1. 04-03-12 07:45 PM #1
    Brock Landers
    Forever in Debt to your Priceless Advice
    Brock Landers's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-30-08
    Posts: 45,360
    Betpoints: 8792

    Whats the play for Opening night of Bases?

    Stl (Lohse) +159
    Mia (Johnson) -169

    Miami has all kinds of new players, but i don't think that warrents such a high line.

    I am going with the world champs and the nice + money

    Thoughts...opinions?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  2. 04-03-12 07:47 PM #2
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    Pass

    No maybe UNDER
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  3. 04-03-12 07:52 PM #3
    ebbearsfb1
    ebbearsfb1's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-07-08
    Posts: 18,815
    Betpoints: 1694

    Anyone have record of world series champs on opening day?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  4. 04-03-12 07:53 PM #4
    Smoke
    Smoke's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-09-09
    Posts: 48,111
    Betpoints: 1510

    I like the OVER
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  5. 04-03-12 07:53 PM #5
    Living The Dream
    Looks like an Underdog Week 2!
    Living The Dream's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-23-09
    Posts: 4,521
    Betpoints: 761

    I am leaning Cards, but have to look a little better at it
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  6. 04-03-12 08:10 PM #6
    DudleyDawson
    DudleyDawson's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-10-12
    Posts: 5,658
    Betpoints: 0

    stud pitcher at home on opening night, new manager, new teammates, new stadium new attitude. Johnson may no hit the Cards here. I don't like laying anything over 130/140 ish in MLB but I might here..
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  7. 04-03-12 08:52 PM #7
    Brock Landers
    Forever in Debt to your Priceless Advice
    Brock Landers's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-30-08
    Posts: 45,360
    Betpoints: 8792

    Need some cardinals feedback men
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  8. 04-03-12 08:52 PM #8
    MUHerd37
    Status Your Update.
    MUHerd37's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-23-09
    Posts: 12,816
    Betpoints: 10678

    Johnson is a straight up stud. Cards have a new manager and no Pujols. I'll take the Marlins.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  9. 04-03-12 08:54 PM #9
    becketmcginn
    becketmcginn's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-24-12
    Posts: 176
    Betpoints: 46

    If Carpenter was pitching I think Cardinals will win but since he isn't you have to go with Johnson and the Marlins
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  10. 04-03-12 09:07 PM #10
    Brock Landers
    Forever in Debt to your Priceless Advice
    Brock Landers's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-30-08
    Posts: 45,360
    Betpoints: 8792

    i don't see myself laying such a big number on opening day, Marlins are a changed team, but who knows what they are capable of right now. Cardinals and the juicy +number seems like the better play, they did add Beltran
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  11. 04-03-12 09:10 PM #11
    zoo youk
    zoo youk's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-23-11
    Posts: 10,701
    Betpoints: 1197

    i agree brock i like miami this year but way over priced here on the road
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  12. 04-03-12 09:14 PM #12
    zoo youk
    zoo youk's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-23-11
    Posts: 10,701
    Betpoints: 1197

    shit didnt realize miami was at home. still a very high price for opening day game where guys are still getting their timing hitting wise and a run could decide the game. Lohse has been terrific under Duncan when healthy
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  13. 04-03-12 09:16 PM #13
    Smoke
    Smoke's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-09-09
    Posts: 48,111
    Betpoints: 1510

    if anything take marlins on the runline

    Lohse will get pounded
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  14. 04-03-12 09:20 PM #14
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    Quote Originally Posted by Smoke View Post
    if anything take marlins on the runline

    Lohse will get pounded
    Smokey RL's are square bets
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  15. 04-03-12 09:22 PM #15
    Smoke
    Smoke's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-09-09
    Posts: 48,111
    Betpoints: 1510

    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post

    Smokey RL's are square bets
    not square when it's plus money corbin
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  16. 04-03-12 09:23 PM #16
    DudleyDawson
    DudleyDawson's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-10-12
    Posts: 5,658
    Betpoints: 0

    Quote Originally Posted by Smoke View Post
    if anything take marlins on the runline

    Lohse will get pounded

    You don't make serious money betting MLB messing with RL's...RL bets only matter if you're betting $10 or $20 a game.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  17. 04-03-12 09:23 PM #17
    DudleyDawson
    DudleyDawson's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-10-12
    Posts: 5,658
    Betpoints: 0

    Quote Originally Posted by Smoke View Post
    not square when it's plus money corbin
    you are a dolt...is every bet a +$ the non square side? if I'm betting 1 or 2 dimes a game I'm not messing with any RL.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  18. 04-03-12 09:24 PM #18
    ebbearsfb1
    ebbearsfb1's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-07-08
    Posts: 18,815
    Betpoints: 1694

    All in game 1... under 20.5 runs.. lay the juice
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  19. 04-03-12 09:26 PM #19
    Smoke
    Smoke's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-09-09
    Posts: 48,111
    Betpoints: 1510

