[Brock Landers]

Hey guys,

yesterday's picks were totally unacceptable, 2-4 and 0-2 in the rubberband plays which i talked about of smack about.

Not too cool and i apologize to the guys who followed them. i had a rare terrible day yesterday, somehow only lost about 3 dimes overall though.

Anyway, taking a bit of a step back, may not post any plays for a little while, we'll see how it goes today. Keeping my NFL plays to myself.

I got a little over my head and for that i am sorry to all, Panic, you were dead on with Texas tech, no matter how that game ended last night, Tech would have covered..

Later boys

[Richkas]

Dude dont worry about it. You cant win everyday otherwise everybody would be phucking millionaires

GL today bro

[Tsoprano]

Happens to everyone

gl today

[Nicky Santoro]

brocker, you're a nice guy and all, but no matter how good a guy is here on this board, even if he continues to give winners, there will come a time when they will get cold and end up close to 50%. no one can consistenly keep picking winners, it's just impossible. everything at the end always always always evens out, trust me.. these lines are so right on, that no matter if you were even JESUS CHRIST, you'll end up at 50%..

no one can continually pick winners everyday.. there always comes a time they will get cold.. i've seen guys start off NBA and NFL at 57-19.. and they'd think they're jimmy the greek, then go 8-39 in their next 47 games and come back near .500 again..

no such thing as a guy that can predict games.. nothing against you, but no one can. this stuff gets to people's heads thinking they really know something cause they went 5-0 yesterday and 12-2 last week.. they know squat..

it will all even out at the end.. TRUST ME..

[bmw530i]

Brock....no man it was 1 week, so what...
Rubberband plays are apart of this forum now....
I got ****in buried yesterday bad...if Okie State didn't cover, I probably would have given it all back...so what getting buried is part of the experience Brock, It's like after you wake up from a real earth shattering hangover, and saying I can't even look at a beer....It was hard to even look at lines, but this is what it's all about to experience the highest highs and the lowest lows....Take some time get your head right
This was me yesterday....

[Beat up the book]

Originally Posted by Brock Landers

Hey guys,

yesterday's picks were totally unacceptable, 2-4 and 0-2 in the rubberband plays which i talked about of smack about.

Not too cool and i apologize to the guys who followed them. i had a rare terrible day yesterday, somehow only lost about 3 dimes overall though.

Anyway, taking a bit of a step back, may not post any plays for a little while, we'll see how it goes today. Keeping my NFL plays to myself.

I got a little over my head and for that i am sorry to all, Panic, you were dead on with Texas tech, no matter how that game ended last night, Tech would have covered..

Later boys

Hey Brock,
I shit the bed too,my best bets ended up being my worst this week and all my small bet's ended up hitting.Theres more football,you'll turn it around.

[Tsoprano]

Originally Posted by Nicky Santoro

brocker, you're a nice guy and all, but no matter how good a guy is here on this board, even if he continues to give winners, there will come a time when they will get cold and end up close to 50%. no one can consistenly keep picking winners, it's just impossible. everything at the end always always always evens out, trust me.. these lines are so right on, that no matter if you were even JESUS CHRIST, you'll end up at 50%..

no one can continually pick winners everyday.. there always comes a time they will get cold.. i've seen guys start off NBA and NFL at 57-19.. and they'd think they're jimmy the greek, then go 8-39 in their next 47 games and come back near .500 again..

no such thing as a guy that can predict games.. nothing against you, but no one can. this stuff gets to people's heads thinking they really know something cause they went 5-0 yesterday and 12-2 last week.. they know squat..

it will all even out at the end.. TRUST ME..

Oh yea...? How do you explain DacBietViet picking 95% winners since his join date... Ha, thought so.

[VegasDave]

Originally Posted by Nicky Santoro

brocker, you're a nice guy and all, but no matter how good a guy is here on this board, even if he continues to give winners, there will come a time when they will get cold and end up close to 50%. no one can consistenly keep picking winners, it's just impossible. everything at the end always always always evens out, trust me.. these lines are so right on, that no matter if you were even JESUS CHRIST, you'll end up at 50%..

no one can continually pick winners everyday.. there always comes a time they will get cold.. i've seen guys start off NBA and NFL at 57-19.. and they'd think they're jimmy the greek, then go 8-39 in their next 47 games and come back near .500 again..

no such thing as a guy that can predict games.. nothing against you, but no one can. this stuff gets to people's heads thinking they really know something cause they went 5-0 yesterday and 12-2 last week.. they know squat..

it will all even out at the end.. TRUST ME..

Nicky just because you don't know any profitable professional handicappers doesn't mean they don't exist

[Nicky Santoro]

las vegas dave,,

i will bet you or anyone on this board that no one can hit 53% or more over 500 games..

i will put up any amount of money on this bet with anyone.. you name it..

