25%	 33.29%	  0.00%	 $509.94
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	 29.11%	 55.77%	  7.24%	 $349.20
Nightwolfkicksa	  0.00%	  0.00%	  3.04%	 54.44%	  $63.55
nasdaq888      	  2.09%	  2.09%	  5.94%	  0.00%	  $51.30
spliff         	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 26.14%	  $26.14
batlak         	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.59%	   $0.59

--Oregon(3) Nat Champion 4.19%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
nasdaq888      	 72.71%	 27.29%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 $890.85
MAB            	 27.29%	 54.42%	 18.29%	  0.00%	 $654.28
barn8306       	  0.00%	 18.29%	 15.76%	 23.76%	 $180.80
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	  0.00%	 34.23%	 31.96%	 $134.65
dmariner       	  0.00%	  0.00%	 18.38%	 18.49%	  $73.61
eboppterp      	  0.00%	  0.00%	 11.38%	  7.12%	  $41.26
Hilltopper     	  0.00%	  0.00%	  1.96%	  7.51%	  $13.39
TboneJones     	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 11.17%	  $11.17

--UCLA(2) Nat Champion 8.93%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	 85.55%	  2.14%	  8.86%	  3.45%	 $898.37
mathewvick     	 10.58%	 41.63%	 26.45%	 14.96%	 $449.95
dmariner       	  0.00%	  8.86%	 40.66%	 25.67%	 $200.78
tomc2356       	  0.00%	 22.19%	  5.21%	  0.00%	 $148.79
batlak         	  3.86%	  9.63%	 11.07%	  8.26%	 $137.94
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	  8.57%	  7.75%	 29.02%	 $103.73
patswin        	  0.00%	  6.97%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  $41.82
eboppterp      	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 13.85%	  $13.85
Nightwolfkicksa	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  4.78%	   $4.78

Ganchrow · 03-24-07 08:55 AM

And just in case anyone feels like playing with this, here are the st winners under each of the remaning 128 secnarios:

Code:

Florida    | Kansas     | North Ca   | Ohio St    | Florida    | North Ca   | Florida
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
88159          	$450 
Wade Wright    	$450 
spliff         	$100 

Florida    | Kansas     | North Ca   | Ohio St    | Florida    | North Ca   | North Ca
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
TboneJones     	$450 
Wade Wright    	$450 
dmariner       	$100 

Florida    | Kansas     | North Ca   | Ohio St    | Florida    | Ohio St    | Florida
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
spliff         	$600 
Wade Wright    	$200 
dmariner       	$200 

Florida    | Kansas     | North Ca   | Ohio St    | Florida    | Ohio St    | Ohio St
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
dmariner       	$600 
Wade Wright    	$300 
spliff         	$100 

Florida    | Kansas     | North Ca   | Ohio St    | Kansas     | North Ca   | Kansas
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
TboneJones     	$600 
tbanaheimfan   	$300 
Wade Wright    	$50 
dmariner       	$50 

Florida    | Kansas     | North Ca   | Ohio St    | Kansas     | North Ca   | North Ca
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
TboneJones     	$600 
Wade Wright    	$200 
dmariner       	$200 

Florida    | Kansas     | North Ca   | Ohio St    | Kansas     | Ohio St    | Kansas
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
dmariner       	$600 
Wade Wright    	$300 
TboneJones     	$100 

Florida    | Kansas     | North Ca   | Ohio St    | Kansas     | Ohio St    | Ohio St
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
dmariner       	$600 
Wade Wright    	$300 
TboneJones     	$100 

Florida    | Kansas     | North Ca   | Memphis    | Florida    | North Ca   | Florida
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
88159          	$600 
TboneJones     	$300 
Wade Wright    	$100 

Florida    | Kansas     | North Ca   | Memphis    | Florida    | North Ca   | North Ca
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
TboneJones     	$600 
88159          	$300 
Wade Wright    	$100 

Florida    | Kansas     | North Ca   | Memphis    | Florida    | Memphis    | Florida
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
eboppterp      	$600 
88159          	$300 
Wade Wright    	$100 

Florida    | Kansas     | North Ca   | Memphis    | Florida    | Memphis    | Memphis
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
eboppterp      	$600 
Wade Wright    	$300 
88159          	$50 
TboneJones     	$50 

Florida    | Kansas     | North Ca   | Memphis    | Kansas     | North Ca   | Kansas
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TboneJones     	$1,000 
tbanaheimfan   	$450 
MAB            	$450 
barn8306       	$100 

Florida    | Kansas     | North Ca   | Memphis    | Kansas     | North Ca   | North Ca
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TboneJones     	$1,000 
MAB            	$600 
tbanaheimfan   	$300 
88159          	$100 

Florida    | Kansas     | North Ca   | Memphis    | Kansas     | Memphis    | Kansas
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
TboneJones     	$600 
barn8306       	$300 
tbanaheimfan   	$100 

Florida    | Kansas     | North Ca   | Memphis    | Kansas     | Memphis    | Memphis
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
TboneJones     	$600 
eboppterp      	$300 
barn8306       	$50 
Wade Wright    	$50 

Florida    | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | Florida    | Georgeto   | Florida
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
DoctorJ        	$300 
gafl           	$100 

Florida    | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | Florida    | Georgeto   | Georgeto
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
DoctorJ        	$300 
gafl           	$50 
dmariner       	$50 

Florida    | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | Florida    | Ohio St    | Florida
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
spliff         	$300 
dmariner       	$100 

Florida    | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | Florida    | Ohio St    | Ohio St
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
dmariner       	$300 
Nightwolfkicksa	$100 

Florida    | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Kansas
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
BigD           	$300 
dmariner       	$100 

Florida    | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Georgeto
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
Shooter        	$300 
dmariner       	$100 

Florida    | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | Kansas     | Ohio St    | Kansas
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
dmariner       	$300 
barn8306       	$50 
Nightwolfkicksa	$50 

Florida    | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | Kansas     | Ohio St    | Ohio St
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
dmariner       	$600 
Wade Wright    	$300 
Nightwolfkicksa	$100 

Florida    | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Memphis    | Florida    | Georgeto   | Florida
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
36crazyfists   	$300 
88159          	$100 

Florida    | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Memphis    | Florida    | Georgeto   | Georgeto
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
36crazyfists   	$300 
Pegasus        	$100 

Florida    | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Memphis    | Florida    | Memphis    | Florida
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
eboppterp      	$300 
88159          	$50 
sonnythekid    	$50 

Florida    | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Memphis    | Florida    | Memphis    | Memphis
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
sonnythekid    	$300 
eboppterp      	$100 

Florida    | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Memphis    | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Kansas
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
barn8306       	$300 
TboneJones     	$100 

Florida    | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Memphis    | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Georgeto
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
Shooter        	$300 
TboneJones     	$100 

