[VegasDave]

USCKingsFan31

College: 44 - 37 - 0 (54.3%)
Pro: 63 - 50 - 3 (55.8%)
Philosophy: 10 - 1 - 0 (90.9%)

Vegas Dave (10/26)

College: 10 - 14 - 1 (41.7%)
Pro: 10 - 19 - 0 (34.5%)
Philosophy: 0 - 3 - 0 (0%)

I'm generally not the superstitious type, but I'm regretting the name change a tiny bit.

[BeatTheJerk]

hey VD how did you change your name anyways ? I see a few other guys doing the same ?

[pavyracer]

Originally Posted by BeatTheJerk

hey VD how did you change your name anyways ? I see a few other guys doing the same ?

He blew the mods. Only way to do it BTJ.

[purecarnagge]

He picks games to pick games. 281 picks and its not even over yet... Not to mention he's barley above .500

[BeatTheJerk]

Originally Posted by pavyracer

He blew the mods. Only way to do it BTJ.

but of course pavy

[CaneDawg]

Vegas Dave

Change your avatar = Change your luck

Put a picture of Megan Fox

[VegasDave]

Originally Posted by BeatTheJerk

but of course pavy

Hope you have no shame

[VegasDave]

Originally Posted by purecarnagge

He picks games to pick games. 281 picks and its not even over yet... Not to mention he's barley above .500

Interestingly enough, 51.4% is in the green, albeit very slightly, for the -105 bettor.

And I expect to get both of those up; the season isn't over yet my friend.

[SexyMit]

Or a pic of Jessica Alba...

[SlickFazzer]

Dave's colder than a witches tit in an iron braw.

Keep the faith David.

[VegasDave]

Originally Posted by SlickFazzer

Dave's colder than a witches tit in an iron braw.

Keep the faith David.

Pretty accurate.

I'd love for the NFL to be nice to me today!

[CaneDawg]

Megan Fox will change your luck

[BeatTheJerk]

hey VD I'm at around the same % as you and I'm up almost 10 K this football season, mainly because my top bets which are always at a max of 1k-2k are hitting at 63% rate, my other bets which usually fall from 300-700 are not doing so well. but all in all I'll take it to the bank my friend http://beatthejerk.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/

[VegasDave]

Congrats BTJ! I'm still happy that my best bets (Philosophy Picks) are over 70%

[pico]

isn't vegasdave the video name for uscking

[jjgold]

As long as Dave just does this as a hobby and for enjoyment he is ok, if he was betting his picks heavy he would get buried like the rest of us. He is a good guy and likes betting.

[compaqDikk]

vegas dave caught veneral disease. plane and simple. if it ain't broke don't fix it

[gm2022]

After todays day you wont even remember USC was your old name!

[bmw530i]

Originally Posted by CaneDawg

Vegas Dave

Change your avatar = Change your luck

Put a picture of Megan Fox

Cane that chick is so hot....
Someone got me to watch the beginning of Transformers , and shockingly after like 15 minutes in....the movie turned out to be very good...I still can't believe it...
Dave, talking about yourself in the 3rd person like Deon Sanders used to do...could work?

[Richkas]

Originally Posted by VegasDave

USCKingsFan31

College: 44 - 37 - 0 (54.3%)
Pro: 63 - 50 - 3 (55.8%)
Philosophy: 10 - 1 - 0 (90.9%)

Vegas Dave (10/26)

College: 10 - 14 - 1 (41.7%)
Pro: 10 - 19 - 0 (34.5%)
Philosophy: 0 - 3 - 0 (0%)

I'm generally not the superstitious type, but I'm regretting the name change a tiny bit.

Add them both together and that is the true gauge.

[VegasDave]

Originally Posted by Richkas

Add them both together and that is the true gauge.

Add them together and you ruin my excuse for November!

Teams get caught looking ahead to the big game all the time... have I been caught looking ahead to Thanksgiving?

[VegasDave]

Originally Posted by CaneDawg

Vegas Dave

Change your avatar = Change your luck

Back to extra-cushion JLH

[purecarnagge]

Originally Posted by VegasDave

Interestingly enough, 51.4% is in the green, albeit very slightly, for the -105 bettor.

And I expect to get both of those up; the season isn't over yet my friend.

assuming your even able to get those lines...most people even when they do reduced juice still end up averaging -110 or higher considering they buy points to get off a number more so than they make on ML dog picks...or dog picks at +100 juice.

You just told me that 51.4% is in the green when getting -105 or -110 juice.

/laughs

You need 52.4% but I bet you didn't know that. Thats to break even. Most people would recommend saying 53% due to the way lines can fall to average if there season was "green" or "red".

