[Deol]

LB has been a fraud for years nothing new here.

Quoted for truth.

[BigDofBA]

Lakerboy is nothing sure of muppet.. rekons he had 25000 on miami in game 5 then comes out and says boston +8 in game 7.. this wanker has no creditabillity at all.. im not sure why people keep on commenting on his pointless threads. 10x on thunder game 1 i bet u havent even got 1x to bet

Interesting.

I do like Lakerboy's analysis but I've been a bit curious as to why someone would put 25k on a game and then sit on the SBR forums and post while the game is going on and immediately after like it's no big deal.

If I had 25k on a game, I sure as hell wouldn't be chatting it up with you dumbasses that I don't even know. I would be into the game. Likewise, I wouldn't come in here immediately after the game and start breaking down the next days games..

Also, If I had 25k to lose in one night, I wouldn't be on this site every day.

To each his own.

[deeznutz]

lol

[Koldazzice]

After OKC covers Game 1, I hope you realize that the Game 2 line will be 2.5 or 3.

This^ game will go off at 5 ish 5.5 maybe but no matter who wins unless a blowout - it will be OKC only -2ish in game 2.

Not sure this rest helps OKC as they are young and rest is for the wicked when your young. Thinking heat +1/1.5 1st quarter in game one, then just drink beer and enjoy the other 3 quarters

[Ratzz]

Interesting.

I do like Lakerboy's analysis but I've been a bit curious as to why someone would put 25k on a game and then sit on the SBR forums and post while the game is going on and immediately after like it's no big deal.

If I had 25k on a game, I sure as hell wouldn't be chatting it up with you dumbasses that I don't even know. I would be into the game. Likewise, I wouldn't come in here immediately after the game and start breaking down the next days games..

Also, If I had 25k to lose in one night, I wouldn't be on this site every day.

To each his own.

i hope you are not implying that Lakerboy in fact, did not actually place $25,000 on that game.

[JR007]

What Sharps Think About the NBA Finals: OKC vs. Miami

"As soon as opening lines went up late Saturday Night, sharps made their opinions and intentions very clear for the NBA Championship series involving the Oklahoma City Thunder and the Miami Heat. They think Oklahoma City is the better team…and the early money is confident Oklahoma City is going to win the series!
The series price opened at OKC -125, which surprised casual followers who assume Miami is going to be a favorite in every series they play. Oddsmakers knew the sharps were likely to prefer the Thunder based on their own abilities to anticipate the market. But, an opener of -125 got hit anyway! The line quickly rose past the 130’s and 140’s and into the 150’s before settling at the -160 price we see as we go to press.
There’s certainly a chance that Miami money will come in at some point. Anyone liking Miami and sensing the market was going to wait at first to see what they could get. Maybe Heat support starts coming in at the current price…maybe it’s going to wait a little longer. For now…many TV pundits are picking Miami because they think they’re riding the favorite! Market makers have Oklahoma City not only as a favorite, but as a team that would win this series a little over 60% of the time
The Game One line opened at Oklahoma City -4.5…which is larger than the value of home court advantage by itself (usually about 3 points, but sometimes as much as 4 in the playoffs). That’s further confirmation that OKC is seen as the superior team (and a reflection of how well oddsmakers recognized sharp preferences in this matchup). Some stores are showing -5 based on early money…but we do know sharps who like Miami +5 and will take that line when they see it. Any sort of bandwagon effect is over. Oklahoma City money is in at the series price and the Game One line. Miami money if it’s going to come in will be at +5 on the Game One line and at around +150 on the series price return for the underdog.
The Total in Game One opened at 194.5, but was bet down to 194 or 193.5 depending on the store. There’s still plenty of time for that to change based on anything the coaches say to the press about their preferred approach. Both teams showed a preference for slowing things down in the last round. Miami wanted to contain Rondo, and didn’t fast break much themselves. Oklahoma City knew that the Spurs are great at transition treys and didn’t want to leave themselves exposed to that. Might there be a chance either team decides to pick up the tempo in the Finals because of a perceived matchup edge?
This could be a fascinating series for totals players to handicap because of the offensive talent, the defensive philosophies, and the potential for officiating styles to have a tremendous impact on game-to-game scoring. The math guys spoke early with their Under money. The “information” guys are still yet to act.
We know you’re looking forward to Oklahoma City-Miami as sports fans and Las Vegas wagerers. The TV ratings are going to be big by recent standards, as will sportsbook handle. Right now, you need to know that the market says OKC is the better team, but not so much better that it’s going to be a cakewalk."

[LT Profits]

Line says it all

Why do you say that? I projected OKC -4 all along. It is now -4.5 or -5, but that seems perfect given Heat are coming off 7-game series. If OKC wins Game 1, Game 2 line will be -3.5 or -4, I don't think this line is "off" at all like some people are implying.

[Tofudog]

heat 1H is as sharp as it gets

There is a chance that OKC comes out flat, but I would never bet Miami 1H. Lebron usually doesn't do much to start games and lately neither has Dwayne Wade..

[LT Profits]

After OKC covers Game 1, I hope you realize that the Game 2 line will be 2.5 or 3.

Na, -3.5 or -4 because -4 is the "fair" line since OKC is currently rated -0.5 on neutral court.