Florida    | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Memphis    | Kansas     | Memphis    | Kansas
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
barn8306       	$300 
sonnythekid    	$100 

Florida    | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Memphis    | Kansas     | Memphis    | Memphis
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
sonnythekid    	$300 
TboneJones     	$100 

Florida    | UCLA       | North Ca   | Ohio St    | Florida    | North Ca   | Florida
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
dmariner       	$300 
jaypor236      	$100 

Florida    | UCLA       | North Ca   | Ohio St    | Florida    | North Ca   | North Ca
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
dmariner       	$300 
TboneJones     	$100 

Florida    | UCLA       | North Ca   | Ohio St    | Florida    | Ohio St    | Florida
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$450 
dmariner       	$450 
Santo          	$100 

Florida    | UCLA       | North Ca   | Ohio St    | Florida    | Ohio St    | Ohio St
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
dmariner       	$600 
Wade Wright    	$300 
Nightwolfkicksa	$100 

Florida    | UCLA       | North Ca   | Ohio St    | UCLA       | North Ca   | UCLA
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
mathewvick     	$600 
dmariner       	$300 
Wade Wright    	$100 

Florida    | UCLA       | North Ca   | Ohio St    | UCLA       | North Ca   | North Ca
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
dmariner       	$600 
Wade Wright    	$300 
mathewvick     	$100 

Florida    | UCLA       | North Ca   | Ohio St    | UCLA       | Ohio St    | UCLA
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
mathewvick     	$1,000 
dmariner       	$600 
MAB            	$300 
batlak         	$33 
Wade Wright    	$33 
Nightwolfkicksa	$33 

Florida    | UCLA       | North Ca   | Ohio St    | UCLA       | Ohio St    | Ohio St
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
dmariner       	$1,000 
MAB            	$600 
Nightwolfkicksa	$300 
mathewvick     	$100 

Florida    | UCLA       | North Ca   | Memphis    | Florida    | North Ca   | Florida
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
eboppterp      	$300 
88159          	$100 

Florida    | UCLA       | North Ca   | Memphis    | Florida    | North Ca   | North Ca
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
TboneJones     	$300 
eboppterp      	$100 

Florida    | UCLA       | North Ca   | Memphis    | Florida    | Memphis    | Florida
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
eboppterp      	$600 
Wade Wright    	$300 
Sam FT         	$100 

Florida    | UCLA       | North Ca   | Memphis    | Florida    | Memphis    | Memphis
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
eboppterp      	$600 
Wade Wright    	$300 
dmariner       	$100 

Florida    | UCLA       | North Ca   | Memphis    | UCLA       | North Ca   | UCLA
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
mathewvick     	$600 
dmariner       	$300 
Wade Wright    	$100 

Florida    | UCLA       | North Ca   | Memphis    | UCLA       | North Ca   | North Ca
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
dmariner       	$600 
TboneJones     	$300 
Wade Wright    	$100 

Florida    | UCLA       | North Ca   | Memphis    | UCLA       | Memphis    | UCLA
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
mathewvick     	$600 
dmariner       	$300 
eboppterp      	$100 

Florida    | UCLA       | North Ca   | Memphis    | UCLA       | Memphis    | Memphis
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
dmariner       	$600 
eboppterp      	$300 
Wade Wright    	$100 

Florida    | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | Florida    | Georgeto   | Florida
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
DoctorJ        	$300 
36crazyfists   	$100 

Florida    | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | Florida    | Georgeto   | Georgeto
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
DoctorJ        	$300 
dmariner       	$100 

Florida    | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | Florida    | Ohio St    | Florida
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
dmariner       	$300 
Nightwolfkicksa	$100 

Florida    | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | Florida    | Ohio St    | Ohio St
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
dmariner       	$300 
Nightwolfkicksa	$100 

Florida    | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | UCLA       | Georgeto   | UCLA
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
tomc2356       	$600 
mathewvick     	$300 
dmariner       	$100 

Florida    | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Georgeto
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
dmariner       	$600 
Wade Wright    	$300 
tomc2356       	$50 
Nightwolfkicksa	$50 

Florida    | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | UCLA       | Ohio St    | UCLA
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
mathewvick     	$600 
dmariner       	$300 
batlak         	$33 
Wade Wright    	$33 
Nightwolfkicksa	$33 

Florida    | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | UCLA       | Ohio St    | Ohio St
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$800 
dmariner       	$800 
Nightwolfkicksa	$300 
Wade Wright    	$100 

Florida    | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Memphis    | Florida    | Georgeto   | Florida
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
36crazyfists   	$300 
DoctorJ        	$100 

Florida    | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Memphis    | Florida    | Georgeto   | Georgeto
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
36crazyfists   	$300 
Pegasus        	$100 

Florida    | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Memphis    | Florida    | Memphis    | Florida
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
eboppterp      	$300 
36crazyfists   	$100 

Florida    | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Memphis    | Florida    | Memphis    | Memphis
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
eboppterp      	$300 
sonnythekid    	$50 
dmariner       	$50 

Florida    | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Memphis    | UCLA       | Georgeto   | UCLA
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
tomc2356       	$600 
Wade Wright    	$300 
mathewvick     	$100 

Florida    | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Memphis    | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Georgeto
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
dmariner       	$300 
tomc2356       	$100 

Florida    | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Memphis    | UCLA       | Memphis    | UCLA
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
mathewvick     	$300 
dmariner       	$100 

Florida    | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Memphis    | UCLA       | Memphis    | Memphis
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
dmariner       	$300 
Nightwolfkicksa	$100 

Oregon     | Kansas     | North Ca   | Ohio St    | Oregon     | North Ca   | Oregon
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
nasdaq888      	$1,000 
MAB            	$600 
barn8306       	$300 
Wade Wright    	$50 
dmariner       	$50 

Oregon     | Kansas     | North Ca   | Ohio St    | Oregon     | North Ca   | North Ca
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
nasdaq888      	$1,000 
MAB            	$600 
TboneJones     	$300 
barn8306       	$100 

Oregon     | Kansas     | North Ca   | Ohio St    | Oregon     | Ohio St    | Oregon
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
nasdaq888      	$1,000 
MAB            	$600 
dmariner       	$300 
barn8306       	$100 

Oregon     | Kansas     | North Ca   | Ohio St    | Oregon     | Ohio St    | Ohio St
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
nasdaq888      	$800 
MAB            	$800 
dmariner       	$300 
barn8306       	$100 

Oregon     | Kansas     | North Ca   | Ohio St    | Kansas     | North Ca   | Kansas
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
barn8306       	$1,000 
MAB            	$600 
TboneJones     	$300 
nasdaq888      	$100 

