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  1. 10-21-09 03:56 AM #1
    seaborneq
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    Default Please explain this to me

    Nuggets are the fave to win the division +110, yet the over/under for the Blazers wins are higher. Blazers are +200 to win the division. Blazers 53.5 and Nuggets 52.5, what is the book trying to tell you? Feedback.
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  2. 10-21-09 04:20 AM #2
    fearless
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    They're trying to get two sided or multi-sided action on both bets and that's where the lines have to be to get the desired result.

    That's my opinion. You could read into that the market is telling us that the Blazers have a better than +200 shot to win the division.
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  3. 10-21-09 09:53 AM #3
    seaborneq
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    I would think that the team expected to win more games would more games would also be favored to win the division. Last I checked, that was how you won the division. Now I feel the Blazers to win the division is a sucker bet, because I sure don't feel they will win 54 or more games, but I think that the Nuggets could definitely win 53+ games.
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  4. 10-21-09 11:11 AM #4
    dwaechte
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    Chances are it's just a minor market inefficiency, but it's possible it's created by different distributions for each team.
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  5. 10-26-09 11:20 AM #5
    shantystar
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    nuggets sure win follows some advices by posters here.
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  6. 10-26-09 11:22 AM #6
    jayc88
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    Quote Originally Posted by shantystar View Post
    nuggets sure win follows some advices by posters here.
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  7. 10-26-09 11:24 AM #7
    Bread
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    Quote Originally Posted by shantystar View Post
    nuggets sure win follows some advices by posters here.
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  8. 10-26-09 11:48 AM #8
    MrMonkey
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bread View Post
    Be careful about the above poster's advice today! He was sick and still went to work! When he wakes up from his nap for MNF, resume taking his advice seriously! Yea, he's a pro!
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  9. 10-26-09 12:11 PM #9
    bpw6
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    Yes I would agree
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  10. 10-26-09 02:45 PM #10
    SheistyMike
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    This means nothing. Season future prices are a reflection of a books investment on a team, or their hold i guess you would say. Do not compare these numbers as a handicapping tool
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