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Old 08-27-2008, 09:28 AM   #1
Illusion
 
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Default NFL Best Bets: Week 1: (Thur September 4th, '08 through Mon September 8th, '08)

Share your best bets for Week 1: Thursday, Sunday and Monday.

All sides and totals will be graded using -110 unless otherwise indicated.

Parlays and teases will not be reflected in the results.

Make sure you post a line for all bets and good luck!
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Old 08-27-2008, 07:13 PM   #2
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Default

Lions - 3

CD
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Old 08-28-2008, 12:08 AM   #3
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Default Week One

San Francisco 49ers +2.5

Some How You Guys Will Think Im Nuts But They Are Going To Win The Division I Work.....in Pr Department In Santa Clara I Know They Are Capable Of Winning Division Lol
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Old 08-28-2008, 05:27 AM   #4
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Packers vikings under the total.
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Old 08-28-2008, 09:48 AM   #5
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Default

-delete
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Last edited by Sforz; 08-29-2008 at 11:42 AM.. Reason: posted a nflx line
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Old 08-28-2008, 10:41 AM   #6
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Packers +6.5 -110
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Old 08-28-2008, 02:21 PM   #7
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Default

Det Ml
Pit -4

Gltna
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Old 08-28-2008, 02:44 PM   #8
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Dallas -4
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Old 08-29-2008, 01:27 AM   #9
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Watch out for the jags this year don't be surprised it they take the division..
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Old 08-29-2008, 02:57 PM   #10
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NY Jets -3 (Best Bet) WINNER
PHL Eagles -7 WINNER


11th Hour play

Buffalo -1 WINNER

Last edited by Red Man Spit; 09-20-2008 at 06:14 PM..
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Old 08-29-2008, 03:01 PM   #11
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SD Chargers -8.5
Seattle +1.5
Cinci -2

Last edited by t-bone; 09-07-2008 at 10:07 AM..
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Old 08-31-2008, 12:23 PM   #12
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I'll put these in order of which plays I like best. But all are for 1 unit.

Vikes +3 -125, ML +125
Pats -16.5
Bears +9
Cowboys -4
Bucs +3.5
Eagles -7
Texans +6.5
Jags -3
Panthers +9
Cards -3
Ravens +1
Seahawks -1
Dolphins +3
Lions -3
Raiders +3
Giants -3
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Old 08-31-2008, 12:37 PM   #13
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Jets -3
Eagles -7
Chargers -9
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Old 08-31-2008, 12:41 PM   #14
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Quote:
Originally Posted by slacker00 View Post
I'll put these in order of which plays I like best. But all are for 1 unit.

Vikes +3 -125, ML +125
Pats -16.5
Bears +9
Cowboys -4
Bucs +3.5
Eagles -7
Texans +6.5
Jags -3
Panthers +9
Cards -3
Ravens +1
Seahawks -1
Dolphins +3
Lions -3
Raiders +3
Giants -3

I see you have chosen the Panthers. Would be very interested to hear your opinion on this because I am looking at them for a 10 point teaser. I saw on Sportsbook.com that slightly less than 50% of the side bets are on the Chargers which leads me to believe there is validity to your opinion. What is it I'm not seeing???? Maybe I'll substitute Dallas instead.
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Old 09-01-2008, 04:03 AM   #15
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Baltimore (+1)
NYJ (-3)
N.E. (u. 46.5)
Pitts. (-6.5)
Detroit (-3)
Buffalo (-110)
Carolina (-9)
Arizona (o. 41.5)
Cleveland (u. 49)
Philly (-7)
N.O. (-3.5)
Detroit (-3)
Jacks. (o. 37)
NYG (u. 41)
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Old 09-01-2008, 05:06 AM   #16
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Default

deleted

Last edited by bort; 09-01-2008 at 01:58 PM.. Reason: changed picks
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Old 09-01-2008, 12:32 PM   #17
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KC +16.5
Car +9.5
Chi +9.5
NE/KC UNDER 46.5
Dal/Cle UNDER 48.5
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Old 09-01-2008, 01:58 PM   #18
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St. Louis +7.5
San Diego -9
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Old 09-02-2008, 02:09 AM   #19
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Eagles -7
Lions -3
Dallas -3
Minnesota +3
Colts -9

