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  1. #1

    Default Ivanovic at -150 this morning....

    Coming off a 60 62 victory, I like Ana's power and exceptional defense against Azarenka here. Azarenka struggled to put away Suarez Navarro in 3 sets, much the beneficiary of suspended play due to darkness.

    Ana is at -150 due to her overall recent form and the question marks regarding her endurance, but grabbing -150 on a line that would otherwise approach -235 I feel is worth a unit play.

    Ana Ivanovic -150
    vs V. Azarenka



  2. #2

  3. #3

  4. #4

    Default

    No, Pavy...the line would be -1500 if it was on looks.
    175 pts

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  5. #5

    Default

    Looks can be deceiving when one of the players doesn't wear makeup and the other one is plastered with.

  6. #6

    Default

    Last years champ. What time does this match start?
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  7. #7

    Default

    Was on the fence about this but now sure which side to take.

    Azarenka +141

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  10. #10

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by brock View Post
    Last years champ. What time does this match start?
    Scheduled for 9AM EST, but you never know with court delays.

  11. #11

    Default

    Thanks on it for some early action.
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  12. #12

  13. #13

  14. #14

    Default

    Its all nice that you discovered value betting through capping or models or whatever, but when your capping.. err.. model tells you a play should be -235 and market wide is nowhere near that, not even in the square book with $50 euro limits, you should take notice that something is wrong with your angle.

  15. #15

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by RogueJuror View Post
    Its all nice that you discovered value betting through capping or models or whatever, but when your capping.. err.. model tells you a play should be -235 and market wide is nowhere near that, not even in the square book with $50 euro limits, you should take notice that something is wrong with your angle.
    Your use of the word "model" confused me for a second. CrazyLou loves betting on pro tennis players that look like models, no doubt!

  16. #16

    Default

    I took Ivanovic as soon as I saw that line, I have to say these are great odds problems or not. Azarenka is being hyped here due to recent form but this is Ivanovic's best surface and she's made the final the last two years.. I see nothing stopping her here.

  17. #17

    Default

    Azarenka dominates the opening set and takes it 6-2.

    JinxL

  18. #18

    Default

    what a pile of shit, last time i bet some oyster blindly

  19. #19

    Default

    shes definitely gonna lose. azarenka was the play here

  20. #20

    Default

    AZ-47 breaks to open the 2nd set.

    Ivanovic looks like the choking, error-filled joke from last year.

  21. #21

    Default

    This azarenka girl is tuff. big hitter. great screams too.

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  23. #23

    Default

    what is lous record now this french.

  24. #24

  25. #25
    yisman's Avatar SBR PRO
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    Default

    If you're someone who doesn't know tennis, just fade Lou blindly. Not only will you win a high percentage, but you'll do it on dogs, too.

    Azarenka will win and it wasn't even close.

    This on the heels of Wozniacki at huge chalk getting whipped.
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  26. #26

    Default

    thanks for the jinx CL, I'm a believer now

  27. #27

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by yisman View Post
    If you're someone who doesn't know tennis, just fade Lou blindly. Not only will you win a high percentage, but you'll do it on dogs, too.

    Azarenka will win and it wasn't even close.

    This on the heels of Wozniacki at huge chalk getting whipped.
    I'm a satisfied customer.

  28. #28

    Default

    lou should be ashamed oh himself

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  29. #29

    Default

    JinxL no longer gambles so he doesn't care if his picks always lose. More money for books = more money for SBR meaning more X-mas bonuses for himself.

  30. #30

  31. #31

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by daggerkobe View Post
    JinxL no longer gambles so he doesn't care if his picks always lose.
    Incorrect.

    Sorry about this one guys, but the Nadal NO on winning at +270 cashed, and that Fed +1150 looks so sweet because he would be favored in finals now.

  32. #32

    Default

    lol at lou, the biggest joke on SBR

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