06-03-09, 06:34 PM
|
#1
|
|
|
Does this parlay seem to easy? Must Read !!
I spend a lot of time looking at past lines for MLB for the past 5 years and came up with some interesting information.
2004: The favorites swept the boards 2 days of the season
2004: The Dogs swept the boards 0 days of the season
2005: The favorites swept the boards 1 day of the season
2005: The Dogs swept the boards 1 day of the season
2006: The favorites swept the boards 2 days of the season
2006: The Dogs swept the boards 0 days of the season
2007: The favorites swept the boards 2 days of the season
2007: The Dogs swept the boards 1 days of the season
2008: The favorites swept the boards 1 days of the season
2008: The Dogs swept the boards 0 days of the season
2009: Neither has swept the boards yet this year.
The point I am getting at is that for the past 5 years the Favorites have swpet the board at least 1 Time during the year. IF you bet ALL the favorites on 1 $10 Parlay for anywhere from a 6-16 team Parlay, thats some serious cash.
For example:
Bet a $10 Parlay a day for 200 days ($2000 investment)
For the sake of argument if you bet a $10 parlay for todays games (14 game parlay) and today was the day all the favorites swept the board you would cash out $28,095.61
Just something to think about, and you already saved money this year, none of the favorites have swept the boards this year. So might be a good time to start. Hell, its $10 a day, and it seems to hit at least 1 time per season.
Im going to give it a shot starting tomorrow. Good Luck guys, hope you found this useful!
Last edited by payingthejuice; 06-03-09 at 07:32 PM..
Reason: Edited with PavyRacer's grasp of the english language
|
|
|
06-03-09, 06:41 PM
|
#2
|
|
|
Good stuff 
|
|
|
06-03-09, 06:44 PM
|
#3
|
|
|
This is the type of info that is appreciated from a fellow poster and parlay fiend lol ................. great stuff !
|
|
|
06-03-09, 06:53 PM
|
#4
|
|
|
I dont play parlays at all (usually round-robins if I do) but I was looking for an angle, and this was the best 1 I could find to invest in.
|
|
|
06-03-09, 06:54 PM
|
#5
|
|
|
do you have the info on when it hits how many games there were that day? does no good if the 1 times it hits is only 6 games......
|
|
|
06-03-09, 06:55 PM
|
#6
|
|
Angels -147
|
Very interesting stuff. Great post 
__________________
Making money sitting on my butt at home. That's my definition of a dream job!
Let's have fun and make some money. DJ
|
|
|
06-03-09, 06:55 PM
|
#7
|
|
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by bubba
do you have the info on when it hits how many games there were that day? does no good if the 1 times it hits is only 6 games......
|
valid point
__________________
We on the streets like it's a table in vegas
Know the house run it
But we still trying to break the bank
Laying bullets down like hundreds
No attention to the odds
Though we know being broke is upon us
We only place bigger bets
Cause we can feel 13 coming...
|
|
|
06-03-09, 06:56 PM
|
#8
|
|
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by bubba
do you have the info on when it hits how many games there were that day? does no good if the 1 times it hits is only 6 games......
|
Dammit, Ill go through all the stats again, I think the lowest 1 was an 8-teamer if I remember
|
|
|
06-03-09, 07:01 PM
|
#9
|
|
|
What about the PK games?
__________________
"Please don't throw my head around...I'm a Hall of Famer."
|
|
|
06-03-09, 07:04 PM
|
#10
|
|
fool me once...
|
Interesting to check overs and unders as well...
|
|
|
06-03-09, 07:08 PM
|
#11
|
|
Hawks
|
You looked at 12,000 games in 2 hours? Thank you Superman. 
__________________
Dr. Bob is a square
|
|
|
06-03-09, 07:14 PM
|
#12
|
|
somewhat restricted user
|
sweeping the board 1 or 2 times every year, out of about 180+ days of play, is not a strong enough reason to feel that its going to happen this year....
|
|
|
06-03-09, 07:18 PM
|
#13
|
|
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by pavyracer
You looked at 12,000 games in 2 hours? Thank you Superman. 
|
Where did I say 2 hours? point that out to me "Bill Nye"
Took appx 16+ hours over the past 3 days
|
|
|
06-03-09, 07:20 PM
|
#14
|
|
Hawks
|
You said past few hours.
__________________
Dr. Bob is a square
|
|
|
06-03-09, 07:24 PM
|
#15
|
|
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by pavyracer
You said past few hours.
|
So where did the MYSTERY 2 hours come from that you were speaking about earlier?
|
|
|
06-03-09, 07:26 PM
|
#16
|
|
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by pavyracer
You said past few hours.
|
So FEW in your grasp of the english language means 2?
So If I had said " couple" of hours, would that have meant 1 hour?
Few hours in my book means more then 2, yet less then 24.
|
|
|
06-03-09, 07:28 PM
|
#17
|
|
Hawks
|
If it's more that 2 hours you usually say I spend a lot of time.
__________________
Dr. Bob is a square
|
|
|
06-03-09, 07:31 PM
|
#18
|
|
|
Ok, Ill correct my post with "Spend my Time" lol, which would make it actually not make sense.
