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Old 11-18-08, 08:45 PM   #1
UntilTheNDofTimE
 
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Default Are these linemakers really this sharp

or a luck of the draw?( in my weekly experience) my last 7 under over bets have all been decided by 3 pts or less, yesterday i lost a under by 1 point, a over by 3 points, today a under by a half point, and my previous few totals i also won by 1 point. i can see this with lines but totals have been very sharp this year, i don't usually feel 4 pt teasers on totals are worth while but hey. ive been betting the nba for a few years and never seen them hit like this( in the bets ive placed)
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Last edited by UntilTheNDofTimE; 11-18-08 at 08:48 PM..
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Old 11-18-08, 08:51 PM   #2
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http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Variance
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Old 11-18-08, 08:52 PM   #3
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http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability_distribution
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Old 11-18-08, 08:56 PM   #4
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Quote:
Originally Posted by UntilTheNDofTimE View Post
or a luck of the draw?( in my weekly experience) my last 7 under over bets have all been decided by 3 pts or less, yesterday i lost a under by 1 point, a over by 3 points, today a under by a half point, and my previous few totals i also won by 1 point. i can see this with lines but totals have been very sharp this year, i don't usually feel 4 pt teasers on totals are worth while but hey. ive been betting the nba for a few years and never seen them hit like this( in the bets ive placed)
I'm not sure, but I know I've been on out of the money by a point or two or three about five times today... seems like the half time spreads are falling extremely close to the number too... on small time college b-ball games, where this early normally the books might have some easy targets... well i'm apparently no-where near the "easy" ones. So the bookies seem extremely sharp to me thus far this hoops season
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Old 11-18-08, 08:59 PM   #5
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I think TOTALS are very difficult to cap.
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Old 11-18-08, 09:02 PM   #6
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Celtics game just went down to the WIRE!! Celtics covered by a point.
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Old 11-18-08, 09:04 PM   #7
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mathdotcom View Post
lol i had a class on this shiet last semester, but got it outta my head right after finals
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Old 11-18-08, 09:26 PM   #8
mathdotcom
 
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Get it back in
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Old 11-18-08, 09:52 PM   #9
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Most games are usually dad on in all sports, line are so fukkin tight it is unreal.
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