NFL Future Play CASH THIS ONE

Louisvillekid1 · 12-07-2007, 01:28 PM

TO WIN NFC CHAMPIONSHIP

Dallas -180 . . . Risking $400 to win $222

Minnesota +3000 . . . Risking $100 to win $3000

Im really liking how the vikings are playing ball right now, so i figure its worth a shot. They have a winnable last 4 games against SF, CHI, DEN, and WASH. And after they get the wild card they would likely be matchup up against seattle a team they could defintely beat. With the way AP is running the ball (maybe the best rookie ever) and back up Chester Taylor is a stud also, why not. T Jackson is improving every week, making plays with his feet, and not turning the ball over. They also have very solid D especially against the run. Dallas looks unbeatable in the NFC at this point so if that holds true i still cash $122 and if there is an upset why not this viking team might be on a 7 game winning streak heading into the playoffs. If thats the case I'm looking at $3K.

Thoughts?

jrcaces · 12-07-2007, 02:21 PM

I like it, looks like easy money. GL

outdrawed · 12-07-2007, 02:45 PM

Not a fan of Cowboys bet. You really think they're >64% to go to the SB? That's >80% per game.

Louisvillekid1 · 12-07-2007, 05:13 PM

Who is going to beat them? The answer is the only team that can is themselves. They have been pretty dominant all year long, Always shows up for the biggest games against the strongest teams

dwaechte · 12-07-2007, 05:25 PM

I think Dallas at -180 has fairly good value. Theyve got Homefield all but locked up, and they've already shown they can beat the Packers. Them winning two home games come playoff time doesn't seem like much of a stretch.

outdrawed · 12-07-2007, 06:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Louisvillekid1

Who is going to beat them? The answer is the only team that can is themselves. They have been pretty dominant all year long, Always shows up for the biggest games against the strongest teams

Anybody in the playoffs? 80% is equivalent to about a 10 point spread. You really think Dallas will be a 10 point favorite over Seattle and GB (assuming Seattle and GB win their first games.) I don't.

Louisvillekid1 · 12-07-2007, 06:43 PM

Well they were -8 against GB earlier this season and smoked them, and seattle is worse than GB. . . I'm really curious fo who you think is going to the NFC Championship then?

dwaechte · 12-07-2007, 06:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by outdrawed

Anybody in the playoffs? 80% is equivalent to about a 10 point spread. You really think Dallas will be a 10 point favorite over Seattle and GB (assuming Seattle and GB win their first games.) I don't.

I think 10 points would be a pretty reasonable spread for those games. Dallas just beat GB by 10 and Seattle is so inconsistent I cant see them putting up a better fight than GB.

outdrawed · 12-07-2007, 06:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Louisvillekid1

Well they were -8 against GB earlier this season and smoked them, and seattle is worse than GB. . . I'm really curious fo who you think is going to the NFC Championship then?

You're being awfully results oriented for one game. Interesting note, GB is currently an 11 point favorite home favorite against Oakland. If you think the disparity between GB and Oakland is the same as the disparity between Dallas and GB, then yikes.

Who do I think will win the NFC Championship? I think Dallas has the best chance of all the teams, but they certainly aren't going to win it 64% of the time.

area51steve · 12-07-2007, 06:55 PM

That dallas bet sounds reasonable but the vikings are +3000 for a reason. The vikings will choke against good teams like they always do. Look how the packers beat them down this year.

Louisvillekid1 · 12-07-2007, 06:57 PM

Both teams were 10-1 going into the game, and the line was -8, you think after they dismantled them the line is going to drop? . . Can't compare point spreads with completly different matchup's. Every situation is different, like if Dal is -11 this week also against the lions, when GB played them i think the line was 3.5, but that doesn't matter. Bottom line you got all these %'s and point spreads into this topic when bottom line your agreeing they should win this NFC going away. Also the cowboys play allows me to make a small profit if they hold up, while at the same time taking a gamble for free in a sense with the vikes to make a big profit.

outdrawed · 12-07-2007, 07:05 PM

Dal -11 is a joke of a line this week. Last week's line of -7 was pretty bad too, but I think that was heavily influenced by GB's defensive injuries that week.

And if you're betting a line of -180 just because you think it'll happen >50% of the time which is what it sounds like, then haha.

Dallas is the favorite, for sure. That doesn't justify taking them at -180 at all.

robmpink · 12-07-2007, 07:15 PM

I would put a bet on Tampa to win the NFC.

outdrawed · 12-07-2007, 07:19 PM

Tampa's not terrible at 8/1.

outdrawed · 12-07-2007, 07:21 PM

Also, if for whatever reason you don't believe me on Dallas, then I reallllly hope you put money down on Dallas winning the Super Bowl at 5/1.

Louisvillekid1 · 12-07-2007, 07:22 PM

Tampa has no chance. . .

outdrawed,

Who is your favorite NFL team?

I don't think dallas will win 50% of the time, i think its almost a sure thing, what is going to stop them. . .Noone in the NFC has beat them yet, and probaly won't either. . .

Louisvillekid1 · 12-07-2007, 07:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by outdrawed

Also, if for whatever reason you don't believe me on Dallas, then I reallllly hope you put money down on Dallas winning the Super Bowl at 5/1.

I don't think dallas will win the super bowl