[VegasDave]

Originally Posted by purecarnagge

assuming your even able to get those lines...most people even when they do reduced juice still end up averaging -110 or higher considering they buy points to get off a number more so than they make on ML dog picks...or dog picks at +100 juice.

You just told me that 51.4% is in the green when getting -105 or -110 juice.

/laughs

You need 52.4% but I bet you didn't know that. Thats to break even. Most people would recommend saying 53% due to the way lines can fall to average if there season was "green" or "red".

First of all, I know -105 isn't all that common, but with reduced juice, matchbook, etc, it is attainable. And again, I wouldn't expect anyone to bet every single game I pick. I'm just putting my picks out there...

But please don't call me out with poor math. I NEVER said it was in the green for -110, I said it was for -105... look:

Originally Posted by VegasDave

Interestingly enough, 51.4% is in the green, albeit very slightly, for the -105 bettor.

And I expect to get both of those up; the season isn't over yet my friend.

Lets do some math.

51.4 X 100 = 5140
48.6 X 105 = 5103

Note how the top number is higher, ALBEIT VERY SLIGHTLY?

Using my record heading into today...

127 - 120

127 X 100 = 12700
120 X 105 = 12600

$100 GREEN.

I'm not saying 51.4 is a good %, I need to get that up no doubt about it.

What I am saying is feel free to make fun of the way I look or my picks if that makes you feel big, but do not call me out and say I don't understand the numbers. I am a numbers person first and foremost and understand odds and break even points perfectly well. So don't try and "school me" on that.

[purecarnagge]

That is assuming your playing -105 lines on average, which you aren't. You cannot lay decent weight on any pick and get -105 or better. Not for a average play. Not with buying off 3.5, 7, 7.5, 10.5, 14.5 or figuring on ML dog plays.

Originally Posted by VegasDave

What I am saying is feel free to make fun of the way I look or my picks if that makes you feel big, but do not call me out and say I don't understand the numbers. I am a numbers person first and foremost and understand odds and break even points perfectly well. So don't try and "school me" on that.

That right there makes you a joke. You don't understand the numbers, and the simple fact that you try to make my comments on this thread as a personal attack against yourself is funny. I have not personally attacked you. I'm telling you saying 51.4% is a positive season is a joke.

Can't handle it go back to your parents basement.

[billmunny]

Originally Posted by purecarnagge

That is assuming your playing -105 lines on average, which you aren't.

I'm pretty sure that he's saying that he is.

[I.R.B]

You over think things way to much pal.. Win or lose it just comes down to you picking the right side..

[purecarnagge]

anyone who says they average -105 lines on there bets is lying. Reduced juice is nice, but you cant say you average -105 juice on all of your bets. Books would not be in business if this was the case.

They offer it for certain amounts, some games its a very attractive option, but its not there ALL of the time. Its not there for guys betting 500.00 a game. Matchbook is harder to deposit into and unless its a saturday or sunday its liquidity is hard to justify on some sports.

[VegasDave]

Originally Posted by purecarnagge

That is assuming your playing -105 lines on average, which you aren't.

Originally Posted by billmunny

I'm pretty sure that he's saying that he is.

Originally Posted by purecarnagge

anyone who says they average -105 lines on there bets is lying. Reduced juice is nice, but you cant say you average -105 juice on all of your bets. Books would not be in business if this was the case.

Wow...

Please find me a post where I said that I get -105 lines consistantly? Or at all?

I've been very honest about the fact that I don't bet at all because I don't have any money. You are right, I don't get -105 lines... I don't get -110 lines either. I don't get any lines, because I don't gamble when I don't have any money.

Where on earth did I say I GET -105 LINES? Where?

Dude, we are in agreement, 51.4% is not enough to win. I just said "IRONICALLY ENOUGH" (that was supposed to indicate I wasn't being all that serios), the -105 bettor would be in the green. But you are right, that is rare.

Please find me a post that I said I was winning money or I was getting -105? I never did dude...

What is your problem with me? I just try my best to pick winners. It isn't going all that well these days, but I'm trying my best. I've never attacked you or said a mean thing about you or said I was making money or anything of the sort. Why do you hate me so much?

[flyingillini]

You haven't been betting the games?

[VegasDave]

No, I haven't, and I've never claimed that I have.

Last time I bet was week 1 when I went all on on Rice -4.5/Over 70 on the Rice SMU game. That won, I doubled up, and cashed out.

I'll put out a video tonight a little more about me and why I can't bet right now (money)... stay tuned for that.

[unknown Gambler]

find a safer hobby beforeyou end up at the stateline motel ready to kill for cash!

[purecarnagge]

First of all I have never made a personal attack against this kid. I've told him simply 51.4% isn't getting it done. And I've gone as to why I think its not... Which you can like, hate dislike I don't care.

Vegas Dave does not bet his own picks... Yet he makes close to 300 of them!!!!!