2 units each

Last edited by dmiles1021; 09-04-2008 at 05:05 PM.. Reason: did not put units risked
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Old 09-02-2008, 09:47 AM   #20
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dmiles1021 View Post
Eagles -7
Lions -3
Dallas -3
Minnesota +3
Colts -9
where are you getting these lines?
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Old 09-02-2008, 10:34 AM   #21
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Default

Bet your house on these

Jets(-3) -110(Play of the Week)
Giants(-3) -128
Chiefs(+17) -120
Jaguars(-3) -105
Broncos(-3) -110
Bengals(-1) -115
Lions(-3) -115
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Old 09-02-2008, 11:57 AM   #22
slacker00
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by slacker00 View Post
I'll put these in order of which plays I like best. But all are for 1 unit.

Vikes +3 -125, ML +125
Pats -16.5
Bears +9
Cowboys -4
Bucs +3.5
Eagles -7
Texans +6.5
Jags -3
Panthers +9
Cards -3
Ravens +1
Seahawks -1
Dolphins +3
Lions -3
Raiders +3
Giants -3
I completely revamped my handicapping approach and came up with a different assessment this morning. Basically I'm taking 5 picks and the rest are no-plays. With my re-analysis I still get the same plays, but some of the grades and the thresholds are different.

Here they are in no particular order: Raiders +3, Giants -3, Ravents +1, Eagles -7, Jags -3.

The next two would have been Pats -16 1/2 and Vikes +3. But my "true line" assessment would've been Pats -18 1/2 and Packers -1 1/2, still making these reasonable plays, but not good enough to make the cutoff I've established.

In reply to agg, the Panthers-Chargers game is a no-play now, so I really haven't got a good reason to go either way on this game with my new system.
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Old 09-02-2008, 12:05 PM   #23
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Sforz I got them at Youwager.com about a week ago
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Old 09-02-2008, 02:38 PM   #24
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10 Pt Teaser

Colts+0.5
Jags+7
Chargers+1

-120
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Old 09-02-2008, 03:12 PM   #25
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Sea +1
Den -3
Lions -3
Giants -3
Cincy +1 1/2
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Old 09-02-2008, 03:24 PM   #26
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jags-3 i like the jags to win the superbowl, garrad gets better every year they have a great runing duo and good recievers and a awesome hard hitting defense meanwhile the titans have no recievers and a ok nfl qb and an average defense, love the jags this year and this week

jets -3
49ers + 2.5
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Old 09-04-2008, 06:15 AM   #27
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giants -4.5
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Old 09-04-2008, 06:40 AM   #28
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Jets -3 (-110)
Giants u42 (-120)
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Old 09-04-2008, 09:06 AM   #29
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Dolphins at Home are a lock! Pennington is going to shit all over his old team.
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Old 09-04-2008, 10:39 AM   #30
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since nobody seems to considered them i m gonna take

Washington + 4,5 -101
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Old 09-04-2008, 10:58 AM   #31
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Quote:
Originally Posted by franckmtl View Post
since nobody seems to considered them i m gonna take

Washington + 4,5 -101
I'm with you.. but got an extra 1/2pt

Washington +5 (-109)
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Old 09-04-2008, 12:24 PM   #32
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NYG -3 (-160) 2u

NYG/WAS U41 2u
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Old 09-04-2008, 12:40 PM   #33
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Lions-3 5 Units
Cards -2.5 3 Units
Wsh +5.5 5 Units
Pit-6.5 3 Units
Colts-9.5 2units
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Old 09-04-2008, 12:52 PM   #34
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6 Point Teaser
Giants +1.5 u47.5 5u


Giants -4.5 u41.5 2u
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Old 09-04-2008, 01:00 PM   #35
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Indy -9 1/2
STL +7 1/2
Cincy -2
Buffalo -1
Cowboys -5 1/2
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