[Fishhead]

For those interested, will post my play in this thread late Friday or early Saturday morning at the LATEST.

Waiting for possibly a better number on this particular game.

With the amount of posters here and the bankrolls of many, do not want to drive the number the opposite direction, which will in all probability will occur when this is released(if past history is an indication).

Stay tuned and calm my SBR friends..........this selection is less than 48 hours away.

Please, for the very few that may want to interject something negative here, for the sake of the few here that are actually interested in this, keep your thoughts to yourselves and enjoy life.


My thinking is that I've been fortunate in my comeback to SBR this week to hand out a few winners without losing any and will try to keep the ball rolling for those showing confidence in me.

This actually will be second selection at SBR this week, the first being the two-team teaser featuring SEA and TB...........



-FH-


REMEMBER, BET WITH YOUR HEAD, NOT OVER IT.

WE ARE ALL IN THIS FOR THE LONGHAUL,...............one day, one month, or even one year does not make one a success in this business.

[Richkas]

GL Fish

[fiveteamer]

Wish you would have told me yesterday, I would have tossed it in my teaser.

[Fishhead]

Originally Posted by fiveteamer

Wish you would have told me yesterday, I would have tossed it in my teaser.

[CrazyLou]

Good Luck...

[fiveteamer]

I made a 5 team teaser yesterday. I would have held off, and added this team in there, teased, to make it a six teamer.

[Fishhead]

Originally Posted by fiveteamer

I made a 5 team teaser yesterday. I would have held off, and added this team in there, teased, to make it a six teamer.

Who knows, you may have saved money.

I can't win them all...........

[CrazyLou]

Any thoughts on the Jets vs Tom Brady-less Pats at -1.5 in NY?

[Fishhead]

Originally Posted by CrazyL

Any thoughts on the Jets vs Tom Brady-less Pats at -1.5 in NY?

My only thought at this time is teasing the PATS to +7.5 or more in a two-team 6pt teaser going through the live numbers of 3 and 7.

[CrazyLou]

Originally Posted by Fishhead

My only thought at this time is teasing the PATS to +7.5 or more in a two-team 6pt teaser going through the live numbers of 3 and 7.

Yeah the 7.5 would be nice ideally but I have concerns about Matt Cassel, the rest of the team should be OK but he can easily tank this game.

Let me know if you make a play on this one straight up..

[Fishhead]

Originally Posted by CrazyL

Yeah the 7.5 would be nice ideally but I have concerns about Matt Cassel, the rest of the team should be OK but he can easily tank this game.

Let me know if you make a play on this one straight up..

Can tell you right now, will not be playing this straight-up.

[Fishhead]

No matter the line status, will release this selection at 6pm EDT sharp..........enough suspense. I also be releasieng this on a couple other forums, so I expect the game to possibly move(perhaps in our direction for the big money fading me) ........seriously though, I would expect more followeres than naysayers, thus more of a possibility of the followers moving the line than the naysayers. I know for a fact also that a couple shops will move the game one half point just on my opinion.


REMEMBER, BET WITH YOUR HEAD, NOT OVER IT............THE VERY VERY VERY VERY BEST i can do over any span of 500 games is roughly 60% winners..........and THAT'S TOPS.

My overall winning percentage over 25 years of doing this is no more than 55.5% on straight wagers vs the pointspread in football and basketball..........but that's all that is needed to profit from straight wagering and I do win on a fairly consistant basis.

Anyone that tells you they have hit over 60% of these types of wagers is completely full of shit..........please understand that reality.

[jjgold]

We will wait here for the pick tonight and pound it.

[Fishhead]

Originally Posted by jjgold

We will wait here for the pick tonight and pound it.

I know you will...........

[Fishhead]

No matter the line, the selection is up at 6pm EDT sharp.........roughly 3.5 hours from now.

Stay tuned.........

Hope all of you are having a great day.

FH

[SlickFazzer]

Looking forward to your picks Fish. JJ has spoken very highly of you.

[Al Masters]

Fishhead..........your opinion on this teaser

$2,400..to get $2000

VANDY -8 TO-1
BYU -8 TO-1

[ryanXL977]

what does byu+ vandy parlay pay
to win

[Fishhead]

Originally Posted by Al Masters

Fishhead..........your opinion on this teaser

$2,400..to get $2000

VANDY -8 TO-1
BYU -8 TO-1

Very little, if any, advantages to teasing CFB.........

I can tell you flat out, as in your example, laying -120 on a 7pt teaser in CFB is not worth it.

[Al Masters]

Originally Posted by Fishhead

Very little, if any, advantages to teasing CFB.........

I can tell you flat out, as in your example, laying -120 on a 7pt teaser in CFB is not worth it.

What number would make it worthwhile?

[Fishhead]

Originally Posted by Al Masters

What number would make it worthwhile?

I don't think you will find anyplace where teasing CFB is worth it...........

[Al Masters]

True, as i can't see anything better then the -120 anyways.

I'm curious as to what true number would be in reference to CFB 7pt 2 teamers?
Is the -120 slightly off....way off......is there a formula to figure this out?

[Fishhead]

Originally Posted by Al Masters

True, as i can't see anything better then the -120 anyways.

I'm curious as to what true number would be in reference to CFB 7pt 2 teamers?
Is the -120 slightly off....way off......is there a formula to figure this out?

Yes there is, but I don't have the time to get into that right at the moment.

[Al Masters]

I hear ya, thanks for the previous feedback.

[Fishhead]

Top Saturday selection released in 29 minutes..........

[seriousaddiction]

dont be shy fish.....send me a PM with ur pick...Im gonna be transit at 6pm and I know when it gets hammered Im gonna miss out on ten cents juice or quite possibly a half point???


how bout it??

[robmpink]

Originally Posted by Fishhead

Top Saturday selection released in 29 minutes..........

4 minutes, Ace Ace!

[Fishhead]

About 95% of the shops are posting +13.5, but a few have +14.

I like the game at either number and advise you to do what you think is best in terms of wagering it now or waiting.



IOWA STATE +14

[Wheell]

Agree, although I am in on the money line. I smell upset here. Rivarly game, I've cashed with the dog at a huge plus sign before.

[Homedawg]

GL fish. Got it at 13.5 at my books. where do you see 14? only place i saw was bodog and thankfully i dont have funds with them. GL

[Poker_Beast]

Thanks fish!

[Wheell]

It is at 13.5 on every book on sbrlines. Still, the point remains the same, Iowa St. is the pick. If you wait some 14's should pop up on Saturday, and if not, you haven't lost much by waiting.

[BeatTheJerk]

Pick Tease all day with this shiit ............. where you waitin for it move or something in your favor FishHead ?

[donjuan]

It is at 13.5 on every book on sbrlines. Still, the point remains the same, Iowa St. is the pick. If you wait some 14's should pop up on Saturday, and if not, you haven't lost much by waiting.

If it's a +EV bet, it's more likely to go down than up. Even if you thought it was equally likely to go down or up, you would lose just as much as moving back to the 14 is roughly the same as moving down to the 12 and line moves move by cents, not points.

[Kingctb27]

Tailin ya