whats everyone think of this 6 team 7 point teaser.

jrcaces · 12-06-2007, 05:54 PM

Chicago +10
Jacksonville -3
Miami +14
Giants +10
Minnesota -1.5
New England -3

risking 300 to win 1500

hamburglar628 · 12-06-2007, 05:58 PM

I like the bears, LOVE vikings, jacksonville...I don't see the giants losing by 10 points...I don't like Miami or NE, if anything take steelers +21.

CrazyL · 12-06-2007, 05:58 PM

Looks good. Just one slip up though and its doomed. Good luck.

shrax4 · 12-06-2007, 06:18 PM

I like everything but Miami. Betting on a 0 win team can be scary.

curious · 12-06-2007, 06:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jrcaces

Chicago +10
Jacksonville -3
Miami +14
Giants +10
Minnesota -1.5
New England -3

risking 300 to win 1500

NEVER, EVER cross the 0 (zero) with a teaser. Crossing the zero has something like a 20% win ratio.

Best teaser bets are crossing the 3 and 7 or moving off the 3 to the 10 (or off the 10 to the 3).

dwaechte · 12-07-2007, 12:30 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by curious

NEVER, EVER cross the 0 (zero) with a teaser. Crossing the zero has something like a 20% win ratio.

Best teaser bets are crossing the 3 and 7 or moving off the 3 to the 10 (or off the 10 to the 3).

Umm thats good and all, but as far as I can tell he isn't crossing the 0 on any of those.

And where'd you get the 20% from?

idontlikerocks · 12-07-2007, 12:35 AM

i like em all good luck....no way to get 7 1/2??....... 14 1/2 and 10 1/2 and -2 1/2 sure look a lot better.

jrcaces · 12-07-2007, 03:12 AM

1 down 5 more to go.

curious · 12-07-2007, 08:09 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dwaechte

Umm thats good and all, but as far as I can tell he isn't crossing the 0 on any of those.

And where'd you get the 20% from?

Well, I just glanced at the post, I wasn't sure if those spreads were before or after the tease. Apparently they are after the tease. If the spreads were before the tease, several of them would have crossed the zero. But I guess that isn't the case. So...NEVERMIND. LOL

You can run the ATS numbers yourself when you cross the zero, it is a very low expectation play.

patsfan2727 · 12-07-2007, 09:42 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by curious

Well, I just glanced at the post, I wasn't sure if those spreads were before or after the tease. Apparently they are after the tease. If the spreads were before the tease, several of them would have crossed the zero. But I guess that isn't the case. So...NEVERMIND. LOL

You can run the ATS numbers yourself when you cross the zero, it is a very low expectation play.

That 20% number seems a little low. Assuming teams are favored by 1-6.5 points, a 7 point teaser crosses the zero.
Does this indicate that 1-6.5 point favorites lose 80% of the time? Doesn't make sense....for example...

tease WAS -3 and CLE -3.5 to
WAS +4 and CLE +3.5

This means that 80% of the time any 2 given FAVORITES will lose? I've always felt that a teaser play is better to bet than parlaying favorite Moneylines.

el matador · 12-07-2007, 02:40 PM

Can anyone give me a detailed explanation on how the teaser works, crossing zero, odds, how to win, etc.. for example jrcaces picks as an example. I have only won a few parlays of 4 and 6 teams this season and maybe if I had played teasers I would of won more times. Thanks a lot.