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Old 11-27-2008, 09:44 AM   #1
pavyracer
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Default My new strategy to turn $2000 to $4000 or go bust

I deposited $2,000 to my book yesterday. My goal is to make a $2,000 profit by betting exclusively heavy favorite ML's. I made two bets yesterday:

Texas -600
Celtics -1000

My balance today is $2200. I will continue till I double my balance or go bust. This is my official thread for the whole time.

Todays bet:

Dallas Cowboys -650

P.S. All plays are to win $100.

Record as of today: 2-0
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Old 11-27-2008, 09:46 AM   #2
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Take Wake Forest
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Old 11-27-2008, 09:47 AM   #3
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I hear good things about this Wake team.
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Old 11-27-2008, 09:48 AM   #4
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Pavy,
I think you have better money management skills than this... You know it doesn't take but one big fav to wipe out your most/all of your bankroll...

BOL but I'd urge you to reconsider your strategy...

Doc
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Old 11-27-2008, 09:50 AM   #5
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follow T
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Old 11-27-2008, 09:54 AM   #6
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Doc JS View Post
Pavy,
I think you have better money management skills than this... You know it doesn't take but one big fav to wipe out your most/all of your bankroll...

BOL but I'd urge you to reconsider your strategy...

Doc
Doc,

I will only play up to -1000 favs. My goal is to hit 20 before I go bust. I like this better than martingale because I don't need a huge bankroll. I made this money in the stock market the last 4 days so I took it out of the market and invested it in sports betting.

P.S. I don't want anyone that can't afford to lose tail these plays. What I'm doing is very risky.
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Old 11-27-2008, 10:22 AM   #7
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It worked so well for patty.
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MLB: 159-172 +21.11 units (5 unit plays: 11-3; 10 unit plays: 2-1)
NBA: 121-130-5
Wimbledon: 0-0
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CBB: 179-133-6 (57.4%)
WBC: 10-8 +9.89 units
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Old 11-27-2008, 11:04 AM   #8
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Have a look at AC Milan to beat Portsmouth in the UEFA Cup Pavers old chap.
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Old 11-27-2008, 12:13 PM   #9
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this guy is nuts.. you dont think these big favs lose? just a few days ago, i saw a -1800 fav lose by 11 in basketball.. this happens all the time.. and often, too.

you can win 11 in a row with these bets, but once you lose that one game, you lose most of your profits and then some..

I would say at least 80 times a year a -1800 fav or more loses outright.. so be careful.. nothing comes easy..
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Old 11-27-2008, 12:15 PM   #10
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Quote:
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follow T
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Old 11-27-2008, 12:18 PM   #11
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Quote:
Originally Posted by wtf View Post
follow T

Even T lost $2500 on Houston ML last night. No such thing as EZ money.
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NBA: 121-130-5
Wimbledon: 0-0
NHL: 7-5 +15.14 units
CBB: 179-133-6 (57.4%)
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Old 11-27-2008, 12:24 PM   #12
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Who said it was easy? I said it was risky but by no means easy.
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Old 11-27-2008, 12:26 PM   #13
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Quote:
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Take Wake Forest
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Old 11-27-2008, 12:29 PM   #14
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just bet the celtics and against the lions everygame u should be good
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Old 11-27-2008, 12:31 PM   #15
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Quote:
Originally Posted by rm18 View Post
Take Wake Forest
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Old 11-27-2008, 12:39 PM   #16
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Of course you think it's EZ money..... why else would anyone lay $650 to get just 15% return?
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NBA: 121-130-5
Wimbledon: 0-0
NHL: 7-5 +15.14 units
CBB: 179-133-6 (57.4%)
WBC: 10-8 +9.89 units
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Old 11-27-2008, 12:41 PM   #17
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Tailing CrazyL's tennis selections would be a good way.
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Old 11-27-2008, 12:41 PM   #18
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I hate these types of plays, SOOOOOO stressful.

