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  1. #1

    Default I found a BOWL system that is 23-4 this bowl season

    Unreal, wished I found it earlier. Not sure if I can post links from another betting forum?

  2. #2

    Default

    My system has 2 categories of net value; the higher the value, the less plays are available, but higher winning %.
    5-0***
    11-3*
    Here are my remaining plays:

    TxAM *
    Utah ***
    Illinois*
    Van***
    Hou***
    SC***
    Fl*
    Or*
    WVU*** (play changed due to ratings error)
    KsSt*
    LSU***

  3. #3

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Lazy-Man View Post
    Unreal, wished I found it earlier. Not sure if I can post links from another betting forum?
    prolly not a good idea.

    you can copy/paste the details though.

  4. #4

    Default

    OK. I use Sagarin for their ratings, and I use Covers for the basic info, PF - PA. Home and Away values are important distinctions, and I filter those stats with each team's last 5 games stats. *I compare the value from each team and apply that net difference to the higher rated team.
    I then compare that net value with the point spread. I take the side, if any, that has at least 3 points more value than team's net value.*
    For instance, I picked Stanford tonight because my system's final net team value between the 2 teams was +2 for Ok St., and since Stanford was a 5 point dog, 5-2 = +3, which gave Stanford my minimum +3 points of positive value.
    I've spent the last 7 years trying lots of different *stats and filters. You don't have to use Sagarin, almost any RPI will give you a relative scale to work with. That's about all I want to share.
    Find what works best for you.*

  5. #5

    Default

    Very interesting. After the mini-bowl bash I've been taking, I would have wished to find you earlier. I wish you good luck because I will be riding with you.

  6. #6

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Lazy-Man View Post
    OK. I use Sagarin for their ratings, and I use Covers for the basic info, PF - PA. Home and Away values are important distinctions, and I filter those stats with each team's last 5 games stats. *I compare the value from each team and apply that net difference to the higher rated team.
    I then compare that net value with the point spread. I take the side, if any, that has at least 3 points more value than team's net value.*
    For instance, I picked Stanford tonight because my system's final net team value between the 2 teams was +2 for Ok St., and since Stanford was a 5 point dog, 5-2 = +3, which gave Stanford my minimum +3 points of positive value.
    I've spent the last 7 years trying lots of different *stats and filters. You don't have to use Sagarin, almost any RPI will give you a relative scale to work with. That's about all I want to share.
    Find what works best for you.*
    Please explain this further. You simply can't be taking the rating and adding the difference in points scored/allowed over the last five games.

    CHARITY DONOR
    12/16/2011 $25 donation


  7. #7

    Default

    Lang is on Clemson, so I hope this system is correct. Everyone is on Clemson, so WV may be the play.

  8. #8

    Default

    Sounds interesting.... I'll be watchin this system

  9. #9

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by floridagolfer View Post

    Please explain this further. You simply can't be taking the rating and adding the difference in points scored/allowed over the last five games.
    Doubt he can explain further since he didnt write it

    CHARITY DONOR
    12/12/2011 $25 donation


  10. #10

    Default

    this comes out when there is like 6 of 35 games left?


    comeon man !


  11. #11
    ttwarrior1's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 06-23-09
    Posts: 16,499
    SBR Points: 4498
    Message Me

    Default

    the favorite? oh yeh great system
    45pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY15th Place 5/24/2012

    867pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY3rd Place 5/20/2012

    1245pts

    TOP SPORTSBOOK
    WINNER
    05/22/2012

    400pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY1st Place 5/21/2012

    1075pts

    TOP
    CASINO
    WINNER
    5/23/2012

    90pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY10th Place 5/25/2012

    1295pts

    TOP SPORTSBOOK
    WINNER
    05/21/2012


  12. #12

    Default

    Yes, systems that pick games that have already been played are generally pretty "good" ... what I can't figure out is how you missed even one, let alone 4?


  13. #13

    Default

    I actually do have a system that is 10-2 LY,

    9-3 so far this season

    and is 57-25 from 2005-2010

    And there is no way in hell I would share it with any of you fukks or ever post it in a public forum.

  14. #14

  15. #15

  16. #16
    spankie's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 02-10-11
    Posts: 7,229
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    Default

    lazy man
    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 05/14/2012

    100pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY9th Place 5/22/2012


  17. #17

    Default

    The Sagarin rating and strength of schedule system is nothing new. Had a few solid years and tanked badly 2 years ago if I recall correctly.
    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 05/24/2012


  18. #18

    Default

    Again this ain't my system. Go on covers and under systems and strategies forum there's a guy that posted all the plays well before game time

  19. #19

    Default

    jbragg at rx used to post them. People begged and when they hit rough patch he got shit on for just providing info people wanted.
    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 05/24/2012


  20. #20

    Default

    Smart money is on KSt

    that's all I'm going to share
    225pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY4th Place 5/24/2012


  21. #21

  22. #22

  23. #23

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by tony_come View Post
    Smart money is on KSt

    that's all I'm going to share
    wrong so far... but hey, you had a 50/50 chance of looking like you had a clue

  24. #24

  25. #25

    Default

    so does the system like k state straight up or ats? I have arkansas -.5 in a teaser I have.

  26. #26

    Default

    It's ats. And its only a 1* play. Again not my system and not taking any credit for it

  27. #27

    Default

    Raydog

    Please take Arkansas
    225pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY4th Place 5/24/2012


  28. #28

    Default

    Fading any of your posted plays would be a good system as well.

  29. #29

    Default

    Does the play change to more stars now that the line has moved from +7.5 to +9.5?

  30. #30

    Default

    Interesting, but I think u should go back and look at at least last 2-3 bowl seasons to see if this years bowl results on that system might be an anomaly.

  31. #31

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by tony_come View Post
    Smart money is on KSt

    that's all I'm going to share
    Who are you referring to-Lang? He is on KState

  32. #32

    Default

    whos lang
    225pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY4th Place 5/24/2012


  33. #33

    Default

    if you ever bet the same pick as lang it is because of 1 of 2 things. you have dog shit for a brain or you want to lose money...or both. you don't have to fade him but you cannot be on the same pick.

  34. #34

    Default

    could not find my data at time of posting, so here is my 'system', which isn't really a system.

    since 2004, Bowl Games only

    70-21 SU

    67-24 ATS

  35. #35

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