[MilfDriller]

More on this later.



Rogers Cup QF Tennis - Fri 8/14

GameSpreadMoney LineTotal PointsMore Fri 8/141003A. Murray
-338

10:05 AM1004N. Davydenko
+303
Fri 8/141005A. Roddick
-124

04:05 PM1006N. Djokovic
+115
Fri 8/141007J.M. Del Potro
+145

05:30 PM1008R. Nadal
-157

[MilfDriller]

I love how this shit posts clearly and precisely.

[MilfDriller]

Try this again.

Fed -525
Tsong +457

Mrry -309
Dvy +279

Arod -120
Djok +111

Pony +132
Rafa -143

[MilfDriller]

So.....

Fed? --- No bet. No read on this match, really. ML, Side, total... all trash

Mry? --- He can get beat by Dvy... but ML either way is too risky. HC for Davy? Can't trust the Russian. No action in any which way.

Arod? --- Arod at a great price. Playing great, a winner's luck is on his side right now, Djokr looked non-confident as he looked on from the booth while watching Arod... Djoker is a pussy and a quitter. But can't bet this match w/ true conviction. Arod likely winner. No easy cash angles

Pony? --- Ah yes, the future #1 player of the world... and future Slam winner. When you get future #1's at (+) money before they hit the jackpot.... you can't go wrong w/ them over the long run. And Rafa coming off an injury.. this sets up a beaute of scenario. But what? The Pony ML? No can do.

Rafa is still the best player in the world and his true form is unknown. Plus he fights to the death like no other and keeps coming back for more after you've beaten the shit out of him... and then eventually wins.

Here's the cash angle. Pony on the +2.5 (if they give it). You get back in the game w/ small steps and then, when able, you enjoy the full sprint. Rafa is not in true form yet. You take the +2.5 recognizing that Pony can win this SU... or you see a Rafa comeback late in the third set. The golden nugget w/ this is that Rafa will likely receive to start the match... so you can get a Pony 6-3 win or a 4-6 loss in the 1st set.

[Shortstop]

Driller, is there any sport that you don't wager on?

[MilfDriller]

Cricket. I don't think I'll ever make a bet on cricket again... but this is mainly b/c it is often played in countries where they wipe w/ the left and eat w/ the right...

.. or is it wipe w/ the right and eat w/ the left?

I am opposed to that kind of shit.

[Shortstop]

Yeah, Cricket can be rough. How you doing with FIBA?

[MilfDriller]

The fiba tourneys have treated me well. I won't even look at the U16 tourney b/c those are basically children running around... but if I looked at it, stuff would start to appear.

I think Eurobasket is gonig to be really profitable once they roll into September and the non-qualification matches begin. There will be matches every day... and, once again, the linesmakers won't adjust.

I'm still mystified by the Hungary line.... a +5 dog vs. Ukraine.... who they absolutely destroyed a number of days ago as a +3.5 pt dog. Ditto goes for the Czech game... combined 6-0 on the Under, neither team has hit 140 in a game.... and yet they open it at 142.5...

[MilfDriller]

opens at +2.5 games on the button

surprisingly, Pony is +1144 to win it all

[MilfDriller]

Well, Murray takes care of Davy... and Fed is destroying the zookeeper's child, Tsonga.

Was decisively in favor of Murray > Fed... but after watching Fed play and considering his streak... I've changed my mind. So that semi won't be an option.

However, have reflected further on the Arod match and the Pony match.... and I'm going to roll with the Arod.. and leave the Pony match alone. Betting against Rafa is too dangerous.

So it's Arod to the shizzy.

[flyingillini]

Nice thread and very informative, point worthy!

[MilfDriller]

what is happening? Fed up 5-1 in the 3rd... now down *5-6, 0-40

Dce

holy f\*\*k what a beaute

[MilfDriller]

Ad Fed. let's go Fed

[MilfDriller]

they go to a TB. hope Tsonag doesn't win this. don't like the clown

[MilfDriller]

what an embarassment. Fed goes back to his choking ways... and Tsonga does his zoo dance. disgusting

[MilfDriller]

Arod is the man. Nice. 2-0 win

[MilfDriller]

Pony wins SU 7-6, 6-1. He is the real deal. Arod/Pony Part 2 is going to have a lot of good angles....

