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Old 11-03-09, 11:20 PM   #1
yisman
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Arrow SBR Best Bet thread - Wednesday November 4, 2009

Post your favorite bet of the day. You can use any sport you want, just make it clear. Post your favorite/best single play on any one prop, side, ML, or total.

No teasers or parlays. You may play money lines but only between -500 and +500. Scoring: -110 is risking 1.10 to win 1.00 and +110 is risking 1.00 to win 1.10 and so on

Post your play along with the odds and the sportsbook you got your line from. Also, post your record with each pick. At the request of several posters, please use current lines available from SBR Lines.

Do not edit your post or it will be graded as a -120 loss. If you decide to change a play, just quote the original play and post the new one. Plays must be posted before the official start time according to the league website.

Post your pick in the post with the line, and before or after the pick, post your name and record. If you don't post odds or your record, your play will be no action.


1. SexyMit 194-202-5 +34.36

2. BeatTheJerk 242-214-3 +32.53

3. pavyracer 216-205-6 +29.26

4. MilfDriller 54-33-5 +28.02

5. Shortstop 107-78-0 +26.11

6. t-bone 45-20-3 +24.15

7. capitalist pig 233-241-1 +20.58

8. 20Four7 119-102-3 +17.7

9. Richkas 223-148-3 +14.92

10. SlicWilly3 69-68-2 +13.53


11. xxdjstriderxx 39-32-1 +10.43
12. accuscoresucks 52-34-4 +10.12
13. Bostongambler 41-30-1 +7.2
14. slickfazzer 48-41-0 +6.95
15. Sinister Cat 56-55-0 +6.6
15. tripp 11-5-2 +6.6
17. bbyhill 30-25-0 +5.96
18. Hackattack 11-5-0 +5.95
19. FadeMe 13-7-0 +5.4
20. Frostno98 56-49-3 +5.3