Oregon     | Kansas     | North Ca   | Ohio St    | Kansas     | North Ca   | North Ca
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
TboneJones     	$600 
barn8306       	$300 
nasdaq888      	$100 

Oregon     | Kansas     | North Ca   | Ohio St    | Kansas     | Ohio St    | Kansas
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
barn8306       	$1,000 
MAB            	$600 
dmariner       	$300 
Wade Wright    	$100 

Oregon     | Kansas     | North Ca   | Ohio St    | Kansas     | Ohio St    | Ohio St
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
dmariner       	$600 
barn8306       	$300 
michiganfan08  	$100 

Oregon     | Kansas     | North Ca   | Memphis    | Oregon     | North Ca   | Oregon
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
nasdaq888      	$1,000 
barn8306       	$600 
MAB            	$300 
TboneJones     	$100 

Oregon     | Kansas     | North Ca   | Memphis    | Oregon     | North Ca   | North Ca
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
nasdaq888      	$1,000 
TboneJones     	$600 
barn8306       	$300 
MAB            	$100 

Oregon     | Kansas     | North Ca   | Memphis    | Oregon     | Memphis    | Oregon
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
nasdaq888      	$1,000 
barn8306       	$600 
MAB            	$300 
TboneJones     	$50 
eboppterp      	$50 

Oregon     | Kansas     | North Ca   | Memphis    | Oregon     | Memphis    | Memphis
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
barn8306       	$1,000 
nasdaq888      	$450 
MAB            	$450 
TboneJones     	$50 
eboppterp      	$50 

Oregon     | Kansas     | North Ca   | Memphis    | Kansas     | North Ca   | Kansas
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
barn8306       	$1,000 
TboneJones     	$600 
tbanaheimfan   	$200 
MAB            	$200 

Oregon     | Kansas     | North Ca   | Memphis    | Kansas     | North Ca   | North Ca
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TboneJones     	$1,000 
barn8306       	$600 
MAB            	$300 
tbanaheimfan   	$100 

Oregon     | Kansas     | North Ca   | Memphis    | Kansas     | Memphis    | Kansas
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
barn8306       	$1,000 
MAB            	$600 
TboneJones     	$300 
tbanaheimfan   	$100 

Oregon     | Kansas     | North Ca   | Memphis    | Kansas     | Memphis    | Memphis
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
barn8306       	$1,000 
MAB            	$600 
TboneJones     	$300 
eboppterp      	$100 

Oregon     | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | Oregon     | Georgeto   | Oregon
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
nasdaq888      	$600 
Wade Wright    	$300 
barn8306       	$50 
Hilltopper     	$50 

Oregon     | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | Oregon     | Georgeto   | Georgeto
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
nasdaq888      	$600 
Wade Wright    	$300 
barn8306       	$100 

Oregon     | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | Oregon     | Ohio St    | Oregon
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
nasdaq888      	$1,000 
MAB            	$600 
Wade Wright    	$300 
dmariner       	$100 

Oregon     | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | Oregon     | Ohio St    | Ohio St
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
dmariner       	$600 
nasdaq888      	$300 
Wade Wright    	$100 

Oregon     | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Kansas
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
barn8306       	$600 
Wade Wright    	$300 
BigD           	$100 

Oregon     | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Georgeto
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
barn8306       	$450 
Wade Wright    	$450 
Razz           	$100 

Oregon     | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | Kansas     | Ohio St    | Kansas
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
barn8306       	$600 
Wade Wright    	$300 
dmariner       	$100 

Oregon     | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | Kansas     | Ohio St    | Ohio St
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
dmariner       	$600 
barn8306       	$200 
Wade Wright    	$200 

Oregon     | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Memphis    | Oregon     | Georgeto   | Oregon
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
nasdaq888      	$600 
barn8306       	$200 
Hilltopper     	$200 

Oregon     | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Memphis    | Oregon     | Georgeto   | Georgeto
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
barn8306       	$600 
Wade Wright    	$300 
nasdaq888      	$100 

Oregon     | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Memphis    | Oregon     | Memphis    | Oregon
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
nasdaq888      	$1,000 
MAB            	$600 
barn8306       	$300 
Wade Wright    	$100 

Oregon     | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Memphis    | Oregon     | Memphis    | Memphis
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
barn8306       	$600 
Wade Wright    	$300 
nasdaq888      	$100 

Oregon     | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Memphis    | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Kansas
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
barn8306       	$600 
Wade Wright    	$300 
TboneJones     	$100 

Oregon     | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Memphis    | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Georgeto
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
barn8306       	$600 
Wade Wright    	$300 
Razz           	$100 

Oregon     | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Memphis    | Kansas     | Memphis    | Kansas
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
barn8306       	$1,000 
MAB            	$600 
Wade Wright    	$300 
sonnythekid    	$100 

Oregon     | Kansas     | Georgeto   | Memphis    | Kansas     | Memphis    | Memphis
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
barn8306       	$600 
Wade Wright    	$300 
sonnythekid    	$100 

Oregon     | UCLA       | North Ca   | Ohio St    | Oregon     | North Ca   | Oregon
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
nasdaq888      	$1,000 
MAB            	$600 
Wade Wright    	$200 
dmariner       	$200 

Oregon     | UCLA       | North Ca   | Ohio St    | Oregon     | North Ca   | North Ca
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
nasdaq888      	$600 
rezster        	$133 
Wade Wright    	$133 
dmariner       	$133 

Oregon     | UCLA       | North Ca   | Ohio St    | Oregon     | Ohio St    | Oregon
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
nasdaq888      	$1,000 
MAB            	$600 
dmariner       	$300 
Wade Wright    	$100 

Oregon     | UCLA       | North Ca   | Ohio St    | Oregon     | Ohio St    | Ohio St
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
dmariner       	$600 
nasdaq888      	$300 
Wade Wright    	$100 

Oregon     | UCLA       | North Ca   | Ohio St    | UCLA       | North Ca   | UCLA
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
patswin        	$600 
batlak         	$200 
mathewvick     	$200 

Oregon     | UCLA       | North Ca   | Ohio St    | UCLA       | North Ca   | North Ca
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
rezster        	$450 
dmariner       	$450 
patswin        	$50 
Wade Wright    	$50 

Oregon     | UCLA       | North Ca   | Ohio St    | UCLA       | Ohio St    | UCLA
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
batlak         	$800 
mathewvick     	$800 
dmariner       	$300 
MAB            	$100 

Oregon     | UCLA       | North Ca   | Ohio St    | UCLA       | Ohio St    | Ohio St
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
dmariner       	$1,000 
MAB            	$600 
Nightwolfkicksa	$300 
batlak         	$50 
mathewvick     	$50 

Oregon     | UCLA       | North Ca   | Memphis    | Oregon     | North Ca   | Oregon
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
nasdaq888      	$1,000 
MAB            	$600 
Wade Wright    	$300 
barn8306       	$100 

