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Old 12-18-2007, 03:33 AM   #1 (permalink)
hamburglar628
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Default Best Bet For Sunday

Browns -3.

There is no way the Browns will lose this game to the Bengals. They will win the game, the worse anyone could do is break even. The Bengals defense is horrible, at its not like the Cincy offense is explosive like it used to be. BROWNS -3!
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Old 12-18-2007, 11:51 PM   #2 (permalink)
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beg to differ but GL man
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Old 12-19-2007, 12:00 AM   #3 (permalink)
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I say Dallas is the best bet, I expect a blowout.
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Old 12-19-2007, 12:16 AM   #4 (permalink)
Razz
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Amazing how in week 2 everyone said the Bengals -6.5 at the Browns was a stone cold lock and now no one expects them to be able to beat the Browns at home.
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Old 12-19-2007, 12:23 AM   #5 (permalink)
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Browns 1st half for me...

Good luck Hamburglar!

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Old 12-19-2007, 10:41 AM   #6 (permalink)
jackpot269
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browns small 4 me
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Old 12-19-2007, 12:16 PM   #7 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hamburglar628 View Post
Browns -3.

There is no way the Browns will lose this game to the Bengals. They will win the game, the worse anyone could do is break even. The Bengals defense is horrible, at its not like the Cincy offense is explosive like it used to be. BROWNS -3!

That is a typical public view on this game and why the books set the lines the way they do.
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Old 12-19-2007, 03:53 PM   #8 (permalink)
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Quote:
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That is a typical public view on this game and why the books set the lines the way they do.
Exactly...I see a CIN win
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Old 12-19-2007, 04:28 PM   #9 (permalink)
Furt
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why?
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Old 12-19-2007, 04:51 PM   #10 (permalink)
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why?
Public opinion has a lot to do with how sportsbooks shade their lines. Sportsbooks aren't a group of cappers demanding, for example, that "CLE will win by 3 or more pts and I dare you to bet against me". They are trying to even up both sides of the line in order to make as much money as possible. Obviously there is more to handicapping than just that one aspect alone, but it does carry a lot of weight. I think CLE barely wins vs average teams and is a bit overrated in the public eye and has a subpar defense. They play in CIN where I think the Bengals have the offensive weapons that are overdue and they know the Browns well. A high scoring game would not surprise me as the Bengals D is subpar as well. I see the home team winning.
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Old 12-19-2007, 07:08 PM   #11 (permalink)
hamburglar628
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A cincy win? Browns are controlling their own playoff spot right now. I like the browns offense better than the bengals right now. Unlike the bengals, the browns can control the clock, run the ball all game if they wanted to, and cincy's defense is horrible. I love this game. Browns -3. I've been with the browns the last two weeks (both covering against the jets and bills)
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Old 12-19-2007, 09:16 PM   #12 (permalink)
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Dallas, Cincy, Pitts, are the best bets this week!!!! I also like the over on the Dallas and Pitts game...

Last edited by Hitek : 12-19-2007 at 09:40 PM.
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Old 12-20-2007, 11:15 AM   #13 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hamburglar628 View Post
and cincy's defense is horrible. I love this game. Browns -3. I've been with the browns the last two weeks (both covering against the jets and bills)
The Browns defense is just as bad if not worse. Check their stats. Bengals allow less points per game. Since the browns have been covering lately doesn't mean they will this week. The odds makers will adjust to them eventually.
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Old 12-20-2007, 12:18 PM   #14 (permalink)
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It is a big rival game just like the Eagles and Cowboys, I would stay away from this game because of that.
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Old 12-20-2007, 12:22 PM   #15 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Hitek View Post
Dallas, Cincy, Pitts, are the best bets this week!!!! I also like the over on the Dallas and Pitts game...
The best bet is that chick in your avatar. Hot.
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Old 12-20-2007, 01:30 PM   #16 (permalink)
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The Seer nailed this. Public all over the Browns. Go the other way. Betting sports is ezfosheezy
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Old 12-20-2007, 01:34 PM   #17 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hamburglar628 View Post
A cincy win? Browns are controlling their own playoff spot right now. I like the browns offense better than the bengals right now. Unlike the bengals, the browns can control the clock, run the ball all game if they wanted to, and cincy's defense is horrible. I love this game. Browns -3. I've been with the browns the last two weeks (both covering against the jets and bills)
"Team A has something to play for" has to be one of the top 5 worst arguments in sports betting. Cincy's defense is similar to Cleveland's defense, and continuing to bet a team because they covered the spread two weeks in a row has to be one of the other top 5 worst arguments in sports betting.
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