They will greatly miss Bruschi, the key to their D the last few years, and Ted Johnson. Monte Beisel sucks. Teams will run on NE this year, and short pass them up the gut.
Brady is unbelievable though, so they will win their share of shootouts, but their D will take a step back. I think 10.5 is a fair number. 10-11 wins looks about right.
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