I really don't think senators care about anyone's opinions. They are elected to 6-year terms and are very difficult to defeat once in office regardless of public opinion. I actually think House members are more influenced by public opinion, since they are up for re-election every two years.
The bottom line, IMO, is if the bill reaches the floor it will pass easily, like 55-45. A couple of GOPs might oppose, but a couple Democrats might jump onboard to even it out.
I also agree with the theory that the more the media and so-called experts say "this won't hit the senate floor" the more I think a vote is imminent.
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