fiveteamer 54-56-0 +4.65
AnotherLoan 14-9-0 +4.58
MakeMoney 18-13-0 +4.2
jmathes 62-53-1 +4.1
Microphone 4-0-0 +4.05
nosniboR11 11-7-0 +4.04
jellobiafra 12-7-0 +4.02
sbg20307 38-33-1 +3.55
shhhhh22 40-41-0 +3.44
Vesuvius 5-1-0 +3.41
njhudson 10-6-0 +3.37
roasthawg 88-71-2 +3.28
james4512 24-18-1 +3.22
mundane 25-23-0 +3.2
Avssakic 12-7-0 +3.1
betilimlbroke999 4-1-0 +2.9
Turnip 55-60-2 +2.7
FreeVICK 20-16-0 +2.52
trytrytry 20-17-1 +2.48
footballmoney 7-3-0 +2.3
darthfader 4-2-0 +2.27
jjgold 49-43-0 +2.12
fearless 4-1-0 +2.09
eidolon 2-0 +2.05
SpartyPt11 4-2-0 +2.01
Maniac0201 2-0-0 +2.00
thegenix 2-0-0 +2.00
Dad 3-2-0 +1.95
playersonly69 3-1-0 +1.9
shooterman 3-1-0 +1.9
tevari 1-1-0 +1.7
BJE 7-4-0 +1.67
element1286 11-9-0 +1.67
BatemanPatrick 12-9-0 +1.65
blackNgoldjuice 5-3-0 +1.6
Wrigley 9-8-0 +1.55
odusmykal 10-7-0 +1.44
Brock Landers 22-17-1 +1.34
l7ustin 5-4-1 +1.08
LittleGiant 1-0-0 +1.00
konck 1-0-0 +1.00
Nickelicious 1-0-0 +1.00
StraitShooter 2-1-0 +1.00
tblues2005 1-0-1 +1.00
TonyP 1-0-0 +1.00
crisp 62-49-1 +0.8
MrKLC 44-43-2 +0.65
Bob Harvey 4-3-0 +0.56
Vince Carter 6-2-0 +0.32
Shark79 36-36-2 +0.3
picochalk 153-67-1 +0.29
jattanz 8-7-0 +0.26
jayc88 42-38-2 +.23
Cabo 17-15-0 +0.2
firedawg 2-2-0 +0.2
Data 4-4-0 +0.07
nobshine 1-1-0 +0.07
Slim 49-43-0 +0.03
Marigold HD 39-35-0 +0.02
0====
The Meatman 28-34-1 -0.1
Capybara 16-15-2 -.15
PortsDave 1-1-0 -0.18
gamblin rose 4-4-0 -0.35
saminex 1-1-0 -0.38
TopCat 2-2-0 -0.50
Iwinyourmoney 25-26-1 -0.65
Sportsgirl 1-2-0 -0.67
Aceofspades 2-2-0 -0.72
j0hnnyv 7-10-0 -0.76
Billy Walters 0-1-0 -1.00
Joeygats 0-1-0 -1.00
MrMike 0-1-0 -1.00
PokerBeast 2-3-0 -1.00
Unitage 0-1-0 -1.00
Deuce 8-11-0 -1.02
mminkovski 0-1-0 -1.1
ijustwant2bpaid 0-1-0 -1.11
BillAccpetor 3-3-0 -1.21
eSTOXX 6-7-0 -1.26
alukk 0-1-0 -1.35
UntilTheNDofTimE 4-4-0 -1.43
McRich 37-35-3 -1.5
empty 9-10-0 -1.55
j$ 17-21-0 -1.64
Jimmy0607 6-7-1 -1.7
Cannaloop 0-1-0 -1.79
gizmo2431 11-12-0 -1.83
JSmooveFTW 2-3-0 -1.9
rake922 12-13-0 -1.95
Casperwaits 30-31-0 -2.06
brock 5-7-0 -2.1
Soxsfan9 0-2-0 -2.1
Forloveofthegame 3-4-0 -2.12
Ayn 10-14-0 -2.13
LT Profits 308-292-11 -2.15
TheIntegrityKid 0-2-0 -2.2
PayingTheJuice 0-2-0 -2.2
ManOfValue 37-37-0 -2.21
THEGREAT30 1-4-0 -2.3
CaDDyy 2-3-0 -2.4
SportsLocksPicks 5-7-0 -2.48
TPowell 5-7-0 -2.53
Skanless1 4-6-0 -2.6
Betplom 7-9-0 -2.85
RiverRaid 1-4-0 -3.34
Francescosol 14-16-1 -3.36
Sammy 32-21-0 -3.44
Sledge187 2-4-0 -3.6
rugbybdyb 7-9-1 -3.75
FrozenMAN 23-25-2 -3.93
RogueScholar 3-7-0 -4.00
Masu485 10-13-0 -4.07
rowdy rolex 0-4-0 -4.09
ryanspeer2001 5-5-0 -4.1
jgm1967 22-20-2 -4.12
Kaps 95-92-3 -4.34
MexicanStallion 54-38-1 -4.36
I.R.B 48-27-0 -4.64
vitalogist 5-8-0 -4.69
Wontoomanybets 5-10-0 -4.99
CaneDawg 10-12-0 -5.00
jtuck 23-23-0 -5.33
capperwizzard 10-16-0 -5.36
Chi archie 5-9-0 -5.39
ldrapeau 3-8-0 -5.71
JamesGenius 13-14-0 -6.1
darrell 74 11-21-0 -7.55
mr. leisure 145-150-5 -7.74
louisvillekid 167-188-3 -7.92
szaidi99 4-9-0 -8.15
BestPlay2day 60-64-1 -8.63
CashMoney 6-12-0 -9.28
diogee 70-75-2 -9.98

10. Junkman773 14-24-2 -11.86
9. jackpot269 18-32-1 -12.00
8. bigugly 21-29-1 -12.31
7. so im zach 22-26-0 -12.35
6. Wilforth 48-66-3 -13.53
5. junkyard Dog 22-34-3 -13.75
4. treece 229-244-3 -16.07
3. SportsGambler 46-58-0 -16.67
2. gm2022 47-62-2 -20.03
1. yisman 106-127-1 -43.17

Last edited by yisman; 11-04-09 at 01:23 AM.
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Old 11-03-09, 11:21 PM   #2
yisman
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MilfDriller View Post
try that again:

This is for next Saturday. Let me know if this is not allowed.

Oregon to win by by 13+. They will cover the spread easy.

SAT:

OREGON -5.0 > STANFORD, -106, PINNY
MilfDriller 54-33-5 +28.02

Last edited by yisman; 11-03-09 at 11:26 PM.
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Old 11-03-09, 11:30 PM   #3
yisman
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nice job, tripp. You picked exactly the right time to take Robredo. The line dropped overnight and then came back up in the morning.



