[jmathes]

I started a thead like this a few years ago and always wanted to do this for fun. So I decided to do this with my SBR points and give it a go. Lets see what happens.

I am going to place progressive bets until I reach my goal of 10,000 points. I have looked at all my picks over the past couple years and noticed I never have had more than 6 losses in a row. After I win the 10,000 points I may keep going depending on how much of a hassle this thread is.

I will start with placing bets on the NBA & NCAAB, then roll into baseball, football, etc.. I am going to set aside 9,000 SBR points. The bets will be placed with a standard -110 vig and may vary depending on the situation. For the most part I will try and keep it at -110 just for the simplicity of it. I will try and place atleast one bet a day and sometimes more. Obviously due to start times it may be hard to place more than 1 bet a day but it will happen.

My goal is to make 50 points per win. If I lose, I will chase that loss until I lose my bankroll- HOPEFULLY THAT WILL NOT HAPPEN!! I will also keep tabs of the percentages of the picks just to see where I would stand.



SOMETHING LIKE THIS WILL HAPPEN IF I LOSE 7 IN A ROW

1ST BET 55 POINTS TO WIN 50

2..........110..........LOST 165
3..........236..........LOST 401
4..........496..........LOST 897
5..........1042........LOST 1939
6..........2187........LOST 4126
7..........4593........LOST 8719
GAME OVER!!!

EVERY BET I AM ONLY TRYING TO WIN 50 POINTS

I am not claiming to be an unbelievably great capper, I am just trying to avoid losing 7 losses in a row. I must first give credit to the people that originally came up with this idea. I have seen a few methods very similar to this and decided why not give it a try? Also since the SBR Sportsbook has point limits there will be times during bets 5-7 that I will need a few runners. I am fully aware of the probabilites of losing 7 bets in a row so save yourself the time. Here are is a great probability calculator SBR has provided http://www.sbrforum.com/betting-tool...ak-calculator/. So to reach my goal of 10,000 points I would have to win 200 bets x 50 points = 10,000. Lets say I am handicapping at a rate of 55% which would make my loss rate 45%. Hypothetically if it took me a progressive series of 500 wagers to win 200 assuming I am at a 45% loss rate, the possibility of me losing 7 bets in a row would be 64.325%. I am ready to face this challenge.



Lets get it!

[jeffdane]

good luck dude.

[jmathes]

1 nba: Miami -13.5

[smoke a bowl]

JUst because you are a small fav to get to get to 10,000 before 0 when starting at 9,000 doesn't make this a good proposition. You are risking 9-1 on this (being that you lose 9000 or clear 1000 if you reach your goal) so you are going to accomplish this more times than not so its a pointless test really. Just save your time and lay -900 on something tonight and give yourself close to a 90% chance of flipping 9000 into 10000.

[jmathes]

JUst because you are a small fav to get to get to 10,000 before 0 when starting at 9,000 doesn't make this a good proposition. You are risking 9-1 on this (being that you lose 9000 or clear 1000 if you reach your goal) so you are going to accomplish this more times than not so its a pointless test really. Just save your time and lay -900 on something tonight and give yourself close to a 90% chance of flipping 9000 into 10000.

No shit Sherlock, can you read? "I am fully aware of the probabilites of losing 7 bets in a row so save yourself the time." Maybe reading comprehension isn't your best attribute.

[hels]

O/U 4 days until he is bust

[smoke a bowl]

No shit Sherlock, can you read? "I am fully aware of the probabilites of losing 7 bets in a row so save yourself the time." Maybe reading comprehension isn't your best attribute.

Well if you know that then how come you don't realize this fukin test is pointless Sherlock? Who cares if you get to 10k with a pointless unprofitable martingale?

[jjgold]

Best of luck Mather

Call me when you get back in town

[jmathes]

O/U 4 days until he is bust

Hey hels, Ill give you this propisitional bet for 1,000 points if you wanna take it:

Under 50 wins (+150)

[jmathes]

Well if you know that then how come you don't realize this fukin test is pointless Sherlock? Who cares if you get to 10k with a pointless unprofitable martingale?

Unprofitable? Chime in after I reach my goal of 10,000 points and tell me thats unprofitable

[jeffdane]

he is trying to win 10,000 not 1,000.

if he can double up his bankroll by hitting less than 50% then it is worth his time.


not the brightest strategy in the world, and he admits this, but its an idea that can be accomplished if he gets lucky.

[smoke a bowl]

Unprofitable? Chime in after I reach my goal of 10,000 points and tell me thats not profitable

OK, so you really are a complete fukin idiot. Obviously you are a favorite to get to 10k before going to 0 when you start at 9k. You are laying 9-1 you fukin dipshit. All threads like this do is fool the peanut gallery into believing that this is actually a way to earn money when instead it is only a clear way to go broke.

