[LT Profits]

This is a cross-sport teaser that I will not count toward my record in any sport. It starts with 1 CBB play and 1 NBA play Wednesday and ends with NFL on Saturday/Sunday.

4-Team NY Teaser at Rebate Wager (-120)
St. Joseph’s -5.5 / Bulls -1.5 / Patriots -1.5 / Texans, Ravens OVER 23.5

[jjgold]

I play a lot of teasers at rebatewager
They have open teasers too

[wtt0315]

sorry lt but pats will lose or worse they will win by 1

[Rich Boy]

Why would you tease a total?

[LT Profits]

Why would you tease a total?

This is not a conventional 6 or 7-point tease, this is 12 points from 35.5 (over 5 TDs) to 23.5 (under 3 TDs + FG).

[Rich Boy]

This is not a conventional 6 or 7-point tease, this is 12 points from 35.5 (over 5 TDs) to 23.5 (under 3 TDs + FG).

Are you taking new NFL OT rules into consideration for that play?

[yisman]

what do you mean by NY?

[LT Profits]

Are you taking new NFL OT rules into consideration for that play?

OT rules can only help the Over

[LT Profits]

what do you mean by NY?

Not sure why but Rebate Wager calls them New York Teasers. Maybe Blackie is a New Yawker?

[Rich Boy]

OT rules can only help the Over

True, but how do you handicap it now? No historical database to work with. Very difficult to assess the true value of OT, also +6.5 is no longer safe in OT

[LT Profits]

True, but how do you handicap it now? No historical database to work with. Very difficult to assess the true value of OT, also +6.5 is no longer safe in OT

You'd be making only a minor mistake if you ignore the possibility of OT when capping games. It just doesn't happen enough percentage-wise where it should influence your handicapping.

[GatorTD]

True, but how do you handicap it now? No historical database to work with. Very difficult to assess the true value of OT, also +6.5 is no longer safe in OT

Yes it is. There is no way to win an NFL OT game by 7 points. There is no extra point in OT and a touchdown by either team is a win.

The only thing the rule does is allow the kicking team possession if the team who won the toss only kicks a FG on their first drive.

[LT Profits]

Yes it is. There is no way to win an NFL OT game by 7 points. There is no extra point in OT and a touchdown by either team is a win.

The only thing the rule does is allow the kicking team possession if the team who won the toss only kicks a FG on their first drive.

What if team kicks a FG in OT, then on other team's drive the team intercepts and unnecessarily returns it for a TD?

[Speedy88]

one big mistake: you bet against tebow.

[LT Profits]

one big mistake: you bet against tebow.

That's OK he won't beat Pats in Foxboro. Both hoops plays hit, just waiting on playoffs now.

[LT Profits]

And no, Pats won't win by one.

[Rich Boy]

What if team kicks a FG in OT, then on other team's drive the team intercepts and unnecessarily returns it for a TD?

9 point win is possible

[LT Profits]

9 point win is possible

Then again, NFL may have the college rule where if the intercepting team in OT already has the game won, the ball is dead as soon as possession is gained. I honestly don't know.

[jdwars]

Then again, NFL may have the college rule where if the intercepting team in OT already has the game won, the ball is dead as soon as possession is gained. I honestly don't know.

Unless they have changed the rules (which is possible), I don't think that is correct. I remember losing the USC/AZ St game in 1996. Final Score 48-35 in double overtime on a defensive TD when AZ State had the lead and I had USC +8. I was PISSED. Not sure why the ball would be dead. Always the possibility of another turnover on the return.

[Holtgetsback]

Then again, NFL may have the college rule where if the intercepting team in OT already has the game won, the ball is dead as soon as possession is gained.

Rulebook confirmed.

I researched it when I had Broncos +8.5

[LT Profits]

This is correct.

I have been trying to google an answer with no success. Do you have a source?

[jdwars]

Could be true. But doesn't make sense. How can you stop the game mid-play. College plays it out. Defender would only need to take a knee.

[jdwars]

10/19/1996

at USC

#4

Sun Devil Stadium • Tempe, AZ

W 48–35 2OT

74,947

Old, but relevant.

[LT Profits]

10/19/1996

at USC

#4

Sun Devil Stadium • Tempe, AZ

W 48–35 2OT

74,947

Old, but relevant.

Yeah I know I remember it well, but I also seem to remember refs blowing whistle in same situation in recent years. Google not helping.

[LT Profits]

Patriots have been 1 and done at home back to back seasons (havent won a playoff game since 07) and now they are playing Tebow?? Stay away.....

Are you seriously buying into Tebow hype? Pats were one and done vs. good teams, they outclass the Broncos by a mile.

[iifold]

I see you charge $400 for your picks...

I am gonna get in the tout business...

[LT Profits]

I see you charge $400 for your picks...

I am gonna get in the tout business...

I do? I wish they paid me that much. All I do is send picks in, I have nothing to do with the marketing over there.

[bobby heenan]

Patriots have been 1 and done at home back to back seasons (havent won a playoff game since 07) and now they are playing Tebow?? Stay away.....

Oh this is the same guy who used to have santonio Holmes in his avatar and was talking a bunch of shit on the pats before they worked the jets on a Sunday night...ahhh...I see you

[LT Profits]

No hype here.....

Broncos have the team to control possession with their rushing attack and hit a few big plays.....They also have Von Miller and Dumerville to disrupt Brady on offense

This is the same exact way the Ravens and Jets have sent the Pats packing last 2 years in the playoffs

The Broncos also lost 3 fumbles in their game a month ago, so if they stay turnover free it could happen

In all honesty, Pats probably win a close one

Which is all I need as long as it is not by 1. I agree that Broncos will try to eat up clock on offense and they did rush for 9000 yards in the first meeting, but I also think that Pats will have a double-digit at some point once they go no-huddle, because I don't think there is a defense in the league that can stop them when they do that.

[LT Profits]

What do you expect? Of course we fukkin hate the Pats just as you hate us



All I'm saying is no one thought the Pats would lose the last 2 years at home in the playoffs and the recipe used by the Ravens and the Jets is very similar to how the Broncos play (Strong running game, more physical, good pass rush, efficient big play shots on offense)

It will be a great game for sure and I wish I could say GL, but I will be making a big bet on broncos +14

I had the Ravens against them two years ago and it was fairly common knowledge that the Jets had the defense to give them fits last year, so it is not accurate to say no one thought they would lose the last two years. I WOULD be shocked if they lose this game, Denver is just not a legitimate playoff team. Winner of Baltimore/Houston will be a serious threat to Pats next week though.