Oregon     | UCLA       | North Ca   | Memphis    | Oregon     | North Ca   | North Ca
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
nasdaq888      	$600 
TboneJones     	$300 
Wade Wright    	$100 

Oregon     | UCLA       | North Ca   | Memphis    | Oregon     | Memphis    | Oregon
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
nasdaq888      	$1,000 
MAB            	$600 
eboppterp      	$300 
Wade Wright    	$100 

Oregon     | UCLA       | North Ca   | Memphis    | Oregon     | Memphis    | Memphis
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
eboppterp      	$600 
nasdaq888      	$300 
Wade Wright    	$100 

Oregon     | UCLA       | North Ca   | Memphis    | UCLA       | North Ca   | UCLA
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
patswin        	$600 
batlak         	$200 
mathewvick     	$200 

Oregon     | UCLA       | North Ca   | Memphis    | UCLA       | North Ca   | North Ca
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
rezster        	$450 
dmariner       	$450 
TboneJones     	$100 

Oregon     | UCLA       | North Ca   | Memphis    | UCLA       | Memphis    | UCLA
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
batlak         	$450 
mathewvick     	$450 
dmariner       	$100 

Oregon     | UCLA       | North Ca   | Memphis    | UCLA       | Memphis    | Memphis
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
dmariner       	$600 
eboppterp      	$300 
Wade Wright    	$100 

Oregon     | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | Oregon     | Georgeto   | Oregon
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
nasdaq888      	$600 
Wade Wright    	$300 
dmariner       	$100 

Oregon     | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | Oregon     | Georgeto   | Georgeto
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
nasdaq888      	$300 
dmariner       	$100 

Oregon     | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | Oregon     | Ohio St    | Oregon
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
nasdaq888      	$600 
Wade Wright    	$300 
dmariner       	$100 

Oregon     | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | Oregon     | Ohio St    | Ohio St
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
dmariner       	$600 
Wade Wright    	$300 
Nightwolfkicksa	$100 

Oregon     | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | UCLA       | Georgeto   | UCLA
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
batlak         	$450 
tomc2356       	$450 
mathewvick     	$100 

Oregon     | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Georgeto
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
dmariner       	$600 
Wade Wright    	$300 
batlak         	$50 
tomc2356       	$50 

Oregon     | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | UCLA       | Ohio St    | UCLA
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
batlak         	$1,000 
MAB            	$600 
mathewvick     	$300 
dmariner       	$100 

Oregon     | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Ohio St    | UCLA       | Ohio St    | Ohio St
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$800 
dmariner       	$800 
Nightwolfkicksa	$300 
batlak         	$100 

Oregon     | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Memphis    | Oregon     | Georgeto   | Oregon
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
nasdaq888      	$600 
Wade Wright    	$300 
Hilltopper     	$100 

Oregon     | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Memphis    | Oregon     | Georgeto   | Georgeto
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
barn8306       	$300 
36crazyfists   	$100 

Oregon     | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Memphis    | Oregon     | Memphis    | Oregon
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
nasdaq888      	$600 
Wade Wright    	$300 
barn8306       	$100 

Oregon     | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Memphis    | Oregon     | Memphis    | Memphis
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
barn8306       	$300 
eboppterp      	$100 

Oregon     | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Memphis    | UCLA       | Georgeto   | UCLA
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
tomc2356       	$600 
batlak         	$300 
Wade Wright    	$100 

Oregon     | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Memphis    | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Georgeto
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
tomc2356       	$300 
dmariner       	$100 

Oregon     | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Memphis    | UCLA       | Memphis    | UCLA
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
batlak         	$600 
tomc2356       	$300 
Wade Wright    	$100 

Oregon     | UCLA       | Georgeto   | Memphis    | UCLA       | Memphis    | Memphis
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MAB            	$1,000 
Wade Wright    	$600 
dmariner       	$300 
batlak         	$100

jjgold · 03-24-07 09:53 AM

never heard of most of them, take their prize away

Ganchrow · 03-24-07 04:01 PM

So for those players still in contention and with EVs of at least $5, these are are the scenarios based on each of today's 4 possible outcome:

So for example, as far as this contest goes, nasdaq888 should be hoping for a Kansas and Ohio St victories. If this occurs his EV will be $83.67 and he'll have a 5.13% probability for taking 1^st. This is also the best outcome for MAB. who after Kansas and Ohio St victories would have a position woryh $961.33 with a 92.28% probability of 1^st place.

Code:

--Kansas and Memphis in Final Four 24.90%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	 87.78%	  7.91%	  3.51%	  0.80%	 $936.60
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	 35.68%	 30.27%	 17.09%	 $322.00
eboppterp      	  0.00%	 20.14%	  8.36%	 10.39%	 $156.32
TboneJones     	  3.87%	 12.47%	  7.77%	 12.69%	 $149.55
dmariner       	  0.19%	 10.08%	 14.40%	 20.31%	 $125.91
barn8306       	  3.99%	  4.05%	  6.28%	  3.45%	  $86.44
nasdaq888      	  3.27%	  2.23%	  2.46%	  2.53%	  $56.01
88159          	  0.00%	  1.03%	  6.21%	  8.56%	  $33.39
mathewvick     	  0.66%	  2.59%	  0.52%	  1.27%	  $24.94
sonnythekid    	  0.00%	  0.00%	  6.08%	  4.87%	  $23.11
spliff         	  0.00%	  2.33%	  1.44%	  2.03%	  $20.32
tbanaheimfan   	  0.00%	  0.44%	  3.86%	  3.14%	  $17.38
36crazyfists   	  0.00%	  0.00%	  3.48%	  0.18%	  $10.61
DoctorJ        	  0.00%	  0.00%	  3.05%	  0.00%	   $9.15
Nightwolfkicksa	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.24%	  5.98%	   $6.69
batlak         	  0.24%	  0.28%	  0.38%	  0.56%	   $5.77

--Kansas and Ohio St in Final Four 30.69%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	 92.28%	  5.45%	  1.78%	  0.49%	 $961.33
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	 33.37%	 39.85%	 17.72%	 $337.53
eboppterp      	  0.00%	 27.35%	  6.39%	  3.63%	 $186.91
dmariner       	  0.00%	 10.09%	 14.76%	 25.11%	 $129.92
TboneJones     	  0.00%	 11.07%	  7.04%	 11.01%	  $98.56
nasdaq888      	  5.13%	  3.64%	  2.92%	  1.73%	  $83.67
barn8306       	  2.59%	  2.07%	  3.05%	  2.97%	  $50.42
88159          	  0.00%	  1.98%	  8.12%	  8.59%	  $44.86
spliff         	  0.00%	  2.76%	  1.71%	  3.92%	  $25.62
DoctorJ        	  0.00%	  0.00%	  6.25%	  0.95%	  $19.71
36crazyfists   	  0.00%	  0.00%	  2.14%	  3.31%	   $9.72
mathewvick     	  0.00%	  0.73%	  0.85%	  1.52%	   $8.43
tomc2356       	  0.00%	  0.84%	  0.14%	  0.41%	   $5.88
Nightwolfkicksa	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  5.66%	   $5.66
Shooter        	  0.00%	  0.00%	  1.68%	  0.00%	   $5.04

