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Go Back   Sports Handicapping, Betting & Picks - SBR Forum > Sports Handicapping, Picks and Game Discussion > NFL Handicapping

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Old 11-12-2007, 06:07 PM   #1 (permalink)
imgv94
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Default imgv94 NFL for Week 11 (Record: 28-38 -11.81 Units) 5½ Unit Play

Record: 28-38 -11.81 Units


Almost had a huge six unit week but Peyton decided to throw six INTs. It's been a tough season to swallow where a lot of things just haven't gone my way. Hopefully my big wager this week comes through.

Here is a link to where I mentioned this play yesterday immediately after the lines came out.
Giants +1.5 vs Lions.. WOW

I'm sorry that I'm posting a line that is not available anymore, would of posted this last night but I was bummed out over last nights game so I said **** it, sometimes lines go the other way too.

I still think Giants -2.5 is a solid bet. But hey I'm down almost 12 units in the regular season so what do I know?




2* Giants +1
1* Giants +1.5


2* Teaser -120
Giants +8
Steelers -2.5

0.5 PARLAY +131
Seahawks 11/12 game vs 49ers
Giants +1


Main reasoning for liking this play

Jon Kitna has been sacked 37 times this season..

Giants Defense:
Osi Umenyiora 9.0 Sacks
Justin Tuck 7.0 Sacks
Michael Strahan 5.0 Sacks
Mathias Kiwanuka 4.5 Sacks

Giants lead the NFL with 32 Sacks
http://www.nfl.com/stats/categorysta...ue&Submit=Find


A lot of people are looking at the fact that the Lions are 4-0 @ Home this season. Who do they defeat though?

Vikings
Bears
Bucs
Broncos

Below average teams..


Before losing to the best team in the NFC, the Giants were on a six game winning streak outscoring their opponets 152-79 and winning three games on the road during that span.

Giants three defeats this season have come to the 8-1 Cowboys twice and the 8-1 Packers.

With the Giants losing their last game it should help them to get motivated enough avoiding any kind of letdown or coming out flat.


Giants are pretty solid on defense, they are ranked 9th in both rushing and passing.

Lions however are RANKED 30th vs PASS
they are ranked 8th vs RUN.


Well hopefully everything works out. GL everyone and sorry for sucking so bad this season.. Hopefully I can cut the deficit..

Thanks for not bashing me too much.
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Old 11-12-2007, 06:16 PM   #2 (permalink)
CrazyL
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I liked it last night, but I wanted to sleep on it since the Colts loss irritated me. I can swallow a loss but one in that fashion annoyed me.

The movement sucked on this line, had I anticipated such a shift so early I would have grabbed it last night. Good luck cashing your ticket.
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Old 11-12-2007, 06:20 PM   #3 (permalink)
HAPPY BOY
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Gabe I'm almost willing to drink the cool aid on the G-men, but after getting fvcked on the Lions/Cards game (another line that looked great) I'm a little pessimistic. Pro ably will take the Giants, just don't know how big. Gl to all of us bro!
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Old 11-12-2007, 06:25 PM   #4 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by crazyl View Post
I liked it last night, but I wanted to sleep on it since the Colts loss irritated me. I can swallow a loss but one in that fashion annoyed me.
I was bummed all night about it. It's better to be lucky then good..


Quote:
Originally Posted by crazyl View Post
The movement sucked on this line, had I anticipated such a shift so early I would have grabbed it last night. Good luck cashing your ticket.
I still think Giants -2.5 is a great bet. I say take it **** it.
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Old 11-12-2007, 06:27 PM   #5 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by HAPPY BOY View Post
Gabe I'm almost willing to drink the cool aid on the G-men, but after getting fvcked on the Lions/Cards game (another line that looked great) I'm a little pessimistic. Pro ably will take the Giants, just don't know how big. Gl to all of us bro!
Luck is definitely something I need in the NFL. I keep thinking this is going to be the week, here it is but BOOM something happens and lose a play I should of won..

May GOD BLESS the Giants. I put them in my avatar for good luck..

Take care HAPPY BOY..
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Old 11-12-2007, 06:39 PM   #6 (permalink)
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The Giants 6 wins did not come against any good teams either.

