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Old 10-25-08, 08:49 PM   #1
SlickFazzer
 
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Default How bad do you think you could be betting ATS if you tried.

betting football and basketball spreads at -110..

Kind of like a RAZZ of sports betting.

below 40%?

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Old 10-25-08, 08:53 PM   #2
VegasDave
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I'd guess no worse than 47%...

If you could hit under 40% winners, that means all you'd have to do is fade yourself and you'd be at over 60% winners. Not going to happen.
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Old 10-25-08, 08:54 PM   #3
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Good argument USC.
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Old 10-25-08, 08:54 PM   #4
fiveteamer
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I would be surprised if I could break 40%.
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Old 10-25-08, 08:58 PM   #5
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Its interesting:

Going 6-4 (60%) forever is impossible.

Yet going worse than 4-6 (40%) forever may be impossible is well.

Its a fine line sports bettors try to walk.
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Old 10-25-08, 08:59 PM   #6
VegasDave
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SlickFazzer View Post
Good argument USC.
Just the truth. Think about it. Isn't this game of razz exactly what we are all playing?

Don't we cap games in an attempt to find CERTAIN losers, and bet against them? The only difference in your game is you'd bet FOR those teams you were confident would lose, not against them.

Even the best of us only cap around 55% - 58% winners -110/-110. As such, those same people could pull off a 45% - 42%.

But the other 99% that can't cap over 53%? They would be stuck in the 47% - 53% range no matter how hard they tried to win or lose.
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Old 10-25-08, 09:00 PM   #7
fiveteamer
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OK, maybe 44%
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Old 10-25-08, 09:03 PM   #8
yisman
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well, I'd just fade my picks, so I could do 35% or so.
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Old 10-25-08, 10:03 PM   #9
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ill tell you after tomorrow.
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Old 10-25-08, 10:04 PM   #10
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you cant fade yourself bc you will end up reverse fading your fade and then reversing that

most of you guys would do better to fade vendittos
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