--UCLA and Memphis in Final Four 19.90%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	 89.86%	  7.34%	  2.80%	  0.00%	 $951.02
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	 36.06%	 33.85%	 13.72%	 $331.64
eboppterp      	  0.00%	 29.91%	 14.92%	 13.48%	 $237.66
TboneJones     	  3.87%	  8.39%	  5.48%	 11.68%	 $117.17
barn8306       	  3.67%	  5.62%	  7.85%	  1.85%	  $95.90
dmariner       	  0.25%	  5.23%	  6.15%	 19.13%	  $71.47
nasdaq888      	  2.18%	  1.91%	  2.31%	  2.44%	  $42.61
sonnythekid    	  0.00%	  0.00%	  7.89%	  6.32%	  $29.99
88159          	  0.00%	  0.00%	  4.72%	 10.87%	  $25.04
mathewvick     	  0.00%	  2.42%	  1.98%	  2.42%	  $22.90
tomc2356       	  0.00%	  1.79%	  0.62%	  0.97%	  $13.59
tbanaheimfan   	  0.00%	  0.00%	  2.78%	  3.85%	  $12.21
Shooter        	  0.00%	  0.00%	  3.33%	  0.00%	   $9.98
36crazyfists   	  0.00%	  0.00%	  2.46%	  2.56%	   $9.96
batlak         	  0.17%	  0.64%	  0.74%	  0.60%	   $8.37

--UCLA and Ohio St in Final Four 24.51%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	 87.89%	  8.08%	  2.95%	  1.08%	 $937.34
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	 56.88%	 14.32%	 12.24%	 $396.46
TboneJones     	  5.22%	  8.04%	  7.01%	  8.54%	 $130.05
dmariner       	  0.26%	 10.06%	 17.13%	 14.07%	 $128.42
barn8306       	  2.87%	  4.75%	  6.87%	  2.86%	  $80.67
eboppterp      	  0.00%	  0.00%	 12.30%	 12.00%	  $48.92
nasdaq888      	  2.54%	  3.00%	  0.92%	  2.02%	  $48.19
mathewvick     	  0.89%	  3.50%	  2.22%	  2.68%	  $39.20
sonnythekid    	  0.00%	  0.00%	  7.16%	  6.16%	  $27.63
88159          	  0.00%	  1.40%	  3.47%	  6.88%	  $25.66
tbanaheimfan   	  0.00%	  0.60%	  5.21%	  4.24%	  $23.45
DoctorJ        	  0.00%	  0.00%	  7.11%	  1.08%	  $22.42
36crazyfists   	  0.00%	  0.00%	  5.77%	  4.00%	  $21.32
tomc2356       	  0.00%	  1.86%	  0.65%	  1.01%	  $14.14
batlak         	  0.32%	  0.81%	  0.93%	  0.89%	  $11.77
Nightwolfkicksa	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.32%	  8.16%	   $9.12
spliff         	  0.00%	  0.00%	  1.94%	  0.00%	   $5.83

pags11 · 03-25-07 12:01 AM

I'm rooting for razz to get that 83 cents...

Ganchrow · 03-25-07 12:59 AM

Originally Posted by pags11

I'm rooting for razz to get that 83 cents...

With tonight's UCLA and Ohio State victories, Razz has been officially eliminated from contention.

Ganchrow · 03-25-07 01:57 AM

And the latest:

Code:

--ANY 100.00%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	 86.18%	  9.72%	  2.98%	  1.12%	 $930.19
dmariner       	  5.95%	 32.77%	 44.27%	 12.50%	 $401.44
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	 45.72%	 28.94%	 10.96%	 $372.07
mathewvick     	  3.54%	  4.17%	  1.82%	 13.39%	  $79.23
nasdaq888      	  3.10%	  3.63%	  1.77%	  0.00%	  $58.10
Nightwolfkicksa	  0.00%	  0.00%	  7.33%	 18.87%	  $40.85
DoctorJ        	  0.00%	  0.00%	  9.96%	  0.00%	  $29.87
batlak         	  1.23%	  0.71%	  0.49%	  4.17%	  $22.18
rezster        	  0.00%	  1.65%	  2.30%	  0.65%	  $17.45
TboneJones     	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 13.45%	  $13.45
Santo          	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 10.65%	  $10.65
tomc2356       	  0.00%	  0.96%	  0.15%	  3.18%	   $9.37
jaypor236      	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  6.53%	   $6.53
patswin        	  0.00%	  0.68%	  0.00%	  1.65%	   $5.76

--Florida and Georgetown Advance 27.22%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	 85.91%	  9.52%	  3.32%	  1.25%	 $927.46
dmariner       	  6.64%	 34.58%	 41.40%	 12.69%	 $410.72
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	 43.67%	 29.08%	 11.56%	 $360.81
mathewvick     	  3.94%	  4.64%	  2.02%	 14.59%	  $87.95
nasdaq888      	  2.14%	  3.47%	  1.98%	  0.00%	  $48.15
Nightwolfkicksa	  0.00%	  0.00%	  8.16%	 21.03%	  $45.52
DoctorJ        	  0.00%	  0.00%	 11.09%	  0.00%	  $33.28
batlak         	  1.37%	  0.62%	  0.38%	  3.68%	  $22.24
rezster        	  0.00%	  1.84%	  2.56%	  0.73%	  $19.44
TboneJones     	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 14.99%	  $14.99
Santo          	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 11.87%	  $11.87
tomc2356       	  0.00%	  0.90%	  0.00%	  2.58%	   $7.96
patswin        	  0.00%	  0.76%	  0.00%	  1.84%	   $6.41

--Florida and North Carolina Advance 27.22%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	 85.91%	  9.52%	  3.32%	  1.25%	 $927.46
dmariner       	  6.64%	 34.58%	 41.40%	 12.69%	 $410.72
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	 43.67%	 29.08%	 11.56%	 $360.81
mathewvick     	  3.94%	  4.64%	  2.02%	 14.59%	  $87.95
nasdaq888      	  2.14%	  3.47%	  1.98%	  0.00%	  $48.15
Nightwolfkicksa	  0.00%	  0.00%	  8.16%	 21.03%	  $45.52
DoctorJ        	  0.00%	  0.00%	 11.09%	  0.00%	  $33.28
batlak         	  1.37%	  0.62%	  0.38%	  3.68%	  $22.24
rezster        	  0.00%	  1.84%	  2.56%	  0.73%	  $19.44
TboneJones     	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 14.99%	  $14.99
Santo          	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 11.87%	  $11.87
tomc2356       	  0.00%	  0.90%	  0.00%	  2.58%	   $7.96
patswin        	  0.00%	  0.76%	  0.00%	  1.84%	   $6.41

