06-03-09, 07:34 PM
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#1
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Does this parlay seem to easy? Must Read !!
I spend a lot of time looking at past lines for MLB for the past 5 years and came up with some interesting information.
2004: The favorites swept the boards 2 days of the season
2004: The Dogs swept the boards 0 days of the season
2005: The favorites swept the boards 1 day of the season
2005: The Dogs swept the boards 1 day of the season
2006: The favorites swept the boards 2 days of the season
2006: The Dogs swept the boards 0 days of the season
2007: The favorites swept the boards 2 days of the season
2007: The Dogs swept the boards 1 days of the season
2008: The favorites swept the boards 1 days of the season
2008: The Dogs swept the boards 0 days of the season
2009: Neither has swept the boards yet this year.
The point I am getting at is that for the past 5 years the Favorites have swpet the board at least 1 Time during the year. IF you bet ALL the favorites on 1 $10 Parlay for anywhere from a 6-16 team Parlay, thats some serious cash.
For example:
Bet a $10 Parlay a day for 200 days ($2000 investment)
For the sake of argument if you bet a $10 parlay for todays games (14 game parlay) and today was the day all the favorites swept the board you would cash out $28,095.61
Just something to think about, and you already saved money this year, none of the favorites have swept the boards this year. So might be a good time to start. Hell, its $10 a day, and it seems to hit at least 1 time per season.
Im going to give it a shot starting tomorrow. Good Luck guys, hope you found this useful!
Last edited by payingthejuice; 06-03-09 at 08:32 PM.
Reason: Edited with PavyRacer's grasp of the english language
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06-03-09, 07:41 PM
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#2
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Good stuff 
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06-03-09, 07:44 PM
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#3
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This is the type of info that is appreciated from a fellow poster and parlay fiend lol ................. great stuff !
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175 pts
3-QUESTION SBR TRIVIA WINNER 02/02/2012
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06-03-09, 07:53 PM
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#4
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I dont play parlays at all (usually round-robins if I do) but I was looking for an angle, and this was the best 1 I could find to invest in.
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06-03-09, 07:54 PM
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#5
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do you have the info on when it hits how many games there were that day? does no good if the 1 times it hits is only 6 games......
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SBR Founder
Join Date:
9/29/2005
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06-03-09, 07:55 PM
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#6
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Very interesting stuff. Great post 
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06-03-09, 07:55 PM
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#7
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bubba
do you have the info on when it hits how many games there were that day? does no good if the 1 times it hits is only 6 games......
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valid point
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06-03-09, 07:56 PM
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#8
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bubba
do you have the info on when it hits how many games there were that day? does no good if the 1 times it hits is only 6 games......
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Dammit, Ill go through all the stats again, I think the lowest 1 was an 8-teamer if I remember
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06-03-09, 08:01 PM
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#9
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What about the PK games?
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06-03-09, 08:04 PM
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#10
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Interesting to check overs and unders as well...
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06-03-09, 08:08 PM
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#11
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My Cougar Wears Two Pearl Necklaces
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You looked at 12,000 games in 2 hours? Thank you Superman. 
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1000pts
SBR POKER CHAMPIONSHIP 20th Place 2/19/2011
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5000pts
SBR POKER ROYAL FLUSH WINNER 2/11/2011
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06-03-09, 08:14 PM
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#12
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sweeping the board 1 or 2 times every year, out of about 180+ days of play, is not a strong enough reason to feel that its going to happen this year....
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06-03-09, 08:18 PM
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#13
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pavyracer
You looked at 12,000 games in 2 hours? Thank you Superman. 
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Where did I say 2 hours? point that out to me "Bill Nye"
Took appx 16+ hours over the past 3 days
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06-03-09, 08:20 PM
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#14
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My Cougar Wears Two Pearl Necklaces
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You said past few hours.
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1000pts
SBR POKER CHAMPIONSHIP 20th Place 2/19/2011
SBR Shirt
SBR POKER Straight Flush Winner 3/2/2011
5000pts
SBR POKER ROYAL FLUSH WINNER 2/11/2011
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06-03-09, 08:24 PM
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#15
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pavyracer
You said past few hours.
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So where did the MYSTERY 2 hours come from that you were speaking about earlier?
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06-03-09, 08:26 PM
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#16
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pavyracer
You said past few hours.
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So FEW in your grasp of the english language means 2?
So If I had said " couple" of hours, would that have meant 1 hour?
Few hours in my book means more then 2, yet less then 24.
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06-03-09, 08:28 PM
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#17
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My Cougar Wears Two Pearl Necklaces
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If it's more that 2 hours you usually say I spend a lot of time.
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1000pts
SBR POKER CHAMPIONSHIP 20th Place 2/19/2011
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SBR POKER Straight Flush Winner 3/2/2011
5000pts
SBR POKER ROYAL FLUSH WINNER 2/11/2011
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06-03-09, 08:31 PM
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#18
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Ok, Ill correct my post with "Spend my Time" lol, which would make it actually not make sense.
But whatever lmao.