But whatever lmao.
|
|
|
06-03-09, 07:33 PM
|
#19
|
|
Hawks
|
You may have supernatural skills reading, analyzing and processing 12,000 games in a "few" hours.
__________________
Dr. Bob is a square
|
|
|
06-03-09, 07:35 PM
|
#20
|
|
|
I put in on last 5 mlb favs tonight: lets hope tonight is that night
|
|
|
06-03-09, 07:37 PM
|
#21
|
|
|
a few hours means 3 to 4 hours in my book .............. and I would like to think people would agree with this.
|
|
|
06-03-09, 07:43 PM
|
#22
|
|
Hawks
|
12,000 games over 3 hrs is 67 games per minute or 1 game per second. Even if all the games and lines were printed on a single piece of paper it is impossible to read, analyze, process and record all these games in 1 second per game. The human brain is not made to analyze this fast.
__________________
Dr. Bob is a square
|
|
|
06-03-09, 07:55 PM
|
#23
|
|
|
Actually it is fast. You dont look at EVERY GAME, soon as you see a loss for that day, on to the next day. Can go through 1 month of plays in a minute.
Ill just remember not to contribute anything. Just trying to pass on something, and Bill Nye had to stop in.
|
|
|
06-03-09, 08:29 PM
|
#24
|
|
Hawks
|
Since you are that fast can you tell me how many games were 1 run games from 1970 until 2008? I want it done is 4 hours. Thanks pally.
__________________
Dr. Bob is a square
|
|
|
06-03-09, 11:17 PM
|
#25
|
|
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by pavyracer
Since you are that fast can you tell me how many games were 1 run games from 1970 until 2008? I want it done is 4 hours. Thanks pally.
|
Are you really that retarded?
Looking at a days games and looking for a favorite loss (took appx 16hrs over 3 days, read my post above) yet you want me to go through 25 seasons and count every game by 1 run?
Did being forced to take it from both ends in prison cause brain damage?
Or are you just pissed that someone pointed out some information about MLB and a trend that has happened for the past few seasons?
I really dont get what you are trying to do.
|
|
|
06-03-09, 11:24 PM
|
#26
|
|
|
thanks for the info, it means alot that u share it to some of us, and if you could try to figure out the amount of teams that were playin durimg those "sweeps" it would help out alot. I dont really play parlays but this one sounds interesting.
|
|
|
06-03-09, 11:30 PM
|
#27
|
|
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by pavyracer
Since you are that fast can you tell me how many games were 1 run games from 1970 until 2008? I want it done is 4 hours. Thanks pally.
|
BTW, by averages, that number would eclipse the 22K mark.
|
|
|
06-03-09, 11:39 PM
|
#28
|
|
|
Ganch.......Durito....DonJuan....Justin. ..Monkeyf0cker?
|
|
|
06-04-09, 12:09 AM
|
#29
|
|
|
This is ridiculous, betting all of those teams ML in a parlay will have a monster hold for the house. There is no way you can turn that into a +EV wager.
Do this and you will go broke.
|
|
|
06-04-09, 01:28 AM
|
#30
|
|
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by Rich Boy
This is ridiculous, betting all of those teams ML in a parlay will have a monster hold for the house. There is no way you can turn that into a +EV wager.
Do this and you will go broke.
|
How so? If it hits 1 time during the year you are up +money.
Bet 230 days of the year x $10 a day = $2300
Hitting a 8+ or more in a $10 baseball parlay puts you in the green.
Its an interesting angle which has hit the past 5 years in a row, even on a couple of instances it has hit twice in the same year.
|
|
|
06-04-09, 01:29 AM
|
#31
|
|
|
I like it payingthejuice
|
|
|
06-04-09, 01:31 AM
|
#32
|
|
|
If you have 2300 spare to gamble, and I stress gamble, then by all means go for it...
It'd be fun to say you hit it..
I wouldn't go in expecting to hit it though
__________________
We on the streets like it's a table in vegas
Know the house run it
But we still trying to break the bank
Laying bullets down like hundreds
No attention to the odds
Though we know being broke is upon us
We only place bigger bets
Cause we can feel 13 coming...
|
|
|
06-04-09, 01:35 AM
|
#33
|
|
somewhat restricted user
|
so it has "averaged" hitting about 1.5 times in 200 days of games over 5 years...... so this parlay will hit about .75% of the time.... do you really wanna do a non-progressive chase parlay system on such weak back data?
if we had the numbers for the last 25 seasons (even though we have more teams now) MAYBE we could have a fair estimate of this hitting in any given season..... just seeing that it has hit 8 times in 5 seasons isn't enough to go on.........I would imagine Its not worth the time given what the odds would end up being....
|
|
|
06-04-09, 01:41 AM
|
#34
|
|
|
Would be funny if it actually hits tomorrow lol ....
****, now I got to put $20 on it just because I said that.
|
|
|
06-04-09, 01:43 AM
|
#35
|
|
somewhat restricted user
|
you get an extra fave in there with the double header now... what book takes parlay's this big?
|
|
|
|
|