--Oregon and Georgetown Advance 10.21%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	 79.61%	 20.39%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 $918.43
dmariner       	 18.33%	 57.32%	 10.56%	 12.85%	 $571.81
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	  3.18%	 53.16%	 13.05%	 $191.59
mathewvick     	  0.00%	  5.49%	  4.54%	 40.18%	  $86.73
Nightwolfkicksa	  0.00%	  0.00%	 22.56%	 10.32%	  $77.99
rezster        	  0.00%	  5.08%	  5.08%	  0.00%	  $45.68
nasdaq888      	  0.00%	  5.14%	  3.18%	  0.00%	  $40.37
batlak         	  2.06%	  0.46%	  0.46%	  8.73%	  $33.50
tomc2356       	  0.00%	  2.94%	  0.46%	  9.79%	  $28.84
patswin        	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  5.08%	   $5.08

--Oregon and North Carolina Advance 17.06%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	 86.18%	  9.72%	  2.98%	  1.12%	 $930.19
dmariner       	  5.95%	 32.77%	 44.27%	 12.50%	 $401.44
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	 45.72%	 28.94%	 10.96%	 $372.07
mathewvick     	  3.54%	  4.17%	  1.82%	 13.39%	  $79.23
nasdaq888      	  3.10%	  3.63%	  1.77%	  0.00%	  $58.10
Nightwolfkicksa	  0.00%	  0.00%	  7.33%	 18.87%	  $40.85
DoctorJ        	  0.00%	  0.00%	  9.96%	  0.00%	  $29.87
batlak         	  1.23%	  0.71%	  0.49%	  4.17%	  $22.18
rezster        	  0.00%	  1.65%	  2.30%	  0.65%	  $17.45
TboneJones     	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 13.45%	  $13.45
Santo          	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 10.65%	  $10.65
tomc2356       	  0.00%	  0.96%	  0.15%	  3.18%	   $9.37
jaypor236      	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  6.53%	   $6.53
patswin        	  0.00%	  0.68%	  0.00%	  1.65%	   $5.76

Ganchrow · 03-25-07 01:58 AM

And based upon a given national champion:

Code:

--Florida(1) Nat Champion 26.00%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	100.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	$1,000.0
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	 79.85%	 20.15%	  0.00%	 $539.54
dmariner       	  0.00%	 20.15%	 68.96%	  0.00%	 $327.81
Santo          	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 40.31%	  $40.31
DoctorJ        	  0.00%	  0.00%	 10.89%	  0.00%	  $32.66
jaypor236      	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 24.69%	  $24.69
Nightwolfkicksa	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 24.12%	  $24.12
36crazyfists   	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 10.89%	  $10.89

--Georgetown(2) Nat Champion 10.34%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	100.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	$1,000.0
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	 56.04%	 43.96%	  0.00%	 $468.13
dmariner       	  0.00%	 43.96%	  0.00%	 56.04%	 $319.78
DoctorJ        	  0.00%	  0.00%	 48.92%	  0.00%	 $146.76
tomc2356       	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 21.98%	  $21.98
nasdaq888      	  0.00%	  0.00%	  7.13%	  0.00%	  $21.38
Nightwolfkicksa	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 15.98%	  $15.98
batlak         	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  5.99%	   $5.99

--North Carolina(1) Nat Champion 19.64%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	100.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	$1,000.0
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	 48.92%	 34.34%	  8.37%	 $404.91
dmariner       	  0.00%	 37.96%	 57.29%	  2.38%	 $402.01
rezster        	  0.00%	  5.99%	  8.37%	  2.38%	  $63.45
TboneJones     	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 48.92%	  $48.92
nasdaq888      	  0.00%	  7.13%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  $42.76
mathewvick     	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 31.97%	  $31.97
patswin        	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  5.99%	   $5.99

--Ohio St(1) Nat Champion 11.90%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	 64.27%	 35.73%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 $857.09
dmariner       	 35.73%	 45.96%	 18.31%	  0.00%	 $687.98
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	 18.31%	 33.27%	 16.42%	 $226.12
Nightwolfkicksa	  0.00%	  0.00%	 43.96%	 51.59%	 $183.45
mathewvick     	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 23.75%	  $23.75
nasdaq888      	  0.00%	  0.00%	  4.46%	  0.00%	  $13.38
batlak         	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  8.24%	   $8.24

--Oregon(3) Nat Champion 4.69%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
nasdaq888      	 65.00%	 35.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 $860.00
MAB            	 35.00%	 65.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 $740.00
dmariner       	  0.00%	  0.00%	 52.65%	 47.35%	 $205.31
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	  0.00%	 47.35%	 52.65%	 $194.69

--UCLA(2) Nat Champion 10.00%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	 53.12%	  6.58%	 29.31%	 10.99%	 $669.55
mathewvick     	 34.81%	 40.99%	 17.86%	  6.34%	 $653.99
dmariner       	  0.00%	 29.31%	 46.49%	 14.49%	 $329.85
batlak         	 12.07%	  6.98%	  4.85%	 18.98%	 $196.16
tomc2356       	  0.00%	  9.40%	  1.48%	  0.00%	  $60.86
patswin        	  0.00%	  6.73%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  $40.40
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 33.57%	  $33.57
Nightwolfkicksa	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 15.62%	  $15.62

Ganchrow · 03-25-07 06:41 AM

By popular demand (meaning someone actually asked for this), here are estimated win probabilities and expectations under various championship games match ups:

Code:

--ANY 100.00%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	 86.18%	  9.72%	  2.98%	  1.12%	 $930.19
dmariner       	  5.95%	 32.77%	 44.27%	 12.50%	 $401.44
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	 45.72%	 28.94%	 10.96%	 $372.07
mathewvick     	  3.54%	  4.17%	  1.82%	 13.39%	  $79.23
nasdaq888      	  3.10%	  3.63%	  1.77%	  0.00%	  $58.10
Nightwolfkicksa	  0.00%	  0.00%	  7.33%	 18.87%	  $40.85
DoctorJ        	  0.00%	  0.00%	  9.96%	  0.00%	  $29.87
batlak         	  1.23%	  0.71%	  0.49%	  4.17%	  $22.18
rezster        	  0.00%	  1.65%	  2.30%	  0.65%	  $17.45
TboneJones     	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 13.45%	  $13.45
Santo          	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 10.65%	  $10.65
tomc2356       	  0.00%	  0.96%	  0.15%	  3.18%	   $9.37
jaypor236      	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  6.53%	   $6.53
patswin        	  0.00%	  0.68%	  0.00%	  1.65%	   $5.76