    Dudley quit with the gay shit son

    No $10 bovada freeplay for you
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  20. 04-03-12 09:36 PM #20
    Brock Landers
    Forever in Debt to your Priceless Advice
    Brock Landers's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-30-08
    Posts: 45,360
    Betpoints: 8792

    winners people!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  21. 04-03-12 10:45 PM #21
    Salmon Steak
    Salmon Steak's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-05-10
    Posts: 2,110
    Betpoints: 613

    I am showing a little value for StL here on the ML. I don't have them winning though. The total looks like a very slight under. I'm not laying anything on the total. GL
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  22. 04-03-12 10:54 PM #22
    dogthebountyman
    dogthebountyman's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-14-12
    Posts: 189
    Betpoints: 1

    Miami wins 7-4 - 82%
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  23. 04-03-12 10:58 PM #23
    neverstoppers23
    neverstoppers23's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-26-09
    Posts: 6,302
    Betpoints: 41

    not a huge fan of stl either this year, or lohse.

    am i huge fan of johnson, when healthy he is a cy young candiate, i think he dominates in this game, and miami wins small 2-1.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  24. 04-03-12 11:01 PM #24
    MC PICKS
    Update your status
    MC PICKS's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-10-10
    Posts: 6,644
    Betpoints: 265

    Bet the over landers and thank me on thursday.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  25. 04-03-12 11:05 PM #25
    neverstoppers23
    neverstoppers23's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-26-09
    Posts: 6,302
    Betpoints: 41

    pitchers usaully have the advantage early. playing in miami they will have no trouble warming up.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  26. 04-03-12 11:45 PM #26
    hawley
    hawley's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-10-10
    Posts: 14,270
    Betpoints: 79

    Brock do you really need action on the first game here pal
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  27. 04-03-12 11:49 PM #27
    Brock Landers
    Forever in Debt to your Priceless Advice
    Brock Landers's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-30-08
    Posts: 45,360
    Betpoints: 8792

    Quote Originally Posted by hawley View Post
    Brock do you really need action on the first game here pal
    I live for the action guy
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  28. 04-03-12 11:51 PM #28
    blackeyeshamus
    swampdog stomp!
    blackeyeshamus's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-19-11
    Posts: 6,632
    Betpoints: 2224

    leaning miami -1 @ -120 1x on the 5dimes alt RL.
    maybe the best 5dimes feature is that -1 RL imho.
    good luck, gentlemen! let's stack 'em and cash 'em.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  29. 04-04-12 12:18 AM #29
    ThaTopMoron
    Body-Bags
    ThaTopMoron's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-30-10
    Posts: 26,539
    Betpoints: 6858

    if Marlins take care of biz with all this hype new stadium, players... coach, stud pitcher etc then they should win by 2 or more so RL for me. not trusting Lohse

    Marlins will be pumped right?

    who knows

    up big again, why not play it?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  30. 04-04-12 12:21 AM #30
    TPowell
    TPowell's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-21-08
    Posts: 18,842
    Betpoints: 331

    Johnson coming off injury issues. Not much of a starting pitcher advantage on opening day. I think marlins are slightly better maybe 3%. add 5% for homefield and they win 58% of the time. I came up with -150/+150 earlier, on phone now though. Would make a wager on cards ml at 160 or better. Total is 7 so dog is a good bet if its just slightly mispriced
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  31. 04-04-12 12:28 AM #31
    ericthegangster
    MARK IT ZERO!
    ericthegangster's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-10-09
    Posts: 1,764
    Betpoints: 7

    The play is Miami ML.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  32. 04-04-12 12:36 AM #32
    Illusivecone
    Illusivecone's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-08-08
    Posts: 771
    Betpoints: 438

    Over 7
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  33. 04-04-12 01:00 AM #33
    LordVodka
    LordVodka's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-17-09
    Posts: 5,206
    Betpoints: 156

    Why is evryone so confident in Johnson? How well did he pitch in spring training?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  34. 04-04-12 01:18 AM #34
    warriorfan707
    SBR Poster of the Milennium
    warriorfan707's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-29-08
    Posts: 13,698
    Betpoints: 0

    Just do the opposite of whatever dipshit "smoke" says and you should be goldenbiggest fukkin idiot on sbr with the exception of henry hill and a couple others
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  35. 04-04-12 01:37 AM #35
    warriorfan707
    SBR Poster of the Milennium
    warriorfan707's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-29-08
    Posts: 13,698
    Betpoints: 0

    Theres no doubt that STL at that price is the +EV play and one hell of a tasty vagina. The only problem is that does not mean they win tomorrow night necessarily.

    Johnson is a beast and this is a new and improved Marlins squad Christening their new ballpark against a guy who is not a #1 starter. (Lohse).

    Marlins have been a helluva franchise since they joined MLB (winning 2 WS already) and they may be a good team this year again now that they have a new park. The cardinals may start slow... No Pujols and Matheny the new manager.

    Thats some rancid juice at -172 so I think Im gonna roll with Marlin -1 at -120. I'll post my play in my MLB thread tmrw but thats what Im leaning despite my gut screaming at me to take STL at the plus number. Gonna more than likely ignore the gut here.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
123 Last
Top
« Previous Thread | Players Talk | Next Thread »