[smoke a bowl]

he is trying to win 10,000 not 1,000.

if he can double up his bankroll by hitting less than 50% than it is worth his time.


not the brightest strategy in the world, and he admits this, but its an idea that can be accomplished if he gets lucky.

OK misunderstood his goal. However, it is still 100% garbage and only fools the sheep into thinking something like this is a good betting strategy when in reality it is 100% pure shit.

[jmathes]

OK, so you really are a complete fukin idiot. Obviously you are a favorite to get to 10k before going to 0 when you start at 9k. You are laying 9-1 you fukin dipshit. All threads like this do is fool the peanut gallery into believing that this is actually a way to earn money when instead it is only a clear way to go broke.

youre such a dumbass its not even funny. next time before you come in and bash someone read the fukking thread first. i am not trying to win 1,000 points, its 10,000. of course with a name like smokeabowl you cant expect much.

[smoke a bowl]

youre such a dumbass its not even funny. next time before you come in and bash someone read the fukking thread first. i am not trying to win 1,000 points, its 10,000. of course with a name like smokeabowl you cant expect much.

Touche, when I'm wrong I'm wrong. I misunderstood but I still don't understand why you would even want to do this especially with your admitted knowledge of how you are sure it's a losing system. Just seems like a big waste of time that could actually fool some of the less knowledgeable guys here that this is actually something worth trying. To each his own I guess.

[jmathes]

1 nba: Miami -13.5 win

nice win last night, going with kansas today. also had leans on st louis -2, southern miss-3, duke & unc under 159. good luck today


1 ncaa: kansas +1.5



Overall Record 1-0

Chase Record 1-0

[jmathes]

GL JMathes

Thanks buddy and you too

[jmathes]

nice win last night, going with kansas today. also had leans on st louis -2, southern miss-3, duke & unc under 159. good luck today


1 ncaa: kansas +1.5 win



Overall Record 1-0

Chase Record 1-0

another win last night and starting off very well up 100 points. tonight i will be making 2 plays which i will do alot in this thread. whether i win or lose in the first game i will still play the second game but that amount just depends on the outcome of the first. the first game starts at 7 pm eastern and the second game starts at 10:30 pm eastern. the second game will be oklahoma city & sacramento over 201.5 (amount tba). I will post the the play by 10 pm eastern.



1 ncaa: wisconsin +1



Overall Record 2-0


Chase Record 2-0

[jmathes]

1 ncaa: wisconsin +1 win


scooping up another victory and releasing my 2nd play of the night as stated above. very impressed so far as i am 3-0 and up 150 points. good luck tonight!





1 nba: oklahoma city & sacramento over 203.5



Overall Record 3-0


Chase Record 3-0

[jmathes]

1 nba: oklahoma city & sacramento over 203.5 win



went 2-0 yesterday and starting out very well up 200 points already. i am looking over the games now and will release tonights play within the next couple hours




Overall Record 4-0


Chase Record 4-0

[jmathes]

rolling with the thunder today. lost a hard fought game last night but feel like they finish their road trip strong. i also had a pretty good lean on new orleans +7.5. good luck tonight!


1. nba: oklahoma city thunder -1






Overall Record 4-0


Chase Record 4-0

[stevek173]

I like this and I'm copying you.

[DerekMadden]

So basically it is the Martingale Theory?

Has proven to be profitable over the long run.. but with betting limits, I don't know if it is very probable.

[DerekMadden]

saw this and thought it appropriate.. lmao


jmathes, I'm rooting for you!

I'm on OKC tonight also!

[jeffdane]

nice run man, doesnt matter which strategy you use if you win em all. keep it going.

[MJT1212]

damn your killing it. who needs a chase system when your 1st pick always wins

[The Kraken]

What you stoopid fukks don't realize is that it's only a martingale if he loses!

[ttwarrior1]

actually there is already a thread like this on here

[jmathes]

I will post my play later today and update my record. Too difficult to handicap via iPhone

[jmathes]

rolling with the thunder today. lost a hard fought game last night but feel like they finish their road trip strong. i also had a pretty good lean on new orleans +7.5. good luck tonight!


1. nba: oklahoma city thunder -1 win






Overall Record 4-0


Chase Record 4-0

another winner last night and like the play today. feel like the mavs have the better statistical edge since both teams are playing a back to back. lets see what happens...


1. nba: dallas -4




Overall Record 5-0



Chase Record 5-0

[jmathes]

will have a play on chicago boston game shortly



1. nba: dallas -4 loss





Overall Record 5-1




Chase Record 5-0

[studmlb55]

Good start bro...good luck, hope you stay hot!