--Florida/Georgetown Finals 7.16%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	100.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	$1,000.0
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	100.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 $600.00
DoctorJ        	  0.00%	  0.00%	100.00%	  0.00%	 $300.00
dmariner       	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 71.11%	  $71.11
36crazyfists   	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 28.89%	  $28.89

--Florida/Ohio St Finals 42.36%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	100.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	$1,000.0
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	 58.59%	 41.41%	  0.00%	 $475.76
dmariner       	  0.00%	 41.41%	 58.59%	  0.00%	 $424.24
Nightwolfkicksa	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 57.69%	  $57.69
Santo          	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 42.31%	  $42.31

--Florida/UNC Finals 16.24%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	100.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	$1,000.0
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	100.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 $600.00
dmariner       	  0.00%	  0.00%	100.00%	  0.00%	 $300.00
TboneJones     	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 67.34%	  $67.34
jaypor236      	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 32.66%	  $32.66

--Oregon/Georgetown Finals 1.04%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	100.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	$1,000.0
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	 66.51%	 33.49%	  0.00%	 $499.53
nasdaq888      	  0.00%	 33.49%	 66.51%	  0.00%	 $400.47
dmariner       	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	100.00%	 $100.00

--Oregon/Ohio St Finals 6.17%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	 93.08%	  6.92%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 $972.32
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	 77.61%	  8.09%	 11.95%	 $501.89
dmariner       	  0.00%	  4.27%	 57.69%	 35.68%	 $234.40
nasdaq888      	  6.92%	 11.19%	  6.39%	  0.00%	 $155.53
DoctorJ        	  0.00%	  0.00%	 25.48%	  0.00%	  $76.44
TboneJones     	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 48.42%	  $48.42
rezster        	  0.00%	  0.00%	  2.35%	  2.35%	   $9.40

--Oregon/UNC Finals 2.36%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	 92.94%	  7.06%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 $971.75
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	 56.38%	 10.56%	 18.40%	 $388.39
dmariner       	  0.00%	  0.00%	 57.53%	 15.39%	 $187.97
nasdaq888      	  7.06%	 14.87%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 $159.82
mathewvick     	  0.00%	 10.95%	  6.88%	  3.86%	  $90.18
DoctorJ        	  0.00%	  0.00%	 17.25%	  0.00%	  $51.76
jaypor236      	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 39.13%	  $39.13
tomc2356       	  0.00%	  5.73%	  0.90%	  0.00%	  $37.10
patswin        	  0.00%	  4.11%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  $24.63
36crazyfists   	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 17.25%	  $17.25
batlak         	  0.00%	  0.90%	  2.96%	  2.05%	  $16.35
rezster        	  0.00%	  0.00%	  3.92%	  3.92%	  $15.67

--UCLA/Georgetown Finals 6.43%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	100.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	$1,000.0
dmariner       	  0.00%	 85.18%	  0.00%	 10.78%	 $521.87
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	  0.00%	 85.18%	  0.00%	 $255.55
tomc2356       	  0.00%	 12.80%	  2.02%	 42.59%	 $125.44
mathewvick     	  0.00%	  0.00%	 10.78%	  4.04%	  $36.37
Nightwolfkicksa	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 30.98%	  $30.98
batlak         	  0.00%	  2.02%	  2.02%	 11.62%	  $29.80

--UCLA/Ohio St Finals 38.06%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	 38.28%	 38.13%	 17.15%	  6.43%	 $669.51
dmariner       	 34.28%	 27.61%	 34.27%	  3.85%	 $615.08
mathewvick     	 20.37%	 13.48%	  3.85%	 22.79%	 $318.93
Nightwolfkicksa	  0.00%	  0.00%	 42.17%	 29.27%	 $155.78
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	 17.57%	  2.56%	 20.62%	 $133.71
batlak         	  7.07%	  3.22%	  0.00%	 17.04%	 $107.00

--UCLA/UNC Finals 14.59%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	 97.28%	  2.72%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 $989.12
dmariner       	  0.00%	 42.48%	 47.33%	  7.40%	 $404.29
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	 25.94%	 40.46%	 16.55%	 $293.55
mathewvick     	  0.00%	 14.68%	  4.11%	 37.17%	 $137.61
rezster        	  0.00%	  6.71%	  6.71%	  0.00%	  $60.37
batlak         	  2.72%	  0.00%	  1.39%	  3.81%	  $35.20
Nightwolfkicksa	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 28.36%	  $28.36
nasdaq888      	  0.00%	  4.68%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  $28.09
patswin        	  0.00%	  2.79%	  0.00%	  6.71%	  $23.42

Ganchrow · 03-25-07 06:45 PM

Congratulations to MAB on clinching a share first place in the 2007 SBR NCAA Tournament Bracket contest with (so far) 52 wins and 264 points.

Code:

--ANY 100.00%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	 95.84%	  4.16%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 $983.37
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	 62.59%	  7.44%	 11.99%	 $409.84
dmariner       	  4.16%	 11.60%	 43.37%	 22.57%	 $263.83
mathewvick     	  0.00%	 11.03%	 10.63%	  0.00%	  $98.07
DoctorJ        	  0.00%	  0.00%	 30.25%	  0.00%	  $90.74
tomc2356       	  0.00%	 10.63%	  0.00%	  3.72%	  $67.49
Nightwolfkicksa	  0.00%	  0.00%	  8.31%	 39.74%	  $64.68
36crazyfists   	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 18.30%	  $18.30

--Florida/Georgetown Advance to Finals 30.24%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	100.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	$1,000.0
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	 74.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 $443.98
DoctorJ        	  0.00%	  0.00%	 74.00%	  0.00%	 $221.99
tomc2356       	  0.00%	 26.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 $156.02
mathewvick     	  0.00%	  0.00%	 26.00%	  0.00%	  $78.01
dmariner       	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 55.23%	  $55.23
36crazyfists   	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 44.77%	  $44.77

--Florida/Ohio St Advance to Finals 31.38%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	100.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	$1,000.0
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	 85.62%	 14.38%	  0.00%	 $556.85
dmariner       	  0.00%	 14.38%	 62.53%	 23.09%	 $296.96
Nightwolfkicksa	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 69.72%	  $69.72
DoctorJ        	  0.00%	  0.00%	 23.09%	  0.00%	  $69.28
tomc2356       	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  7.19%	   $7.19

--UCLA/Georgetown Advance to Finals 18.83%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	100.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	$1,000.0
dmariner       	  0.00%	 15.47%	 62.43%	 22.10%	 $302.21
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	 39.50%	 15.47%	  7.65%	 $291.02
mathewvick     	  0.00%	 22.94%	 22.10%	  0.00%	 $203.92
tomc2356       	  0.00%	 22.10%	  0.00%	  7.73%	 $140.33
Nightwolfkicksa	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 54.88%	  $54.88
batlak         	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  7.65%	   $7.65

--UCLA/Ohio St Advance to Finals 19.55%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	 87.29%	 12.71%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 $949.14
dmariner       	 12.71%	 12.71%	 74.57%	  0.00%	 $427.14
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	 40.83%	  0.00%	 36.68%	 $281.64
mathewvick     	  0.00%	 33.74%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 $202.46
Nightwolfkicksa	  0.00%	  0.00%	 25.43%	 52.08%	 $128.36
batlak         	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 11.25%	  $11.25

BuddyBear · 03-25-07 07:27 PM

I'd like for someone who actually has more than 1 post on here to win this thing....