FORGET IT, IT DONT EXIST.

unless a guy is beating the #'s consistently, i will make you or anyone here this bet.. at the real line, NOT ONE PERSON has an edge over me on this bet...

[Tsoprano]

Originally Posted by Nicky Santoro

las vegas dave,,

i will bet you or anyone on this board that no one can hit 53% or more over 500 games..

i will put up any amount of money on this bet with anyone.. you name it..

FORGET IT, IT DONT EXIST.

unless a guy is beating the #'s consistently, i will make you or anyone here this bet.. at the real line, NOT ONE PERSON has an edge over me on this bet...

Are chalky NBA moneylines accepted?

[VegasDave]

Originally Posted by Nicky Santoro

las vegas dave,,

i will bet you or anyone on this board that no one can hit 53% or more over 500 games..

i will put up any amount of money on this bet with anyone.. you name it..

FORGET IT, IT DONT EXIST.

unless a guy is beating the #'s consistently, i will make you or anyone here this bet.. at the real line, NOT ONE PERSON has an edge over me on this bet...

99% of cappers can't do it. The 1% exists, though.

[fiveteamer]

All I have to say after that Texas game is...

My ass hurts.

[Nicky Santoro]

Originally Posted by Tsoprano

Are chalky NBA moneylines accepted?

come on, anthony, gimme a break.. i can hit 93% on NBA ml's and still be down money.. if you lose a few -1400's, you might not ever recover to show a profit.

i am talking spreads.. no one will hit 53% over 500 games.. unless you are beating #'s consistently.. at the real price, not one person will bet me here that they can do it.. cause they can't.. no such thing as a good capper.. these lines are so fukkin sharp.. no one is smarter than these oddsmakers.

and if you dont want to play 500 spreads and try to hit 53%.. then you can play on ML's and you must show a profit..

GOOD LUCK.

[Nicky Santoro]

Originally Posted by VegasDave

99% of cappers can't do it. The 1% exists, though.

Las Vegas David,


you are right.. a few will hit 53%, but a very few.. and no one will hit 58%, or 60%.. forget it.. but then again, if you can hit 53%, you break even.. and even if you hit 55%, you make a profit, but not that big a profit

but guess what, if book hits 53% or 55% over you, which is just as easy.. you will get totally, and i mean.. totally.. smoked..

Is this all worth it for the gambler? HELL NO!!!!!!!!!


Las vegas david, you are doing very well as i see in NCAA and NFL.. your record says you are doing good.. lets watch and see what your record will be after both seasons are over.. i will lay any odds that you will come back to earth and end up near 50%.. watch and see buddy..

[accuscoresucks]

keep your head up son

nicky is correct it happens to the best just keep phucking the books

[VegasDave]

I'm not saying I'm there Nicky, not yet anyway.

But just capping NFL as a hobby over the last 3 years, I have been over .500 every year, and look well on my way this year. I do believe it can be done.

[rm18]

It would be easy to hit 53% with 2nd half lines, if you take the team who gets ball 1st you hit 53%, just give me the team who gets ball first first 500 games of college basketball season.

[EBSB52]

Originally Posted by Nicky Santoro

las vegas dave,,

i will bet you or anyone on this board that no one can hit 53% or more over 500 games..

i will put up any amount of money on this bet with anyone.. you name it..

FORGET IT, IT DONT EXIST.

unless a guy is beating the #'s consistently, i will make you or anyone here this bet.. at the real line, NOT ONE PERSON has an edge over me on this bet...

Are you saying it's all luck and that people who hype 70% are full of shit? Yepper, even Jimmie the Greeek saved 1/4 million for his best bet, placed it and lost. Pros, cappers know betting, but each game is a guess, anyone who says differently is a fool.

[Tsoprano]

Originally Posted by Nicky Santoro

come on, anthony, gimme a break.. i can hit 93% on NBA ml's and still be down money.. if you lose a few -1400's, you might not ever recover to show a profit.

i am talking spreads.. no one will hit 53% over 500 games.. unless you are beating #'s consistently.. at the real price, not one person will bet me here that they can do it.. cause they can't.. no such thing as a good capper.. these lines are so fukkin sharp.. no one is smarter than these oddsmakers.

and if you dont want to play 500 spreads and try to hit 53%.. then you can play on ML's and you must show a profit..

GOOD LUCK.

If you want to start a thread, ill try for it. No money riding though, just to prove you wrong/right.

[jjgold]

Brock you were do to have a bad day, I hope you did not give all your profits back yesterday.

