Pinnacle leaning towards Cent Mich.

SBR_John · 12-24-2006, 11:34 PM

With the board painted between -9 and even -9.5, Pinnacle has Cent Mich at -8 -105. Take note.

What does Pinny know anyway

, I like Cent Mich

bigboydan · 12-24-2006, 11:34 PM

I already have John

MoneyGuru · 12-25-2006, 12:22 AM

Hi

What are the chances that this contest will return next year?

Is there any contest available for different sports?
NBA
MLB
College baskets

Please advise.

Thank you

bigboydan · 12-25-2006, 12:24 AM

If your referring to the "Beat the Prick" contest, then yes it will return next year. However, thats the only contest we have going at this time bud.

pags11 · 12-25-2006, 01:47 AM

here's the plan...fade my ass...I have Mid Tenn. St. +11...hope this helps...

bigboydan · 12-25-2006, 01:48 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pags11

here's the plan...fade my ass...I have Mid Tenn. St. +11...hope this helps...

It's been a rough year for dogs this year Pags. However, I won't fade you on games I like.

pags11 · 12-25-2006, 01:55 AM

it's been rough is an understatement dan...

SBR_John · 12-25-2006, 10:54 PM

Even with Pinny and a lot of sharps backing Mid Tenn St I still like Cent Mich. That many points is asking for trouble I will admit that.

But if you look at how MTS played teams with winning records you will see they were not just beaten but completely destroyed.

I will also note the sharps were all over Arizona St and to a lesser degree Tulsa. Reading the tea leaves is tough for both squares and sharps in these bowl games.

bigboydan · 12-25-2006, 10:57 PM

You must be loving the fact that this line is currently at 7.5 at pinny right now then uh John.

I personally feel the value has been sucked dry out of this game right now, and will only move back up when we get closer to game time.

SBR_John · 12-25-2006, 11:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by bigboydan

You must be loving the fact that this line is currently at 7.5 at pinny right now then uh John.

I personally feel the value has been sucked dry out of this game right now, and will only move back up when we get closer to game time.

We saw the same thing with Arizona St vs Hawaii. Big line move on ASU only to see the sharps on the wrong end of a 41-17 beating.

Its good to take note and even lower your wager if you are backing CMU. But these sharp moves are a bit of herd mentality. Win or lose I will take solid capping over sharp moves any day of the week.

bigboydan · 12-25-2006, 11:39 PM

We have seen a lot of sharp moves these bowl season that lost though as you mentioned above. However, I will continue to bet value when I see it.

onlòóker · 12-26-2006, 12:34 AM

Im with you on that point about the value being sucked out of Middle Tennessee State. I was leaning toward them earlier at +11 and even +9.5, but I dont know about +7.5.

Also cant go with the public, just because they have been cashing this bowl season. It can turn, on the post christmas bowls. You have to continue to bet the value.

pags11 · 12-26-2006, 02:52 AM

guys,

it's important not to think about what a game's line "was", but what it "should be"...my take on this game is that with all of the coaching changes (head and assistant) for CMU, not to mention MTSU being underrated coming into this game, anything over a TD was attractive to me...so base it on the current line, not the opening one...GL on whatever side you choose...

jjgold · 12-26-2006, 06:53 AM

Trap game, the pinny lean method is a great way to go broke though.

No method works unless you do not bet which of course is the best system in the world.