[kobebryant55]

Not disagreeing too much with what is said because the heat play great d and match up well but did we all forget already that if the celtics score more than 13 pts in the 4th qtr and the heat dont even make it. (with bosh and at home). Should be a close one i dont think anyone should be too overly confident on either team. Without bron bron playing like god in game 6 and 7 and the celtics putting up 10 pt quarters the heat are gone. Okc wont struggle THAT BAD to score

[sweethook]

LB has been a fraud for years nothing new here.

[bleek88]

its true he is a loser.

[4seasons]

Fading the Heat

[Shafted69]

wow everybody & their mother's are on OKC game 1. this forum is 90% full of Lebron haters.

[Ratzz]

Pound it. Might be the best bet of the series.

10x

hmm.. i dunno...

i would feel much better about fading this if LB wagered $20K-$50K, or guaranteed the LOCK*on this

[LT Profits]

wow everybody & their mother's are on OKC game 1. this forum is 90% full of Lebron haters.

I would not be surprised at all if Heat win this series, but I do think that OKC wins Game 1 fairly handily. I think the play here is OKC in Game 1 and then Miami for the series at around +210.

[JR007]

What? Pinny's opening total was 192.5, which is the first number posted as far as I can tell.

this is stuff, I am passing along no coin,.....so I do not know where they got their open

[GunShard]

Thunder ML seems like the more safer bet.

[LT Profits]

no sir, on the exact opposite. I love the heat in game 1 to steal iat away. And james is playing huge right now, I can't wait to see him play.

I think Heat are more likely to steal Game 2. Teams coming off 7-game series have not fared well in Game 1s vs. fresher teams and the Thunder can ride the adrenaline of feeding off of what should be a frenzied crowd. Plus they are 8-0 at home in the playoffs after all. That should wear off starting with Game 2 when talent will start to decide games.

[HOT WINGS]

Thunder will take game 1 easily and take series in 6 even with Heat stealing game 2. The biggest advantage the Thunder have over the Heat is a closer. Ill take Durant and Harden over James or Wade for a game winning shot every game. James and Wade should get there combined 50 ft attempts which will keep the games close. However, Chalmers is about to get exposed on defense in this series. There's no way he can guard Harden or Westbrook. James will play good D on Durant and limit him but it wont matter. Plus Thunder actually play like a team and run plays, not a bunch of 3 on 3 streetball.

[Big_Slim]

Wait til game time and bet live....I think thats the better play here....this game is gonna be a coin flip! Over is the play for now

[ngates815]

Thunder will take game 1 easily and take series in 6 even with Heat stealing game 2. The biggest advantage the Thunder have over the Heat is a closer. Ill take Durant and Harden over James or Wade for a game winning shot every game. James and Wade should get there combined 50 ft attempts which will keep the games close. However, Chalmers is about to get exposed on defense in this series. There's no way he can guard Harden or Westbrook. James will play good D on Durant and limit him but it wont matter. Plus Thunder actually play like a team and run plays, not a bunch of 3 on 3 streetball.

huh?

I always thought the Thunder only play good, when they get out and run...Otherwise it's just dribble dribble dribble for Westbrook and then dish it off to Durant for a 20 ft Jumper.

should be a good matchup.

[TTYL1105]

Go Thunder

[jizay]

huh?

I always thought the Thunder only play good, when they get out and run...Otherwise it's just dribble dribble dribble for Westbrook and then dish it off to Durant for a 20 ft Jumper.

should be a good matchup.

Exactly. OKC was #30 in the NBA in assists this season, well behind Miami. Where are people getting this myth that OKC plays more as a team and runs more plays?

[jetsjets1028]

good lets go thunder hopefully can take advantage of heat having play 7 game series instead of 6

[nj1035]

LB what do you think about the series? At first I was leaning OKC but now I'm leaning Miami.

I just think the experience factor having been here before will really help them in this situation. Also the addition of Bosh is going to open up so many things for Miami offensively. I don't think the length of OKC will give Miami as much of a problem as it did the Spurs. The Spurs relied on their passing to generate points, but Miami can just take you one on one off the dribble.

On defense, Lebron should be able limit Durant. He's the best defender in the game. Westbrook can be great but inconsistent. Harden could do some damage.

I love the homecourt advantage for OKC and the fact that they are a tough minded team. But considering I see this series as 50/50 I think the +145 is the way to go.

[thunderous]

5 now

TUESDAY, JUNE 12TH
	Jun 12	501	MIAMI		+5½-110	o195½-110	+200
	9:05 PM	502	OKLAHOMA CITY		-5½-110	u195½-110	-240

[LT Profits]

Series now -175 / +155

[BigDofBA]

Did anyone except for me actually watch these two teams play each other?

Maybe I'm a complete homer but I felt like OKC was the better team.

I expect a big series out of Westbrook.

[nj1035]

Did anyone except for me actually watch these two teams play each other?

Maybe I'm a complete homer but I felt like OKC was the better team.

I expect a big series out of Westbrook.

No - but regular season is different than postseason. Boston beat Miami 3 times in the regular season. I think it's a closely matched series but the experience of the Heat will prevail. Is OKC ready for this kind of spotlight? We'll see.

[BigDofBA]

No - but regular season is different than postseason. Boston beat Miami 3 times in the regular season. I think it's a closely matched series but the experience of the Heat will prevail. Is OKC ready for this kind of spotlight? We'll see.

People also said OKC wouldn't go far in the playoffs because the playoffs were so much different. How did that work out?