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12-18-2007, 03:33 AM
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#1 (permalink)
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SBR Hustler
Join Date: 11-30-07
Posts: 71
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Best Bet For Sunday
Browns -3.
There is no way the Browns will lose this game to the Bengals. They will win the game, the worse anyone could do is break even. The Bengals defense is horrible, at its not like the Cincy offense is explosive like it used to be. BROWNS -3!
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12-18-2007, 11:51 PM
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#2 (permalink)
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SBR High Roller
Join Date: 12-13-07
Posts: 100
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beg to differ  but GL man
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12-19-2007, 12:00 AM
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#3 (permalink)
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SBR MVP
Join Date: 05-31-07
Location: Philly
Posts: 4,729
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I say Dallas is the best bet, I expect a blowout.
__________________
I'm a self proclaimed genius....you got problem with dat?
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12-19-2007, 12:16 AM
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#4 (permalink)
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SBR Hall of Famer
Join Date: 08-22-05
Location: Alabama
Posts: 5,682
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Amazing how in week 2 everyone said the Bengals -6.5 at the Browns was a stone cold lock and now no one expects them to be able to beat the Browns at home.
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12-19-2007, 12:23 AM
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#5 (permalink)
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VIP Moderator
Join Date: 08-02-07
Posts: 20,495
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Browns 1st half for me...
Good luck Hamburglar!

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12-19-2007, 10:41 AM
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#6 (permalink)
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SBR MVP
Join Date: 09-24-07
Location: Just north of Hell just south of Heaven
Posts: 1,389
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browns small 4 me 
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12-19-2007, 12:16 PM
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#7 (permalink)
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SBR MVP
Join Date: 10-29-07
Posts: 1,649
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hamburglar628
Browns -3.
There is no way the Browns will lose this game to the Bengals. They will win the game, the worse anyone could do is break even. The Bengals defense is horrible, at its not like the Cincy offense is explosive like it used to be. BROWNS -3!
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That is a typical public view on this game and why the books set the lines the way they do.
__________________
College football best bets
28-18-1 +25.9 units
as documented in Best bets thread
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12-19-2007, 03:53 PM
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#8 (permalink)
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SBR Rookie
Join Date: 12-17-07
Posts: 18
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The Seer
That is a typical public view on this game and why the books set the lines the way they do.
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Exactly...I see a CIN win
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12-19-2007, 04:28 PM
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#9 (permalink)
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SBR High Roller
Join Date: 10-25-07
Posts: 164
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why?
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12-19-2007, 04:51 PM
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#10 (permalink)
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SBR Rookie
Join Date: 12-17-07
Posts: 18
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Furt
why?
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Public opinion has a lot to do with how sportsbooks shade their lines. Sportsbooks aren't a group of cappers demanding, for example, that "CLE will win by 3 or more pts and I dare you to bet against me". They are trying to even up both sides of the line in order to make as much money as possible. Obviously there is more to handicapping than just that one aspect alone, but it does carry a lot of weight. I think CLE barely wins vs average teams and is a bit overrated in the public eye and has a subpar defense. They play in CIN where I think the Bengals have the offensive weapons that are overdue and they know the Browns well. A high scoring game would not surprise me as the Bengals D is subpar as well. I see the home team winning. 
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12-19-2007, 07:08 PM
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#11 (permalink)
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SBR Hustler
Join Date: 11-30-07
Posts: 71
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A cincy win? Browns are controlling their own playoff spot right now. I like the browns offense better than the bengals right now. Unlike the bengals, the browns can control the clock, run the ball all game if they wanted to, and cincy's defense is horrible. I love this game. Browns -3. I've been with the browns the last two weeks (both covering against the jets and bills)
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12-19-2007, 09:16 PM
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#12 (permalink)
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SBR Rookie
Join Date: 12-19-07
Posts: 6
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Dallas, Cincy, Pitts, are the best bets this week!!!! I also like the over on the Dallas and Pitts game...
Last edited by Hitek : 12-19-2007 at 09:40 PM.
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12-20-2007, 11:15 AM
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#13 (permalink)
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SBR MVP
Join Date: 10-29-07
Posts: 1,649
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hamburglar628
and cincy's defense is horrible. I love this game. Browns -3. I've been with the browns the last two weeks (both covering against the jets and bills)
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The Browns defense is just as bad if not worse. Check their stats. Bengals allow less points per game. Since the browns have been covering lately doesn't mean they will this week. The odds makers will adjust to them eventually.
__________________
College football best bets
28-18-1 +25.9 units
as documented in Best bets thread
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12-20-2007, 12:18 PM
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#14 (permalink)
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SBR MVP
Join Date: 07-30-06
Location: Missouri
Posts: 1,330
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It is a big rival game just like the Eagles and Cowboys, I would stay away from this game because of that.
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12-20-2007, 12:22 PM
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#15 (permalink)
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SBR MVP
Join Date: 10-29-07
Posts: 1,649
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Hitek
Dallas, Cincy, Pitts, are the best bets this week!!!! I also like the over on the Dallas and Pitts game...
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The best bet is that chick in your avatar. Hot.
__________________
College football best bets
28-18-1 +25.9 units
as documented in Best bets thread
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12-20-2007, 01:30 PM
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#16 (permalink)
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SBR Sharp
Join Date: 11-21-07
Posts: 388
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The Seer nailed this. Public all over the Browns. Go the other way. Betting sports is ezfosheezy
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12-20-2007, 01:34 PM
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#17 (permalink)
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SBR Sharp
Join Date: 11-21-07
Posts: 388
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hamburglar628
A cincy win? Browns are controlling their own playoff spot right now. I like the browns offense better than the bengals right now. Unlike the bengals, the browns can control the clock, run the ball all game if they wanted to, and cincy's defense is horrible. I love this game. Browns -3. I've been with the browns the last two weeks (both covering against the jets and bills)
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"Team A has something to play for" has to be one of the top 5 worst arguments in sports betting. Cincy's defense is similar to Cleveland's defense, and continuing to bet a team because they covered the spread two weeks in a row has to be one of the other top 5 worst arguments in sports betting.
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