Sexy and MilfD continue their assault on the top of the leaderboard.

pavy almost joined another top 5 party, but took a tough .5 point loss on Washington/Cleveland.

Last edited by yisman; 11-03-09 at 11:35 PM.
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Old 11-03-09, 11:34 PM   #4
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Or BTJ. He has to be hitting around 67% for the past 2 months.
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Old 11-03-09, 11:40 PM   #5
yisman
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big hit for Kaps on Pistons ML +385.

Quote:
Originally Posted by MilfDriller View Post
Or BTJ. He has to be hitting around 67% for the past 2 months.
No question, but I was summarizing Tuesday's wins.

Anyway, let's visit the wayback machine and go back to December 2008.

Top 10:

1. Richkas 109-64-1 +26.90

2. LT Profits 168-140-6 +21.21

3. woodg8 63-46-1 +17.20

4. IHPuller 50-33-0 +15.30

5. Kaps 57-43-1 +15.01

6. RyanXL977 45-39-0 +13.78

7. accuscoresucks 44-25-3 +13.65

8. Pico 12-1-0 +11.00

9. Gordon Gekko 72-53-1 +10.44

10. Capybara 12-2-2 +10.20

Last edited by yisman; 11-03-09 at 11:43 PM.
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Old 11-04-09, 12:38 AM   #6
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MilfDriller View Post
Or BTJ. He has to be hitting around 67% for the past 2 months.
I'm like aprox ............. 29-7 +27.00 units last 36 for a rough estimate. It's been a nice run in this thread as of late.
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Old 11-04-09, 01:10 AM   #7
tripp
 
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15. tripp 11-5-2 +6.6

Phils +186 pinny
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Old 11-04-09, 01:12 AM   #8
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Hard to lay off this. Bad price, but Wackthemayo has covered -5 only once in her last approx. 22 matches. And that cover was in a qualy round of New Haven. I've got her at 14-19 SU in events last few years... and she is facing a woman who fights to the death. I believe she was down 6-4, 5-1 MP in Seoul and she went on to win the tourney. Match sched start 230am, Wed.

MilfDriller 54-33-5 +28.02

Date-Krumm +5.0 > Wickmayer, -130, Pinny
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Old 11-04-09, 01:24 AM   #9
yisman
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BTJ and t-bone continue their great runs.

Uncle Richie with another big ML loser with Portland.
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Old 11-04-09, 02:05 AM   #10
pico
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picochalk 153-67-1 +0.29

New York Yankees
A. Pettitte ml -201 pinnacle
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Old 11-04-09, 02:07 AM   #11
pico
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side bets

http://forum.sbrforum.com/sbr-points...-best-bet.html
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Old 11-04-09, 02:07 AM   #12
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11. xxdjstriderxx 39-32-1 +10.43
phillies +185 pinny
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Old 11-04-09, 04:04 AM   #13
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MilfDriller 54-33-5 +28.02

Date-Krumm +5.0 > Wickmayer, -130, Pinny
[/quote]


6-6 in the first. This will cover no worries. Kimiko fights like a fvcking animal. She is a bull.


Win

55-33-5 +29.02
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Old 11-04-09, 06:57 AM   #14
mundane
 
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mundane 25-23-0 +3.2

NBA Hawks -4.5 (-120) *NV sportsbook
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Old 11-04-09, 07:23 AM   #15
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2. BeatTheJerk 242-214-3 +32.53

Florida Panthers -126 (pinny)
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Old 11-04-09, 08:10 AM   #16
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jmathes 62-53-1 +4.1

phillies -1 1/2 runs (+255) 5dimes

almost took -2 1/2 runs for (+365) but i didnt want to be too greedy.
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Old 11-04-09, 08:14 AM   #17
SexyMit
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Quote:
Originally Posted by yisman View Post
big hit for Kaps on Pistons ML +385.



No question, but I was summarizing Tuesday's wins.

Anyway, let's visit the wayback machine and go back to December 2008.