I lost $800 on the Wake ML vs. Navy, never going to play like that again.
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Old 11-27-2008, 12:41 PM   #19
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it works if he keeps picking smart. no way the cowboys lose, unless a terrorist attack wipes out half the team before kick off
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Old 11-27-2008, 12:42 PM   #20
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Appalac......yeah, watch out.
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ATS
CFB: 53-30-3 (63.86%)+20.16 u
NFL: 48-40-2 (54.54%)+7.54 u
NCAAB: 16-8-1 (66.67%)+10.13 u
NBA: 18-16-1 (52.94%)
-0.38 u
MLB: 58-80-5 (42.03%) -0.57 u

NHL: 3-5 (37.50%) +0.00 u

Parlays & Props
CFB: 2-1 +6.92 u
NFL: 1-12 -12.56 u

NBA: 2-3 -1.27 u
MLB: 4-14 -4.95 u

My Spreadsheet
I suck at NFL parlays. :(
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Old 11-27-2008, 12:44 PM   #21
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Quote:
Originally Posted by fiveteamer View Post
I hate these types of plays, SOOOOOO stressful.

I lost $800 on the Wake ML vs. Navy, never going to play like that again.
The basketball team will not lose, don't hold the football team against them
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Old 11-27-2008, 12:46 PM   #22
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CrazyL View Post
Tailing CrazyL's tennis selections would be a good way.
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WBC: 10-8 +9.89 units
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Old 11-27-2008, 12:46 PM   #23
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Actually now that I think about it, I bet the Ball State ML on Tuesday.
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Old 11-27-2008, 04:12 PM   #24
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GL Pavers ... would hate to see your winnings vanished in 1 play

But it is your money!!

BOL Pavers
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Spread Sheet Totals:
NBA 115-81-4 +31.29
NCAAF 7-5-0 -0.06
NCAAB 3-7-2 -4.12
NFL 8-5-0 +4.32
Soccer 104-101-18 +32.75
Tennis 19-22-0- -13.83
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Old 11-27-2008, 04:14 PM   #25
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I think you can do it.
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Dropped out and is on the run from the bookmaker.

Left Chet to pick up the pieces.
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Old 11-27-2008, 08:18 PM   #26
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Balance is $2300 now 3-0.

Friday's play:

Nebraska ML -800 (NCAA football)
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Old 11-27-2008, 08:22 PM   #27
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lol. Nice job, Pavy. So you think you will go 20-0 on these big ML favorites?
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Old 11-27-2008, 08:23 PM   #28
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GL pavy.......
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Old 11-27-2008, 08:26 PM   #29
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Panic View Post
lol. Nice job, Pavy. So you think you will go 20-0 on these big ML favorites?
Panic,

I will either go 20-0 and double my balance or lose 3 in a row and go bust.
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Old 11-27-2008, 08:28 PM   #30
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
Panic,

I will either go 20-0 and double my balance or lose 3 in a row and go bust.
I'm with ya. I hope you win. No kidding. I would love to see a 20-0 run on a heavy ML line. Good Luck, Pavy.
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Old 11-27-2008, 08:29 PM   #31
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dont think you will lose three in a row
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Old 11-27-2008, 08:30 PM   #32
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is losing 3 in a row the only way you will bust out?
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Old 11-27-2008, 08:38 PM   #33
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Quote:
Originally Posted by fiveteamer View Post
is losing 3 in a row the only way you will bust out?
I will not bet anything more than -800 or so. I am taking it one day at a time teamer. Yes, I can still win 2, lose 1, and so forth and go bust. The goal is to go 20-0 and don't have to worry about losses. Easier said than done. This is very risky.
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Old 11-28-2008, 11:21 PM   #34
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Balance is now $2400 4-0.

Saturday's plays:

Missouri ML -600 (NCAA football)
Alabama ML -525 (NCAA football)
Florida ML -700 (NCAA football)
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Old 11-28-2008, 11:23 PM   #35
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Yes sir. I'm with ya, pavy. I hope you hit this thing.
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