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06-03-09, 08:33 PM
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#19
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My Cougar Wears Two Pearl Necklaces
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You may have supernatural skills reading, analyzing and processing 12,000 games in a "few" hours.
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1000pts
SBR POKER CHAMPIONSHIP 20th Place 2/19/2011
SBR Shirt
SBR POKER Straight Flush Winner 3/2/2011
5000pts
SBR POKER ROYAL FLUSH WINNER 2/11/2011
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06-03-09, 08:35 PM
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#20
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I put in on last 5 mlb favs tonight: lets hope tonight is that night
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06-03-09, 08:37 PM
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#21
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a few hours means 3 to 4 hours in my book .............. and I would like to think people would agree with this.
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175 pts
3-QUESTION SBR TRIVIA WINNER 02/02/2012
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06-03-09, 08:43 PM
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#22
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My Cougar Wears Two Pearl Necklaces
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12,000 games over 3 hrs is 67 games per minute or 1 game per second. Even if all the games and lines were printed on a single piece of paper it is impossible to read, analyze, process and record all these games in 1 second per game. The human brain is not made to analyze this fast.
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1000pts
SBR POKER CHAMPIONSHIP 20th Place 2/19/2011
SBR Shirt
SBR POKER Straight Flush Winner 3/2/2011
5000pts
SBR POKER ROYAL FLUSH WINNER 2/11/2011
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06-03-09, 08:55 PM
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#23
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Actually it is fast. You dont look at EVERY GAME, soon as you see a loss for that day, on to the next day. Can go through 1 month of plays in a minute.
Ill just remember not to contribute anything. Just trying to pass on something, and Bill Nye had to stop in.
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06-03-09, 09:29 PM
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#24
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My Cougar Wears Two Pearl Necklaces
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Since you are that fast can you tell me how many games were 1 run games from 1970 until 2008? I want it done is 4 hours. Thanks pally.
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1000pts
SBR POKER CHAMPIONSHIP 20th Place 2/19/2011
SBR Shirt
SBR POKER Straight Flush Winner 3/2/2011
5000pts
SBR POKER ROYAL FLUSH WINNER 2/11/2011
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06-04-09, 12:17 AM
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#25
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pavyracer
Since you are that fast can you tell me how many games were 1 run games from 1970 until 2008? I want it done is 4 hours. Thanks pally.
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Are you really that retarded?
Looking at a days games and looking for a favorite loss (took appx 16hrs over 3 days, read my post above) yet you want me to go through 25 seasons and count every game by 1 run?
Did being forced to take it from both ends in prison cause brain damage?
Or are you just pissed that someone pointed out some information about MLB and a trend that has happened for the past few seasons?
I really dont get what you are trying to do.
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06-04-09, 12:24 AM
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#26
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thanks for the info, it means alot that u share it to some of us, and if you could try to figure out the amount of teams that were playin durimg those "sweeps" it would help out alot. I dont really play parlays but this one sounds interesting.
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06-04-09, 12:30 AM
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#27
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pavyracer
Since you are that fast can you tell me how many games were 1 run games from 1970 until 2008? I want it done is 4 hours. Thanks pally.
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BTW, by averages, that number would eclipse the 22K mark.
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06-04-09, 12:39 AM
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#28
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Ganch.......Durito....DonJuan....Justin. ..Monkeyf0cker?
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06-04-09, 01:09 AM
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#29
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This is ridiculous, betting all of those teams ML in a parlay will have a monster hold for the house. There is no way you can turn that into a +EV wager.
Do this and you will go broke.
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06-04-09, 02:28 AM
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#30
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rich Boy
This is ridiculous, betting all of those teams ML in a parlay will have a monster hold for the house. There is no way you can turn that into a +EV wager.
Do this and you will go broke.
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How so? If it hits 1 time during the year you are up +money.
Bet 230 days of the year x $10 a day = $2300
Hitting a 8+ or more in a $10 baseball parlay puts you in the green.
Its an interesting angle which has hit the past 5 years in a row, even on a couple of instances it has hit twice in the same year.
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06-04-09, 02:29 AM
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#31
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I like it payingthejuice
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06-04-09, 02:31 AM
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#32
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If you have 2300 spare to gamble, and I stress gamble, then by all means go for it...
It'd be fun to say you hit it..
I wouldn't go in expecting to hit it though
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06-04-09, 02:35 AM
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#33
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so it has "averaged" hitting about 1.5 times in 200 days of games over 5 years...... so this parlay will hit about .75% of the time.... do you really wanna do a non-progressive chase parlay system on such weak back data?
if we had the numbers for the last 25 seasons (even though we have more teams now) MAYBE we could have a fair estimate of this hitting in any given season..... just seeing that it has hit 8 times in 5 seasons isn't enough to go on.........I would imagine Its not worth the time given what the odds would end up being....
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06-04-09, 02:41 AM
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#34
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Would be funny if it actually hits tomorrow lol ....
****, now I got to put $20 on it just because I said that.
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06-04-09, 02:43 AM
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#35
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you get an extra fave in there with the double header now... what book takes parlay's this big?
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