1. 03-23-12 07:13 AM #1
    Scruff Mcgruff
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    5 dollars to win 1500 LOL

    Now I realize that even writing this thread is ******* with the gambling gods and asking to get ******. I'm not putting this up to boast either because I've been getting my ass handed to me lately but kind of in disbelief that this is still alive. So go ahead and tell me which one of these 3 left will **** me, because I know it will be one.


    114595018-1 3/21/12 8:50am $5.00 $1,591.08 Pending 11 Team Parlay
    Win 3/22/12 7:15pm College Basketball 814 Syracuse -175* vs Wisconsin
    Win 3/22/12 9:45pm College Basketball 816 Ohio State -380* vs Cincinnati
    Win 3/22/12 10:15pm College Basketball 817 Florida +2 -110* vs Marquette
    Win 3/22/12 7:45pm College Basketball 819 Louisville +5 -110* vs Michigan State
    Pending 3/23/12 9:45pm College Basketball 874 Kentucky -550* vs Indiana U
    Pending 3/23/12 7:15pm College Basketball 875 Xavier +6 -110* vs Baylor
    Pending 3/23/12 10:15pm College Basketball 879 NC State +8 -110* vs Kansas
    Win 3/21/12 7:05pm NHL Hockey 52 Carolina Hurricanes -125* vs Florida Panthers
    Win 3/21/12 7:05pm NHL Hockey 54 Buffalo Sabres -170* vs Montreal Canadiens
    Win 3/21/12 7:35pm NHL Hockey 56 New York Rangers -150* vs Detroit Red Wings
    Win 3/21/12 10:05pm NHL Hockey 60 Anaheim Ducks +115* vs St. Louis Blues
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  2. 03-23-12 07:39 AM #2
    hydrosmak
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    Xavier or NC State fukks you for sure tonight. Be ready to hedge on NC State.
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  3. 03-23-12 07:41 AM #3
    Scruff Mcgruff
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    Yeah I agree with you. I'm hoping NC State is the one who does it so I can hedge big on Kansas.
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  4. 03-23-12 08:33 AM #4
    Trmeyer
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    I refuse to bet on xavier! The screw everytime. Good luck though!
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  5. 03-23-12 08:35 AM #5
    ngates815
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    Well since NC State/Kansas is the last game on the ticket, it's bound to be that one.

    Make you feel good with the other games, then Kansas just puts a hurting on them.
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  6. 03-23-12 08:40 AM #6
    ehp6737
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    Baylor beats Xavier by 10 IMO
    Kentucky wins
    NC State covers

    I'd hedge on Baylor
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  7. 03-23-12 08:52 AM #7
    hydrosmak
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    Quote Originally Posted by ngates815 View Post
    Well since NC State/Kansas is the last game on the ticket, it's bound to be that one.

    Make you feel good with the other games, then Kansas just puts a hurting on them.
    Cincy was a huge public dog last night and we know how that turned out. This one looks like a very similar setup...
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  8. 03-23-12 09:21 AM #8
    foster.rand
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    great
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  9. 03-23-12 09:40 AM #9
    Scruff Mcgruff
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    Yeah the more I think about that game, the more it worries me because 8.5 seems too good to be true. Kansas had their scare against Purdue should come out inspired. I love NC State's size inside though.
    Last edited by Scruff Mcgruff; 03-23-12 at 10:06 AM.
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  10. 03-23-12 10:23 AM #10
    SpreadSniper
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    if the ML is a "lock" then hedge out on the other 2 games.... worse case scenario you hit on one of the hedges guaranteeing a small profit? Don't let those 8 W's go to waste.

    watch the 2 dogs cash ats and Kentucky lose SU
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  11. 03-23-12 10:58 AM #11
    Scruff Mcgruff
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    Quote Originally Posted by SpreadSniper View Post
    if the ML is a "lock" then hedge out on the other 2 games.... worse case scenario you hit on one of the hedges guaranteeing a small profit? Don't let those 8 W's go to waste.

    watch the 2 dogs cash ats and Kentucky lose SU



    This is good advice. I've been thinking of potential hedges and amounts at this point. Think I might lay $200 on both Baylor -6 and Kansas -8. Worst case I win nothing and lose nothing. Best case obviously both Xav and NcState come through. but if I lose both, $395 netgain on a $5 dollar bet.

    But you're right that Kentucky ML that I'm so certain about can definitely bite me in the ass.
    That scenario you presented: Both dogs covering and Kentucky losing outright would make me want to quit forever though haha
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  12. 03-23-12 11:05 AM #12
    keel44
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    You are actually in a good spot. Leave Kentucky alone. Straight bet Baylor and Kansas $220 to win $200 each. If you split the pair, your out $25. If you win both you are up $395. If you lose both you are up over $1000.
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  13. 03-23-12 11:06 AM #13
    keel44
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    Wow you just wrote your post while I was writing mine......
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  14. 03-23-12 11:25 AM #14
    LVHerbie
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    Quote Originally Posted by hydrosmak View Post
    Xavier or NC State fukks you for sure tonight. Be ready to hedge on NC State.
    Unless $700 (or whatever else you would end up with after hedging) is a life changing amount or the scalp bet is also "a good bet", I wouldn't hedge anything as you costing yourself money on the second bet...

    Plus, ignoring the other issues with parlays like this, even as a recreational bettor when betting things at long odds in almost all cases it is pretty silly to put yourself in a position where you later feel the need to scalp out when you actually finally have a chance at a decent score... There are a few instances where you could justify hedging out on a secondary -EV bet on something similar to this to maximize your expectation but this isn't one of them...
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  15. 03-23-12 11:31 AM #15
    dreamer01
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    GL man
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  16. 03-23-12 11:40 AM #16
    redsox3g2
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    Given the timing of the Xavier and NCSU games, you can hedge, maybe $100 on Baylor and leave the State game alone until you know the outcome of that. Then if Xavier covers, Hedge more on Kansas ($200?) That eliminates the possibility of you splitting the two games and not getting anything. That way worst case scenario you make some money off it (unless Kentucky loses)
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  17. 03-23-12 12:44 PM #17
    Scruff Mcgruff
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    Quote Originally Posted by redsox3g2 View Post
    Given the timing of the Xavier and NCSU games, you can hedge, maybe $100 on Baylor and leave the State game alone until you know the outcome of that. Then if Xavier covers, Hedge more on Kansas ($200?) That eliminates the possibility of you splitting the two games and not getting anything. That way worst case scenario you make some money off it (unless Kentucky loses)

    I like this idea. Thanks dude, I think I will do this strategy instead.

    God I hope I don't get fukked by Calipari.
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  18. 03-23-12 12:44 PM #18
    Scruff Mcgruff
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    Quote Originally Posted by keel44 View Post
    Wow you just wrote your post while I was writing mine......

    great minds think alike I suppose hahaa
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  19. 03-24-12 09:29 AM #19
    Scruff Mcgruff
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    Xavier leg was very lucky but thank Jesus they came thru!!
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  20. 03-24-12 12:11 PM #20
    Full Time Hobo
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    Good Work scruff!

    I had no idea the crime fighting dog detective was posting here
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  21. 03-24-12 12:13 PM #21
    mynameismud
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    Quote Originally Posted by Full Time Hobo View Post
    Good Work scruff!

    I had no idea the crime fighting dog detective was posting here

    sick return on $5. nice job. no offense but your avatar freaks me out.
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  22. 03-24-12 12:36 PM #22
    Smoke
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    Nice hit son
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  23. 03-24-12 12:48 PM #23
    ZBOIZ
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    wow great work
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