Illusion · 03-25-07 08:00 PM

Originally Posted by BuddyBear

I'd like for someone who actually has more than 1 post on here to win this thing....

MAB is more of a baseball guy and contributes during the summer BB.

Congrats on a job well done MAB!!!

MAB · 03-25-07 08:09 PM

Thanks Illusion. You're right about baseball. I can't wait until the season begins to see what my Angels can do.

I have not followed college BB very closely, mainly due to a lack of time. When I chose my bracket, I pretty much went with the favorites with the exception of the Duke upset in the first round, and a few wins by UNLV.

Thanks SBR for a great contest. I hope Ganch is right in that I clinched it. He's seems like a bright guy so I'm feeling good. Georgetown had a couple close games but they pulled through.

pags11 · 03-26-07 12:30 AM

I've rarely seen ganchrow make a mistake...congrats MAB...

slacker00 · 03-26-07 06:24 AM

Congrats MAB!!!

I'm glad someone that posts on the message board won.

Now I can ask for a loan!

Ganchrow · 03-26-07 09:20 AM

Originally Posted by pags11

I've rarely seen ganchrow make a mistake...congrats MAB...

Trust me ... I make plenty. This time was no exception.

Not sure how I missed this in my last run but my software had been ignoring the possibility of a clinched tie for 1st place. In reality if Ohio St. defeats UCLA in the finals then MAB and dmariner will share 1st and 2nd places ($800 each). So in truth MAB has only clinched a share of 1st place.

My sincerest apologies. (You see what you get by supporting me, pags?)

For each specific remaining outcome:

Code:

--ANY 100.00%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	 95.84%	  4.16%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 $983.37
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	 62.59%	  7.44%	 11.99%	 $409.84
dmariner       	  4.16%	 11.60%	 43.37%	 22.57%	 $263.83
mathewvick     	  0.00%	 11.03%	 10.63%	  0.00%	  $98.07
DoctorJ        	  0.00%	  0.00%	 30.25%	  0.00%	  $90.74
tomc2356       	  0.00%	 10.63%	  0.00%	  3.72%	  $67.49
Nightwolfkicksa	  0.00%	  0.00%	  8.31%	 39.74%	  $64.68
36crazyfists   	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 18.30%	  $18.30

--Florida over Georgetown in Finals 18.30%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	100.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	$1,000.0
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	100.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 $600.00
DoctorJ        	  0.00%	  0.00%	100.00%	  0.00%	 $300.00
36crazyfists   	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	100.00%	 $100.00

--Florida over Ohio St in Finals 19.00%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	100.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	$1,000.0
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	100.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 $600.00
dmariner       	  0.00%	  0.00%	100.00%	  0.00%	 $300.00
Nightwolfkicksa	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	100.00%	 $100.00

--Georgetown over Florida in Finals 11.94%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	100.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	$1,000.0
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	100.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 $600.00
DoctorJ        	  0.00%	  0.00%	100.00%	  0.00%	 $300.00
dmariner       	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	100.00%	 $100.00

--Georgetown over UCLA in Finals 7.44%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	100.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	$1,000.0
dmariner       	  0.00%	100.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 $600.00
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	  0.00%	100.00%	  0.00%	 $300.00
Nightwolfkicksa	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 50.00%	  $50.00
tomc2356       	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 50.00%	  $50.00

--Ohio St over Florida in Finals 13.35%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	100.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	$1,000.0
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	100.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 $600.00
dmariner       	  0.00%	  0.00%	100.00%	  0.00%	 $300.00
Nightwolfkicksa	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	100.00%	 $100.00

--Ohio St over UCLA in Finals 8.31%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	 50.00%	 50.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 $800.00
dmariner       	 50.00%	 50.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 $800.00
Nightwolfkicksa	  0.00%	  0.00%	100.00%	  0.00%	 $300.00
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	100.00%	 $100.00

--UCLA over Georgetownin Finals 10.63%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	100.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	$1,000.0
tomc2356       	  0.00%	100.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 $600.00
mathewvick     	  0.00%	  0.00%	100.00%	  0.00%	 $300.00
dmariner       	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	100.00%	 $100.00

--UCLA over Ohio St in Finals 11.03%--
Player    	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	EV $
MAB            	100.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	$1,000.0
mathewvick     	  0.00%	100.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 $600.00
dmariner       	  0.00%	  0.00%	100.00%	  0.00%	 $300.00
Nightwolfkicksa	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 33.33%	  $33.33
Wade Wright    	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 33.33%	  $33.33
batlak         	  0.00%	  0.00%	  0.00%	 33.33%	  $33.33

pags11 · 03-27-07 02:38 AM

congrats again MAB...

Ganchrow · 04-02-07 09:13 AM

Regardless of the outcome of tonight's game, contest winners are:

MAB $1,000
Wade Wright $600
dmariner $300
Nightwolfkicksa $100

But really ... you guys are all winners.

pags11 · 04-02-07 07:35 PM

congrats guys...

Poster's Sportsbook Poll: 2011View Poll Results
# 1 5Dimes	450 total points	5Dimes Review
# 2 Pinnacle	408 total points	Pinnacle Review
# 3 Heritage	227 total points	Heritage Review
# 4 Bookmaker	138 total points	Bookmaker Review
# 5 BetIslands	129 total points	BetIslands Review

SBR Top-Rated SportsbooksRecommended List
Pinnacle Sports	SBR Rating A+	Pinnacle Sports Review
5Dimes	SBR Rating A+	5Dimes Review
BookMaker	SBR Rating A+	BookMaker Review
Legends	SBR Rating A+	Legends Review
Bodog	SBR Rating A	Bodog Review

Thread Tools

2007 Bracket Scenario Analysis Update

Saturday, March 24th -- Regional Finals

May Contests

Tuesday the 29th