[pico]

why did i bet on the gophers. i blame you

[Chi_archie]

No one has good days always... its how you react to the bad days short and long term... you had a bad day, the slightly bigger picture is that in your posted plays you are still up.... 6-2 on your "rubberband" plays ain't bad.

don't be shy to post plays... you don't cost anyone anything if they follow you, that is their decision. You can't blindly follow anyone and get mad if the picks don't come through.

continue to post and discuss both sides of the plays....

hat's off, to man-ing up and facing your critics, that's big in my book. But prob unnecessary. If you lose on plays the only person you gotta apologize to are YOU (and maybe your wife/fam)...

anywho hope you win it back today, don't deprive us of your college fb or whatever insights...

[Brock Landers]

Originally Posted by jjgold

Brock you were do to have a bad day, I hope you did not give all your profits back yesterday.

thanks guys

No JJ, only dropped a little under 3 dimes overall, i made a hell of a lot more than that during the last month and a half, so it was just a rare terrible day, for me thats just not acceptable and i will come back strong, just need to clear my head some.

[Mudcat]

I'm just glad that everyone who has a losing day of posted picks doesn't start an apology thread or we would be over-run.

[Nicky Santoro]

Originally Posted by rm18

It would be easy to hit 53% with 2nd half lines, if you take the team who gets ball 1st you hit 53%, just give me the team who gets ball first first 500 games of college basketball season.

sorry buddy, but i hate to burst your bubble, but this is not true.. books already have applied this into the line.. If a team is supposed to be -1.5 for 2nd half, then books check to see who has ball first, then they make line -3 if they get ball first, or pick em if they dont have ball first. i'm talking NFL. and they do same for NCAAB

everything is already factored in when the line comes out, including who has ball, who is up by alot, who is down by alot... etc.

[jjgold]

Ok for the 400th time the only ones that win bettting sports fall into two categories.

1. Scalpers
2. Middlers

Long term everyone else loses, if you think your taking Team A against Team B and your going to show a long term profit you are mistaken.

I will never forget when the sharpest gambler of all times named Sick Gambler lost over 100k betting baseball. He thought he was smarter than the linesman, he was sadly mistaken and lost everything.

[smitch124]

3. Russian Mob (something tells me they're over 53%)

[rm18]

Originally Posted by jjgold

Ok for the 400th time the only ones that win bettting sports fall into two categories.

1. Scalpers
2. Middlers

Long term everyone else loses, if you think your taking Team A against Team B and your going to show a long term profit you are mistaken.

I will never forget when the sharpest gambler of all times named Sick Gambler lost over 100k betting baseball. He thought he was smarter than the linesman, he was sadly mistaken and lost everything.

But when people scalp against pinny they usually lose at pinny and win at the other place, so just place the other bet and don't scalp and then you are a winner

[jjgold]

If it was that easy guy we would nt work and all books would be broke and close down.

[Nicky Santoro]

Originally Posted by jjgold

Ok for the 400th time the only ones that win bettting sports fall into two categories.

1. Scalpers
2. Middlers

You are correct, sir.. those 2 are the only winners, PLUS.. the ones that only bet good #'s.. and good #'s only.. for example, If you bet Celtics -9... you better make sure they closed at -10 or higher... and you better be doing this consistently on every game.. when you bet over 179, you better hope it closes at 181 or higher.. If line is NYY -140/+130, and you bet NYY -132 or NYY -123 on every game, you will win..

if you are betting this way and you have big edges on every game, you will win. if not, don't waste your time.. you have ZERO chance of winning.. unless your name is GOD.. you dont have a prayer..

handicapping a game and saying, i like STL -4 will not cut it.. you're better off flipping a coin.. same fukkin thing..

so basically,, only winners are...

1-scalpers
2- middlers
3- bettors who ONLY bet big edges.



That's it.. rest have no chance.

[onthewhat]

This is why I stopped gambling. Dead serious, nicky santoro showed me the light in threads similar to this. I cannot win by flipping coins and betting spreads or MLs, Its to hard to fund books and find scalps that are worth it, and i'm not sharp enough to hit middles or predict future line movements

this game cannot be beaten, i want to thank you nicky i have saved a lot of money by not betting the past two or three months and my bank account thanks you

[Nicky Santoro]

thanks onner.. i always knew you were one of the smart ones here. keep it up, buddy..

[jjgold]

I bet now more for the high and action and of course the challenge to beat it.

[VegasDave]

Am I the only one that thinks it is really lame that the forum's two major superstars both say that capping is impossible and is no better than flipping a coin?

[Brock Landers]

i'm up today so far thanks to that very tight Tennessee win, had the ML, next up, NY Giants!

Like New England +7 1/2 tonight, gunna move that line