Murray .... spoiled little bitch
Tsonga ... lazy gang banger clown

[MilfDriller]

Muggay -390
Tsonga +347 ... likely Muggay win, but no play no how no way


Arod +/- ???
Pony +/- ???

Still thinking about this some. Arod has been having these letdowns out of nowhere.. but has prevailed in the end. Pony, as is I suppose the Argentine tendency, has littered his matches w/ Nalby-type non-clean, non-crisp wins... 3-setters to Hewitt, Lu, Hanescu, etc.

A good angle may be the over. Only fear is a 2-0 Pony win as he has the goods to just dismiss Arod if he performs... I'm curious as to who they'll make the fave.

Pony is the future.. future Slam winner, likely future #1... all the under currents push Pony to the top.


I think we're looking at a Muggay/Pony final... and I hope to high shit that Pony beats that bitch Muggay.

[MilfDriller]

Line progression over these past 2 tourneys only confirms my belief. This is the Pony Show.

Arod +104
Pony -113

Pony is a rising star and is on the ascent. I will take the Pony to the finals.

[MilfDriller]

-119 / +109

[MilfDriller]

Pony continues his run. Rising star that has not even completed 50% of it's ascent.

Pony outright was > +1100 before the quarters I believe.


Amazingly, Pony is a +180 dog to Muggay in the final???? That is absolutely ridiculous.


HC is likely +2.5 .... but if they put it at +3.0, that would be an absolute slam dunk. Muggay is not winning 2-0 sets. Not a chance. Pony is serving out of his mind and although Muggay is one of the best returners in the game... Pony has taken it to a whole new level. He can be one of the best servers in the game... combined w/ an incredible return game.

IMO, Arod would've beaten Muggay in the final... just as he beat Muggay in Wimbledon. But this Pony is a new, more advanced Pony and is a class above the new Arod, who has been playing the best tennis of his life.

+3.0 HC would be a cruise in the Caribbean

[MilfDriller]

-200 for Muggay

Simply hoping the price will continue to rise... and that it will be high enuff for the HC to be at +3.0

[MilfDriller]

opens at -220, +180 at Greek

lemmings should bump that up higher... hoping for the +3

[MilfDriller]

Indeed, the HC is +3.0... but went w/ +1.5 sets when it opened. Got odds of -155.

This match will be looked back upon and the odds for the SU will be seen as ridiculous.

Btw, Pony is 10-2 and 14-4 in his last 12 and 18 TBs.

I don't think Pony will be broken more than once in the first 2 sets.

Outcome of the match? A SU win for Pony. He is not human.

[MilfDriller]

4-4

30-0 Muggay

Would rather watch a cow eat grass than watch Muggay play his game

[MilfDriller]

30-30 slight chance here

[MilfDriller]

40-30 Mug gotten all the key pts so far

fvcking Pony shooting himself in the foot

5-4*

[MilfDriller]

just need 2 more holds by Pony

[MilfDriller]

40-0
40-15 .. best service game so far

5-5

[MilfDriller]

30-0
30-15
40-15

6-5

just need one hold

[MilfDriller]

fault

0-15 .. think he's gonig to choke. f\*\*k

[MilfDriller]

15-15
30-15 ace. 2 big serves. massive

fault

30-30 f\*\*k

[MilfDriller]

40-30 another monster serve

one more pt, Pony

[MilfDriller]

2nd serve again.... and shank

Dc f\*\*k

[MilfDriller]

fault. in jeopardy now

beaute of a serve.

Ad

2nd serve..

WHAT A FVCKING PT BY THE KING!!!!

6-6

BOOM-SHOCK-ALOCKA!!!!!