[Fishhead]

Game at 13.5 still at many, many outlets.

If you like Missouri, attack now!!

[fsugolf]

attttttttttttack

FH

[themajormt]

Good Looks Fish!

[durito]

that move is almost worthless

[Mudcat]

Lines actually move quite a bit. It's fairly routine.

I hope we're not going to get a new thread every time there is a move like that.

[jayc88]

that move is almost worthless

agree
makes no sense to take +13.5 -110 at some books

[Fishhead]

I'm speechless(writeless) after posts 4-6 in this thread.

[durito]

If the fair line on a ncaaf game is +12.5 -106/-12.5 -104 as pinny has now, what is the fair price of +13.5? (ignore the total since there isn't one)

[Fishhead]

I was fortunate to get +14 on this game.

If one does not understand the value of beating the opening numbers(or those close to it) in CFB(especially on Monday/Tuesdays), I would suggest to them to brush up on their sportsbetting education by either searching various gaming websites and/or picking up some reading material at the GamblersBookShop.

[durito]

I was fortunate to get +14 on this game.

If one does not understand the value of beating the opening numbers(or those close to it) in CFB(especially on Monday/Tuesdays), I would suggest to them to brush up on their Sportsbetting education by either searching various gaming websites and/or picking up some reading material at the GamblersBookShop.

lol

answer my question: what is that pt from 13.5 to 12.5 worth?

[Fishhead]

I was fortunate to get +14 on this game.

If one does not understand the value of beating the opening numbers(or those close to it) in CFB(especially on Monday/Tuesdays), I would suggest to them to brush up on their sportsbetting education by either searching various gaming websites and/or picking up some reading material at the GamblersBookShop.

Anyone that was able to get +13.5 on Missouri(or hopefully better), has a superlative wager........WIN or LOSE.

[durito]

Anyone that was able to get +13.5 on Missouri(or hopefully better), has a superlative wager........WIN or LOSE.

lol

tell me, how often does the 13 push ?

[durito]

anyone?

[fsugolf]

.18456465%

[Fishhead]

Ask yourself this Durito, why is Pinnacle at +12.5 and not +13.5.............and why are there not any +13.5's available any longer at the majority of shops since this post was initiated, which at the time there were many, many places where one could have snatched up +13.5........or better.


From there, do what I suggested in post #9.

[durito]

Ask yourself this Durito, why is Pinnacle at +12.5 and not +13.5.............and why are there not any +13.5's available any longer at the majority of shops since this post was initiated, which at the time there were many, many places where one could have snatched up +13.5........or better.


From there, do what I suggested in post #9.

again, lol.

That point is worth less than 5 cents. 13 pushes less than 1% of the time.

13.5 -110 is virtually the same as 12.5 -105

Beating the closing # is irrelevant if the points you get aren't worth anything.

Don't believe me? Look at the pinnacle drop downs.

[Fishhead]

again, lol.

That point is worth less than 5 cents. 13 pushes less than 1% of the time.

13.5 -110 is virtually the same as 12.5 -105

Beating the closing # is irrelevant if the points you get aren't worth anything.

Don't believe me? Look at the pinnacle drop downs.

Do you know who your talking to????



My BEST suggestion is again to do what I suggested in post #9, it will be time and effort well spent.

[durito]

Do you know who your talking to????



My BEST suggestion is again to do what I suggested in post #9, it will be time and effort well spent.

[Fishhead]

A move at PINNY at 8am ET on a Tuesday whether it be from 13.5 to 12.5 or 20.5 to 19.5 is much more then just about what percentage of a game falls on a certain number .......(but make not misake about it, EVERY HALF POINT one can get is gravy).........especially when this game opened at 14.5 some shops and there were still a few +14's out there in the world.


Again, and I obviously cannot stress this to you and others enough, do as I suggested in post #9.

I actually like Missouri in this spot to go along with the line movement........I'm on Mizzou at +14 as just ONE of my MANY plays for this coming weekend. I would have to believe that Texas will have some type of letdown after the Red River Valley tussle and who knows, perhaps McCoys bad thumb could be worse then first anticipated.

It's been a great CFB season thus far, both as a fan and sportsbettor!



Best of luck,
FH

[durito]

you ever see pinny move from -3.5 +110 to -3 -115 NFL and go jump on +3.5 -125 at another book?

[durito]

Yea I really don't have any idea what I'm doing. Which books are your referring to? Hopefully sharp sports betting is one. Perhaps you should re-read the chapter on half points.

[durito]

You should read this too: Expected Value vs Expected Growth (Kelly criterion Part I)

Maybe then you might stop scalping props with $200 limits

[Fishhead]

Again, do you know who I am?????

By the way, nobody on this board knows how I successfully wager year in and year out and the MANY methods I use in my madness.......not Billsfan, not The General, not you, nor any sportsbook in the world.

However, if you read many of my articles on the internet and in print, you may come somewhat close. In fact, some of things you may be reading and take to heart may have actually be written by me, and you don't even realize it.



ps- Off to MOE'S for a durito, I mean a burrito.

[BigDaddy]

LOL!

"do you know who i am"

LOL!

[Fishhead]

LOL!

"do you know who i am"

LOL!

.....damn kids.

[MonkeyF0cker]

Holy fuk. Fishhead is such a fukkin square.

[dwaechte]

LMAO. Oh dear God this thread makes me so happy. I needed a good laugh.

Fishhead, keep your posts in JJ and otw's threads and save yourself the embarassment.

[Tomato]

It moved from 13.5 to 12.5! Right through 13!

OMG TOMATO MUST BET NAO!!! I GOTTA BEAT 13!!!

[JohnnyC]

This thread just shows why Fishead is still scalping at age 60

[Fishhead]

Ok, taking +12.5 is better then taking +13.5(or +14)...........me bad.

EVERY FREAKING HALF POINT IS IMPORTANT, NO MATTER HOW SMALL!!

Secondly, this has much more importance then just getting the best number and if anyone can't figure that out I once again recommend you do what I recomended in post #9 in this thread.

I have a fantastic suggestion for those not interested or not seeing relevance in this information,........ "ignore it"..........your certainly not obligated to do ANYTHING with it and you shouldn't have to. I can certainly respect that.

[MonkeyF0cker]

The point is, Fishhead, that if someone bet +13.5 -110 and the line closes at +12.5 -110, they STILL have a -EV wager and they DIDN'T actually beat the closing number...

[InTheHole]

These are classic threads.

[Fishhead]

The point is, Fishhead, that if someone bet +13.5 -110 and the line closes at +12.5 -110, they STILL have a -EV wager and they DIDN'T actually beat the closing number...

May I recommend to you a double scotch on the rocks............

[InTheHole]

Do you know who your talking to????



My BEST suggestion is again to do what I suggested in post #9, it will be time and effort well spent.

[Fishhead]

These are classic threads.

I've started about 5,434 of them in my posting career.