Sun 9/23 at Washington W 24-17
Sun 9/30 Philadelphia W 16-3
Sun 10/7 NY Jets W 35-24
Mon 10/15 at Atlanta W 31-10
Sun 10/21 San Francisco W 33-15
Sun 10/28 at Miami W 13-10

The only of those teams with a winning record is 5-4 Redskins
Falcons, Jets, Dolphins and 49ers for sure in the 6-7 teams worst teams in the league.

I capped this game as a total coin flip in Detroit, but decided detroit was worth a play at -105 PK or better.

At +3 -119, this line seems to good to be true to me.
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Old 11-12-2007, 07:17 PM   #7 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by prop View Post
The Giants 6 wins did not come against any good teams either.

Sun 9/23 at Washington W 24-17
Sun 9/30 Philadelphia W 16-3
Both those teams killed the Lions
Philly beat the Lions 56-21
Redskins beat the Lions 34-3




Quote:
Originally Posted by prop View Post
Sun 10/7 NY Jets W 35-24
Mon 10/15 at Atlanta W 31-10
Sun 10/21 San Francisco W 33-15
Sun 10/28 at Miami W 13-10

The only of those teams with a winning record is 5-4 Redskins
Falcons, Jets, Dolphins and 49ers for sure in the 6-7 teams worst teams in the league.

What more do you want from them? They won the first three games by DD's and although they won by only three they basically dominated Miami..



Quote:
Originally Posted by prop View Post
I capped this game as a total coin flip in Detroit, but decided detroit was worth a play at -105 PK or better.

At +3 -119, this line seems to good to be true to me.

I respect you prop, but we really disagree on this one..

GL
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Old 11-12-2007, 09:09 PM   #8 (permalink)
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GV,

Love this play bro! I hit it up for a few units last night just because I saw it was on your AVATAR and you have been on fire with avatar plays lately! I'm going with my first one this week man! Should tail on this Jags play that I'm on... I know its against your Chargers, but I really think the Jags will take them to town! Check out my post bud!

Let's Go Gents!

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Old 11-12-2007, 09:16 PM   #9 (permalink)
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Good luck for sure img, I'm staying away; my gut says it smells, but I'll definitely be rootin' this one in for you and there's no interest in my part in taking the Lions.
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Old 11-12-2007, 09:16 PM   #10 (permalink)
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Chargers are horrible bro I don't blame you for one second..

I'll probably join you. U might want to look at the Texans too, they are at home and getting Andre Johnson back this week after missing 7 weeks.

Texans should win bro.
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Old 11-12-2007, 09:40 PM   #11 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by imgv94 View Post
Chargers are horrible bro I don't blame you for one second..

I'll probably join you. U might want to look at the Texans too, they are at home and getting Andre Johnson back this week after missing 7 weeks.

Texans should win bro.
I'll have to look into that Texans game a little more... The AINTS are so up and down that I don't know... This would be their UP week since they got beat by the fvcking Rams @ home and the week prior beat the fvck outta the Jags! The AINTS make NO SENSE what so ever to me this year... Thats why they be watchin @ home come playoff time!
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Old 11-13-2007, 05:31 AM   #12 (permalink)
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Well one of us has to win on the spread. I guess there is a small margin where we can both win.

At the very least I hope we both win this teaser leg.
I got the Lions +10 with Packers -2.5 and Eagles -3
Made it a 3 teamer so I'll still win some on 2 wins + 1 push should that happen on one of them.

I hope your ass gets beat on the regular pick, but its nothing against you but wish you good luck on the teaser so long as i cover too
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Old 11-13-2007, 05:33 AM   #13 (permalink)
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detroit will win take the moneyline gl this weekend
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Old 11-13-2007, 07:08 AM   #14 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by joeygats View Post
detroit will win take the moneyline gl this weekend
Not gonna play this NYG/DET matchup either way, but good luck to all including img with the big play on NYG.
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Old 11-14-2007, 06:44 PM   #15 (permalink)
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ADDING:

1.5* Texans PK -114

Andre Johnson really helps this offense. Matt Schaub played a lot better when he was in the lineup. Saints secondary at times looks clueless.

Saints haven't impressed me at all. Like the line movement in this one as well

GL
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Old 11-14-2007, 08:29 PM   #16 (permalink)
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