Top 10:

1. Richkas 109-64-1 +26.90

2. LT Profits 168-140-6 +21.21

3. woodg8 63-46-1 +17.20

4. IHPuller 50-33-0 +15.30

5. Kaps 57-43-1 +15.01

6. RyanXL977 45-39-0 +13.78

7. accuscoresucks 44-25-3 +13.65

8. Pico 12-1-0 +11.00

9. Gordon Gekko 72-53-1 +10.44

10. Capybara 12-2-2 +10.20
Now find my name in Dec 08, see how far down I was. Way down almost in the bottom 10
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Old 11-04-09, 09:23 AM   #18
pavyracer
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pavyracer 216-205-6 +29.26

Hawks -5 -102 (pinnacle)
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Old 11-04-09, 11:07 AM   #19
SexyMit
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New Orleans -2.5 1st half -105 (pinnacle)

194-202-5 +34.36
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Old 11-04-09, 11:12 AM   #20
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jellobiafra 12-7-0 +4.02

Lakers -2 -114 (Pinny)
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Old 11-04-09, 11:34 AM   #21
yisman
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MilfDriller View Post
MilfDriller 54-33-5 +28.02

Date-Krumm +5.0 > Wickmayer, -130, Pinny

6-6 in the first. This will cover no worries. Kimiko fights like a fvcking animal. She is a bull.


Win

55-33-5 +29.02[/quote]

You only won by one game!
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Old 11-04-09, 11:35 AM   #22
yisman
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yisman 106-127-1 -43.17

Philadelphia Phillies +3 (-263) - 5 Dimes
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Old 11-04-09, 11:45 AM   #23
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james4512 24-18-1 +3.22
Lakers -2.5 -103 Pinny straight from sbrlines
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Old 11-04-09, 11:48 AM   #24
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odusmykal 10-7-0 +1.44

Phillies ML +185 LooseLines
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Old 11-04-09, 12:25 PM   #25
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512 Minny +11.5 -105 betphoe

louisvillekid 167-188-3 -7.92
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Old 11-04-09, 01:01 PM   #26
SamsNCharge99
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Sammy 32-21-0 -3.44

Orlando Magic ML -360
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Old 11-04-09, 01:21 PM   #27
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Quote:
Originally Posted by yisman View Post
6-6 in the first. This will cover no worries. Kimiko fights like a fvcking animal. She is a bull.


Win

55-33-5 +29.02
You only won by one game![/quote]


I'm happy to clarify this for you.

Score of the match was 7-6, 0-2* in the 2nd. So 2 games into the 2nd set she had already guaranteed a push. If she won 1 of the next 6 games (what price would you pay for that in-game?), it would win. And that's what happened.

Also, at 6-6 in the first set you know that if she loses the TB, she has only to win 2 games for a push. If she wins 3, she covers. Given that Wicky hadn't covered the -5 in less than 5% of her last 20 matches, I liked my chances.

To put this in basketball terms, let's say you have -1.5 and are up by 10 with 11 seconds go... but win by 2 pts (and you had led by 10 pts ever since the middle of the first quarter). At the end of the game they hit a 2 at 9 secs, the other team misses 4 ft's while they make two 3-ptrs. 2-pt win. You read the paper in the morning and you say, 'wow, my -1.5 covered by half a point'... yet it was not really ever in question.

Plus tennis has limited outcomes with lower frequencies .... 8-7-6-5....1-0.

Anyways, it was an easy cover imo, even tho the scoreline says 1 game.
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Old 11-04-09, 01:33 PM   #28
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Old 11-04-09, 01:46 PM   #29
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Milf, you posted that it was a winner when it was in the first set. I'm just pointing out that while sending the first set to a tiebreaker makes her very likely to cover, it's no guarantee.

If DK had won the tiebreaker and then lost the next two sets, it could easily have been a Wickmayer cover.
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Old 11-04-09, 01:50 PM   #30
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Highly unlikely, imo. Kimiko was up a break twice in the first set (... and up a break in the 2nd set.)

Plus w/ the history of Wick not covering (and Kimiko had only been -5'd in something like 1 of her last 20 as well), odds were extremely good.

I see what you're saying, tho. You are correct. Nothing is over till it's over.
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Old 11-04-09, 01:51 PM   #31
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Old 11-04-09, 05:33 PM   #32
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Old 11-04-09, 06:02 PM   #33
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Old 11-04-09, 07:05 PM   #34
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Old 11-04-09, 07:19 PM   #35
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Quote:
Originally Posted by yisman View Post
yisman 106-127-1 -43.17

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changing pick. I could change to the over, but I'll get off the game entirely.


yisman 106-127-1 -43.17

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